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Everything posted by Donkey

  1. Marion’s attitude/toughness was very underrated. I am not sure Roby will ever get to Marion’s level.
  2. I watched that game on NET. I think Benson had 2-3 kids with D1 scholarships that year. Didn’t Hastings have a post player who had a low D1 scholarship? I remember Hastings playing hard but Benson was just dominating.
  3. To be fair, no one cared when Deverell Biggs, Sergej Vucetic, Nick Fuller, Nathan Hawkins, Tarin Smith, Jacob Hammond, Jack McVeigh, Jordy Tshminga, and Bakari Evelyn left. That is an average of slightly more than 1 player a year leaving. Most people were upset when Walter Pitchford, Andrew White, Ed Morrow, Michael Jacobson, and Jeriah Horne left. Its one thing where a player leaves when it is clear his playing time will be limited. Its another when the player will be getting high minutes and still chooses to leave. With Hoiberg I expect more people leaving who fall into the former category instead of the latter.
  4. I am not worried about height. Hoiberg does pretty good with length and athleticism. As for scholarships, Hoiberg will have 3 available next year. You do not want too much roster turnover each year. Plus, it would not surprise me if 1-2 kids leave a year under Hoiberg (which is not much different than Miles' normal turnover).
  5. I get the impression Hoiberg does not see Burke or Green as a PG in his offense. I could see a Mack, Green, Burke back court with Cheatham and Harris spelling the 1-2 spots. At the 4, I could see Hoiberg using a 6-6/6-7 guy. The roster already has Nana, Thor, and Davis but I see Nana (who is a great fit in Hoiberg's offense) going and have no clue regarding Thor (but I have heard for some time he has been contemplating leaving, even before Miles' seat got hot). Notice that the 3 transfer who visited last weekend were all 6-8/6-9 PFs (although one did play SF at UNLV)? Also, I took note that all 3 could potential play in 2019-2020 (the UNLV guys had a coaching change and the NCAA has been allowing players to transfer without sitting out, and the other guy would be eligible in January). If the UNLV guys were to come, I could see those two with Roby being pretty solid at the 4/5 spots. I have no clue, but Gates was his lead recruiter.
  6. Well looky here: http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/26487509/nba-union-talk-end-one-done Some good analysis on one-and-dones. We could see/hear something in the next 2 months because this policy change affects future drafts and potential tradable assets in the 2019 draft.
  7. It is very common for NBA teams to promise a player he will be drafted. However, another common practice is for a team to tell a player he is one of three players they hope to draft. I know of a few players who took that promise as a guarantee they will be drafted and were waiting for the call after the draft was over. The best barometer for Roby is to see how many meetings he takes after the combine and the more meetings the better for Nebraska. Teams who promise to draft players also require the players to not take meetings with other teams. Usually, the teams and players have already worked out contract terms (there is no guaranteed salary for 2nd rounders which allows both sides to negotiate contracts) when the promise is made. Some of the non-lottery first round picks are receiving the same promises from teams. as well, especially if the team wants to send the player to the G League for further development (e.g. OKC and Roberson). If Roby takes a lot of meetings after the combine, and there are other players at those meetings; I think it would be wise for Roby to come back. BTW looks like Gates is stay:
  8. The NBA Combine is May 15-19, hence May 29. I can see the NBA being concerned with allowing undrafted student-athletes to return to college. Bird was selected by the Boston Celtics with the sixth overall pick in the 1978 NBA draft.[15] He did not sign with the Celtics immediately; instead, he played out his final season at Indiana State and led the Sycamores to the NCAA title game. Red Auerbach publicly stated that he would not pay Bird more than any Celtic on the current roster, but Bird's agent bluntly told Red that Bird would reject any sub-market offers and simply enter the 1979 NBA Draft instead, where Boston's rights would expire the second the draft began and Bird would have been the likely top pick. After protracted negotiations, Bird inked a five-year, $3.25 million contract with the team, making him the highest paid rookie in league history at the time.[8][17] Shortly afterwards, NBA draft eligibility rules were changed to prevent teams from drafting players before they were ready to sign, a rule known as the Bird Collegiate Rule.[17] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Larry_Bird#cite_note-big-three-57-17
  9. Every day hearing something new. The most consistent rumor is Gates staying. No inside information, but I would not be surprised if that happened. Let's be fair though. Hoiberg has his main recruiter signed, sealed, delivered. The other assistants will be beneficial but will not likely provide an immediate impact unless they are bringing a big name with them (and none of the names floated have that). Nana is gone. See his twitter page. Its just not official. Thor has been rumored to be weighing a professional offer from an Icelandic team. Roby has until May 29 to make a decision. No inside information, but I can only see him leaving if he gets a guarantee. However, May 29 may be too early for teams to be making that kind of a commitment for a 1st rounder (but not necessarily 2nd rounder). The best projections I have seen over the last 6 months had Roby in the mid-high teens. However, that was in December. The more recent ones have Roby in the 40s. Jervay is the only one who matters of the 2019 recruits. Even if Miles were retained, this team was going to be gutted as it was losing 4 seniors, Roby was going to test the NBA waters, Allen (likely) and Nana (definitely) were gone, Thor was already looking around, and there was already 1 open scholarship. That was only 4 players likely returning in the fall assuming even with Miles staying. Hoiberg was going to recruit over Mika (hence his decommitment). We may not know until they are seen on the sidelines. I have heard a rumor of a highly rated PG already in tow (definitely not Mack). No confirmation yet. See above. See above. Let's assume Thor and Roby stay, but Heiman redshirts next year for a total of 7 available scholarships. That leaves 5 players available to play next year with Davis coming off a serious injury. Hoiberg would need 1 PG and 2 bigs to realistically play next year. Akol is projected to be a 3 primarily and a 4 in smaller lineups. Assuming Jervay could run the point during, Hoiberg would still need 2 bigs. That would leave 3 scholarships for sit-out contractors.
  10. Maybe he hurt his back while exercising in bed but did not realize it until he got up. ?
  11. To be fair Doc’s hiring was not typical. Collier was not fired but took the Butler AD position not long before fall classes started. Pederson had few choices and needed to move quickly. I am not sure whether a better candidate was even available.
  12. Looking at all the numbers, its crazy that 2-3 wins are all that keeps Nebraska from being on the bubble (and, IMO, in the tourney). I would only worry about the Non-Con SOS if Nebraska had lost to someone other than Texas Tech. 3 BIG Tourney wins with a semifinal loss (likely to Michigan St) would leave Nebraska with a Q1/Q2 record of 11-16. I kind of wonder how the committee would handle that analysis.
  13. It is really hard to make that determination when you are only looking at Nebraska by itself. Right now Bracket Matrix has Butler as the last team in. Butler has a similar overall record but only 1 Quad 1 win (against Ole Miss) with only 2 Quad 1 games remaining on the schedule. Assuming Butler wins its remaining non-Quad 1 games and loses the Quad 1 games, Butler would have a 18-13, 9-9 final record with 1 Quad 1 win. I think a 17-14 Nebraska would be left out due to a 7-13 conference record (but I guarantee it would be closer than you think). However, it would be hard for the committee to take Butler over a 18-13 Nebraska squad with 5 Quad 1 wins. The next three -- Temple (0), Arizona St (2), and Clemson (1) -- also would have the same issues against a 18 win Nebraska. EDIT: I forgot to mention. Right now Nebraska does not have any Quad 3 or worse losses. Illinois and Rutgers are Quad 2. If Illinois wins a few more games, that could change to a Quad 1 loss. Tougher losses should give Nebraska an edge as well.
  14. Quad 1 record: 2-8 Home: Purdue; Iowa Away: PSU; Michigan; MSU Conference Record: 5-10 I keep looking over last year's selections versus Quad 1 wins. This SOS is very tough and could help Nebraska. Oklahoma St (5) and LSU (6) were left out while Oklahoma (6) got in. All had 8-10 conference records. The biggest difference I can see differentiating this group is the Non-Con schedule. LSU had 3 losses with one being to Stephen F Austin at home. Oklahoma State had a lot of easy wins. I could see an Oklahoma type path if Nebraska goes 4-2. All of the above are Quad 1 wins. It will be hard for the Committee to ignore 6 Quad 1 wins. A 3-3 record would require a deep run into the BIG tourney. 2-4 or worse and Nebraska is NIT bound.
  15. No doubt Turgeon does get good players, but he hardly has the area on lock down. It seems he lands the overrated local players and misses on the superstars. It really frustrates a lot of the base. Also, Under Armour/Maryland is nothing like Nike/Oregon. Maryland's fundraising base had surprisingly withered over the years (the Washington Post ran a really good article on this issue 6 months after it joined the BIG), and the AD was heavily in debt when Maryland joined the BIG. The stability at the top of the AD has been problematic recently as well. Further, the handling of DJ Durkin has led to some unrest within the AD. I am not trying to suggest Turgeon is looking around. I just am providing reasons why he would listen, and the likelihood of Maryland letting him go. Nebraska would have to be the aggressor as I doubt Maryland will fire Turgeon at this time. I do know that Maryland was very unhappy with Turgeon last year and would have considered cutting ties had Maryland endured an "average" season this year like what happened in 2017-2018.
  16. My in-laws worked in the Maryland AD for years and are still very connected. The general view is that people like Turgeon but feel Maryland is deserving of a “better” coach. It reminds me of the relationship Mark Richt had with Georgia. If Nebraska were to offer, Maryland would not exactly fight to keep him. However, I have no clue as to Turgeon’s interest. On another note, a close friend of mine has a very close connection with Duke and shared the following. Evidently, once a year the Duke alumni newsletter examines the current basketball coaching staff during the season and identifies specific schools where each assistant coach could become a HC. The January 2019 newsletter listed Nebraska as one of five schools were Jon Scheyer could land as HC. At the time of publication, Miles had the team playing well; and the newsletter noted Scheyer to Nebraska would only occur if Miles was fired while, alternatively, the other schools were already on the brink of a coaching transition. The newsletter does not indicate whether Coach K had any input but these projections are not based on idle speculation.
  17. Remaining Games: Quad 1 record: 2-4 Home: tOSU; Wisconsin; Maryland; Minnesota; Northwestern; Purdue; Iowa Away: Rutgers; Illinois, Purdue; PSU; Michigan; MSU Conference Record: 3-4 (2-1 home; 1-3 road). This link has all of the Quad 1 wins last year by school. https://herosports.com/college-basketball/bracketology-ncaa-team-sheet-quadrant-1-wins-michigan-ahah 4 Quad 1 wins seems to be the tourney bubble with 5 of 9 getting into the tournament. Georgia and Baylor had losing conference records. Marquette was identified by the committee, with Notre Dame, as the next two out. USC was likely the victim of a bad conference. Of the 5 of got in, Arizona, Gonzaga won their respective conference tournaments. of the remaining 3 at large qualifiers, Wichita State, Clemson, For the most part 5 Quad 1 wins gets you into the tourney. Oklahoma St (5 wins) and LSU (6 wins) were the only schools with more Quad 1 wins who were left out of the tourney, likely because both has losing conference records. I really believe the committee let Oklahoma (6 wins) in with a losing record because it did not want to look bad after listing Oklahoma in the early power rankings. Oddly enough, all of the at large play-in games were between schools with 3 Quad 1 wins. Syracuse, UCLA, and Arizona St seem to be rewarded for their strong non-conference records while St. Bonaventure had a 8 and 12 game winning streak during the season. Right now, Iowa, MSU, Michigan, Purdue (twice), Wisconsin, and Maryland are potential Quad 1 wins. 3-4 in those games and 5-0 in the remaining games (8-4 total) would leave Nebraska at 12-8 in the conference and safely in the tourney. I could see a scenario of 11-9 getting Nebraska into the tourney provided the additional loss results from a Quad 1 game.
  18. 2 2 Michigan Big Ten 17-0 3-0 2-0 12-0 0-0 7 7 Michigan St. Big Ten 15-2 4-1 2-1 9-0 0-0 10 10 Nebraska Big Ten 13-4 2-3 2-1 8-0 1-0 17 20 Purdue Big Ten 11-6 1-4 2-2 8-0 0-0 18 17 Maryland Big Ten 15-3 3-1 1-0 11-2 0-0 20 19 Wisconsin Big Ten 11-6 3-3 2-1 6-2 0-0 27 28 Iowa Big Ten 14-3 1-2 3-0 10-1 0-0 31 30 Indiana Big Ten 12-5 1-4 1-0 10-1 0-0 36 35 Ohio St. Big Ten 12-4 3-2 1-0 8-2 0-0 48 45 Minnesota Big Ten 13-3 1-2 4-0 8-1 0-0 58 58 Northwestern Big Ten 10-7 0-3 2-1 8-3 0-0 83 81 Penn St. Big Ten 7-10 1-5 1-2 5-3 0-0 126 125 Illinois Big Ten 4-12 0-4 0-4 4-4 0-0 131 113 Rutgers Big Ten 8-8 1-5 0-0 7-3 0-0 Remaining Games: Home: MSU; tOSU; Wisconsin; Maryland; Minnesota; Northwestern; Purdue; Iowa Away: Rutgers; Illinois, Purdue; PSU; Michigan; MSU Conference Record: 3-3 (2-0 home; 1-3 road). My original calculations had losing both Michigan State games. This Michigan State game could be huge for momentum as the remaining schedule is favorable until the last (back-to-back) road games against Michigan State and Michigan (followed by a closeout home game against Iowa). The Purdue road game could be the difference between 4-6 and 5-5. Depending on tonight's results, I now can see a 13-7 or 14-6 conference record. I like playing Rutgers after a tough Michigan State game.
  19. 3 3 Michigan Big Ten 15-0 2-0 2-0 11-0 0-0 7 7 Michigan St. Big Ten 13-2 3-1 2-1 8-0 0-0 15 15 Nebraska Big Ten 11-4 1-3 2-1 7-0 1-0 17 17 Wisconsin Big Ten 11-4 3-2 2-1 6-1 0-0 20 20 Indiana Big Ten 12-3 1-3 1-0 10-0 0-0 22 22 Purdue Big Ten 9-5 0-3 2-2 7-0 0-0 29 29 Ohio St. Big Ten 12-2 3-0 1-0 8-2 0-0 32 32 Maryland Big Ten 12-3 2-1 1-0 9-2 0-0 35 35 Iowa Big Ten 12-3 0-2 3-0 9-1 0-0 38 38 Minnesota Big Ten 12-2 1-2 4-0 7-0 0-0 56 56 Northwestern Big Ten 10-5 0-2 2-1 8-2 0-0 76 75 Penn St. Big Ten 7-8 1-4 1-2 5-2 0-0 125 126 Illinois Big Ten 4-11 0-4 0-4 4-3 0-0 135 135 Rutgers Big Ten 7-6 1-3 0-0 6-3 0-0 Remaining road games: Indiana, Rutgers, Illinois, Purdue, Penn State, MSU, Michigan. I wonder if games at Rutgers and Illinois may give the team enough confidence to win at Purdue. Still sticking to my 12-8 prediction.
  20. Purdue is higher ranked than Maryland right now. Nebraska only dropped 4 places in the NET after losing to Maryland. Win or lose, the SOS is in our favor. It’s too early to discuss seeding. I just want to get in. 3 3 Michigan Big Ten 13-0 2-0 2-0 9-0 0-0 7 9 Michigan St. Big Ten 12-2 2-1 2-1 8-0 0-0 14 10 Nebraska Big Ten 11-3 1-2 2-1 7-0 1-0 15 14 Wisconsin Big Ten 10-3 2-2 2-1 6-0 0-0 18 19 Ohio St. Big Ten 12-1 3-0 1-0 8-1 0-0 21 21 Indiana Big Ten 11-2 1-2 1-0 9-0 0-0 30 30 Purdue Big Ten 8-5 0-3 2-2 6-0 0-0 32 42 Maryland Big Ten 11-3 1-1 1-0 9-2 0-0 35 36 Iowa Big Ten 11-2 0-1 3-0 8-1 0-0 52 50 Minnesota Big Ten 11-2 0-2 4-0 7-0 0-0 60 54 Northwestern Big Ten 9-5 0-2 2-1 7-2 0-0 74 77 Penn St. Big Ten 7-6 1-3 1-2 5-1 0-0 124 129 Illinois Big Ten 4-9 0-2 0-4 4-3 0-0 127 126 Rutgers Big Ten 7-5 1-3 0-0 6-2 0-
  21. Thought I would start a thread to discuss Nebraska's chances of making the tournament. As some may remember, I was not high on Nebraska getting into the tournament last year mostly due to the lack of Quad 1 wins and the BIG being down. Losses to Illinois and Penn State really impacted Nebraska last year combined with no Quad 1 wins. This year, I feel the exact opposite. Currently, Nebraska is 11-3 with 3 Quad 1 losses. Based on comments made by the selection committee last year, I got the impression a Quad 1 loss seemed to hold equal weight to a Quad 3 win. Looking forward, I see Nebraska getting in with a 12-8 BIG record regardless of BIG tourney outcome. How we get there? 1. 3 road wins: Move on from Minnesota and Maryland. MUST WIN: Illinois, Rutgers, and Penn State. A road win against any of the remaining teams likely will be a Quad 1 win. 2. 9-1 home record: very doable. Nebraska tends to play well at home over the years. Just need to make sure the loss is to a Quad 1 team. The remaining road schedule is very rough, but should help the SOS component of the NET. Really, the more road wins, the better.
  22. http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/25015812/g-league-offer-professional-path-elite-prospects-not-wanting-go-one-done-route-ncaa This could wreak havoc on college basketball rosters. Its not clear whether these contracts are available to kids who have already signed their LOI. Picture Kentucky signing a full class in November only to lose them all to the G League (plus other players declaring early). That being said, I think this route is the right way to go.
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