Bracketology 2024/2025

[hskr4life]

Too bad we’re not still using RPI… I think we’re close to Top 30 there lol!

[hskr4life]

On 1/31/2025 at 9:43 AM, hskr4life said:

Our team sheet heading to Oregon.

 

- for the time being, we again have no blemishes as Rutgers and USC are both Q2 games.

 

- UCLA has again moved into the Q1 realm. That now gives us a 3-6 Q1 record with 2 Q1A wins!

 

- Our overall SOS is approaching Top 25 in the nation and Non-Conference SOS is respectable at 157.

 

-Definitely have metrics work to do, but in order to dance, we need to win, and those will naturally increase.

 

What do a couple of Q1 wins do for the ole resume? And the above was posted AFTER our Illinois win. We were even lower than that.

 

KPI 51 -> 44

SOR 54 -> 48

WAB 50 -> 44

Resume Average 51.6 -> 45.3

 

BPI 51 -> 48

Pom 46 -> 44

T-Rank 41 ->39

Predictive Average 46 -> 43.6

[hskr4life]

One thing I hate about the NET is its, what I think is, heavy reliance on win margin (efficiency). A team like VCU sitting at 43 in the NET with ZERO Q1 wins. ZERO.

 

Now-- I believe that if we're on the bubble, we'll be able to stand out above some of these teams WITH the number of Q1 wins we will have, but it's just frustrating. 

Edited Monday at 02:42 PM by hskr4life

[HuscurAdam]

1 hour ago, hskr4life said:

One thing I hate about the NET is its, what I think is, heavy reliance on win margin (efficiency). A team like VCU sitting at 43 in the NET with ZERO Q1 wins. ZERO.

 

I think you're overlooking VCU's stellar 10-1 Q4 record

[ShortDust]

3 hours ago, hskr4life said:

One thing I hate about the NET is its, what I think is, heavy reliance on win margin (efficiency). A team like VCU sitting at 43 in the NET with ZERO Q1 wins. ZERO.

 

Now-- I believe that if we're on the bubble, we'll be able to stand out above some of these teams WITH the number of Q1 wins we will have, but it's just frustrating. 

That Q4 L just destroys VCU.

[millerhusker]

As of now, six of the final nine games are quad 1. 

 

And this doesn't really matter but Michigan and Maryland are now ranked. What's the Nebraska record for most ranked teams beaten in a season?

[Handy Johnson]

20 minutes ago, millerhusker said:

As of now, six of the final nine games are quad 1. 

 

And this doesn't really matter but Michigan and Maryland are now ranked. What's the Nebraska record for most ranked teams beaten in a season?

5, we’re Tied for the MOST now with 4. Let’s set that Bar @ 6 or 7…!!! 

[hhcmatt]

2 hours ago, millerhusker said:

As of now, six of the final nine games are quad 1. 

 

And this doesn't really matter but Michigan and Maryland are now ranked. What's the Nebraska record for most ranked teams beaten in a season?

 

This season we're currently tied at 4 along with 1998-99, 1993-94, 1990-91

[millerhusker]

33 minutes ago, hhcmatt said:

 

This season we're currently tied at 4 along with 1998-99, 1993-94, 1990-91

Surprised we played that many ranked teams in 98-99. Was a down year for the Big 12. 

 

Just looked and KU was the only team to finish the year in the top 25, coming in at #22. 

[royalfan]

On 2/3/2025 at 8:39 AM, hskr4life said:

One thing I hate about the NET is its, what I think is, heavy reliance on win margin (efficiency). A team like VCU sitting at 43 in the NET with ZERO Q1 wins. ZERO.

 

Now-- I believe that if we're on the bubble, we'll be able to stand out above some of these teams WITH the number of Q1 wins we will have, but it's just frustrating. 

And they can reasonably argue that quads are arbitrary and way overblown and that they would never lose multiple games by 35 points.  

[hhcmatt]

20 minutes ago, millerhusker said:

Surprised we played that many ranked teams in 98-99. Was a down year for the Big 12. 

 

Just looked and KU was the only team to finish the year in the top 25, coming in at #22. 

 

 

Swept Kansas for the first time since 1983. Couldn't beat them in the conference tourney.

Between not being able to beat anyone good in our non-con and the down Big 12 we ended up in the NIT

 

 

 

[Handy Johnson]

31 minutes ago, hhcmatt said:

 

 

Swept Kansas for the first time since 1983. Couldn't beat them in the conference tourney.

Between not being able to beat anyone good in our non-con and the down Big 12 we ended up in the NIT

 

 

 

Oklahoma of course got a Bid instead of us & made a Sweet Sixteen Run with Eduardo Najera’ 

[Vinny]

If we can just maintain our current metrics, it’s looking good for being in. I don’t know how many more wins that is, but we’re doing alright for now. Torvik’s “similar resume” tool shows every similar resume as having made the field.

 

[SkersHoops]

Joe Lunardi updated.  Dude on the right looks like a stud.

[GhostOfJoeMcCray]

Jerry Palm...woof. His bracketology last night not only doesn't have us in, he doesn't even have us in First 4 Out. I seriously wonder how much effort these guys put into their jobs sometimes. Our metrics are equal to or better than the 8 teams he has immediately ahead of us (could be more, maybe he doesn't even have us as the 5th team out). Our Q1A is better than any of them. Our Q1 is better than any of them. Our Q1&2 is equal to or better than almost all of them. The only slight blemish is a Q3 loss that hovers around Q2 or 3 and is no different than Pitt or USC has (except we have much better wins). 

 

But whatever. Just keep winning. 

 

	Resume Avg	Predict Avg	Q1A	Q1	Q2	Q1&2	Q3	Q4
Georgia	40.7	38.3	1-6	2-7	3-0	5-7	2-0	8-0
WF	41	71.3	1-5	1-6	5-0	6-6	4-0	6-0
Pitt	50.7	49	1-3	1-5	5-2	6-7	2-1	6-0
BYU	52	28.7	0-4	2-4	3-3	5-7	4-0	6-0
UCF	43.7	55	2-6	3-6	0-2	3-8	5-0	5-0
SMU	48	44	0-1	0-4	5-1	5-5	7-0	5-0
Indiana	49	58	1-5	2-9	2-0	4-9	6-0	4-0
USC	58	53.7	1-1	3-7	2-1	4-8	2-1	6-0
Nebraska	41	44.3	3-5	4-6	2-1	6-7	2-1	6-0

Edited Wednesday at 05:54 PM by GhostOfJoeMcCray

[Shawn Eichorst's Toupee]

2 hours ago, GhostOfJoeMcCray said:

Jerry Palm...woof. His bracketology last night not only doesn't have us in, he doesn't even have us in First 4 Out. I seriously wonder how much effort these guys put into their jobs sometimes. Our metrics are equal to or better than the 8 teams he has immediately ahead of us (could be more, maybe he doesn't even have us as the 5th team out). Our Q1A is better than any of them. Our Q1 is better than any of them. Our Q1&2 is equal to or better than almost all of them. The only slight blemish is a Q3 loss that hovers around Q2 or 3 and is no different than Pitt or USC has (except we have much better wins). 

 

But whatever. Just keep winning. 

 

	Resume Avg	Predict Avg	Q1A	Q1	Q2	Q1&2	Q3	Q4
Georgia	40.7	38.3	1-6	2-7	3-0	5-7	2-0	8-0
WF	41	71.3	1-5	1-6	5-0	6-6	4-0	6-0
Pitt	50.7	49	1-3	1-5	5-2	6-7	2-1	6-0
BYU	52	28.7	0-4	2-4	3-3	5-7	4-0	6-0
UCF	43.7	55	2-6	3-6	0-2	3-8	5-0	5-0
SMU	48	44	0-1	0-4	5-1	5-5	7-0	5-0
Indiana	49	58	1-5	2-9	2-0	4-9	6-0	4-0
USC	58	53.7	1-1	3-7	2-1	4-8	2-1	6-0
Nebraska	41	44.3	3-5	4-6	2-1	6-7	2-1	6-0

 

None of the talking heads are any good at Bracektology. Bracket Matrix 5 year average has Palm at #164, Lunardi at #118, and DeCourcey at #71 out of 179.

Edited Wednesday at 07:49 PM by Shawn Eichorst's Toupee

[nuhusker7]

6 hours ago, Shawn Eichorst's Toupee said:

 

None of the talking heads are any good at Bracektology. Bracket Matrix 5 year average has Palm at #164, Lunardi at #118, and DeCourcey at #71 out of 179.

I think these talking heads goals are more about views and engagement than it is about accuracy. 

[Vinny]

14 minutes ago, nuhusker7 said:

I think these talking heads goals are more about views and engagement than it is about accuracy. 

They have almost no incentive to be accurate either. No matter what there will be a handful of fan bases angry at them every season.

[hskr4life]

Just now, Vinny said:

They have almost no incentive to be accurate either. No matter what there will be a handful of fan bases angry at them every season.

They do have incentives from those that use their market though. Probably why Lunardi only gives in depth Twitter updates for the B12, SEC, and ACC.

[hskr4life]

A number of bracketologists I’ve seen have talked about how much the bubble absolutely sucks this year. There are few good teams on the bubble. It’s why a team like Nebraska (with quality wins and quality wins away from home) could fare pretty well.

 

I even saw one say that 3 more wins might put us in. Definitely disagree with that one but that statement does reaffirm my thoughts on only needing to get to 19 wins.

[Silverbacked1]

54 minutes ago, hskr4life said:

A number of bracketologists I’ve seen have talked about how much the bubble absolutely sucks this year. There are few good teams on the bubble. It’s why a team like Nebraska (with quality wins and quality wins away from home) could fare pretty well.

 

I even saw one say that 3 more wins might put us in. Definitely disagree with that one but that statement does reaffirm my thoughts on only needing to get to 19 wins.

Just my thinking on this is that we also cant afford any more 25-35 point losses, correct?

[millerhusker]

5 minutes ago, Silverbacked1 said:

Just my thinking on this is that we also cant afford any more 25-35 point losses, correct?

If we were to lose by 25 at Ohio State I don't think that would have much of an impact on the metrics or the eyes of the committee. 

[hskr4life]

14 minutes ago, Silverbacked1 said:

Just my thinking on this is that we also cant afford any more 25-35 point losses, correct?

Ohhh… yes and no. Our metrics would certainly take a hit, but you also can’t hide things like our Q1 win total, Q1A wins, etc.  I don't believe we would be “out” with one big loss. Also, as you get later and later into the year, it seems it’s usually harder to move up and down. There’s also things like this….

 

 

[Silverbacked1]

2 minutes ago, hskr4life said:

Ohhh… yes and no. Our metrics would certainly take a hit, but you also can’t hide things like our Q1 win total, Q1A wins, etc.  I don't believe we would be “out” with one big loss. Also, as you get later and later into the year, it seems it’s usually harder to move up and down. There’s also things like this….

 

 

That could be a big boost being in that company of teams.

[Handy Johnson]

15 hours ago, Silverbacked1 said:

Just my thinking on this is that we also cant afford any more 25-35 point losses, correct?

Optics are Everything & Perception becomes Reality.