Tournament Odds Gizmo

[HuskerFever]

Current Gizmo Status: "NIT bound."

[cipsucks]

The 2016 Election gizmo had Hillary as our president.

[hskr4life]

Tournament Odds Gizmo- Brought to you by Joe Lunardi

[hhcmatt]

3 hours ago, HuskerFever said:

Current Gizmo Status: "NIT bound."

 

I'll go punch it and see what it comes up with

[NUtball]

9 minutes ago, hhcdimes said:

 

I'll go punch it and see what it comes up with

 

If you're punching things, see if you can find Lunardi also.

[hskr4life]

7 minutes ago, NUtball said:

 

If you're punching things, see if you can find Lunardi also.

 

And our ticket to the dance too.  I'd like that very much to get punched as well.

[HuskerFever]

It just changed:

 

Status: No sleep til Brooklyn. (Fine, Manhattan, whatever.)

[49r]

Hey!  The gizmo jumped up from 1 out of 105 to 6 out of 105 today!!!

[jimmykc]

Gizmomentum!

[49r]

picked up one more on the gizmo this morning!  GO GIZMO GO!!!

[ladyhusker]

You guys keep saying "gizmo" and this is all I think of...

(guess who was a child of the 80s and also whose friends had those terrifying Furby things)

 

[big red22]

Strength of Record

ESPN's Strength of Record takes strength of schedule a step further by accounting for how a team actually did against its schedule. Unlike BPI, which accounts for how the game was won, Strength of Record simply cares about the difficulty of a team’s schedule and the result (win or loss).

For example, last season, Kansas ranked first in Strength of Record entering the NCAA Tournament, and a typical Top 25 team would have had less than a 1 percent chance to go 30-4 against the Jayhawks’ schedule.

Strength of Record answers the question of which teams deserve to make the NCAA Tournament based on their body of work. It correlates more closely with the actual committee rankings and seeding than BPI, but Strength of Record is far less accurate when making predictions.

Over the past five seasons, 94 percent of teams that SOR deemed deserving to make the tournament ended up making the field of 68.

 

Nebraska's Strength of Record

 

Service	Current rating
NCAA RPI	59
ESPN SOR	33
Kenpom	54
KPI	64
ESPN BPI	62
Massey Composite	53
T-Rank	56
TeamRankings.com	64
Sagarin	59
LRMC	45

 

 

 

 

[big red22]

To add to my last post the only two Power 6 teams to be left out of the field with 13+ are Washington and Oregon of the 2011-2012 Pac 12 conference. 

 

Their SOR that year...

 

Oregon - 56

Washington - 57

 

^^^That's the difference between the #5 Conference(2017-2018 Big 10) and the #10 Conference(2011-2012 Pac 12)

[hskr4life]

Notice how it says SOR is not good at predicting.  Well the seasons over so that number says a lot right now.

[big red22]

Here is a link to the current SOR

 

SOR Rankings

 

Use this and you will see the majority of the brackets are the teams on the first two pages when sorting by SOR.  It is almost exact!  I matched up 2011-2012 to the SOR and it is almost spot on, it makes me feel a little better about things right now!

[HuskerActuary]

I do hope that our strong strength of record sticks out on the team sheet to the committee. I really, really hope that the quadrant system takes into account other metrics next year like strength of record and not just be based on RPI.

[49r]

Got another one on the gizmo today!

[Red Don]

Gizmo is creeping back up there.  Seeing a high of 39 on the register  (the old high was 41).

[jimmykc]

Can we all call ourselves gizmologists now? Better than being proctologists. And it hit 40 this morning!

Edited March 2, 2018 by jimmykc

[AuroranHusker]

And, another one!

 

[49r]

Okay so the gizmo has been slowly losing steam all week, and then all of a sudden today we pick up another on.  Now we're in 4 brackets!  LOL

[49r]

...and now the gizmo is just sitting there...mocking me...