2024 B1G Tourney Projection

[REDZONEDAN]

25 minutes ago, doc1394 said:

I’ve watched better games than this Michigan State and Northwestern game 

Neither team looks like they’re any good.

Edited March 7 by REDZONEDAN

[throwback]

A step closer to earning the #3 seed and finishing in at least a tie for 3rd place.

 

Haven't finished 3rd or higher in a conference season since 1993 (tied for 2nd)

 

Haven't been seeded #3 or higher in a conference tourney since 1991

 

Edited March 7 by throwback

[doc1394]

With a win on Sunday the Huskers get a double bye no matter what else happens now, right?

[HuskerFever]

[millerhusker]

1 minute ago, doc1394 said:

With a win on Sunday the Huskers get a double bye no matter what else happens now, right?

Think so. If Wisconsin loses at Purdue we are the 3 seed. If Wisconsin somehow wins we are the 4 seed. We need to take care of business. 

[Cookie Miller Wasn't Dirty]

8 minutes ago, doc1394 said:

With a win on Sunday the Huskers get a double bye no matter what else happens now, right?

That was true even before tonight.

[Cookie Miller Wasn't Dirty]

6 minutes ago, millerhusker said:

Think so. If Wisconsin loses at Purdue we are the 3 seed. If Wisconsin somehow wins we are the 4 seed. We need to take care of business. 

We can also get the 3 seed if Wisconsin loses to Rutgers or Northwestern loses to Minnesota.

[unl]

Ok so if we win Sunday, we are likely the 3 seed, but not definite. 
 

Humor me here. If we lose Sunday what’s the most realistic scenario? 4th or 5th?

 

There are currently 3 teams with 8 losses and 3 teams with 9 losses. Sooo could we fall to 6 ish in a crazy scenario? 

[HuskerFever]

6 minutes ago, unl said:

Ok so if we win Sunday, we are likely the 3 seed, but not definite. 
 

Humor me here. If we lose Sunday what’s the most realistic scenario? 4th or 5th?

 

There are currently 3 teams with 8 losses and 3 teams with 9 losses. Sooo could we fall to 6 ish in a crazy scenario? 

 

Probably a 5 if we lose. But possible to drop to 6.

 

Essentially need Michigan State, Iowa, and Wisconsin to all lose if we lose to Michigan and still want to have a double bye.

[Cookie Miller Wasn't Dirty]

12 minutes ago, unl said:

Ok so if we win Sunday, we are likely the 3 seed, but not definite. 
 

Humor me here. If we lose Sunday what’s the most realistic scenario? 4th or 5th?

 

There are currently 3 teams with 8 losses and 3 teams with 9 losses. Sooo could we fall to 6 ish in a crazy scenario? 

To get the 4 with a loss we would need one of the following scenarios:

 

1) Illinois beats Iowa + Indiana beats MSU + Wisconsin loses one or both (vs Rutgers; @ Purdue)

 

2) Illinois beats Iowa + Wisconsin loses both

 

3) Indiana beats Minnesota (currently up at halftime) + Minnesota beats NW + Wisconsin loses both

 

Crazy as it sounds, the 3 seed is still possible if we lose. Add an Iowa loss to #3 above and that’s how we’d get it.

 

[unl]

31 minutes ago, Cookie Miller Wasn't Dirty said:

To get the 4 with a loss we would need one of the following scenarios:

 

1) Illinois beats Iowa + Indiana beats MSU + Wisconsin loses one or both (vs Rutgers; @ Purdue)

 

2) Illinois beats Iowa + Wisconsin loses both

 

3) Indiana beats Minnesota (currently up at halftime) + Minnesota beats NW + Wisconsin loses both

 

Crazy as it sounds, the 3 seed is still possible if we lose. Add an Iowa loss to #3 above and that’s how we’d get it.

 

Ok so based on that, I almost say 4 is more likely than 5. Those are reasonable, or some might say probable, scenarios…

[Vinny]

Indiana has 25 assists on 26 made baskets at the under 4:00 media break. They were at 10:26 in the second half before they had an unassisted basket. 

[unl]

 Check this out guys!

[tcp]

all of these new-fangled toys to play with when you're actually a threat to go to the NCAAs! Beats already scoping out next year's roster. Although I guess we're doing that, too....;)

 

What a fun year this has already been. 

[Cookie Miller Wasn't Dirty]

41 minutes ago, unl said:

Ok so based on that, I almost say 4 is more likely than 5. Those are reasonable, or some might say probable, scenarios…

Using ESPN BPI win probabilities, my math has it as a 19% chance at the 4 and a 2% chance at the 3 if we were to lose.

 

 

[AuroranHusker]

1 hour ago, tcp said:

all of these new-fangled toys to play with when you're actually a threat to go to the NCAAs! Beats already scoping out next year's roster. Although I guess we're doing that, too....;)

 

What a fun year this has already been. 

 

Let's keep this NU train rollin' down the tracks at a high rate of speed. Take it in our hands and smash Michigan to secure the 3-seed, then take care of business in the BTT to get as many dubs as possible. Then finish it up with that elusive victory in the Big Dance & dare to dream of Sweet Sixteens. LET'S DO THIS, BIG RED! GBR!!

 

[hskr4life]

Would rather not play Iowa.  But how juicy would it be if Iowa slipped to 7 and it was Iowa vs OSU?

[millerhusker]

15 minutes ago, hskr4life said:

Would rather not play Iowa.  But how juicy would it be if Iowa slipped to 7 and it was Iowa vs OSU?

To hell with it, I want Iowa. 

Interestingly, I'd rather play the 4 thru 7 seeds than the 9 thru 13 seeds right now. 

[HuskerFever]

2 hours ago, hskr4life said:

Would rather not play Iowa.  But how juicy would it be if Iowa slipped to 7 and it was Iowa vs OSU?

 

I believe Iowa would have to beat Illinois for this to happen.

[LNKtrnsplnt]

2 hours ago, millerhusker said:

To hell with it, I want Iowa. 

Interestingly, I'd rather play the 4 thru 7 seeds than the 9 thru 13 seeds right now. 

Ideal first game for us (in order):

Mich St

Wisco

NW

Iowa

[49r]

 

[jimmykc]

Going into the postseason with a loss to Michigan would give me the same feeling I had in 2001 before going to the Rose Bowl after getting drubbed by Colorado. And I think we all recall what happened. So, let's quit worrying about our fate if we lose and just plan on winning. Right, Cip?

[hhcmatt]

4 hours ago, 49r said:

 

 

Feel a little slow for not realizing until now that we have an unweighted 47.8% chance at the double bye even with a loss on Sunday.

[49r]

16 minutes ago, hhcmatt said:

 

Feel a little slow for not realizing until now that we have an unweighted 47.8% chance at the double bye even with a loss on Sunday.

 

Yep.  Northwestern really helped us out by losing their last two games.  But they helped Iowa more so...

Edited March 8 by 49r

[cipsucks]

2 hours ago, jimmykc said:

Going into the postseason with a loss to Michigan would give me the same feeling I had in 2001 before going to the Rose Bowl after getting drubbed by Colorado. And I think we all recall what happened. So, let's quit worrying about our fate if we lose and just plan on winning. Right, Cip?

 

After that loss to Colorado, my regional boss at the time called me and gave me his condolences.  I told him the Huskers were still going to play in the national championship game.  He laughed saying there was no way.  There was.  I had no illusions of us keeping up with Miami, though.