Tournament Odds Gizmo

jimmykc · February 13, 2018

While awaiting the game today I randomly pushed the "full" version of the neat little dial in the corner of the HHC front page and was pleasantly surprised with the info available. For anyone , like me, who hasn't already done this I will recommend it

Edited February 13, 2018 by jimmykc

Lifetimesker · February 13, 2018

I just did it as well. I like it. I wish I could do it all over again for the first time!

49r · February 13, 2018

I'm saving it for a very special moment.

But I'm happy for you @jimmykc!

Silverbacked1 · February 13, 2018

Right now I like what it says at the bottom of the red part:

"Status: What's good to eat in Dayton?"

Nebrasketball1979 · February 13, 2018

Just now, Silverbacked1 said:

Right now I like what it says at the bottom of the red part:

"Status: What's good to eat in Dayton?"

Well, aren't you a pessimist. I've been checking out restaurants and places to stay in San Antonio, home of the 2018 Final Four!!!

I believe it was Uconn in 2010 or 2011 that was on the outside and looking in prior to ripping off 5 straight in the Big East tournament and then winning 6 more in a row to win the title. History always repeats itself at some point!

hhcmatt · February 13, 2018

37 minutes ago, Silverbacked1 said:

Right now I like what it says at the bottom of the red part:

"Status: What's good to eat in Dayton?"

I can customize the statuses on our front page for the HHC. I'll take suggestions here

HuskerFever · February 13, 2018

43 minutes ago, hhcdimes said:

I can customize the statuses on our front page for the HHC. I'll take suggestions here

"Your shoe order is scheduled to arrive in 30 days."

49r · February 13, 2018

it looks like the total number of bracket predictions has changed...now it's 105?

Bugeaters1 · February 13, 2018

I'm saving it for a very special moment.

But I'm happy for you [mention=45]jimmykc[/mention]!

So your saying yourself like a Virgin for her wedding day.

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk

HuskerActuary · February 13, 2018

37 minutes ago, 49r said:

it looks like the total number of bracket predictions has changed...now it's 105?

Right, it changes with each update, because Bracket Matrix Guy only takes brackets that have been updated in the last certain number of days for each refresh (I think he changes that threshold from time to time).

49r · February 14, 2018

So the dial on the little gizmo keeps going up a little bit even though we're still only predicted in 9 of the brackets...is there any particular reason why?

Maybe if I clicked on the gizmo it would explain things better...

big red22 · February 14, 2018

Can someone post a link to this thing? I can't find it!

hhcmatt · February 14, 2018

3 minutes ago, 49r said:

So the dial on the little gizmo keeps going up a little bit even though we're still only predicted in 9 of the brackets...is there any particular reason why?

Maybe if I clicked on the gizmo it would explain things better...

I'm just displaying the bare minimum. There are a few things that go into the calculation.

Don't read the following if you don't want to know how the magic works.

function FindScore(data) { // Calculate percentage chance basked on RPI-like ranking system
				 var score;
				 if (data < 30){ score = 99; }
				 if (data > 30 && data <= 40) { score = 92; }
				 if (data > 40 && data <= 43) { score = 85; }
				 if (data > 43 && data <= 45) { score = 80; }
				 if (data > 45 && data <= 47) { score = 55; }
				 if (data > 47 && data <= 51) { score = 35; }
				 if (data > 51 && data <= 55) { score = 25; }
				 if (data > 55 && data <= 60) { score = 15; }
				 if (data > 60 && data <= 70) { score = 5; }
				 if (data > 70 && data <= 80) { score = 2; }
				 if (data > 80) { score = 1; }
				 
				 return score;
			 };
			 

			 
			 kenpom_score = FindScore(json.kenpom.rating);
			 ncaa_score = FindScore(json.warrennolan.rpi); // Using live one rather than json.ncaa.rpi_rank for more frequent updates
			 espn_sor = FindScore(parseInt(json.espn.sor)); // SOR is stronger predictor than BPI
			 espn_bpi = FindScore(parseInt(json.espn.bpi)); 
			 teamrankings_score = parseInt(json.teamrankings.make_tournament); // This one's already a % score
			 sagarin_score = FindScore(json.trank.sagarin);
			 trank_score = FindScore(json.trank.trank);
			 kpi_score = FindScore(json.trank.kpi);
			 lrmc_score = FindScore(json.lrmc.rank);
			 massey_score = FindScore(json.massey.composite);
			 
			 total_score = ((kenpom_score*.14) + (ncaa_score*.18) + (espn_sor*.15) + (espn_bpi*.10) + (teamrankings_score*.06) + (sagarin_score*.04) + (trank_score*.08) + (kpi_score*.13) + (lrmc_score * .03) + (massey_score * .09));
			 
			 function StatusCheck(data) {
				 var status_message;
				 if (data < 20) { status_message = "Still need some wins." }
				 if (data >= 20 && data < 30) { status_message = "Can see the bubble from here." }
				 if (data >= 30 && data < 40) { status_message = "What's good to eat in Dayton?" }
				 if (data >= 40 && data < 55) { status_message = "Cautiously optimistic." }
				 if (data >= 55 && data < 75) { status_message = "Feeling good." }
				 if (data >= 75) { status_message = "Dancing." }
				 
				 return status_message;
				 
			 }
			 
			 message = StatusCheck(total_score);
			 console.log(message);

			 $('#message').text(message);

			 
			 
			 console.log("NCAA score: " + ncaa_score + "    (18%)");
			 console.log("ESPN SOR score: " + espn_sor + "    (15%)");
			 console.log("Kenpom score: " + kenpom_score + "    (14%)");
			 console.log("KPI score: " + kpi_score + "    (13%)");
			 console.log("ESPN BPI score: " + espn_bpi + "    (10%)");
			 console.log("Massey score: " + massey_score + "    (9%)");
			 console.log("T-Rank score: " + trank_score + "    (8%)");
			 console.log("TeamRankings score: " + teamrankings_score + "    (6%)");
			 console.log("Sagarin score: " + sagarin_score + "    (4%)");
			 console.log("LRMC score: " + lrmc_score + "    (3%)");
			 console.log("Total score: " + total_score);

			});

hhcmatt · February 14, 2018

Just now, big red22 said:

Can someone post a link to this thing? I can't find it!

https://bvankat.github.io/nebrasketball/

He has the code posted so I made a widget out of it and put it on the front page.

You can find the link to the full site there as well

colhusker · February 14, 2018

On 2/13/2018 at 8:17 AM, Lifetimesker said:

I just did it as well. I like it. I wish I could do it all over again for the first time!

That's what she said.

49r · February 15, 2018

Hey I just saw the gizmo hit 40 for this first time!!!

jimmykc · February 15, 2018

Let's win one for the Gizmo.

hhcmatt · February 15, 2018

2 hours ago, 49r said:

Hey I just saw the gizmo hit 40 for this first time!!!

Boehm Bump

jimmykc · February 15, 2018

https://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=Win+One+for+the+Gipper+Speech&&view=detail&mid=444167CDF75A3CA73B0B444167CDF75A3CA73B0B&&FORM=VRDGAR

Red Don · February 16, 2018

41 :Shout: :Shout: :Shout:

AuroranHusker · February 16, 2018

We're like "The Jeffersons": we're moving on up!

49r · February 16, 2018

Hey we're up to 16/105 on the gizmo!!!

49r · February 17, 2018

I think Jordy's trying to get the gizmo to spin up a little further today ?

49r · February 17, 2018

#RiskyRoadz

rwmctrofholz · February 17, 2018

On 2/13/2018 at 9:17 AM, Nebrasketball1979 said:

Well, aren't you a pessimist. I've been checking out restaurants and places to stay in San Antonio, home of the 2018 Final Four!!!

I believe it was Uconn in 2010 or 2011 that was on the outside and looking in prior to ripping off 5 straight in the Big East tournament and then winning 6 more in a row to win the title. History always repeats itself at some point!

I had UConn winning my bracket that year. Still didn't come in first in my pool. Dark days.

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