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Posted

Lunardi updates his bracket.....Huskers not getting any attention.

 

Last Four In:

 

St. Joe

Providence

Gtown

BYU

 

First Four Out:

 

WVU

Richmond

Baylor

Okie Lite

 

Next four Out:

 

Oregon

Dayon

So Miss

La Tech

 

 

Can anyone please explain to me why a team like Gtown is getting so much love when NU's resume is arguably better?  Not to mention some of the other teams mentioned.  I realize this list is going to change 50 times within the next few weeks but give me a break.

When we keep winning, he'll have to notice us sometime :)

Posted

Lunardi updates his bracket.....Huskers not getting any attention.

Last Four In:

St. Joe

Providence

Gtown

BYU

First Four Out:

WVU

Richmond

Baylor

Okie Lite

Next four Out:

Oregon

Dayon

So Miss

La Tech

Can anyone please explain to me why a team like Gtown is getting so much love when NU's resume is arguably better? Not to mention some of the other teams mentioned. I realize this list is going to change 50 times within the next few weeks but give me a break.

Providence has lost like 4 in a row and 5 of 7 or something like that...and he still has them in?! He must have had them as a 5 seed before the last couple weeks. Lunardi loves him some Big East.

Posted

Lunardi updates his bracket.....Huskers not getting any attention.

 

Last Four In:

 

St. Joe

Providence

Gtown

BYU

 

First Four Out:

 

WVU

Richmond

Baylor

Okie Lite

 

Next four Out:

 

Oregon

Dayon

So Miss

La Tech

 

 

Can anyone please explain to me why a team like Gtown is getting so much love when NU's resume is arguably better?  Not to mention some of the other teams mentioned.  I realize this list is going to change 50 times within the next few weeks but give me a break. 

 

I don't think people realize how expansive the "bubble" is with ~10 games to play. Looking at the first four out, next four out, etc. at this time is kind of silly. Sure, it's nice to be recognized. Nebraska planted itself on the extremely expansive bubble four days ago. Before that, no one outside of this board (and only about half of us) were thinking about Nebraska's NCAA tournament resume.

 

Keep winning and we start to be recognized by the pundits in a time when it actually means a little something.

 

Personally, I am holding out on getting my hopes up until after this week. It would be classic Nebrasketball to win a big game that puts us on the bubble and then lay an egg in a game that we should win. And if we lose either game this week, we are right back off the bubble. Sure, a new coach and better talent gives us a new reason to believe - but we are extremely young. Young teams are more prone to peaks and valleys.

 

Here's to hoping that I will have some hope after this week! ;)

Posted

 

Lunardi updates his bracket.....Huskers not getting any attention.

Last Four In:

St. Joe

Providence

Gtown

BYU

First Four Out:

WVU

Richmond

Baylor

Okie Lite

Next four Out:

Oregon

Dayon

So Miss

La Tech

Can anyone please explain to me why a team like Gtown is getting so much love when NU's resume is arguably better? Not to mention some of the other teams mentioned. I realize this list is going to change 50 times within the next few weeks but give me a break.

Providence has lost like 4 in a row and 5 of 7 or something like that...and he still has them in?! He must have had them as a 5 seed before the last couple weeks. Lunardi loves him some Big East.

 

Not only has Providence lost 4 straight....Okie State has lost SEVEN straight!  I think they take into consideration the "potential" of their team.  Well guess what, this isn't the NBA lottery.  They have to EARN getting in.  7 losses in a row at this time of year???  That's brutal. 

Posted

I got my question answered from Joe...although I don't agree with it.  Do people project their brackets on what they THINK will happen...or what the bracket would look like as of today?  Also...unless we really suck down the stretch I don't think we drop in the the mid 70's on the RPI. 

 

"It's a fair question, Jason, but be careful not to cherry-pick your comparisons. I could pick a half-dozen other bubble teams against which the Huskers wouldn't stack up at all. I'm currently projecting Georgetown to finish with an RPI in the mid-50s and Nebraska in the mid-70s. For me, that's a significant difference."

Posted

I got my question answered from Joe...although I don't agree with it.  Do people project their brackets on what they THINK will happen...or what the bracket would look like as of today?  Also...unless we really suck down the stretch I don't think we drop in the the mid 70's on the RPI. 

 

"It's a fair question, Jason, but be careful not to cherry-pick your comparisons. I could pick a half-dozen other bubble teams against which the Huskers wouldn't stack up at all. I'm currently projecting Georgetown to finish with an RPI in the mid-50s and Nebraska in the mid-70s. For me, that's a significant difference."

 

Clearly, Lunardi is projecting NU to finish 3-3, which certainly could happen.  My thought is this process of projecting out to the end of the year is a bit fruitless when there are quite a few games left. But, I guess that's how he gets so many hits on his website.  -_-

Posted

 

I got my question answered from Joe...although I don't agree with it.  Do people project their brackets on what they THINK will happen...or what the bracket would look like as of today?  Also...unless we really suck down the stretch I don't think we drop in the the mid 70's on the RPI. 

 

"It's a fair question, Jason, but be careful not to cherry-pick your comparisons. I could pick a half-dozen other bubble teams against which the Huskers wouldn't stack up at all. I'm currently projecting Georgetown to finish with an RPI in the mid-50s and Nebraska in the mid-70s. For me, that's a significant difference."

 

Clearly, Lunardi is projecting NU to finish 3-3, which certainly could happen.  My thought is this process of projecting out to the end of the year is a bit fruitless when there are quite a few games left. But, I guess that's how he gets so many hits on his website.  -_-

 

 

RPI Forecast gives us a 35% chance to finish 3-3.  It's the most likely scenario.

 

4-2 (25%) and 2-4 (23%) are the two next most likely outcomes.

 

So, we're looking at about a 83% probability of finishing the regular season with between 16 and 18 wins.

Posted

 

I got my question answered from Joe...although I don't agree with it.  Do people project their brackets on what they THINK will happen...or what the bracket would look like as of today?  Also...unless we really suck down the stretch I don't think we drop in the the mid 70's on the RPI. 

 

"It's a fair question, Jason, but be careful not to cherry-pick your comparisons. I could pick a half-dozen other bubble teams against which the Huskers wouldn't stack up at all. I'm currently projecting Georgetown to finish with an RPI in the mid-50s and Nebraska in the mid-70s. For me, that's a significant difference."

 

Clearly, Lunardi is projecting NU to finish 3-3, which certainly could happen.  My thought is this process of projecting out to the end of the year is a bit fruitless when there are quite a few games left. But, I guess that's how he gets so many hits on his website.  -_-

 

 

Assuming we finish 3-3 and that's with us beating PSU, Purdue, NW that puts us mid 60's via the RPI per RPI forcast.  So I can only assume he has us going 2-4 to end the season.  But I agree on the projecting...just dumb.  I guess I assumed his bracket was what would happen if it was selection Sunday right now. 

Posted

Up to 49 in ESPN RPI. Lunardi has 48 and 50 safely in (Stanford and California), despite both having weaker schedules and a combined 1-7 record against the top 25 (we are 2-6). We've played as many top 25 teams as both combined. Whatever.

Posted

I've never really understood or cared about these numbers games. A superficial perusal of this thread and listening to the comparison of the two teams by the commentators last night makes it appear that if Minnesota can just manage to lose to enough good teams on the road they'll be able to get a strength of schedule high enough and an RPI low enough to get an NCAA bid instead of us even though we beat them head to head. Makes perfect sense. Why play the games when you can check out the numbers on your Ebay? At this point in time bracketology should be labeled Loonery.

Posted

Headlining the Bubble Watch with...North Carolina. Man this is an interesting time to be a Husker Hoops fan!

 

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bubblewatch

Not a very promising article.  Indicates 1 more loss will send us to the NIT.  Not sure I agree with it, but Eamon certainly knows more about it than I do.

I think he makes a valid point as he's also stating UNC is bubblicious.... time will tell (as will racking up W's incl. 2 more roadies). NU needs to earn a better spot in the pecking order w/ wins!

Posted

 

 

Headlining the Bubble Watch with...North Carolina. Man this is an interesting time to be a Husker Hoops fan!

 

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bubblewatch

Not a very promising article.  Indicates 1 more loss will send us to the NIT.  Not sure I agree with it, but Eamon certainly knows more about it than I do.

I think he makes a valid point as he's also stating UNC is bubblicious.... time will tell (as will racking up W's incl. 2 more roadies). NU needs to earn a better spot in the pecking order w/ wins!

 

The common thought I've heard is- excluding Wisconsin, any game we lose from here out we'll need to make up with a win in the big ten tourney to cancel it out (1 loss = 1 tourney win, 2 losses = 2 tourney wins, etc).  Personally I think 4-1 gets us in regardless

Posted

 

 

 

Headlining the Bubble Watch with...North Carolina. Man this is an interesting time to be a Husker Hoops fan!

 

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bubblewatch

Not a very promising article.  Indicates 1 more loss will send us to the NIT.  Not sure I agree with it, but Eamon certainly knows more about it than I do.

I think he makes a valid point as he's also stating UNC is bubblicious.... time will tell (as will racking up W's incl. 2 more roadies). NU needs to earn a better spot in the pecking order w/ wins!

 

The common thought I've heard is- excluding Wisconsin, any game we lose from here out we'll need to make up with a win in the big ten tourney to cancel it out (1 loss = 1 tourney win, 2 losses = 2 tourney wins, etc).  Personally I think 4-1 gets us in regardless

 

 

I'd almost think a loss to a team like Illinois would require us to win 2 tourney games just to make up for it. Because we're just going to play another Penn State in that first round anyway.

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