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aphilso1 last won the day on June 7 2023

aphilso1 had the most liked content!

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    The Land of Craig Smith, Mountains, and Red Rocks

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  1. I despise BYU's fanbase so KSU is particularly easy to cheer for in their next game. I may even wear a little purple on Saturday.
  2. Every single basket still counts. If you're up 10 and make a three pointer as time expires to win by 13, that basket still counts towards your net efficiency rating (and against your opponent's net efficiency). As for why the formula is the way it is, I don't have any insider knowledge but can draw reasonable conclusions: -By only using a range of 1 to 10 for margin of victory, it is essentially weighting points scored at the end of close games greater than points scored at the end of blowouts. It also reduces the punishment for emptying your bench at the end of games that are well in hand. Again, it doesn't completely remove the penalty if your walk-ins can't maintain the margin of victory, because bricks on offense and inept defense still count against your efficiency numbers. But it also doesn't punish you twice. -By counting all overtime games as a 1 point margin of victory, it is ensuring teams aren't punished for forcing overtime and ultimately losing. In other words, it recognizes that forcing overtime and losing is a better performance than not even making it to overtime. Perhaps a better way to think of how the data works, is in the importance or weight assigned to any given basket. A basket made on offense or allowed on defense counts towards only one metric in a blowout (net efficiency). A basket made/allowed in a game decided by less than 10 points is more important than one made in a blowout, and the formula reflects this by including it in a second metric (margin of victory). A basket that ultimately decides the outcome is the most important of all, and the formula incorporates this basket into all metrics (winning %, adj win %, team value index, net efficiency, and margin of victory).
  3. All the data is still considered, but it's just not weighted equally. Every made shot, turnover, and offensive rebound that happens in overtime and in blowouts still counts towards a team's offensive and defensive efficiency numbers. They just don't double dip by impacting both the efficiency and margin of victory. Schedule tough. Win on the road. Score lots of points per possession. Hold your opponents to few points per possession. Rebound. Win the turnover battle. Lose by a little and win by a lot. These are still the things that impact NET rankings.
  4. "Scoring Margin This value has a point differential capped at 10 points in each game. All overtime games are capped at one point." https://www.si.com/college/2018/11/04/college-basketball-rankings-net-system-explain A 10 point vs a 1 point win is significant when scoring margin can only range from 1 to 10. That's literally the min and max within the NET calculation.
  5. Nebraska got more than a fair share of the borderline calls, but all of the egregiously bad calls went Wiscy’s way. Feels like overall officiating was a wash.
  6. Why list Thomas Allen here? He got like 10 minutes per game and never started. Should be Evan Taylor.
  7. 1. 2017. Just a silly talented starting five. Depth was a problem, but just talking starting five they are tops and it isn’t even a tough question. Zero true weak links among the starters (assuming the actual primary starters, not sure why Allen is listed here) and four of them were absolute studs. 2. This year. Not sure whether this crew will ultimately put it together like the 2014 team, but this starting five has the ability to play well together like the 2014 guys did and is more talented. One weak link (JLaw). 3. 2014. Two weak links (Rivers and freshman Tai) but had three solid role players off the bench that masked this. Since we are only grading starters in this exercise, this team clearly feels like the weakest. Mix and match starting five: Glynn Keisei Petteway Gary Copeland It’s hard putting Keisei in my five when there are so many more versatile options available. But he’s the best pure shooter, and there are plenty of defenders and rebounders in this lineup. Edit: Gary over Roby. I forgot this was sophomore Roby, not junior Roby. He hadn’t quite figured out how good he was yet.
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