B1G Tournament Bracketology

throwback · February 12, 2018

Just 2 weeks left till MSG & NYC. Using the cool B1G bracket generator (http://bball.notnothing.net/big10.php?sport=mbb) here's what I came up with, based on results so far and predicting the final 2 weeks of games.

Be curious to see what everyone else comes up with.

1. Ohio State (16 - 2) Defeated Michigan State and Purdue based on round-robin record.
2. Michigan State (16 - 2) Defeated Purdue and lost to Ohio State based on round-robin record.
3. Purdue (16 - 2) Lost to Ohio State and Michigan State based on round-robin record.
4. Nebraska (14 - 4)
5. Michigan (10 - 8) Defeated Indiana based on head-to-head record.
6. Indiana (10 - 8) Lost to Michigan based on head-to-head record.
7. Penn State (9 - 9)
8. Maryland (8 - 10) Defeated Northwestern based on record against #11 teams.
9. Northwestern (8 - 10) Lost to Maryland based on record against #11 teams.
10. Wisconsin (5 - 13)
11. Minnesota (4 - 14) Defeated Rutgers and Iowa based on round-robin record.
12. Rutgers (4 - 14) Defeated Iowa and lost to Minnesota based on round-robin record.
13. Iowa (4 - 14) Lost to Minnesota and Rutgers based on round-robin record.
14. Illinois (2 - 16)

As we already know, it's going to be really tough for NU not to be on the #4 line.

AuroranHusker · February 12, 2018

1. Ohio State (16 - 2) Defeated Michigan State and Purdue based on round-robin record.
2. Michigan State (16 - 2) Defeated Purdue and lost to Ohio State based on round-robin record.
3. Purdue (16 - 2) Lost to Ohio State and Michigan State based on round-robin record.
4. Nebraska (14 - 4)
5. Michigan (12 - 6)
6. Penn State (9 - 9)
7. Indiana (8 - 10) Defeated Maryland and Northwestern based on round-robin record.
8. Maryland (8 - 10) Defeated Northwestern and lost to Indiana based on round-robin record.
9. Northwestern (8 - 10) Lost to Indiana and Maryland based on round-robin record.
10. Iowa (5 - 13) Defeated Wisconsin based on head-to-head record.
11. Wisconsin (5 - 13) Lost to Iowa based on head-to-head record.
12. Minnesota (4 - 14)
13. Rutgers (3 - 15)
14. Illinois (2 - 16)

Edited February 12, 2018 by AuroranHusker

hskr4life · February 12, 2018

1. Ohio State (17 - 1)
2. Michigan State (16 - 2) Defeated Purdue based on head-to-head record.
3. Purdue (16 - 2) Lost to Michigan State based on head-to-head record.
4. Nebraska (13 - 5)
5. Michigan (11 - 7)
6. Indiana (9 - 9) Defeated Penn State based on head-to-head record.
7. Penn State (9 - 9) Lost to Indiana based on head-to-head record.
8. Maryland (8 - 10) Defeated Northwestern based on record against #11 teams.
9. Northwestern (8 - 10) Lost to Maryland based on record against #11 teams.
10. Minnesota (5 - 13)
11. Rutgers (4 - 14) Defeated Iowa and Wisconsin based on round-robin record.
12. Iowa (4 - 14) Defeated Wisconsin and lost to Rutgers based on round-robin record.
13. Wisconsin (4 - 14) Lost to Rutgers and Iowa based on round-robin record.
14. Illinois (2 - 16)

throwback · February 12, 2018

I think either Indiana or Penn St beat OSU - I picked Indiana, as I think OSU will be looking for revenge vs PSU. Plus OSU has to go to Michigan. Not going to be an easy finish for the Bucknuts with 3 of the last 4 on the road against mid-pack teams.

But if PSU beats OSU again, look out. The Nitts will be set up for a big finish ... too bad we'll have to break their hearts on No Sit Sunday II.

AuroranHusker · February 12, 2018

5 minutes ago, throwback said:

I think either Indiana or Penn St beat OSU - I picked Indiana, as I think OSU will be looking for revenge vs PSU. Plus OSU has to go to Michigan. Not going to be an easy finish for the Bucknuts with 3 of the last 4 on the road against mid-pack teams.

But if PSU beats OSU again, look out. The Nitts will be set up for a big finish ... too bad we'll have to break their hearts on No Sit Sunday II.

Yeah, as I look at closer, I doubt OSU finishes 17-1..... I think Michigan could get em.

throwback · February 12, 2018

9 minutes ago, AuroranHusker said:

Yeah, as I look at closer, I doubt OSU finishes 17-1..... I think Michigan could get em.

Ha - I think you and I have it covered. I'll take Indiana & PSU and you can have Michigan.

Now watch Rutgers beat them in Columbus.

Norm Peterson · February 12, 2018

Ohio State has the tie-breaker over both Michigan State and Purdue. I think it's unlikely either Michigan State or Purdue will lose another conference regular season game, and Ohio State should win 3 of 4 with the 4th being against Michigan. Ohio State could get away with dropping a game against Michigan in conference and still have the overall #1 seed in the conference tournament.

Since we own the tie-breaker against Michigan, we could lose 1 game and still have the 4th seed even if Michigan wins out.

So, the likely scenario is that we finish 4th, play Michigan after two byes, beat them and go up against Ohio State in the semis.

Under that scenario, I think we have a decent shot at making the finals.

Edited February 12, 2018 by Norm Peterson

HuskerFever · February 12, 2018

1 minute ago, Norm Peterson said:

Ohio State has the tie-breaker over both Michigan State and Purdue. I think it's unlikely either Michigan State or Purdue will lose another conference regular season game, and Ohio State should win 3 of 4 with the 4th being against Michigan. Ohio State could get away with dropping a game against Michigan in conference and still have the overall #1 seed in the conference tournament.

Since we own the tie-breaker against Michigan, we could lose 1 game and still have the 4th seed even if Michigan wins out.

So, the likely scenario is that we finish 4th, play Michigan after two byes, beat them and go up against Ohio State in the semis.

Under that scenario, I think we have a decent shot at making the semis.

Why is it that ever since joining the Big Ten our NCAA dancing shoes tend to get delivered after a game against Ohio State?

PimpMario · February 12, 2018

Why is it that ever since joining the Big Ten our NCAA dancing shoes tend to get delivered after a game against Ohio State?

just once right? Let's hope this time we can beat them.

brfrad · February 12, 2018

My dream scenario. Very, very, very x 200 unlikely to happen.

1. Nebraska (14-4)

2. Ohio State (13-5) Defeated Michigan State, based on head-to-head record.

3. Michigan State (13-5) Lost to Ohio State based on head-to-head record.

4. Purdue (12-6)

5. Penn State (11-7) Defeated Michigan, based on head-to-head record.

6. Michigan (11-7) Lost to Penn State, based on head-to-head record.

7. Indiana (9-9) Defeated Maryland, based on head-to-head record.

8. Maryland (9-9) Lost to Indiana, based on head-to-head record.

9. Northwestern (8-10)

10. Wisconsin (7-11)

11. Minnesota (6-12)

12. Iowa (5-13) Defeated Illinois, based on head-to-head record.

13. Illinois (5-13) Lost to Iowa, based on head-to-head record.

14. Rutgers (3-15)

Good news, we would have an automatic bid to the NIT. ?

The Polish Rifle · February 12, 2018

1. Ohio State (16 - 2) Defeated Michigan State based on head-to-head record.
2. Michigan State (16 - 2) Lost to Ohio State based on head-to-head record.
3. Purdue (15 - 3)
4. Nebraska (13 - 5) Defeated Michigan based on head-to-head record.
5. Michigan (13 - 5) Lost to Nebraska based on head-to-head record.
6. Indiana (9 - 9) Defeated Penn State based on head-to-head record.
7. Penn State (9 - 9) Lost to Indiana based on head-to-head record.
8. Maryland (8 - 10) Defeated Northwestern based on head-to-head record.
9. Northwestern (8 - 10) Lost to Maryland based on head-to-head record.
10. Minnesota (5 - 13) Defeated Iowa based on record against #6 teams.
11. Iowa (5 - 13) Lost to Minnesota based on record against #6 teams.
12. Wisconsin (4 - 14)
13. Rutgers (3 - 15)
14. Illinois (2 - 16)

HolyBobpilgrimage · February 12, 2018

3 hours ago, PimpMario said:

just once right? Let's hope this time we can beat them.

Lol and this year, they were "bad", then suddenly world beaters. Really solid team now. Why are they always good? Can the basketball gods give us a bad Ohio State year? I guess we've already got more than we could ever ask for with bad badgers and hawkeyes squads. ?

TourneyBound · February 12, 2018

Big 10 Standings

1. Michigan State (16 - 2) Defeated Purdue based on head-to-head record.
2. Purdue (16 - 2) Lost to Michigan State based on head-to-head record.
3. Ohio State (15 - 3)
4. Nebraska (14 - 4)
5. Michigan (12 - 6)
6. Penn State (10 - 8) Defeated Northwestern based on record against #3 teams.
7. Northwestern (10 - 8) Lost to Penn State based on record against #3 teams.
8. Indiana (9 - 9)
9. Maryland (7 - 11)
10. Wisconsin (5 - 13)
11. Iowa (4 - 14)
12. Minnesota (3 - 15) Defeated Illinois based on head-to-head record.
13. Illinois (3 - 15) Lost to Minnesota based on head-to-head record.
14. Rutgers (2 - 16)

Handy Johnson · February 12, 2018

13 hours ago, brfrad said:

My dream scenario. Very, very, very x 200 unlikely to happen.

1. Nebraska (14-4)

2. Ohio State (13-5) Defeated Michigan State, based on head-to-head record.

3. Michigan State (13-5) Lost to Ohio State based on head-to-head record.

4. Purdue (12-6)

5. Penn State (11-7) Defeated Michigan, based on head-to-head record.

6. Michigan (11-7) Lost to Penn State, based on head-to-head record.

7. Indiana (9-9) Defeated Maryland, based on head-to-head record.

8. Maryland (9-9) Lost to Indiana, based on head-to-head record.

9. Northwestern (8-10)

10. Wisconsin (7-11)

11. Minnesota (6-12)

12. Iowa (5-13) Defeated Illinois, based on head-to-head record.

13. Illinois (5-13) Lost to Iowa, based on head-to-head record.

14. Rutgers (3-15)

Good news, we would have an automatic bid to the NIT. ?

That seeding brings the term "Wake n Bake" to mind...

hskr4life · February 12, 2018

13 hours ago, brfrad said:

My dream scenario. Very, very, very x 200 unlikely to happen.

1. Nebraska (14-4)

2. Ohio State (13-5) Defeated Michigan State, based on head-to-head record.

3. Michigan State (13-5) Lost to Ohio State based on head-to-head record.

4. Purdue (12-6)

5. Penn State (11-7) Defeated Michigan, based on head-to-head record.

6. Michigan (11-7) Lost to Penn State, based on head-to-head record.

7. Indiana (9-9) Defeated Maryland, based on head-to-head record.

8. Maryland (9-9) Lost to Indiana, based on head-to-head record.

9. Northwestern (8-10)

10. Wisconsin (7-11)

11. Minnesota (6-12)

12. Iowa (5-13) Defeated Illinois, based on head-to-head record.

13. Illinois (5-13) Lost to Iowa, based on head-to-head record.

14. Rutgers (3-15)

Good news, we would have an automatic bid to the NIT. ?

Bracketology

LAST 4 IN

Syracuse
Kansas State
NC State
Nebraska

throwback · February 16, 2018

NEW PICKS:

1. Michigan State (16 - 2)
2. Purdue (15 - 3)
3. Ohio State (14 - 4) Defeated Nebraska based on head-to-head record.
4. Nebraska (14 - 4) Lost to Ohio State based on head-to-head record.
5. Michigan (11 - 7)
6. Indiana (10 - 8) Defeated Penn State based on head-to-head record.
7. Penn State (10 - 8) Lost to Indiana based on head-to-head record.
8. Maryland (8 - 10) Defeated Northwestern based on record against #11 teams.
9. Northwestern (8 - 10) Lost to Maryland based on record against #11 teams.
10. Wisconsin (6 - 12)
11. Iowa (5 - 13)
12. Rutgers (4 - 14)
13. Minnesota (3 - 15)
14. Illinois (2 - 16)

OSU & Purdue looked baaaaaaad last night

ANARCHY:

1. Ohio State (14 - 4) Defeated Michigan State, Purdue, and Nebraska based on round-robin record.
2. Michigan State (14 - 4) Defeated Purdue and Nebraska and lost to Ohio State based on round-robin record.
3. Purdue (14 - 4) Defeated Nebraska and lost to Ohio State and Michigan State based on round-robin record.
4. Nebraska (14 - 4) Lost to Ohio State, Michigan State, and Purdue based on round-robin record.
5. Michigan (12 - 6)
6. Penn State (11 - 7)
7. Indiana (9 - 9) Defeated Northwestern based on head-to-head record.
8. Northwestern (9 - 9) Lost to Indiana based on head-to-head record.
9. Maryland (7 - 11) Defeated Wisconsin based on head-to-head record.
10. Wisconsin (7 - 11) Lost to Maryland based on head-to-head record.
11. Iowa (6 - 12)
12. Rutgers (4 - 14)
13. Minnesota (3 - 15)
14. Illinois (2 - 16)

We only need 8 games to go our way to have a 4-way tie for the title! Those are good odds, right?

NUCLEAR OPTION:

1. Nebraska (14 - 4)
2. Ohio State (13 - 5) Defeated Michigan State and Purdue based on round-robin record.
3. Michigan State (13 - 5) Defeated Purdue and lost to Ohio State based on round-robin record.
4. Purdue (13 - 5) Lost to Ohio State and Michigan State based on round-robin record.
5. Michigan (12 - 6)
6. Penn State (11 - 7)
7. Indiana (9 - 9) Defeated Northwestern based on head-to-head record.
8. Northwestern (9 - 9) Lost to Indiana based on head-to-head record.
9. Maryland (7 - 11) Defeated Wisconsin based on head-to-head record.
10. Wisconsin (7 - 11) Lost to Maryland based on head-to-head record.
11. Iowa (6 - 12)
12. Rutgers (5 - 13)
13. Minnesota (4 - 14)
14. Illinois (3 - 15)

Lunardi gives 0 bids to Big Ten

Edited February 16, 2018 by throwback

tcp · February 16, 2018

Lunardi publicly demands B1G be reduced in rank to Div II, claiming it is the will of Magic Johnson.

throwback · February 17, 2018

Possible Seed Range for B1G Tournament

Illinois

Worst Case: #14

Best Case: #10

Indiana

Worst Case: #8

Best Case: #4

Iowa

Worst Case: #14

Best Case: #9

Maryland

Worst Case: #12

Best Case: #7

Michigan

Worst Case: #7

Best Case: #2

Mich St

Worst Case: #5

Best Case: #1

Minnesota

Worst Case: #14

Best Case: #10

Nebraska

Worst Case: #7

Best Case: #1

Northwestern

Worst Case: #11

Best Case: #7

Ohio St

Worst Case: #4

Best Case: #1

Penn St

Worst Case: #8

Best Case: #3

Purdue

Worst Case: #5

Best Case: #1

Rutgers

Worst Case: #14

Best Case: #9

Wisconsin

Worst Case: #14

Best Case: #7

Only Ohio St has clinched at least a Top 4 finish - no one has clinched a Bottom 4 finish yet

In Contention for Double Bye:

Indiana
Michigan
Mich St
Nebraska
Ohio St (clinched double bye)
Penn St
Purdue

In Contention for No Bye:

Illinois
Iowa
Maryland
Minnesota
Northwestern
Rutgers
Wisconsin

BjoeHusker · February 17, 2018

53 minutes ago, throwback said:

Possible Seed Range for B1G Tournament

Illinois

Worst Case: #14

Best Case: #10

Indiana

Worst Case: #8

Best Case: #4

Iowa

Worst Case: #14

Best Case: #9

Maryland

Worst Case: #12

Best Case: #7

Michigan

Worst Case: #7

Best Case: #2

Mich St

Worst Case: #5

Best Case: #1

Minnesota

Worst Case: #14

Best Case: #10

Nebraska

Worst Case: #7

Best Case: #1

Northwestern

Worst Case: #11

Best Case: #7

Ohio St

Worst Case: #4

Best Case: #1

Penn St

Worst Case: #8

Best Case: #3

Purdue

Worst Case: #5

Best Case: #1

Rutgers

Worst Case: #14

Best Case: #9

Wisconsin

Worst Case: #14

Best Case: #7

Only Ohio St has clinched at least a Top 4 finish - no one has clinched a Bottom 4 finish yet

In Contention for Double Bye:

Indiana

Michigan

Mich St

Nebraska

Ohio St (clinched double bye)

Penn St

Purdue

In Contention for No Bye:

Illinois

Iowa

Maryland

Minnesota

Northwestern

Rutgers

Wisconsin

What scenario gave Nebraska the 7th seed?

HuskerFever · February 17, 2018

6 minutes ago, BjoeHusker said:

What scenario gave Nebraska the 7th seed?

It looks like MSU, Purdue, OSU, PSU, Indiana, Michigan could all finish ahead of us... technically.

49r · February 17, 2018

2 hours ago, BjoeHusker said:

What scenario gave Nebraska the 7th seed?

Nebraska loses out

Indiana wins out

Michigan wins at least 2 of their last 3

It's technically possible.

Edited February 17, 2018 by 49r

tcp · February 17, 2018

so you're telling me there's a chance.....

throwback · February 21, 2018

Possible Seed Range for B1G Tournament

Illinois - clinched play-in round

Worst Case: #14

Best Case: #11

Indiana

Worst Case: #7

Best Case: #6

Iowa- clinched play-in round

Worst Case: #14

Best Case: #11

Maryland

#8 seed

Michigan

Worst Case: #6

Best Case: #4

Mich St - Clinched double-bye

Worst Case: #2

Best Case: #1

Minnesota- clinched play-in round

Worst Case: #14

Best Case: #11

Nebraska

Worst Case: #5

Best Case: #4

Northwestern

Worst Case: #10

Best Case: #9

Ohio St - Clinched double-bye

Worst Case: #3

Best Case: #1

Penn St

Worst Case: #7

Best Case: #5

Purdue - Clinched double-bye

Worst Case: #3

Best Case: #2

Rutgers- clinched play-in round

Worst Case: #14

Best Case: #11

Wisconsin

Worst Case: #10

Best Case: #9

3 Double Bye spots clinched:

Mich St
Ohio St
Purdue

Nebraska or Michigan gets the last one

All 4 play-in round spots are clinched:

Illinois
Iowa
Minnesota
Rutgers

throwback · February 21, 2018

NU is locked into the 1:30 pm CT game on either Thursday and/or Friday, so start practicing your "I'm not feeling - cough, cough - well, boss" phone calls now.

NUtball · February 21, 2018

Just now, throwback said:

NU is locked into the 1:30 pm CT game on either Thursday and/or Friday, so start practicing your "I'm not feeling - cough, cough - well, boss" phone calls now.

Or just tell the boss, "I'm taking the day off sick next Thursday or Friday, possibly both."

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