Bracketology 2024/2025

[89Husker]

Looking at Jay Bilas ranking of teams in ESPN front page, he has the Huskers as the 67th team in his list.  Yikes!

[royalfan]

11 hours ago, Huskerpapa said:

Oh man, I am not sure KU would make it to the dance if the brackets were set tomorrow.   They are getting absolutely curb-stomped tonight by BYU.

Still very very comfortably in, in case you weren’t saying this totally jokingly.  

[cozrulz]

up to a 9 seed - keep winning

[hskr4life]

23 minutes ago, Cazzie22 said:

Minnesota has to be respected as they beat UCLA in LA.  The Huskers have to bring their best as there are no “for sure” wins on the remaining schedule.

Probably stamped their ticket to the B1G tournament. 1 win up on Iowa and Rutgers, 2 wins up on NW and Wash and 3 up on PSU.

[hskr4life]

19 minutes ago, 89Husker said:

Looking at Jay Bilas ranking of teams in ESPN front page, he has the Huskers as the 67th team in his list.  Yikes!

What do the kids say these days? Must not know ball? Or something like that.

[unl]

33 minutes ago, Cazzie22 said:

Kansas is ranked solely on reputation.  They are not the only guilty party.  Wisconsin is playing very well.

Is our resumé similar to theirs overall?

[hskr4life]

1 minute ago, unl said:

Is our resumé similar to theirs overall?

Just quick glance

 

KU: Q1- 6-7 (3 Q1A), Q2- 3-2, Q3- 5-0, Q4- 3-0.

 

Resume Avg: 23.3, Predictive Avg: 19.6

3-7 road record, #25 Non-Con sos, best win #2 Duke (N)

 

 

 

 

NU: Q1- 6-7 (2 Q1A), Q2- 3-1, Q3- 2-1, Q4- 6-0.

 

Resume Avg: 34.6, Predictive Avg: 41.3

 

5-5 road record, #178 Non-Con sos, best win #33 Oregon (A).

 

They definitely have the bigger win and we have the worse loss. Despite our similar quad records, they have played the tougher schedule by far. Metrics also love them. Resume wise, I’d say we still have a bit to go to catch up.

[Vinny]

20 minutes ago, cozrulz said:

up to a 9 seed - keep winning

If you’re talking Bracketmatrix, we’re the lowest 9 seed. And the highest 8 seed is….. Creighton. 

[TourneyBound]

49 minutes ago, hskr4life said:

Probably stamped their ticket to the B1G tournament. 1 win up on Iowa and Rutgers, 2 wins up on NW and Wash and 3 up on PSU.

their remaining schedule sets up very nice for them as well.  I watched that game last night and they play very good defense.  Garcia carries them offensively but they do have a couple good shooters.  Primarily use only 5 or 6 guys though.  

[millerhusker]

1 hour ago, 89Husker said:

Looking at Jay Bilas ranking of teams in ESPN front page, he has the Huskers as the 67th team in his list.  Yikes!

For someone whose whole job is to know college basketball, he knows very little about it outside the ACC and now the SEC.  I'd be shocked if Bilas didn't have Rutgers in his preseason top 25 and I have no respect for the "experts" who had that opinion. 

[LincecumFan]

1 hour ago, millerhusker said:

For someone whose whole job is to know college basketball, he knows very little about it outside the ACC and now the SEC.  I'd be shocked if Bilas didn't have Rutgers in his preseason top 25 and I have no respect for the "experts" who had that opinion. 

Remember who he works for. ESPN is always going to put the ACC, SEC, and the Big 12 at the top. Plus, when's the last time he actually saw NU play in person.

[hskr4life]

One loss can really muck up a resume… but that means that one win can do the same. Monday is big.

 

[basketballjones]

I am just telling you guys - we are completely fine. At this point it isn’t about who we beat or who we lose to it’s just a final win number total. 
 

18 - yes “who” does matter. If it’s Michigan as a win, we’re good but probably in a play in game. Just 18 and it’s bad losses/bad wins, probably not in.

19 - In no matter who wins/losses come from, but probably a 10 seed. Avoid play in game tho I think. 

 

20 - In no matter who wins/losses come from and potentially as high as a 7 seed.

[HuskerFever]

9 minutes ago, basketballjones said:

I am just telling you guys - we are completely fine. At this point it isn’t about who we beat or who we lose to it’s just a final win number total. 
 

18 - yes “who” does matter. If it’s Michigan as a win, we’re good but probably in a play in game. Just 18 and it’s bad losses/bad wins, probably not in.

19 - In no matter who wins/losses come from, but probably a 10 seed. Avoid play in game tho I think. 

 

20 - In no matter who wins/losses come from and potentially as high as a 7 seed.

 

Not worth my time, but this has been said on this board many times; and every time we've been wrong.

[basketballjones]

48 minutes ago, HuskerFever said:

 

Not worth my time, but this has been said on this board many times; and every time we've been wrong.

Except last year when I was saying the exact same thing post-Purdue win and everyone argued with me.

[Cazzie22]

It’s nice to speculate about the NCAA Tournament bid but last night’s performance isn’t worthy of Post Season.  I may be unfair to how well PSU played last night.

[hhcmatt]

 

[millerhusker]

6 minutes ago, hhcmatt said:

 

We all need to be fans of UCLA, Northwestern and Ohio State (except when they play Nebraska) for the next couple weeks

[basketballjones]

2 hours ago, Cazzie22 said:

It’s nice to speculate about the NCAA Tournament bid but last night’s performance isn’t worthy of Post Season.  I may be unfair to how well PSU played last night.

IMO, that's thinking like a fan not like a selection committee. They just don't care about specific individual games, unless it's a massive win. 

[Silverbacked1]

Just gotta keep stacking those W’s 

 

The more we win the better the chance to get in.

 

Gotta win Monday first, don’t let PSU beat us twice.

 

one game at a time.

Edited 11 hours ago by Silverbacked1

[millerhusker]

4 hours ago, HuskerFever said:

 

Not worth my time, but this has been said on this board many times; and every time we've been wrong.

If you're referring to 2018, we only had one quality win that year. Only beat one tourney team (Michigan) and 10 of our 13 conference wins were against below .500 teams. I remember not being on the edge of my seat at all on selection sunday. Think we had a better argument in '99. 

[HuskerFever]

4 minutes ago, millerhusker said:

If you're referring to 2018, we only had one quality win that year. Only beat one tourney team (Michigan) and 10 of our 13 conference wins were against below .500 teams. I remember not being on the edge of my seat at all on selection sunday. Think we had a better argument in '99. 

 

I'm referring to every year in February that we're close to the bubble and people think we're about 2 seeds higher than the committee actually places us (or doesn't).

 

Not saying anybody is wrong here, but I think there's a disconnect between our perceptions and that of the committees around this time of year. Which I'd argue is normal bias for any given team. Unfortunately, the committee doesn't wear the same rose colored classes that we do.

[Silverbacked1]

5 minutes ago, HuskerFever said:

 

I'm referring to every year in February that we're close to the bubble and people think we're about 2 seeds higher than the committee actually places us (or doesn't).

 

Not saying anybody is wrong here, but I think there's a disconnect between our perceptions and that of the committees around this time of year. Which I'd argue is normal bias for any given team. Unfortunately, the committee doesn't wear the same rose colored classes that we do.

What? You mean they don’t want the Huskers to win our first NCAA Tournament game?

[HuskerFever]

I had a theory that I wanted to validate, but came with mixed results.

 

Initially I thought "With more Big Ten teams in the conference and more conference games, are we just getting more Quad 1 opportunities across the board?"

 

As far as the league is concerned: No. 2020-2021 has the highest average Quad 1 opponents on the leagues schedule. We're currently 3 games under that average. If I were to guess, we'd finish at or below that threshold.

 

But, for Nebraska, we've already hit that threshold and any additional Quad 1 game will outpace that 5-year high.

 

So my suspicion that "Sure, we have more Quad 1 wins than before, but that's 'only' because we have more Quad 1 opportunities" is partially true, but not really a product of changes in the league.

[GhostOfJoeMcCray]

2 hours ago, HuskerFever said:

 

I'm referring to every year in February that we're close to the bubble and people think we're about 2 seeds higher than the committee actually places us (or doesn't).

 

Not saying anybody is wrong here, but I think there's a disconnect between our perceptions and that of the committees around this time of year. Which I'd argue is normal bias for any given team. Unfortunately, the committee doesn't wear the same rose colored classes that we do.

 

There are way too many good bracketologists (without Nebraska bias) out there now to not have a pretty darn good idea of where we stand, and I'm not talking about Lunardi or Palm. For example, the cumulative Bracketmatrix nailed all the 1-4 seeds in the committee top 16 reveal. Some guys put as much work into it each week as they do at their jobs (T3 and JBR on Twitter for example). We ended up last year right about where most of the really good ones thought we would. In my opinion, it has never been easier to know relatively where you stand.

Edited 8 hours ago by GhostOfJoeMcCray