Our Path to the Dance

[brfrad]

Palm just updated bracket this morning. Still has us as a 10 seed playing Memphis.

[Blindcheck]

Part of me would like the play in game.

Less wait for more basketball....and potentially more games....

I just really like watching them play.

[HuskerCager]

How we lost and when we lost makes this feel a lot worse than normal to the average fan.  Bottom line, we lost to the #24 on a neutral court by only 4 points.  I think what gets us in is a 10-3 record down the stretch.

[Timforthewin]

Jerry Palm still has us as a 10 seed. And playing Memphis. I'll take it

Edit: Sorry didn't see this above!

[Cazzie22]

Do I really have to pull for Duke against NC State?  OK, but not against Virginia!

[MikeWelch937]

CBS and USA Today have Nebraska safely in the round of 64. ESPN says Lunardi "correctly picks the field" when it comes to being in or out, which is true, but his track record when correctly picking seeds is less than stellar.

[The Coach]

CBS and USA Today have Nebraska safely in the round of 64. ESPN says Lunardi "correctly picks the field" when it comes to being in or out, which is true, but his track record when correctly picking seeds is less than stellar.

 

 

Yep, Lunardi still has Villanova as a #1 seed.  I wouldn't put too much stock in his seeding.

[GoBigRed]

CBS and USA Today have Nebraska safely in the round of 64. ESPN says Lunardi "correctly picks the field" when it comes to being in or out, which is true, but his track record when correctly picking seeds is less than stellar.

 

Correct. Lunardi is very average compared to others when it comes to projecting seeds.

[throwback]

Last night on Bracket Matrix, we were in 100 of 103 brackets ... this afternoon's update has us in 102 of 103 - 11 seed as the 6th to last at large team in, so that's good news as well - I think we're in, any upsets today or tomorrow just determine whether we avoid the First Four games. Should be a great party at PBA tomorrow!

 

By the way Iowa is a 10 seed on Bracket Matrix but is on 97 of 103 brackets, a lot of variance in what the bracket projectors think of Iowa, anywhere from an 8 seed to completely out. I'd be sweating a bit if I was a Iowa fan ... and they have more time to sweat now that they can't yell at their players on Twitter. 

[throwback]

Latest Bracket Matrix update has four fewer brackets for some reason - we're in on 98 of the 99.

 

Still a projected 11 seed, now 5th among the last teams in as at-larges in terms of average seed. Xavier passed us.

 

Appears as though the latest matrix update occurred just after St Joes & Tennessee games went final today - St Joes is 2 slots ahead of us, Tennessee is one slot below us.

 

Among the at-large teams below us, only two are still playing. Providence is the last team in (Big East final tonight), NC State is sixth team out (ACC semis now). Georgia is not on any brackets yet, but they could potentially be a bid stealer.

 

Really though most of the brackets agree on who's in and who's out. BYU is the 2nd to last at-large team in, and they're on 86 of 99 brackets. Providence is the last at large in, and they're on 68 of 99 brackets. Southern Miss is the first team out and they're on 28 of 99 brackets. Minnesota is in on 18 of 99 brackets and they're the 2nd team out. So pretty good agreement among the sample.

 

So if you believe in the Bracket Matrix's idea of sampling a large number of bracket predictions to come up with the most accurate projection, we look very strong to be in, and look pretty good to avoid the First 4 games. 

 

Iowa is still a projected 10 seed, but is on only 93 of the 99 brackets.

[hskr4life]

I would be sweating if I was an Iowa fan.... I think we are likely to get in ahead of them.

[throwback]

New Bracket Matrix update - NU still on 98 of 99 brackets, as high as a 9 on five brackets, as low as a 13 on one, and then of course out on one.

 

NU still averages out to an 11 seed, fifth of last at-large teams in, Tennessee passed us, but we passed Xavier. St Joes is 3 spots ahead of us now.

 

Providence is the last team in, so according to this they may need to either win the auto bid tonight vs the Blue Birds or at least play a very close game to stay in as an at-large. If they would lose badly, it could be tight for that last spot on the Matrix between them, Southern Miss and Minnesota.

 

Maybe 20% of the brackets in the Matrix have not been updated today yet.

[uneblinstu]

Palm has us as a 10 seed, still vs. Memphis opposite Kansas in St. Louis. Has Iowa "On the Bubble". NU doesn't have that designation.

[throwback]

And Palm's latest update has us solidly in as a 10, no First 4 game. He has 7 teams listed as in but on the bubble, but we are not one of them. Iowa is also a 10 but is on the bubble. I think it's just really tough to know what to do with them. Some good wins, but poor RPI and late season collapse. 

 

Last four in: SMU, Providence, Tennessee, BYU
First four out: Missouri, Arkansas, Minnesota, UW Green Bay

 

http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/bracketology

 

EDIT: Sorry uneblinstu beat me to it. 

[Ron Mexico]

How we lost and when we lost makes this feel a lot worse than normal to the average fan.  Bottom line, we lost to the #24 on a neutral court by only 4 points.  I think what gets us in is a 10-3 record down the stretch.

That 10-3 record down the stretch has not been considered by the committee since about 2010.

[nuled2dance]

Xavier at 21-12 should go to Dayton

[Ron Mexico]

Lunardi and ESPN have us in the play in game against Dayton, and possibly on the the outside looking in.

CBS has us as 10 playing Memphis.

[Blackshirt83]

Meh, We're fine. I think 10 seed in St. Louis is probably right. Providence killed Southern Miss and BYU goes to Dayton.

There are about seven teams that have far more sweating to do than us... and that doesn't even include Iowa.

JMO