KenPom 2018-2019 KenPom Rankings Thread

49r · October 1, 2018

October is here, practice has begun and that can mean only one thing. It's time once again to start the KenPom ranking thread! For the first time in a while Nebraska will be starting off in the middle of the B1G pack. We're hoping to build on last season's success and maybe do some pretty great things this season. We finished last year at #55, no idea where Ken will have us to start, but Bart Torvik's T-Rank system (which is pretty similar to KenPom) currently has us at #36, good for 5th best in the B1G.

Once again I'm going to start the thread with each team's rank to start the previous year (in parenthesis) and how they finished. Additionally, the teams on our schedule that made the postseason are color coded with the round the team lost noted. NCAA is in Red and NIT in Blue.

Finally, don't forget to click here to see all the previous years' KenPom threads (I highly recommend going back through them, they're always fun to read). Here we go!

KenPom rankings as of 4-02-18

=========================

B1G (0-0):

(17) -> 5. Purdue S16

(10) -> 6. Michigan State R32

(34) -> 7. Michigan NCAA Title Game

(78) -> 16. Ohio State R32

(40) -> 19. Penn State NIT Champions

(41) -> 39. Maryland

(97) -> 55. Nebraska 1st RD
(31) -> 70. Wisconsin

(65) -> 71. Indiana

(18) -> 85. Northwestern

(54) -> 88. Iowa

(104) -> 102. Illinois

(36) -> 117. Minnesota

(125) -> 130. Rutgers

Non-Conference (0-0):

348. Mississippi Valley State

199. Southeastern Louisiana

---Gavitt Tip-Off---

26. Seton Hall R32

---Hall of Fame Classic---

120. Missouri State

11. / 51. Texas Tech E8 / Southern Cal 2nd RD

293. Western Illinois

---B1G/ACC Challenge---

14. @Clemson S16

30. Creighton R64

---Sanford Pentagon--

59. Oklahoma State 3rd RD

162. Cal State Fullerton R64

n/a. Southwest Minnesota State

Edited November 16, 2018 by 49r

AuroranHusker · October 1, 2018

I'm going to speculate that Nebraska will crack that top 40.

49r · October 20, 2018

The KenPom preseason rankings are out! For today we'll start with each B1G team's rank to end the previous year (in parenthesis) and today's ranking. Remember, the teams on our schedule that made the postseason are color coded. NCAA teams are in Red and NIT teams in Blue.

Big movers in the offseason include Wisconsin (living on their recent long history of high KenPom rankings they slide in at #20). Iowa makes a surprise jump of over 50 spots (which I have no explanation for). Minnesota jumps almost SIXTY spots. They really were snakebit last year. Seton Hall takes a big tumble down the rankings. Not much else to say except @AuroranHusker called it, the 'skers crack the top 40. And with that, here we go!

KenPom rankings as of 10-20-18

==========================

B1G (0-0):

(6) -> 13. Michigan State

(5) -> 18. Purdue

(70) -> 20. Wisconsin

(7) -> 24. Michigan

(71) -> 28. Indiana

(39) -> 30. Maryland

(19) -> 32. Penn State

(88) -> 35. Iowa

(55) -> 38. Nebraska

(16) -> 41. Ohio State

(85) -> 58. Northwestern

(117) -> 60. Minnesota

(102) -> 85. Illinois

(130) -> 149. Rutgers

Non-Conference (0-0):

347. Mississippi Valley State

274. Southeastern Louisiana

---Gavitt Tip-Off---

54. Seton Hall

---Hall of Fame Classic---

198. Missouri State

26. / 61. Texas Tech / Southern Cal

244. Western Illinois

---B1G/ACC Challenge---

14. @Clemson

33. Creighton

---Sanford Pentagon--

62. Oklahoma State

137. Cal State Fullerton

n/a. Southwest Minnesota State

Edited November 16, 2018 by 49r

49r · October 20, 2018

38 Nebraska (0-0)

Cornhuskers · Lincoln, NE
Head coach: Tim Miles
Big Ten Conference

2019 Schedule

Game Plan | Opponent Tracker

Date	Opponent		Result			Location	Record	Conf
Tue Nov 6	347	Mississippi Valley St.	W, 90-61	74	99.6%	Home
Sun Nov 11	274	Southeastern Louisiana	W, 82-62	71	96%	Home
Wed Nov 14	54	Seton Hall	W, 78-72	73	69%	Home
Mon Nov 19	198	Missouri St.	W, 78-66	71	87%	Neutral
Sat Nov 24	244	Western Illinois	W, 83-64	72	95%	Home
Mon Nov 26	14	Clemson	L, 76-68	71	24%	Away
Sun Dec 2	85	Illinois	W, 80-71	73	78%	Home		×
Wed Dec 5	60	Minnesota	L, 76-75	73	46%	Away		×
Sat Dec 8	33	Creighton	W, 77-75	74	59%	Home
Sun Dec 16	62	Oklahoma St.	W, 76-74	73	59%	Neutral
Sat Dec 22	137	Cal St. Fullerton	W, 81-68	73	87%	Home
Sat Dec 29	NR	SW Minnesota St.	W		100%	Home
Wed Jan 2	30	Maryland	L, 76-71	71	32%	Away		×
Sun Jan 6	35	Iowa	L, 80-76	74	35%	Away		×
Thu Jan 10	32	Penn St.	W, 73-71	72	59%	Home		×
Mon Jan 14	28	Indiana	L, 76-71	71	32%	Away		×
Thu Jan 17	13	Michigan St.	L, 75-74	71	47%	Home		×
Mon Jan 21	149	Rutgers	W, 73-67	71	70%	Away		×
Sat Jan 26	41	Ohio St.	W, 75-72	71	63%	Home		×
Tue Jan 29	20	Wisconsin	W, 72-71	69	51%	Home		×
Sat Feb 2	85	Illinois	W, 76-75	73	55%	Away		×
Wed Feb 6	30	Maryland	W, 75-73	71	57%	Home		×
Sat Feb 9	18	Purdue	L, 78-71	72	26%	Away		×
Wed Feb 13	60	Minnesota	W, 78-73	73	70%	Home		×
Sat Feb 16	58	Northwestern	W, 73-67	69	69%	Home		×
Tue Feb 19	32	Penn St.	L, 74-70	72	34%	Away		×
Sat Feb 23	18	Purdue	L, 76-75	72	49%	Home		×
Thu Feb 28	24	Michigan	L, 75-69	70	30%	Away		×
Tue Mar 5	13	Michigan St.	L, 78-70	71	24%	Away		×
Sun Mar 10	35	Iowa	W, 79-77	74	60%	Home		×
Projected record:							18-12	10-10
Chance of unbeaten record:							0.00%	0.00%
Chance of winless record:							0.00%	0.00%
Projected record is based on cumulative probabilities of winning each game and may not equal the sum of individual game predictions.
Home games played at Pinnacle Bank Arena (14,920, 32nd largest in D-I)
Home court advantage: 3.9 (32nd in D-I)

HuskerActuary · October 20, 2018

31 minutes ago, 49r said:

The KenPom preseason rankings are out! For today we'll start with each B1G team's rank to end the previous year (in parenthesis) and today's ranking. Remember, the teams on our schedule that made the postseason are color coded. NCAA teams are in Red and NIT teams in Blue.

Big movers in the offseason include Wisconsin (living on their recent long history of high KenPom rankings they slide in at #20). Iowa makes a surprise jump of over 50 spots (which I have no explanation for). Minnesota jumps almost SIXTY spots. They really were snakebit last year. Seton Hall takes a big tumble down the rankings. Not much else to say except @AuroranHusker called it, the 'skers crack the top 40. And with that, here we go!

KenPom rankings as of 10-20-17

==========================

B1G (0-0):

(6) -> 13. Michigan State

(5) -> 18. Purdue

(70) -> 20. Wisconsin
(7) -> 24. Michigan
(71) -> 28. Indiana

(39) -> 30. Maryland

(19) -> 32. Penn State

(88) -> 35. Iowa

(55) -> 38. Nebraska

(16) -> 41. Ohio State

(85) -> 58. Northwestern

(117) -> 60. Minnesota

(102) -> 85. Illinois

(130) -> 149. Rutgers

Non-Conference (0-0):

347. Mississippi Valley State

274. Southeastern Louisiana

---Gavitt Tip-Off---

54. Seton Hall

---Hall of Fame Classic---

198. Missouri State

26. / 61. Texas Tech / Southern Cal

244. Western Illinois

---B1G/ACC Challenge---

14. @Clemson

33. Creighton

---Sanford Pentagon--

62. Oklahoma State

137. Cal State Fullerton

n/a. Southwest Minnesota State

Thanks. I promise I won't hijack the thread to turn it into Bart Torvik rankings, but just thisonce I'm interested in how the preseason rankings compare.

Team: KenPom/BartTorvik

Michigan State: 13/8

Purdue: 18/45

Wisconsin: 20/26

Michigan: 24/20

Indiana: 28/25

Maryland: 30/41

Penn State: 32/54

Iowa: 35/40

Nebraska: 38/37

Ohio State: 41/42

Northwestern: 58/48

Minnesota: 60/76

Illinois: 85/46

Rutgers: 149/108

Nebraska is the team with the closest ranking between the two, along with Ohio State. Also, a surprisingly large difference for Purdue and Illinois.

Huskerpapa · October 20, 2018

With all due respect to 49r and others who contribute eloquently to this thread...I get p***ed off every time I see it, and force myself to peruse it. Perhaps as the season rolls forward, results will allow me to actually enjoy opening it up.

49r · October 20, 2018

49 minutes ago, HuskerActuary said:

Thanks. I promise I won't hijack the thread to turn it into Bart Torvik rankings, but just thisonce I'm interested in how the preseason rankings compare.

Team: KenPom/BartTorvik

Michigan State: 13/8

Purdue: 18/45

Wisconsin: 20/26

Michigan: 24/20

Indiana: 28/25

Maryland: 30/41

Penn State: 32/54

Iowa: 35/40

Nebraska: 38/37

Ohio State: 41/42

Northwestern: 58/48

Minnesota: 60/76

Illinois: 85/46

Rutgers: 149/108

Nebraska is the team with the closest ranking between the two, along with Ohio State. Also, a surprisingly large difference for Purdue and Illinois.

Feel free to contribute to this thread in any way you see fit. I have always said that the more data we add to this thread the better. T-Rank, RPI, Sagarin, whatever, it's always welcome here IMO. In fact I insist on it!

AuroranHusker · October 20, 2018

13 hours ago, 49r said:

The KenPom preseason rankings are out! For today we'll start with each B1G team's rank to end the previous year (in parenthesis) and today's ranking. Remember, the teams on our schedule that made the postseason are color coded. NCAA teams are in Red and NIT teams in Blue.

Big movers in the offseason include Wisconsin (living on their recent long history of high KenPom rankings they slide in at #20). Iowa makes a surprise jump of over 50 spots (which I have no explanation for). Minnesota jumps almost SIXTY spots. They really were snakebit last year. Seton Hall takes a big tumble down the rankings. Not much else to say except @AuroranHusker called it, the 'skers crack the top 40. And with that, here we go!

KenPom rankings as of 10-20-17

==========================

B1G (0-0):

(6) -> 13. Michigan State

(5) -> 18. Purdue

(70) -> 20. Wisconsin
(7) -> 24. Michigan
(71) -> 28. Indiana

(39) -> 30. Maryland

(19) -> 32. Penn State

(88) -> 35. Iowa

(55) -> 38. Nebraska

(16) -> 41. Ohio State

(85) -> 58. Northwestern

(117) -> 60. Minnesota

(102) -> 85. Illinois

(130) -> 149. Rutgers

Non-Conference (0-0):

347. Mississippi Valley State

274. Southeastern Louisiana

---Gavitt Tip-Off---

54. Seton Hall

---Hall of Fame Classic---

198. Missouri State

26. / 61. Texas Tech / Southern Cal

244. Western Illinois

---B1G/ACC Challenge---

14. @Clemson

33. Creighton

---Sanford Pentagon--

62. Oklahoma State

137. Cal State Fullerton

n/a. Southwest Minnesota State

Nailed it.

Now, time to prove it !!! GBR

What'd I win?

Edited October 21, 2018 by AuroranHusker

49r · October 20, 2018

I gotta say, looking at the schedule for the first time in KenPom I really like the way we're starting out the season. Good chance to build a lot of momentum going into January.

49r · October 20, 2018

So, the question for the room today is, if we go 18-12 (10-10) is that good enough to get us to the Dance? Keep in mind that 18-12 does not reflect game #2 in KC against either Tech or USC so the final record actually would be 19-12 or 18-13.

Chuck Taylor · October 20, 2018

1 hour ago, 49r said:

So, the question for the room today is, if we go 18-12 (10-10) is that good enough to get us to the Dance?

Yes. Think of us as one of those Big 12 teams last year that we complained about.

Edited October 20, 2018 by Chuck Taylor

Norm Peterson · October 20, 2018

3 hours ago, 49r said:

So, the question for the room today is, if we go 18-12 (10-10) is that good enough to get us to the Dance? Keep in mind that 18-12 does not reflect game #2 in KC against either Tech or USC so the final record actually would be 19-12 or 18-13.

It'll depend on how well the rest of the Big Ten teams do in their non-conference games.

tcp · October 21, 2018

On 10/20/2018 at 11:44 AM, 49r said:

So, the question for the room today is, if we go 18-12 (10-10) is that good enough to get us to the Dance? Keep in mind that 18-12 does not reflect game #2 in KC against either Tech or USC so the final record actually would be 19-12 or 18-13.

I think it'll be the same as last year: depends on how the record is earned. A bunch of wins against lower quadrant teams and losses against everything in the top two tiers we're looking at the same situation again.

We're going to need to beat some good teams, regardless of overall record. That's not changing this season.

hhcmatt · October 30, 2018

wut

The Jays lose the defensive player of the year and McD is going to finish with his best defensive numbers since Northern Iowa?!?!?

HuskerActuary · October 31, 2018

5 hours ago, hhcmatt said:

wut

The Jays lose the defensive player of the year and McD is going to finish with his best defensive numbers since Northern Iowa?!?!?

All hail Bart Torvik... who has Creighton's defense at #58.

TomEadesSucks · October 31, 2018

Forgot Creighton, how the hell is Iowa 35th?

Edit: NM, I thought Iowa's defensive rating was 35th, not their overall. Still just as screwy, though.

Edited October 31, 2018 by TomEadesSucks

49r · October 31, 2018

It's not KenPom, but SI ranks all 353 teams:

https://www.si.com/college-basketball/2018/10/31/college-hoops-rankings-every-team-kansas-duke-kentucky

Can Tim Miles take Nebraska (No. 27) back to the tournament for the first time since 2014, his second season in Lincoln? Another NIT trip would be tough to swallow for the Cornhuskers' senior core.

49r · November 2, 2018

No KenPom update today since it's just an exhibition. But...bump!

49r · November 6, 2018

Perusing KenPom this afternoon in prep for tonight's game, I noticed a couple of interesting things about MVSU.

1). They play something called "Rust" at the end of November, the only game they're favored in until mid-January

2). After they play us, they go to Lubbock to play Texas Tech this weekend...we may get a little bit to compare us with Tech for a potential matchup in KC

2019 Schedule

Game Plan | Opponent Tracker

Date	Opponent		Result			Location	Record	Conf
Tue Nov 6	38	Nebraska	L, 90-61	74	0.4%	Away
Fri Nov 9	25	Texas Tech	L, 89-57	72	0.2%	Away
Tue Nov 13	168	Utah St.	L, 86-67	75	4%	Away
Thu Nov 15	73	Utah	L, 87-61	73	1%	Away
Sat Nov 17	264	Robert Morris	L, 80-67	75	12%	Away
Tue Nov 20	267	Southeastern Louisiana	L, 76-70	73	30%	Home
Sun Nov 25	84	Illinois	L, 89-64	75	1%	Away
Wed Nov 28	NR	Rust	W		100%	Home
Sat Dec 1	227	Cal Baptist	L, 83-68	75	8%	Away
Tue Dec 4	306	Southeast Missouri St.	L, 79-76	75	40%	Home
Tue Dec 11	130	Louisiana Tech	L, 86-65	74	3%	Away
Thu Dec 13	193	Santa Clara	L, 81-65	72	7%	Away
Sun Dec 16	217	Hawaii	L, 81-66	74	8%	Away
Sat Dec 22	155	Grand Canyon	L, 84-65	75	4%	Away
Sat Jan 5	338	Arkansas Pine Bluff	L, 76-71	73	30%	Away		×
Sat Jan 12	350	Alabama A&M	W, 75-71	73	65%	Home		×
Mon Jan 14	321	Alabama St.	L, 76-74	75	43%	Home		×
Sat Jan 19	341	Alcorn St.	L, 76-71	74	32%	Away		×
Mon Jan 21	342	Southern	L, 76-71	74	33%	Away		×
Sat Jan 26	301	Prairie View A&M	L, 79-75	75	37%	Home		×
Mon Jan 28	277	Texas Southern	L, 80-75	76	31%	Home		×
Sat Feb 2	352	Jackson St.	L, 70-69	72	47%	Away		×
Mon Feb 4	307	Grambling St.	L, 81-71	76	18%	Away		×
Sat Feb 9	350	Alabama A&M	L, 75-72	73	41%	Away		×
Mon Feb 11	321	Alabama St.	L, 80-71	75	21%	Away		×
Sat Feb 16	341	Alcorn St.	W, 75-73	74	57%	Home		×
Mon Feb 18	342	Southern	W, 75-73	74	58%	Home		×
Sat Feb 23	301	Prairie View A&M	L, 82-72	75	17%	Away		×
Mon Feb 25	277	Texas Southern	L, 84-71	76	13%	Away		×
Sat Mar 2	352	Jackson St.	W, 73-66	72	71%	Home		×
Mon Mar 4	307	Grambling St.	L, 78-75	76	39%	Home		×
Sat Mar 9	338	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W, 74-73	73	55%	Home		×
Projected record:							9-23	7-11
Chance of unbeaten record:							0.00%	0.00%
Chance of winless record:							0.00%	0.01%

jayschool · November 6, 2018

I'm hoping they shake off the Rust in late November, not tonight.

18 minutes ago, 49r said:

Perusing KenPom this afternoon in prep for tonight's game, I noticed a couple of interesting things about MVSU.

1). They play something called "Rust" at the end of November, the only game they're favored in until mid-January

2). After they play us, they go to Lubbock to play Texas Tech this weekend...we may get a little bit to compare us with Tech for a potential matchup in KC

2019 Schedule

Game Plan | Opponent Tracker

Date Rk Opponent Result Location Record Conf
Tue Nov 6 38 Nebraska L, 90-61 74 0.4% Away
Fri Nov 9 25 Texas Tech L, 89-57 72 0.2% Away
Tue Nov 13 168 Utah St. L, 86-67 75 4% Away
Thu Nov 15 73 Utah L, 87-61 73 1% Away
Sat Nov 17 264 Robert Morris L, 80-67 75 12% Away
Tue Nov 20 267 Southeastern Louisiana L, 76-70 73 30% Home
Sun Nov 25 84 Illinois L, 89-64 75 1% Away
Wed Nov 28 NR Rust W 100% Home
Sat Dec 1 227 Cal Baptist L, 83-68 75 8% Away
Tue Dec 4 306 Southeast Missouri St. L, 79-76 75 40% Home
Tue Dec 11 130 Louisiana Tech L, 86-65 74 3% Away
Thu Dec 13 193 Santa Clara L, 81-65 72 7% Away
Sun Dec 16 217 Hawaii L, 81-66 74 8% Away
Sat Dec 22 155 Grand Canyon L, 84-65 75 4% Away
Sat Jan 5 338 Arkansas Pine Bluff L, 76-71 73 30% Away ×
Sat Jan 12 350 Alabama A&M W, 75-71 73 65% Home ×
Mon Jan 14 321 Alabama St. L, 76-74 75 43% Home ×
Sat Jan 19 341 Alcorn St. L, 76-71 74 32% Away ×
Mon Jan 21 342 Southern L, 76-71 74 33% Away ×
Sat Jan 26 301 Prairie View A&M L, 79-75 75 37% Home ×
Mon Jan 28 277 Texas Southern L, 80-75 76 31% Home ×
Sat Feb 2 352 Jackson St. L, 70-69 72 47% Away ×
Mon Feb 4 307 Grambling St. L, 81-71 76 18% Away ×
Sat Feb 9 350 Alabama A&M L, 75-72 73 41% Away ×
Mon Feb 11 321 Alabama St. L, 80-71 75 21% Away ×
Sat Feb 16 341 Alcorn St. W, 75-73 74 57% Home ×
Mon Feb 18 342 Southern W, 75-73 74 58% Home ×
Sat Feb 23 301 Prairie View A&M L, 82-72 75 17% Away ×
Mon Feb 25 277 Texas Southern L, 84-71 76 13% Away ×
Sat Mar 2 352 Jackson St. W, 73-66 72 71% Home ×
Mon Mar 4 307 Grambling St. L, 78-75 76 39% Home ×
Sat Mar 9 338 Arkansas Pine Bluff W, 74-73 73 55% Home ×
Projected record: 9-23 7-11
Chance of unbeaten record: 0.00% 0.00%
Chance of winless record: 0.00% 0.01%

Edited November 6, 2018 by jayschool

49r · November 7, 2018

Predicted margin of victory was 30 at tipoff. We won by 69. It's possible we'll move up a spot or two when the rankings are updated.

49r · November 7, 2018

Okay let's get right to it. It is no surprise that the game last night didn't move the KenPom needle all that much. We got a one spot bump in the rankings (good for 9th in the B1G) and most everyone else only moved a spot or two with a couple of exceptions.

Maryland dropped 4 spots with their close win over Delaware. Minnesota jumped 10 spots after an impressive win over UNO. Seton Hall jumped up 9 spots and Missouri State climbed up 26 spots! Those are the big movers today and with that, here we go!

KenPom rankings as of 11-07-18

==========================

B1G (0-0):

14. Michigan State

16. Purdue

19. Wisconsin

25. Michigan

27. Indiana

31. Penn State

34. Maryland

35. Iowa

37. Nebraska

41. Ohio State

50. Minnesota

55. Northwestern

83. Illinois

149. Rutgers

Non-Conference (1-0):

349. Mississippi Valley State - W

276. Southeastern Louisiana

---Gavitt Tip-Off---

45. Seton Hall

---Hall of Fame Classic---

172. Missouri State

21. / 56. Texas Tech / Southern Cal

232. Western Illinois

---B1G/ACC Challenge---

17. @Clemson

36. Creighton

---Sanford Pentagon--

62. Oklahoma State

134. Cal State Fullerton

n/a. Southwest Minnesota State

Edited November 16, 2018 by 49r

hhcmatt · November 7, 2018

KenPom keeps a records pages of your best/worst performances since he started tracking numbers.

We put in 7 updates on that page last night

two point % 71.9% - 8th best

defensive efficiency - 47.7 - 3rd best

eFG% - 19.9% - best

2 pt% - 22.6% - 8th best

3 pt% - 6.7% - 3rd best

Points for - 106 - 2nd best

Points against - 37 - 4th best

Norm Peterson · November 7, 2018

11 Big Ten teams in the top 50. Holy smokes.

49r · November 7, 2018

29 minutes ago, Norm Peterson said:

11 Big Ten teams in the top 50. Holy smokes.

It's gonna be a meat grinder.

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