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Nebraska on the Selection Committee Board

hhctony

By hhctony
in The Haymarket Hardwood

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hhcmatt
hhcmatt

What the heck are you talking about? It's ok to admit that they have a good program. They were impressively able to get out of the MVC and into the Big East. And then you're jumping all over the guy w

Ron Mexico
Ron Mexico

I want to kick Stewart Mandel in the nuts.

HuskerFever
HuskerFever

We didn't get in. Fine. But I will never forget how unsupportive the Big Ten and BTN were this season. Unforgettable.

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huskerbaseball13

huskerbaseball13

Posted
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, hhcdimes said:

http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/story/_/id/22371587/ncaa-men-basketball-selection-committee-apply-metrics-correctly

Anybody see the ESPN stats response to the Huskers question on twitter? BPI says if we win out before the Big Ten tournament we have a 99% chance of getting a bid. Lose just one and we have a 72% percent chance.  I would take that in a heartbeat. 

Edited by huskerbaseball13
Nebrasketball1979

Nebrasketball1979

Posted
Posted
20 minutes ago, royalfan said:

I don't understand how our predictive rankings are so low.  These is similar to what Vegas uses, and they have proven to be wrong all season.  Why isn't it adjusting?

 

Perhaps they are accounting for the long losing skids that has accompanied the end of the last few seasons and are expecting the other shoe to drop at any moment!  Most of us here strongly suspect that isn't going to happen but those who aren't invested nearly as heavily in Nebrasketball and seldom watch a Nebraska game likely just think we are on a nice, cute little run that will end very soon based on past performance.

royalfan

royalfan

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Nebrasketball1979 said:

 

Perhaps they are accounting for the long losing skids that has accompanied the end of the last few seasons and are expecting the other shoe to drop at any moment!  Most of us here strongly suspect that isn't going to happen but those who aren't invested nearly as heavily in Nebrasketball and seldom watch a Nebraska game likely just think we are on a nice, cute little run that will end very soon based on past performance.

 

Vegas line could account for that, but not a predictive computer ranking.  

Nebrasketball1979

Nebrasketball1979

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, royalfan said:

 

Vegas line could account for that, but not a predictive computer ranking.  

 

Completely agree but remember that humans with built in bias' program and populate the assumptions used in these computer models.  i strongly suspect the computer rankings are not capturing past collapses but hey, maybe these computers are based off artificial intelligence and are smarter than we give them credit for!

MichHusker

MichHusker

Posted
Posted

Another metric that plays to our favor that the committee will see in their packets for the 1st time this year: strength of record 

we rank 36th in the nation. Ahead of teams like Villanova, Purdue, and Ohio State. It’s not the perfect metric by any stretch, but nice to see we are looked at favorably 

HuskerActuary

HuskerActuary

Posted
Posted
14 minutes ago, MichHusker said:

Another metric that plays to our favor that the committee will see in their packets for the 1st time this year: strength of record 

we rank 36th in the nation. Ahead of teams like Villanova, Purdue, and Ohio State. It’s not the perfect metric by any stretch, but nice to see we are looked at favorably 

Good point. Our strength of record is pretty good. I would be interested to learn how much the committee uses the metrics at the top of the team sheets. Unfortunately the average of both the result-based metrics and the predictive-based metrics aren't very good compared to other bubble teams right now. KPI and BPI really bringing us down.

bigFRED

bigFRED

Posted
Posted

Conversation Topic...:

Nebraska 19-8 record, best wins vs. Michigan and Northwestern on the road, worst loss vs. #88 RPI Penn State on the road.

 

Creighton 18-7 record, best wins vs. Seton Hall, Butler, UCLA, and Us, Worst loss vs. #76 RPI Baylor.

 

Of course the RPI overrates their wins against Big East teams because of "how much better it is than the Big Ten" but our best win is better than theirs, and our worst loss is pretty similar. Similar record as well. They are a lock for the tournament and we are first four out. 

HuskerFever

HuskerFever

Posted
Posted
40 minutes ago, noahjb24 said:

Conversation Topic...:

Nebraska 19-8 record, best wins vs. Michigan and Northwestern on the road, worst loss vs. #88 RPI Penn State on the road.

 

Creighton 18-7 record, best wins vs. Seton Hall, Butler, UCLA, and Us, Worst loss vs. #76 RPI Baylor.

 

Of course the RPI overrates their wins against Big East teams because of "how much better it is than the Big Ten" but our best win is better than theirs, and our worst loss is pretty similar. Similar record as well. They are a lock for the tournament and we are first four out. 

 

But 20% of our schedule was against the bottom 10% of Division I college basketball. So that's what we get.

AuroranHusker

AuroranHusker

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, HuskerFever said:

 

But 20% of our schedule was against the bottom 10% of Division I college basketball. So that's what we get.

 

Unfortunately that is true. But, it's still a flawed process.

 

Personally, I think 'Momentum' should remain a factor, as in the "last 10."

Cookie Miller Wasn't Dirty

Cookie Miller Wasn't Dirty

Posted
Posted (edited)
6 minutes ago, AuroranHusker said:

 

Unfortunately that is true. But, it's still a flawed process.

 

Personally, I think 'Momentum' should remain a factor, as in the "last 10."

 

It’s definitely a factor. They might not look specifically at your record in your last ten, but they definitely watch games this month to get a feel for what kind of team you’ve become. This will be the biggest factor playing in our favor. This team has the capability of making a run in the tourney. The idea of them being relegated to the NIT makes me nauseous.

Edited by Cookie Miller Wasn't Dirty

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