KenPom 2024-2025 KenPom Rankings Thread

[Vinny]

2 hours ago, hskr4life said:

Here’s our current team sheet. Result based metrics pretty good, but the predictive don’t like us nearly as much.

Kind of silly considering past performance, i.e. results, is the best predictor of future behavior.

[Art Vandalay]

Oregon St would currently be a Q1 if we meet them in Hawaii. Hope Creighton can finish as a Q1 but not in the tourney

[nuhusker7]

A hill that I will die on is that all postseason brackets in all sports in all levels should be only based on results. Predictive measures or perceptions of who is good should not matter at all. Whether someone (or some algorithm) believes you have a chance of winning should not matter.  It should only be based on who has earned their spot.

 

10 hours ago, hskr4life said:

Here’s our current team sheet. Result based metrics pretty good, but the predictive don’t like us nearly as much.

 

[49r]

Up to #48.

[hskr4life]

2 minutes ago, 49r said:

Up to #48.

Scoring those 5 garbage points were probably bigger than we think.

[AuroranHusker]

29 minutes ago, hskr4life said:

Scoring those 5 garbage points were probably bigger than we think.

 

Finishing games has been a Husker specialty, especially against inferior opponents.

 

"Play all 40 minutes, they all count." - Fred Hoiberg, probably

 

[49r]

Been a good month for Maryland, and the rest of the Diamond Head is gonna be a big test for us...Here we go!

 

---

 

 

KenPom rankings as of 12-23-24

========================

 

B1G (1-1):

11. Maryland (2)

14. Oregon (A)

16. UCLA (H)

18. Michigan State (A) - L
22. Michigan (H)

23. Illinois (H)

27. Purdue (A)

29. Ohio State (2)

33. Wisconsin (A)

34. Penn State (A)

43. Iowa (2)

48. Nebraska

49. Northwestern (A)
55. Indiana (H) - W

81. USC (H)

84. Rutgers (H)

91. Washington (A)

115. Minnesota (H)

 

 

Non-Conference (7-1):
229. UTRGV - W

267. Bethune Cookman - W
331. Farliegh Dickinson - W

---Sanford Pentagon---
44. Saint Mary’s - L

 

53. @Creighton - W

234. South Dakota - W
190. North Florida - W

 

—Diamond Head Classic---

119. Murray State - W

158. Hawaii

61./202. Oregon State/Oakland

 

242. Southern

[49r]

Big Ten is now pretty firmly in second place.

 

Ranking of conferences by NetRtg of team expected to go .500 in conference play

Conference		Rating	Conference		Rating
1	Southeastern Conference	+20.11	17	Sun Belt Conference	-4.47
2	Big Ten Conference	+17.32	18	Coastal Athletic Association	-4.59
3	Big 12 Conference	+17.19	19	Horizon League	-5.14
4	Big East Conference	+14.09	20	Summit League	-5.33
5	Atlantic Coast Conference	+10.08	21	Big Sky Conference	-5.92
6	Mountain West Conference	+6.93	22	Mid American Conference	-6.49
7	West Coast Conference	+5.51	23	Southland Conference	-6.95
8	Atlantic 10 Conference	+4.69	24	ASUN Conference	-7.33
9	Conference USA	+1.39	25	America East Conference	-7.44
10	American Athletic Conference	+1.37	26	Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference	-9.05
11	Missouri Valley Conference	+0.81	27	Patriot League	-9.30
12	Ivy League	-1.86	28	Ohio Valley Conference	-11.63
13	Big West Conference	-1.88	29	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-12.37
14	Western Athletic Conference	-2.56	30	Northeast Conference	-14.29
15	Southern Conference	-3.40	31	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-15.04
16	Big South Conference	-4.30

[HuskerFever]

8 minutes ago, 49r said:

Big Ten is now pretty firmly in second place.

 

The SEC is really flexing their muscles this season. If we can stay ahead of the other conferences this season and Nebraska finishes in the top half of the conference, then we should be in good shape.

[hskr4life]

20 minutes ago, HuskerFever said:

 

The SEC is really flexing their muscles this season. If we can stay ahead of the other conferences this season and Nebraska finishes in the top half of the conference, then we should be in good shape.

 

Big separation between the Big 10/12 and the ACC/Big East as well.

[hskr4life]

Updated Alternative Metrics this morning outside of KP.

 

Resume Metrics: KPI 25, Strength of Record 39, Wins Above Bubble 47

 

Result Based Metrics: BPI 41, T-Rank 42 (KenPom 48)

 

NET: 57 

[Vinny]

Being 47 wins above the bubble feels very safe. 

[49r]

 

Washington doing their best to try and knock the Big Ten into 3rd place, but they did not succeed.

 

We've got 13 teams in the KP top 50, which is incredible (SEC has 12, Big XII 9, ACC 5 and Big East 3)...Here we go!

 

---

 

 

KenPom rankings as of 12-24-24

========================

 

B1G (1-1):

11. Maryland (2)

14. Oregon (A)

17. UCLA (H)

16. Michigan State (A) - L
22. Michigan (H)

23. Illinois (H)

27. Purdue (A)

29. Ohio State (2)

33. Wisconsin (A)

34. Penn State (A)

43. Iowa (2)

45. Nebraska

49. Northwestern (A)
55. Indiana (H) - W

82. USC (H)

85. Rutgers (H)

103. Washington (A)

116. Minnesota (H)

 

 

Non-Conference (8-1):
228. UTRGV - W

267. Bethune Cookman - W
330. Farliegh Dickinson - W

---Sanford Pentagon---
44. Saint Mary’s - L

 

52. @Creighton - W

233. South Dakota - W
188. North Florida - W

 

—Diamond Head Classic---

126. Murray State - W

166. Hawaii - W

62. Oregon State

 

241. Southern

[49r]

Ranking of conferences by NetRtg of team expected to go .500 in conference play

Conference		Rating	Conference		Rating
1	Southeastern Conference	+20.10	17	Sun Belt Conference	-4.46
2	Big Ten Conference	+17.30	18	Coastal Athletic Association	-4.55
3	Big 12 Conference	+17.18	19	Horizon League	-5.08
4	Big East Conference	+14.11	20	Summit League	-5.20
5	Atlantic Coast Conference	+10.08	21	Big Sky Conference	-5.92
6	Mountain West Conference	+6.89	22	Mid American Conference	-6.47
7	West Coast Conference	+5.43	23	Southland Conference	-6.95
8	Atlantic 10 Conference	+4.61	24	ASUN Conference	-7.32
9	Conference USA	+1.47	25	America East Conference	-7.46
10	American Athletic Conference	+1.43	26	Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference	-9.06
11	Missouri Valley Conference	+0.76	27	Patriot League	-9.31
12	Ivy League	-1.87	28	Ohio Valley Conference	-11.64
13	Big West Conference	-2.12	29	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-12.37
14	Western Athletic Conference	-2.38	30	Northeast Conference	-14.30
15	Southern Conference	-3.36	31	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-15.05
16	Big South Conference	-4.29

[Norm Peterson]

Up to #39 in the Kenpom rankings.

 

13 Big 10 teams in the Kenpom top 50. Which means 13 Big 10 teams ahead of Creighton.

 

Not that anyone cares about Creighton.

 

Just for, y'now, comparison's sake.

[ShortDust]

Up to 44 in NET. Oregon State dropped to 51 and is a Q2 for the time being.

[AuroranHusker]

A week ago NU was 60 (NET) and 52 (KenPom).

 

And, now, NU is 44 (NET) and 39 (KenPom).

[49r]

Not much has changed over the last couple of days except Nebraska moving up a dozen spots or so.  Interestingly, our SOS has really shot up over that time as well (I'll cover that in a minute) but for now...Here we go!

 

---

 

 

KenPom rankings as of 12-26-24

========================

 

B1G (1-1):

11. Maryland (2)

14. Oregon (A)

16. Michigan State (A) - L
17. UCLA (H)

22. Michigan (H)

23. Illinois (H)

27. Purdue (A)

29. Ohio State (2)

33. Wisconsin (A)

34. Penn State (A)

39. Nebraska

44. Iowa (2)

49. Northwestern (A)
55. Indiana (H) - W

82. USC (H)

84. Rutgers (H)

103. Washington (A)

115. Minnesota (H)

 

 

Non-Conference (9-1):
226. UTRGV - W

266. Bethune Cookman - W
330. Farliegh Dickinson - W

---Sanford Pentagon---
45. Saint Mary’s - L

 

51. @Creighton - W

233. South Dakota - W
187. North Florida - W

 

—Diamond Head Classic---

123. Murray State - W

167. Hawaii - W

65. Oregon State - W

 

241. Southern

[49r]

Big Ten pretty firmly ensconced now in second place.

 

Ranking of conferences by NetRtg of team expected to go .500 in conference play

Conference		Rating	Conference		Rating
1	Southeastern Conference	+20.10	17	Sun Belt Conference	-4.46
2	Big Ten Conference	+17.39	18	Coastal Athletic Association	-4.56
3	Big 12 Conference	+17.19	19	Horizon League	-5.08
4	Big East Conference	+14.12	20	Summit League	-5.19
5	Atlantic Coast Conference	+10.08	21	Big Sky Conference	-5.94
6	Mountain West Conference	+6.89	22	Mid American Conference	-6.47
7	West Coast Conference	+5.31	23	Southland Conference	-6.94
8	Atlantic 10 Conference	+4.56	24	ASUN Conference	-7.31
9	Conference USA	+1.48	25	America East Conference	-7.46
10	American Athletic Conference	+1.43	26	Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference	-9.06
11	Missouri Valley Conference	+0.81	27	Patriot League	-9.31
12	Ivy League	-1.87	28	Ohio Valley Conference	-11.63
13	Big West Conference	-2.14	29	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-12.37
14	Western Athletic Conference	-2.38	30	Northeast Conference	-14.29
15	Southern Conference	-3.36	31	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-15.04
16	Big South Conference	-4.28

[49r]

Nebraka's SOS has now become actually pretty respectable:

 

Strength of Schedule
Components:	109.0 67	106.4 146	106.6
Overall:	+2.54 86		0.00
Non-conference:	-0.78 193		0.00

[49r]

 

Finally, here is a look at our schedule.  20-11 and 10-10 looks real nice to me.  I think that'd probably be enough for an at-large bid for us.

2025 Schedule 

Game Plan · Opponent Tracker

Date	Rk	Opponent		Result			Location	Record	Conf
Mon Nov 4	57	226	UT Rio Grande Valley	W, 87-67	76		Home	1-0
Sat Nov 9	57	266	Bethune Cookman	W, 63-58	74		Home	2-0
Wed Nov 13	72	330	Fairleigh Dickinson	W, 86-60	72		Home	3-0
Sun Nov 17	67	45	Saint Mary's	L, 77-74	65		Neutral	3-1
Fri Nov 22	64	51	Creighton	W, 74-63	72		Away	4-1
Wed Nov 27	52	233	South Dakota	W, 96-79	76		Home	5-1
Sun Dec 1	53	187	North Florida	W, 103-72	77		Home	6-1
Sat Dec 7	45	16	Michigan St.	L, 89-52	71		Away	6-2	0-1
Fri Dec 13	62	55	Indiana	W, 85-68	69		Home	7-2	1-1
Sun Dec 22	55	123	Murray St.	W, 66-49	66		Neutral	8-2
Mon Dec 23	48	167	Hawaii	W, 69-55	62		Away	9-2
Wed Dec 25	45	65	Oregon St.	W, 78-66	64		Neutral	10-2
Mon Dec 30		241	Southern	W, 80-60	70	96%	Home
Sat Jan 4		17	UCLA	W, 69-68	68	51%	Home		×
Tue Jan 7		44	Iowa	L, 79-76	72	39%	Away		×
Sun Jan 12		27	Purdue	L, 75-70	67	30%	Away		×
Thu Jan 16		84	Rutgers	W, 79-71	71	79%	Home		×
Sun Jan 19		11	Maryland	L, 77-69	71	22%	Away		×
Wed Jan 22		82	USC	W, 76-67	69	78%	Home		×
Sun Jan 26		33	Wisconsin	L, 77-73	69	36%	Away		×
Thu Jan 30		23	Illinois	W, 75-74	72	51%	Home		×
Sun Feb 2		14	Oregon	L, 76-69	69	26%	Away		×
Wed Feb 5		103	Washington	W, 73-69	70	65%	Away		×
Sun Feb 9		29	Ohio St.	W, 73-72	69	56%	Home		×
Thu Feb 13		11	Maryland	L, 73-72	71	46%	Home		×
Sun Feb 16		49	Northwestern	L, 68-66	67	44%	Away		×
Wed Feb 19		34	Penn St.	L, 78-74	72	35%	Away		×
Mon Feb 24		22	Michigan	W, 75-74	71	51%	Home		×
Sat Mar 1		115	Minnesota	W, 71-60	64	85%	Home		×
Tue Mar 4		29	Ohio St.	L, 75-70	69	31%	Away		×
Sun Mar 9		44	Iowa	W, 79-75	72	64%	Home		×
Projected record:								20-11	10-10

 

[49r]

Like where we sit with Torvik:

 

[HuscurAdam]

There's really only a couple remaining chances to take a horrible loss...home games against Southern and Minnesota and maybe at Washington. I kind of expect a letdown after the Hawaii tournament, but I hope I'm wrong and the guys realize the importance of going out and beating the brakes off Southern; it's our last chance to impress the computers before getting into the B1G meat grinder.  

[hskr4life]

2 hours ago, HuscurAdam said:

There's really only a couple remaining chances to take a horrible loss...home games against Southern and Minnesota and maybe at Washington. I kind of expect a letdown after the Hawaii tournament, but I hope I'm wrong and the guys realize the importance of going out and beating the brakes off Southern; it's our last chance to impress the computers before getting into the B1G meat grinder.  

I would say home against Minny and possibly home against Rutgers are the two.

 

Any road game I wouldn’t call a must win, and the way Rutgers season is going, they could be coming to us with a losing record.

[HuscurAdam]

4 hours ago, hskr4life said:

I would say home against Minny and possibly home against Rutgers are the two.

 

Any road game I wouldn’t call a must win, and the way Rutgers season is going, they could be coming to us with a losing record.

 

Yeah, I was just looking at the NET ranks without looking up the quad cutoffs and thinking of avoiding any Q3 or Q4 losses since that was such a positive for our resume last year.

 

After checking...Minny, Rutgers and USC are the 3 we have to beat at home and probably need to beat UW on the road. Other than that, getting to .500 in B1G games should be enough to be in comfortably.