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Predictions for last 8 games

huskerbaseball13

By huskerbaseball13
in The Haymarket Hardwood

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huskerbaseball13

huskerbaseball13

Posted
Posted

What do you guys have? I'm hoping at worst we go 4-1 at home and find a way to win another road game.  That would put us at 9-9 in the Big 10 which IMO would be a great second year for Coach Miles and his guys.  Before conference place and after starting out 0-4 I would have said you were dreaming if you told me we still had a shot to finish .500 in conference play.  Glad I was wrong.  My prediction has us dreaming of the NCAA after a win vs Northwestern at home...then falling short with finishing with two tough games.   

 

Illinois- Win

@ MSU- Loss

PSU- Win

Purdue- Win

@ Illinois- Win

Northwestern- Win

@ Indiana- Loss

Wiscy- Loss

huskerbaseball13

huskerbaseball13

Posted
  • Author
Posted

I would predict a loss at Illinois and agree with the rest.

 

You are probably right...if we fail to win another on the road I hope we can pull off the "upset" vs Wiscy.  While we have played great at home I think Wiscy will be a tough matchup for us and they will most likely be favored to win that game.  It all starts this Wednesday...the Pinnacle should be rocking.  Illinois has decent talent but they have major problems.  Hope that continues vs the Huskers. 

HuskerFever

HuskerFever

Posted
Posted

Illinois - Win


@ MSU - Loss


PSU - Win


Purdue - Loss


@ Illinois - Loss


Northwestern - Win


@ Indiana - Loss


Wiscy - Loss


 


3-5 to finish off the season. That said, even 2 more wins gives us the most B1G wins since we've joined the conference.


roscoe

roscoe

Posted
Posted

8-0, Dreaming of unbelievable run.

7-1, Ecstatic.

6-2, Damned happy x 2

5-3, Not out of the realm of possibility.

4-4, Minimum expectation.

3-5, This can't be happening.

2-6, Why do I fall for this?

1-7, Get me a beer truck.

0-8, Steady shots of Jaegermeister.

49r

49r

Posted
Posted

Here are the Sagarin projections taken from RPI Forecast:

 

Team (RPI)            Win Prob. (point spread)
=================================
2-12
Illinois (94.2)..................................57%  (1.8)
 
2-16
@Michigan St. (11.5)....................8%  (-15.0)
 
2-20
Penn St. (114.5)............................60%  (2.7)
 
2-23
Purdue (124.0)..............................63%  (3.5)
 
2-26
@Illinois (94.2).............................35%  (-4.3)
 
3-1
Northwestern (120.1)...................71%  (6.0)
 
3-5
@Indiana (87.1)...........................27%  (-6.6)
 
3-9
Wisconsin (14.5).........................26%  (-7.0)
Sgt Lincoln Osiris

Sgt Lincoln Osiris

Posted
Posted

So he has us at 8-9 going into the Wisconsin game at PBA but getting smacked? I will be happy with being 8-9 going into that game but I think the crowd would be more up for that game than any we have had all year and absolutely do not think we would be underdogs. I would be very happy with a 9-9 finish in conference play and would leave me very optimistic about the state of the program

49r

49r

Posted
Posted

I think we have razor-thin margins just to make it to 8-10, Sgt.

 

Odds are good we'll drop one or more of those games that we'll be favored in.  Hope we get 'em all, but there's only a 15% chance we'll get to 8 wins overall, 4% we make it to 9.

Sgt Lincoln Osiris

Sgt Lincoln Osiris

Posted
Posted

I would think we have a better than 15% chance of getting to 8 wins since that would mean going 4-1 at home against worse competition than we have played this far, and losing all of the road games.

Either way, I'm taking them one at a time at this point and not counting any individual game as a win, but I would be disappointed if we can't find 4 more wins with this remaining schedule

unl

unl

Posted
Posted

I'm fairly dicey on the both Illinois games, but am pretty confident in the other four home games.  I'd be thrilled to get one road game.  I've gotta go with 8-10 right now.  Winning on Wednesday would be huge IMO.

royalfan

royalfan

Posted
Posted

 

Here are the Sagarin projections taken from RPI Forecast:

 

Team (RPI)            Win Prob. (point spread)
=================================
2-12
Illinois (94.2)..................................57%  (1.8)
 
2-16
@Michigan St. (11.5)....................8%  (-15.0)
 
2-20
Penn St. (114.5)............................60%  (2.7)
 
2-23
Purdue (124.0)..............................63%  (3.5)
 
2-26
@Illinois (94.2).............................35%  (-4.3)
 
3-1
Northwestern (120.1)...................71%  (6.0)
 
3-5
@Indiana (87.1)...........................27%  (-6.6)
 
3-9
Wisconsin (14.5).........................26%  (-7.0)

 

He is way off on his rankings then.  Typically he would be more in line with Vegas, but not close on some of these.

Cazzie22

Cazzie22

Posted
Posted

Cannot predict anything with this team.  The margin of error is razor thin.  Has this team dominated any conference opponent at home?  Every "W" that can be scratched out by NU is going to be a plus.  Focus on one game, one night.

uneblinstu

uneblinstu

Posted
Posted

Cannot predict anything with this team.  The margin of error is razor thin.  Has this team dominated any conference opponent at home?  Every "W" that can be scratched out by NU is going to be a plus.  Focus on one game, one night.

Sure you can. They've played well at home. No reason to think otherwise until they do differently. Against the good teams, on the road, they have had it handed to them. No reason to think otherwise until they do differently. Against teams similar to them on the road, they've been competitive. No reason to think otherwise until they do differently. Based on that, it's actually fairly easy to make a prediction about this team.

Cazzie22

Cazzie22

Posted
Posted

 

Cannot predict anything with this team.  The margin of error is razor thin.  Has this team dominated any conference opponent at home?  Every "W" that can be scratched out by NU is going to be a plus.  Focus on one game, one night.

Sure you can. They've played well at home. No reason to think otherwise until they do differently. Against the good teams, on the road, they have had it handed to them. No reason to think otherwise until they do differently. Against teams similar to them on the road, they've been competitive. No reason to think otherwise until they do differently. Based on that, it's actually fairly easy to make a prediction about this team.

 

OK, I cannot predict anything with this team except that they will play better at home than on the road.  Let's beat the Illini, if Appling is out at MSU then we can play with them and Wisconsin can be beaten in Lincoln.  I just can't look into the future. That's just me.

Norm Peterson

Norm Peterson

Posted
Posted

I think we have razor-thin margins just to make it to 8-10, Sgt.

 

Odds are good we'll drop one or more of those games that we'll be favored in.  Hope we get 'em all, but there's only a 15% chance we'll get to 8 wins overall, 4% we make it to 9.

These probabilities are interesting but, really, we're either good enough or we're not.  If we're a tournament-quality team, we'll win all the rest of our home games and maybe steal one at Illinois or at Indiana.

 

If we don't do those things then we weren't good enough.  The odds say we're not good enough.  The odds might be right.  But if we're good enough to make the tourney, then we'll win the rest of our home games regardless of the odds.

49r

49r

Posted
Posted

Norm, we've bucked the trend so far this season with big upsets against Ohio State, Minnesota and Indiana.  This may be a trend (or as you would say "we're good enough") and we may see 8 or 9 wins, or we may see this team slide back toward what's expected (not good enough) and only get to 6.

 

Smart money's somewhere in the middle, at 7.  The Illinois game is going to go a ways in determining if that will change one way or another.

Norm Peterson

Norm Peterson

Posted
Posted

Well, we might have been "lucky" beating Ohio State, Minnesota and Indiana at home OR we might have been "unlucky" losing to Penn State and Purdue on the road.  I still say we're either good enough or we're not and if we are, we'll hold the home court the rest of the way.  If we don't win out at home, we're not worthy or deserving of NCAA consideration.  A team that is good enough will close out against what we have left on our home schedule.

 

The best team left on our home schedule is currently tied for 4th in the league.  All the rest of our home games are against teams in the bottom half of the league, including the last three teams in the current standings.  The table just about couldn't be set any better for us to finish out the season.  We've already played the toughest teams at home that we're going to play and we came through that with only a 1 point loss to Michigan, which is currently tied with MSU at the top of the league standings.  Of our 3 remaining road games, 2 of them are against bottom half teams.

 

To me, it's not about narrow odds or thin margins.  The table is set and this team controls its destiny.  No excuses.  We're either good enough to dance or we're not.  Period.

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