KenPom 2022-2023 KenPom Rankings Thread

[Chuck Taylor]

23 hours ago, hskr4life said:

#59 in first NET rankings.  Funny enough we’ve yet to play a Q2 or Q3 opponent.

 

5-0 in Q4

1-3 in Q1

The NET's got it closer than KenPom, which still carries over some last year. 

[49r]

We moved up a spot today, to #77

 

 

2023 Schedule 

Game Plan | Opponent Tracker

Date	Rk	Opponent		Result			Location	Record	Conf
Mon Nov 7	108	300	Maine	W, 79-66	70		Home	1-0
Thu Nov 10	114	306	Nebraska Omaha	W, 75-61	69		Home	2-0
Thu Nov 17	111	45	St. John's	L, 70-50	71		Away	2-1
Sun Nov 20	115	354	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W, 82-58	64		Home	3-1
Thu Nov 24	110	32	Oklahoma	L, 69-56	60		Neutral	3-2
Fri Nov 25	118	23	Memphis	L, 73-61	66		Neutral	3-3
Sun Nov 27	120	150	Florida St.	W, 75-58	71		Neutral	4-3
Wed Nov 30	111	133	Boston College	W, 88-67	63		Home	5-3
Sun Dec 4	95	22	Creighton	W, 63-53	72		Away	6-3
Wed Dec 7		11	Indiana	L, 73-60	67	13%	Away		×
Sat Dec 10		6	Purdue	L, 71-64	65	26%	Home		×
Sat Dec 17		59	Kansas St.	L, 67-65	67	43%	Neutral
Tue Dec 20		207	Queens	W, 74-63	65	85%	Home
Thu Dec 29		21	Iowa	L, 74-70	68	35%	Home		×
Tue Jan 3		46	Michigan St.	L, 69-63	64	28%	Away		×
Sat Jan 7		151	Minnesota	W, 64-62	62	57%	Away		×
Tue Jan 10		18	Illinois	L, 72-67	70	32%	Home		×
Fri Jan 13		6	Purdue	L, 74-61	65	11%	Away		×
Wed Jan 18		20	Ohio St.	L, 71-67	65	36%	Home		×
Sat Jan 21		36	Penn St.	L, 69-62	64	25%	Away		×
Tue Jan 24		64	Northwestern	W, 62-60	64	57%	Home		×
Sat Jan 28		19	Maryland	L, 72-61	64	16%	Away		×
Tue Jan 31		18	Illinois	L, 75-64	70	15%	Away		×
Sun Feb 5		36	Penn St.	L, 66-65	64	47%	Home		×
Wed Feb 8		47	Michigan	L, 72-66	66	28%	Away		×
Sat Feb 11		42	Wisconsin	L, 62-61	62	49%	Home		×
Tue Feb 14		30	Rutgers	L, 68-59	66	21%	Away		×
Sun Feb 19		19	Maryland	L, 68-64	64	35%	Home		×
Sat Feb 25		151	Minnesota	W, 67-58	62	78%	Home		×
Tue Feb 28		46	Michigan St.	W, 67-66	64	50%	Home		×
Sun Mar 5		21	Iowa	L, 77-67	68	17%	Away		×
Projected record:								14-17	7-13
Chance of unbeaten record:									0.00%
Chance of winless record:									0.01%

 

[Norm Peterson]

I don't think the computers have caught up to how good we are this year.

 

And I'm not saying we're great. Or that we're a tournament team, although we might be.

 

I'm saying we're better than the computers realize because we have players doing things they haven't done historically.

 

1. We are playing strong defense right now. It was really sketchy at the beginning of the year, but we seem to have defense figured out a little better now.

 

2. We are playing within ourselves and being disciplined in following the game plan rather than a bunch of freelance stuff.

 

3. Derrick Walker. I hope people realize what they're seeing with Derrick Walker. He has developed himself into a historic talent by Husker standards. The last time we had a big man who could basically score as well as Derrick has shown, he was the Big Twelve player of the year. And I'm not exaggerating. I went back and watched the extended highlights against Creighton and Derrick was basically scoring at will against a very talented 7-foot center. Talented and experienced 7-foot center.

 

We're playing solid defense. We're rebounding the ball well now for the first time in Hoiberg's tenure. We have a solid 1-2 punch with Griesel and Walker. And if CJ Wilcher can settle in and find his range, we'll be a tough out for anyone in this league with the exception of maybe IU and Purdue.

 

At this moment, we're better than what the computers realize. They don't have enough data yet to account for what my eyes see.

 

 

[royalfan]

7 hours ago, Norm Peterson said:

I don't think the computers haveunch with Griesel and Walker. And if CJ Wilcher can settle in and find his range, we'll be a tough out for anyone in this league with the exception of maybe IU and Purdue.

 

At this moment, we're better than what the computers realize. They don't have enough data yet to account for what my eyes see.

 

 

I think the computers are caught up with our performance so far, but they cannot pick up on the fact that we played most of it without Walker.  

[49r]

Dropped 6 spots overnight to #83.  Boston College lost at home last night to #325 New Hampshire which probably had something to do with it.

[brfrad]

2 minutes ago, 49r said:

Dropped 6 spots overnight to #83.  Boston College lost at home last night to #325 New Hampshire which probably had something to do with it.

Let's make it up tonight with a road win against Indiana. 

[hskr4life]

28 minutes ago, 49r said:

Dropped 6 spots overnight to #83.  Boston College lost at home last night to #325 New Hampshire which probably had something to do with it.

After Maine’s awesome 4-1 start… they’ve proceeded to lose to Brown, Fordham, and Marist which also probably doesn’t help.

[Silverbacked1]

If I read that chart correctly we are picked to lose like 12 games by less than a 10 point spread. To me that means we are close enough ( according to the computer) to win those if a couple of things just flip to our side.  So yeah I think we have a chance to win some games. 

[49r]

7 minutes ago, Silverbacked1 said:

If I read that chart correctly we are picked to lose like 12 games by less than a 10 point spread. To me that means we are close enough ( according to the computer) to win those if a couple of things just flip to our side.  So yeah I think we have a chance to win some games. 

 

Hate to burst your bubble @Silverbacked1 but in KenPom world, 10 point spreads are virtual dead locks.  It needs to be under 5 (and really probably more like under 3) to be considered a flippable game.

[MichHusker]

Barttorvik.com is another good website to use. Here is our page. Several flippable games

 

https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Nebraska&year=2023

[NUtball]

If I'm reading the chart correctly, NU's free throw shooting defense is fantastic! 

 

[hskr4life]

1 hour ago, NUtball said:

If I'm reading the chart correctly, NU's free throw shooting defense is fantastic! 

 

 

You know what they say... if you can't shoot em-- you better be able to defend em.

[49r]

Well, despite the loss, and in spite of the fact that we lost by more than the predicted margin, we actually moved up a spot in KenPom after the game last night.  14-17 (7-13) is still the predicted record and I've gotta say 14 wins or better with a road win at Creighton should almost guarantee Fred is back for year #5.

 

It's funny to look at our schedule and see that after the Purdue game Saturday we have an actually manageable looking stretch of games.  And it's also funny to see teams in the 20's and 30's on the schedule and think that's "manageable".  Such is life in the Big Ten, but it's not out of the question to think we could get three wins in that five game stretch.  Keep grinding boys, and get 'em where you can!

 

Sat Dec 17		57	Kansas St.	L, 68-65	67	42%	Neutral
Tue Dec 20		208	Queens	W, 75-63	66	85%	Home
Thu Dec 29		23	Iowa	L, 74-70	68	37%	Home		×
Tue Jan 3		37	Michigan St.	L, 70-63	65	25%	Away		×
Sat Jan 7		147	Minnesota	W, 64-62	63	56%	Away		×

 

 

That's today's KenPom update.  Here we go!

 

---

 

KenPom rankings as of 12-08-22
=======================

 

B1G (0-1):
5. Purdue
10. Indiana - L
12. Illinois
19. Maryland
20. Ohio State
23. Iowa
31. Rutgers
37. Michigan State
41. Wisconsin
46. Penn State
47. Michigan
63. Northwestern
82. Nebraska
147. Minnesota

 

 

Non-Conference (6-3):
301. Maine - W
299. Omaha - W

---Gavitt Games---
40. @St. John's - L

354. Arkansas Pine-Bluff - W

---ESPN Events Invitational---
33. Oklahoma - L
28. Memphis - L
148. Florida State - W

---B1G/ACC Challenge---
144. Boston College - W

21. @Creighton - W
57. Kansas State

---Battle In The Vault---
208. Queens University of Charlotte

[jimmykc]

No matter how smart the computers may be, they cannot factor in sickness and injury. I hope Sam recovers by the weekend.

[nuhusker7]

Not sure the best place to talk about our future opponents, so I’ll do it here.

 

Rutgers might be legit.

[nuhusker7]

2 minutes ago, nuhusker7 said:

Not sure the best place to talk about our future opponents, so I’ll do it here.

 

Rutgers might be legit.

And that’s what I get for posting with 8 seconds still left in the game.

 

That’s why I’m team no foul.

[hskr4life]

34 minutes ago, nuhusker7 said:

And that’s what I get for posting with 8 seconds still left in the game.

 

That’s why I’m team no foul.

 

They still might be legit but that was roughhhhhhh

[49r]

up one spot today, to #81

[hskr4life]

46 minutes ago, 49r said:

up one spot today, to #81

 

The more I look at Purdue's schedule and the wins they have.... the more I wonder what a win over them would do for our numbers.

[millerhusker]

15 minutes ago, hskr4life said:

 

The more I look at Purdue's schedule and the wins they have.... the more I wonder what a win over them would do for our numbers.

Purdue is a million times better than us in every aspect. Having said that, we will beat them on Saturday. 

[MitchMcGaryMunchies]

53 minutes ago, hskr4life said:

 

The more I look at Purdue's schedule and the wins they have.... the more I wonder what a win over them would do for our numbers.

 

It's crazy how they weren't even rated two weeks ago.  I guess that's what beating Top Ten teams back-to-back does for you.

 

Imagine if we had disposed of #7 C-Word, #10 Indiana, and #5 Purdue in quick succession 

[hskr4life]

1 minute ago, MitchMcGaryMunchies said:

 

It's crazy how they weren't even rated two weeks ago.  I guess that's what beating Top Ten teams back-to-back does for you.

 

Imagine if we had disposed of #7 C-Word, #10 Indiana, and #5 Purdue in quick succession 

 

Imagine beating just the C-Word and Purdue and being able to explain away the loss at IU without a starting PG.  Not that we'd be ranked, but we'd definitely turn some heads.

[Norm Peterson]

4 hours ago, millerhusker said:

Purdue is a million times better than us in every aspect. Having said that, we will beat them on Saturday. 

 

I like your attitude. Will both teams leave the floor with the same record?

[49r]

 

We were as high as #77 yesterday right after the Purdue game, but both Creighton and Boston College extending their losing streaks to 4 plus a bad loss by Omaha at Montana State dragged us back down into the 80's this morning, so we ended up only moving up 1 spot to #81.  But after this week I'm starting to believe there isn't a team on our schedule that we can't at least compete with as long as everyone is healthy.  Ken is still holding strong on his prediction of a 14-17 (6-14) record for us.  But that's based on our ranking staying right around where it's at.  To me, this team (when healthy) is a lot closer to one in the 40's than it is one in the 80's.  And if that's the case I think we should be able to get that two extra wins needed to push us over the top to an NIT berth.  But first things first.  We've got to try and figure out a way to get that win in KC, Ken's got that as a tossup with a slight lean to K-State.  I want payback for last year though.

 

By the way.  A BIG congratulations is in order for Tim Miles and the San Jose Spartans!  They picked up an 11 point win on the road at KP #105 Santa Clara!  The Spartans have now jumped up to #174 and boast a respectable 8-3 record.  Keep it up Tim, all of Husker Nation supports you!

 

Okay, that's today's KenPom update.  Here we go!

 

---

 

KenPom rankings as of 12-11-22
=======================

 

B1G (0-2):
5. Purdue - L
16. Indiana - L
18. Maryland
19. Ohio State
20. Illinois
21. Iowa
28. Rutgers
32. Penn State
36. Michigan State
41. Wisconsin
43. Michigan
61. Northwestern
81. Nebraska
153. Minnesota

 

 

Non-Conference (6-3):
295. Maine - W
315. Omaha - W

---Gavitt Games---
49. @St. John's - L

354. Arkansas Pine-Bluff - W

---ESPN Events Invitational---
35. Oklahoma - L
25. Memphis - L
140. Florida State - W

---B1G/ACC Challenge---
156. Boston College - W

26. @Creighton - W
56. Kansas State

---Battle In The Vault---
191. Queens University of Charlotte

[49r]

Also, we now boast a top 30 Strength of Schedule. (Kansas State is at #183 just for HHCC prediction purposes for those that are interested)

 

Strength of Schedule
Components:	106.0 41	98.6 35	102.4
Overall:	+7.43 30		0.00
Non-conference:	+2.65 103		0.00