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2023-2024 KenPom Rankings Thread


49r

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Well folks, the preseason KenPom rankings has come out and I'm as excited as @Navin R. Johnson when the new phone books arrive!

 

I'll do my regular update when I get a chance.  Ken isn't as generous to us as Torvik is this year but it's still BY FAR the highest preseason KenPom ranking of the Hoiberg era.

 

For now, I'll post his schedule predictions:

 

 

58 Nebraska (0-0)

Cornhuskers · Lincoln, NE
Head coach: Fred Hoiberg

 

2024 Schedule 

Game Plan | Opponent Tracker

Date Rk Opponent Result     Location Record Conf  
Mon Nov 6   352 Lindenwood W, 84-58 72 99% Home      
Thu Nov 9   344 Florida A&M W, 80-57 71 98% Home      
Mon Nov 13   229 Rider W, 80-65 71 92% Home      
Wed Nov 15   276 Stony Brook W, 79-61 70 95% Home      
Sat Nov 18   175 Oregon St. W, 74-66 70 79% Neutral      
Wed Nov 22   89 Duquesne W, 76-69 72 74% Home      
Sun Nov 26   174 Cal St. Fullerton W, 76-64 71 86% Home      
Sun Dec 3   12 Creighton L, 75-71 72 36% Home      
Wed Dec 6   112 Minnesota W, 73-70 71 60% Away   ×  
Sun Dec 10   13 Michigan St. L, 72-69 71 38% Home   ×  
Sun Dec 17   25 Kansas St. L, 77-69 74 24% Away      
Wed Dec 20   255 North Dakota W, 81-64 72 94% Home      
Fri Dec 29   345 South Carolina St. W, 86-62 75 99% Home      
Wed Jan 3   49 Indiana W, 73-71 72 57% Home   ×  
Sat Jan 6   20 Wisconsin L, 73-65 70 22% Away   ×  
Tue Jan 9   1 Purdue L, 75-69 70 27% Home   ×  
Fri Jan 12   50 Iowa L, 79-75 73 34% Away   ×  
Wed Jan 17   59 Rutgers L, 71-68 71 39% Away   ×  
Sat Jan 20   40 Northwestern W, 71-70 71 53% Home   ×  
Tue Jan 23   35 Ohio St. W, 73-72 71 51% Home   ×  
Sat Jan 27   22 Maryland L, 75-67 71 24% Away   ×  
Thu Feb 1   20 Wisconsin L, 70-68 70 42% Home   ×  
Sun Feb 4   19 Illinois L, 78-69 73 21% Away   ×  
Wed Feb 7   40 Northwestern L, 73-68 71 30% Away   ×  
Sat Feb 10   44 Michigan W, 73-71 72 55% Home   ×  
Sat Feb 17   85 Penn St. W, 76-69 72 73% Home   ×  
Wed Feb 21   49 Indiana L, 74-70 72 34% Away   ×  
Sun Feb 25   112 Minnesota W, 76-67 71 80% Home   ×  
Thu Feb 29   35 Ohio St. L, 75-69 71 28% Away   ×  
Sun Mar 3   59 Rutgers W, 71-68 71 62% Home   ×  
Sun Mar 10   44 Michigan L, 74-69 72 32% Away   ×  
Projected record: 17-14 9-11  
Chance of unbeaten record: 0.00% 0.00%  
Chance of winless record: 0.00% 0.00%  
Projected record is based on cumulative probabilities of winning
each game and may not equal the sum of individual game predictions.
Home games played at Pinnacle Bank Arena (15,000, 30th largest in D-I)
Home court advantage: 3.2 (112th in D-I)
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45 minutes ago, Norm Peterson said:

Which Ls do we need to flip to dubs to dance in March?


Road win at Michigan to end the year would be a good start and get us to .500 in conference. A home win early against Lord Voldemort would pay late season dividends. Assuming we win all the games Ken projects and pick up those two projected Ls we’re probably still in need of a conference tournament win or two to feel safely in.

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11 hours ago, Norm Peterson said:

Which Ls do we need to flip to dubs to dance in March?


@ Iowa

@ Rutgers

Wisconsin at home

Creighton at home 

 

Those 4 plus a win in the conference tourney would put us in pretty good position I would think.  I think a Hunter Dickinson-less Michigan may be there for the taking too.

 

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41 minutes ago, busticket said:


@ Iowa

@ Rutgers

Wisconsin at home

Creighton at home 

 

Those 4 plus a win in the conference tourney would put us in pretty good position I would think.  I think a Hunter Dickinson-less Michigan may be there for the taking too.

 

21-10 with a win over probable top 5 Creighton and you're an 8/9 seed. 

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4 hours ago, Chuck Taylor said:

We need Q1 wins. Here's a quick count, might have missed somebody:

Craydon

MSU

At KState

At Wisconsin

Purdue

At Iowa

At Rutgers

At Maryland

Wisky

At Illinois

At NW

At Indiana

At OSU

At Michigan

Probably need to win at least 5 of these to dance. 


Five wins among teams on that list is a tall order.

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17 hours ago, Norm Peterson said:

Which Ls do we need to flip to dubs to dance in March?

 

1.  Projected 3 home losses (MSU, Purdue, Creighton).  Need to win 2 of those.

2.  Maryland/Rutgers on the road (both).

3.  Don't lose any game by more than 9 points (point differential killed the rankings last year).

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3 hours ago, Donkey said:

 

1.  Projected 3 home losses (MSU, Purdue, Creighton).  Need to win 2 of those.

2.  Maryland/Rutgers on the road (both).

3.  Don't lose any game by more than 9 points (point differential killed the rankings last year).


If we do that, it would put us at 21-10 overall and 12–8 in conference before the big 10 tournament and I daresay that would be more than enough to get us in.

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11 hours ago, Chuck Taylor said:

We need Q1 wins. Here's a quick count, might have missed somebody:

Craydon

MSU

At KState

At Wisconsin

Purdue

At Iowa

At Rutgers

At Maryland

Wisky

At Illinois

At NW

At Indiana

At OSU

At Michigan

Probably need to win at least 5 of these to dance. 

 

Yes, but the new formula makes blowing out lesser teams a big priority.

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