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Posted

These updates just keep getting more fun to do all the time!  We've managed to pass up nearly half the conference now, and if you'll notice we're creeping up on future B1G Maryland  (and we would have done so this weekend, but their game with Duke propelled them up about 10 spots in spite of losing).  We're 25 spots behind Minnesota right now.  Can we pass them by the end of the season???

 

Here is today's KenPom update:

 

Kenpom rankings as of 2-17-14.
==============================


B1G (6-6):
8. Iowa - L
12. Wisconsin
13. Ohio State - L, W
15. Michigan - L, L
18. Michigan State - W
37. Minnesota - W

62. Nebraska

75. Indiana - W

92. Illinois - W

94. Purdue - L

95. Penn State - L

115. Northwestern - W


Non-Conference (8-4):
183. Florida Gulf Coast - W
256. Western Illinois - W
339. South Carolina State - W

---Charleston Classic---
44. UMass - L
154. UAB - L
98. Georgia - W

225. Northern Illinois - W

---B1G/ACC Challenge---
82. Miami - W

4. @Creighton - L
143. Arkansas State - W
350. The Citadel - W
25. @Cincinnati - L

Other teams of interest:
52. Maryland (14-12)
166. Omaha (15-11)

181. Rutgers (10-16)

Posted

NCAA RPI rankings thru Feb 17:

http://www.ncaa.com/rankings/basketball-men/d1/ncaa-mens-basketball-rpi

 

BIG TEN

6. Wisconsin (+1 spots from last week)

15. Ohio State (+1) - L, W
16. Michigan (+1) - L, L

18. Michigan State (-8) - W
24. Iowa (-1) - L
33. Minnesota (+8) - W

53. Nebraska (+16)

91. Illinois (-21) - W

102. Indiana (-24) - W 

104. Northwestern (-6) - W

108. Purdue (-1) - L

112. Penn State (+2) - L

Non-Conference

8. Creighton (+5) - L

14. Cincinnati (E) - L

19. UMass (-8) - L
88. Georgia (+25) - W
116. Miami (-4) - W
155. Florida Gulf Coast (+14) - W
165. UAB (+9) - L
173. Arkansas State (+18) - W
209. Northern Illinois (-6) - W
274. Western Illinois (-12) - W
327. South Carolina State (+8) - W
348. The Citadel (-1) - W

 

  • NU vs Top 25: 2-7
  • NU vs Top 50: 3-7
  • NU vs Top 100: 5-7
  • NU vs Top 150: 8-9

 

  • NU vs 25-50: 1-0
  • NU vs 25-75: 1-0
  • NU vs 25-100: 3-0
  • NU vs 50-100: 2-0
  • NU vs 50-150: 5-2
  • NU vs 101-200: 5-3
  • NU vs 150+: 6-1
  • NU vs 200+: 4-0
Posted

Had no idea at the time that UAB loss would hurt so much.  Could that end up being the thing that keeps us out of the NCAAs?  Damn, I sure do hope not.  But it is the outlier.  No other loss remotely as bad.  And on a neutral floor, too.  Egad.

Posted

The only other losses to teams outside the RPI top 100 were true road games to teams not far outside the top 100.

 

UAB is a neutral-floor loss to a team outside the top 150.  Blech.  They must have been playing way over their heads that day.  Plus, with all our new guys, we were still trying to get used to each other.  If they truly belong that far outside the top 100 teams, there's no way that happens at this point of the season. 

 

But it's on our record.  So ...

Posted

Taken from RPI Forecast this morning.

 

Odds are VERY favorable now for us to get to the magic .500 mark and the NIT.

 

Final Record=====Expected RPI=====Probability

20-10----------------35.5-------------------0.02%

19-11----------------43.0-------------------0.64%

18-12----------------53.0-------------------4.42%

17-13----------------64.4------------------14.11%

16-14----------------77.5------------------24.34%

15-15----------------92.3------------------27.59%

14-16---------------109.0------------------18.99%

13-17---------------128.2-------------------8.08%

12-18---------------147.2-------------------1.61%

11-19---------------164.8-------------------0.19%

 

4.42% chance on Jan 31, huh? I wonder what the probabilities look like now...

Posted

 

Taken from RPI Forecast this morning.

 

Odds are VERY favorable now for us to get to the magic .500 mark and the NIT.

 

Final Record=====Expected RPI=====Probability

20-10----------------35.5-------------------0.02%

19-11----------------43.0-------------------0.64%

18-12----------------53.0-------------------4.42%

17-13----------------64.4------------------14.11%

16-14----------------77.5------------------24.34%

15-15----------------92.3------------------27.59%

14-16---------------109.0------------------18.99%

13-17---------------128.2-------------------8.08%

12-18---------------147.2-------------------1.61%

11-19---------------164.8-------------------0.19%

 

4.42% chance on Jan 31, huh? I wonder what the probabilities look like now...

 

Final Record         Expected RPI          Probability          

20-10                           36.3                    1.07%

19-11                           45.9                    9.87%

18-12                           57.6                    25.65%

17-13                           71.2                    33.93%  

16-14                           83.6                    21.68%

15-15                           96.2                    6.89%  

14-16                          111.6                   0.90%

Posted

It's getting to that time of year where I feel like I want to do pre game KenPom updates as well as post game.  So here it is.  With Minnesota's loss last night we are now within striking distance of them, just keep winning baby!

 

Here is today's KenPom update:

 

Kenpom rankings as of 2-20-14.
==============================


B1G (6-6):
6. Iowa - L
13. Wisconsin
14. Ohio State - L, W
17. Michigan - L, L
18. Michigan State - W
50. Minnesota - W

61. Nebraska

71. Illinois - W

74. Indiana - W

94. Penn State - L

95. Purdue - L

120. Northwestern - W


Non-Conference (8-4):
180. Florida Gulf Coast - W
256. Western Illinois - W
339. South Carolina State - W

---Charleston Classic---
43. UMass - L
154. UAB - L
101. Georgia - W

226. Northern Illinois - W

---B1G/ACC Challenge---
84. Miami - W

2. @Creighton - L
140. Arkansas State - W
350. The Citadel - W
20. @Cincinnati - L

Other teams of interest:
49. Maryland (15-12)
167. Omaha (15-11)

179. Rutgers (10-16)

 
Posted

 

It's getting to that time of year where I feel like I want to do pre game KenPom updates as well as post game.  So here it is.  With Minnesota's loss last night we are now within striking distance of them, just keep winning baby!

 

We're also to the point where a 1-3 point win over Penn St might see us drop a few spots.  Good times!

Posted

Does anyone know what RPI the Committee actually looks at? In other words, when they sit down in their war room and have their summaries of each team in front of them, which website's RPI is smack dab on that sheet?

Posted

Does anyone know what RPI the Committee actually looks at? In other words, when they sit down in their war room and have their summaries of each team in front of them, which website's RPI is smack dab on that sheet?

Do we know if they use any "sheet"?

Posted

 

 

It's getting to that time of year where I feel like I want to do pre game KenPom updates as well as post game.  So here it is.  With Minnesota's loss last night we are now within striking distance of them, just keep winning baby!

 

We're also to the point where a 1-3 point win over Penn St might see us drop a few spots.  Good times!

 

But it would still keep us in range of the bubble.

Posted

UAB moves up 9 spots.  MSU and Michigan flip flop...again...and we're creeping ever closer to moving ahead of Minnesota!

 

Here is today's KenPom update:

 

Kenpom rankings as of 2-21-14.
==============================


B1G (7-6):
6. Iowa - L
13. Wisconsin
14. Ohio State - L, W
17. Michigan State - W
18. Michigan - L, L
50. Minnesota - W

59. Nebraska

73. Illinois - W

75. Indiana - W

96. Penn State - L, W

98. Purdue - L

120. Northwestern - W


Non-Conference (8-4):
179. Florida Gulf Coast - W
250. Western Illinois - W
337. South Carolina State - W

---Charleston Classic---
43. UMass - L
145. UAB - L
103. Georgia - W

221. Northern Illinois - W

---B1G/ACC Challenge---
80. Miami - W

2. @Creighton - L
131. Arkansas State - W
350. The Citadel - W
21. @Cincinnati - L

Other teams of interest:
49. Maryland (15-12)
165. Omaha (15-12)

175. Rutgers (10-17)

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