Big Ten Tournament

[HuskerFever]

Might as well get this thread started. Obviously will be more for updates throughout the tournament, but there's some interesting scenarios for seeding right now.

 

Here's a few potential outcomes that can impact our current #10 seed with two games remaining:

 

Wisconsin: at least match win-for-win to remain ahead (vs Purdue, at Minnesota)

Penn State: at least match win-for-win + tiebreaker (#2 seed results) to remain ahead (at Northwestern, vs Maryland)

Michigan State: lose both games and Nebraska wins both games to jump ahead (at Nebraska, vs Ohio State)

Rutgers: lose both games and Nebraska wins both games to jump ahead (at Minnesota, vs Northwestern)

Iowa: lose both games and Nebraska wins both games to jump ahead (at Indiana, vs Nebraska)

 

Nebraska: vs Michigan State, at Iowa

 

What is essentially comes to is:

1. Nebraska wins out, any 3 teams lose out (Michigan State, Rutgers, Iowa)

2. Match win-for-win with any 2 teams (Wisconsin, Penn State)

[49r]

 

 

[uneblinstu]

12 seed is still in play if they go less than 2-0 and the other two both go 2-0. That feels unlikely, but it's out there.

[aphilso1]

If I am reading this correctly, there are scenarios where a team can finish .500 and still be playing on Wednesday.  That's crazy.

[jimmykc]

I would love to see the Iowa-loses-out and Nebraska-wins-out scenario.

[Nebrasketball1979]

This will obviously play a role in seeding.  MSU and Minnesota will not be made up per Izzo.

 

 

[uneblinstu]

2 hours ago, jimmykc said:

I would love to see the Iowa-loses-out and Nebraska-wins-out scenario.

I ran that scenario and this happened...

[Handy Johnson]

So all we have to do is beat Michigan St TWICE, Purdue, Maryland (again) & Probably Indiana to secure that Automatic Bid. Bring it…

[Dead Dog Alley]

2 hours ago, Nebrasketball1979 said:

This will obviously play a role in seeding.  MSU and Minnesota will not be made up per Izzo.

 

 

 

Does Michigan State get in with an 18-12, 10-9 finish (which would assume a loss to NU, win vs OSU)?  Or do they need to win 19?  In that case do we see Pfeiffer, McJunkins, and Boroski?

[Cazzie22]

I thought we had the tie breaker over Wisconsin.  I thought wrong.

[HuskerFever]

The #10 seed is still open, but we're not in the driver's seat and need some deep tiebreakers to make it happen. We officially lost our chances at #7-#9 today.

 

The mindset should now change to just playing well against Iowa on the road; getting our players healthy and ready for the tournament.

[hskr4life]

Yeahhhh... I don't want to see tOSU in a Wednesday game.

[Dead Dog Alley]

9 minutes ago, hskr4life said:

Yeahhhh... I don't want to see tOSU in a Wednesday game.

Penn State is probably going 8-12 also; I'm assuming the second tiebreaker with them is overall record, so unless they somehow beat Iowa, the Buckeyes are it.

[brfrad]

1 hour ago, Dead Dog Alley said:

Penn State is probably going 8-12 also; I'm assuming the second tiebreaker with them is overall record, so unless they somehow beat Iowa, the Buckeyes are it.

Maryland is not a good road team at all.  Their best road performance is a 35 point win over Minnesota or a 3 point loss to Purdue.

[HuskerFever]

Welcome to March! That time of year where anything goes and maybe a little magic happens along the way.

[Crush78]

10 hours ago, Dead Dog Alley said:

Penn State is probably going 8-12 also; I'm assuming the second tiebreaker with them is overall record, so unless they somehow beat Iowa, the Buckeyes are it.

I believe it's record against the top teams in the league. Both lost to Purdue, so it would basically ride on who ends up with a win vs the highest seeded team. Right now that would be ours against Maryland, but 2-8 is such who knows who will end up there.

[GBR]

10 seed at 8-12 with wins by NW, MD, ILL, RU, PU, MSU, Ind, MN, MD, PU, RU 

[hhcmatt]

10 hours ago, Dead Dog Alley said:

Penn State is probably going 8-12 also; I'm assuming the second tiebreaker with them is overall record, so unless they somehow beat Iowa, the Buckeyes are it.

 

The 2nd tiebreaker is winning percentage vs top teams in the conference and you keep going down the line.

Both Nebraska and Penn St are 0-2 vs Purdue, so you go to the next team(s)

 

Most scenarios have Nebraska winning the tiebreaker over Penn St if both teams finish 8-12

[HuskerFever]

Ohio State putting a wrench in things. Penn State now has a leg up on us with Michigan being the #2 seed.

 

 

[Cazzie22]

I don’t want to see Ohio St.  They handled Maryland tonight.

[Dead Dog Alley]

23 hours ago, Dead Dog Alley said:

Penn State is probably going 8-12 also; I'm assuming the second tiebreaker with them is overall record, so unless they somehow beat Iowa, the Buckeyes are it.

 

And that's why I don't bet on college basketball (Penn State 68, Northwestern 65).  I guess we can quit doing the research on tiebreakers for a while.

[HuskerFever]

Seeds 10-12 are the only ones in play now.

 

Scenarios (assuming UW loses to Purdue for simplicity):

NU wins, PSU loses, UW loses: #11 seed (unless Maryland is #2, then #10 seed)

NU wins, PSU loses, UW wins: #10 seed

NU wins, PSU wins, UW loses: #11 seed

NU loses, PSU loses, UW loses: #11 seed

NU loses, PSU loses, UW wins: #12 seed

NU loses, PSU wins, UW loses: #12 seed

[TourneyBound]

This season ending in losses to Michigan st, Iowa, and Ohio st would just be a total kick in the nuts….  It sure is looking likely all of a sudden.  FML!   

[jimmykc]

This guarantees we will be underdogs for the rest of the year. We've got them right where we want them!

[Handy Johnson]

Minnesota beats Rutgers. Ski-U-Mah