KenPom 2019-2020 KenPom Rankings Thread

[49r]

Up to #142.  Ken back to predicting 10 wins for this team.

[AuroranHusker]

1 minute ago, 49r said:

Up to #142.  Ken back to predicting 10 wins for this team.

 

Nebraska's nearly half-way there, that doesn't appear to show improvement being made from day 1 to now six weeks into the season - oh well, I'm still hoping for more than 10, or should I say, less than 20 losses.  

[49r]

Not much change at all, South Dakota State is creeping up the rankings.  Interesting little tidbit today, Ken gives us an almost 1 in 100 shot of going winless for the season:

Projected record:								10-21	4-16
Chance of unbeaten record:									0.00%
Chance of winless record:									0.9%

 

Not sure how he figures that.  Here's today's KenPom update.

 

 

---

 

 

KenPom rankings as of 11-28-19
==========================

 

B1G (0-0):
1. Michigan State
6. Ohio State
10. Purdue
15. Maryland
24. Michigan
26. Indiana
30. Penn State
39. Illinois
55. Iowa
61. Wisconsin
74. Minnesota
79. Rutgers
103. Northwestern
143. Nebraska

 

Non-Conference (4-3):
232. UC Riverside - L
156. Southern Utah - L
188. South Dakota State - W
337. Southern - W

 

---Cayman Islands Classic---
154. Washington State - W
126. George Mason - L
140. South Florida - W

 

---B1G/ACC Challenge---
63. @Georgia Tech

 

50. @Creighton
290. North Dakota
306. Texas A&M Corpus Christi

[jimmykc]

You mean, we have a chance? 

[49r]

Down one spot to #144.

[49r]

Big Ten is the top-ranked conference now, and it's not even close.

 

Ranking of conferences by AdjEM of team that's expected to go .500 in conference play

Conference		Rating	Conference		Rating
1	Big Ten Conference	+16.68	17	Colonial Athletic Association	-2.71
2	Big 12 Conference	+16.35	18	Summit League	-3.55
3	Big East Conference	+15.31	19	Patriot League	-4.74
4	Atlantic Coast Conference	+14.11	20	Horizon League	-4.75
5	Southeastern Conference	+13.24	21	Western Athletic Conference	-5.02
6	Pac 12 Conference	+10.94	22	Big West Conference	-5.21
7	American Athletic Conference	+8.81	23	Big Sky Conference	-6.50
8	Atlantic 10 Conference	+4.41	24	Atlantic Sun Conference	-6.99
9	West Coast Conference	+3.87	25	America East Conference	-7.17
10	Mountain West Conference	+3.32	26	Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference	-7.36
11	Mid American Conference	+2.02	27	Ohio Valley Conference	-7.58
12	Missouri Valley Conference	+0.83	28	Big South Conference	-8.63
13	Ivy League	-0.20	29	Northeast Conference	-9.21
14	Conference USA	-0.78	30	Southland Conference	-10.29
15	Southern Conference	-0.92	31	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-15.84
16	Sun Belt Conference	-1.55	32	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-16.67

 

 

Here's today's KenPom update.

 

 

---

 

 

KenPom rankings as of 12-05-19
==========================

 

B1G (0-0):
2. Ohio State
4. Michigan State
5. Purdue
7. Maryland
13. Michigan
20. Indiana
23. Penn State
39. Iowa
44. Illinois
60. Wisconsin
66. Minnesota
76. Rutgers
98. Northwestern
146. Nebraska

 

Non-Conference (4-4):
228. UC Riverside - L
168. Southern Utah - L
177. South Dakota State - W
336. Southern - W

 

---Cayman Islands Classic---
156. Washington State - W
121. George Mason - L
134. South Florida - W

 

---B1G/ACC Challenge---
69. @Georgia Tech - L

 

56. @Creighton
244. North Dakota
310. Texas A&M Corpus Christi

[HuskerFever]

It's too bad the Big Ten is down this year...

[aphilso1]

@49r thanks for continuing to do this.  It's a painful year to track, but I for one look forward to this thread's updates (not sure about the rest of these HHCC putzes though ).

[hskr4life]

10 hours ago, 49r said:

Big Ten is the top-ranked conference now, and it's not even close.

 

Ranking of conferences by AdjEM of team that's expected to go .500 in conference play

Conference		Rating	Conference		Rating
1	Big Ten Conference	+16.68	17	Colonial Athletic Association	-2.71
2	Big 12 Conference	+16.35	18	Summit League	-3.55
3	Big East Conference	+15.31	19	Patriot League	-4.74
4	Atlantic Coast Conference	+14.11	20	Horizon League	-4.75
5	Southeastern Conference	+13.24	21	Western Athletic Conference	-5.02
6	Pac 12 Conference	+10.94	22	Big West Conference	-5.21
7	American Athletic Conference	+8.81	23	Big Sky Conference	-6.50
8	Atlantic 10 Conference	+4.41	24	Atlantic Sun Conference	-6.99
9	West Coast Conference	+3.87	25	America East Conference	-7.17
10	Mountain West Conference	+3.32	26	Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference	-7.36
11	Mid American Conference	+2.02	27	Ohio Valley Conference	-7.58
12	Missouri Valley Conference	+0.83	28	Big South Conference	-8.63
13	Ivy League	-0.20	29	Northeast Conference	-9.21
14	Conference USA	-0.78	30	Southland Conference	-10.29
15	Southern Conference	-0.92	31	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-15.84
16	Sun Belt Conference	-1.55	32	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-16.67

 

 

Here's today's KenPom update.

 

 

---

 

 

KenPom rankings as of 12-05-19
==========================

 

B1G (0-0):
2. Ohio State
4. Michigan State
5. Purdue
7. Maryland
13. Michigan
20. Indiana
23. Penn State
39. Iowa
44. Illinois
60. Wisconsin
66. Minnesota
76. Rutgers
98. Northwestern
146. Nebraska

 

Non-Conference (4-4):
228. UC Riverside - L
168. Southern Utah - L
177. South Dakota State - W
336. Southern - W

 

---Cayman Islands Classic---
156. Washington State - W
121. George Mason - L
134. South Florida - W

 

---B1G/ACC Challenge---
69. @Georgia Tech - L

 

56. @Creighton
244. North Dakota
310. Texas A&M Corpus Christi

 

My initial thought.... "Look at all those Quad 1 opportunities!"  

[49r]

We're down to #156

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[jimmykc]

With a bullet.

[hskr4life]

2 hours ago, 49r said:

We're down to #156

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 Creighton was so excited for what amounts to what... a Q3 win.  Pshhhh!

[jayschool]

14 hours ago, 49r said:

We're down to #156

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Gravity sucks.

[49r]

I guess I should keep doing these for posterity's sake...but one postive note I guess is this.  We're so bad that even blowing us out can't stop Creighton from dropping.  Take that, Creighton!

 

Here's today's KenPom update.

 

 

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KenPom rankings as of 12-08-19
==========================

 

B1G (0-0):
1. Ohio State
4. Michigan State
6. Purdue
8. Maryland
12. Michigan
26. Penn State
28. Indiana
39. Iowa
43. Illinois
48. Wisconsin
63. Minnesota
75. Rutgers
99. Northwestern
154. Nebraska

 

Non-Conference (4-5
226. UC Riverside - L
173. Southern Utah - L
198. South Dakota State - W
338. Southern - W

 

---Cayman Islands Classic---
144. Washington State - W
121. George Mason - L
124. South Florida - W

 

---B1G/ACC Challenge---
93. @Georgia Tech - L

 

57. @Creighton - L
244. North Dakota
304. Texas A&M Corpus Christi

[49r]

Up to #149

[49r]

Iowa jumps Indiana and Rutgers moves ahead of Minnesota and Nebraska makes a slight move up to #149.  Nobody moves more than 2 or 3 spots from their previous ranking.  Ken has Nebraska going 9-22 (3-17) and gives us a 2.3% chance of not winning a single conference game.

 

Here's today's KenPom update.

 

 

---

 

 

KenPom rankings as of 12-14-19
==========================

 

B1G (0-1)
1. Ohio State
4. Michigan State
6. Purdue
9. Maryland
17. Michigan
23. Penn State
24. Iowa
31. Indiana - L
37. Illinois
55. Wisconsin
69. Rutgers
76. Minnesota
99. Northwestern
149. Nebraska

 

Non-Conference (4-5)
223. UC Riverside - L
171. Southern Utah - L
197. South Dakota State - W
340. Southern - W

 

---Cayman Islands Classic---
144. Washington State - W
120. George Mason - L
125. South Florida - W

 

---B1G/ACC Challenge---
93. @Georgia Tech - L

 

54. @Creighton - L
247. North Dakota
305. Texas A&M Corpus Christi

[jimmykc]

I always find KenPom's ratings confusing. Does he consider how badly we are beaten or whether it is a home or away game in assigning a number? And does this mean that if we manage lose all of our Big 10 games, we will continue our inexorable rise toward the top?

[49r]

Up 21 spots to #128.

 

Folks, at this time of year that's a MASSIVE jump!

[Norm Peterson]

On 12/14/2019 at 11:31 AM, 49r said:

Iowa jumps Indiana and Rutgers moves ahead of Minnesota and Nebraska makes a slight move up to #149.  Nobody moves more than 2 or 3 spots from their previous ranking.  Ken has Nebraska going 9-22 (3-17) and gives us a 2.3% chance of not winning a single conference game.

 

Make that a zero percent chance.

[49r]

If you had told me before the season that we would be 1-1 after the first weekend of Big Ten play, I would have been really excited about the potential for the season.  If you had told me that a month ago I would have said you were clearly insane.  But here we are, and there still hasn't been a road win by any team in conference play.

 

The next couple of games is going to be as good of a measure as any how much this team has progressed since the season started, North Dakota and Texas A&M CC are the same type of competition as UC Riverside and Southern.  Can we get to January with 7 wins?  That will make the path to fewer than 20 losses a possibility, which in my mind should be considered the goal for the season right now.

 

One final note this morning; I had a dream about Coach Hoiberg last night.  I may be unwell.

 

Here's today's KenPom update.

 

 

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KenPom rankings as of 12-16-19
==========================

 

B1G (1-1)
1. Ohio State
5. Michigan State
8. Maryland
11. Purdue - W
18. Michigan
21. Iowa
24. Penn State
30. Indiana - L
39. Illinois
53. Wisconsin
59. Rutgers
64. Minnesota
101. Northwestern
128. Nebraska

 

Non-Conference (4-5)
219. UC Riverside - L
175. Southern Utah - L
195. South Dakota State - W
336. Southern - W

 

---Cayman Islands Classic---
136. Washington State - W
121. George Mason - L
120. South Florida - W

 

---B1G/ACC Challenge---
93. @Georgia Tech - L

 

52. @Creighton - L
250. North Dakota
298. Texas A&M Corpus Christi

[Nebrasketball1979]

56 minutes ago, 49r said:

If you had told me before the season that we would be 1-1 after the first weekend of Big Ten play, I would have been really excited about the potential for the season.  If you had told me that a month ago I would have said you were clearly insane.  But here we are, and there still hasn't been a road win by any team in conference play.

 

The next couple of games is going to be as good of a measure as any how much this team has progressed since the season started, North Dakota and Texas A&M CC are the same type of competition as UC Riverside and Southern.  Can we get to January with 7 wins?  That will make the path to fewer than 20 losses a possibility, which in my mind should be considered the goal for the season right now.

 

And to think that we were a few missed free throws down the stretch against Indiana from potentially being 2-0 in conference with 2 Quad 1 wins....which would be 2 more quad 1 wins than several bubble teams on selection Sunday.  No, I'm not saying this is anything close to a bubble team but this team has shown they should be able to compete most nights against anyone in the BIG.....which is a far cry from where i thought this thing was heading after the first 20 minutes in Omaha!!!!!

[hskr4life]

Made our debut at #153 in the NET.  Wonder where that number is had we lost yesterday?

 

Purdue sits at #44

[49r]

The next couple of games is going to be as good of a measure as any how much this team has progressed since the season started, North Dakota and Texas A&M CC are the same type of competition as UC Riverside and Southern.

So, I guess the answer is we haven't progressed. No corners turned, damn.


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[49r]

Down to #139

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[49r]

Was traveling yesterday so the update is a bit late.  But remember that whatever happens for the rest of the year, no matter what, we'll always have Purdue!  Also, Minnesota is shooting up like a rocket, sending Wisco into 11th.

 

Here's today's KenPom update.

 

 

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KenPom rankings as of 12-23-19
==========================

 

B1G (1-1)
1. Ohio State
5. Michigan State
8. Maryland
11. Michigan
13. Purdue - W
20. Iowa
24. Penn State
34. Indiana - L
45. Minnesota
46. Illinois
51. Wisconsin
53. Rutgers
100. Northwestern
139. Nebraska

 

Non-Conference (4-6)
227. UC Riverside - L
156. Southern Utah - L
173. South Dakota State - W
335. Southern - W

 

---Cayman Islands Classic---
142. Washington State - W
114. George Mason - L
115. South Florida - W

 

---B1G/ACC Challenge---
105. @Georgia Tech - L

 

47. @Creighton - L
232. North Dakota - L
295. Texas A&M Corpus Christi