2019 B1G Tourney Projection

throwback · March 6, 2019

Not surprisingly, the news is not good for dear ol' NU. We are locked into playing Wednesday, and it's looking like a date with PSU is on tap.

Still a chance we could get to the #11 seed and play NW, which would be far more preferable.

Michigan St (15-4)

--Remaining: vs Mich

Best: #1
Worst: #3
Most Likely: #1

Purdue (15-4)

--Remaining: at NW

Best: #2
Worst: #3
Most Likely: #2

Michigan (15-4)

--Remaining: at MSU

Best: #1
Worst: #3
Most Likely: #3

Maryland (12-7)

--Remaining: vs Minn

Best: #4
Worst: #5
Most Likely: #4

Wisconsin (12-6)

--Remaining: vs Iowa, at OSU

Best: #4
Worst: #6
Most Likely: #5

Iowa (10-8)

--Remaining: at Wisc, at NU

Best: #5
Worst: #8
Most Likely: #6

Ohio St (8-10)

--Remaining: at NW, vs Wisc

Best: #7
Worst: #10
Most Likely: #7

Minnesota (9-10)

--Remaining: at Mary

Best: #6
Worst: #9
Most Likely: #8

Illinois (7-11)

--Remaining: vs Ind, at PSU

Best: #7
Worst: #12
Most Likely: #9

Rutgers (7-11)

--Remaining: vs PSU, at Ind

Best: #7
Worst: #12
Most Likely: #10

Indiana (6-12)

--Remaining: at Ill, vs Rutg

Best: #9
Worst: #13
Most Likely: #11

Penn St (5-13)

--Remaining: at Rutg, vs Ill

Best: #10
Worst: #13
Most Likely: #12

Nebraska (5-14)

--Remaining: vs Iowa

Best: #11 (W vs Iowa, 2 losses by Ind, 1 loss by PSU)
Worst: #13
Most Likely: #13

Northwestern (3-15)

--Remaining: vs OSU, vs Pur

#14 Seed

----

MOST LIKELY BRACKET (as of Tuesday)

----------------------------9 lll __________Winner

----------------------------8 Minn 1 Mich St

12 PSU/13 NU ---Winner ________Winner

---------------------------5 Wisc 4 Mary

--------------------------10 Rut ________Winner

--------------------------7 OSU 2 Pur

14 NW/11 Ind ---Winner ________Winner

--------------------------6 Iowa 3 Mich

throwback · March 6, 2019

Because Indiana, PSU, Rutgers and Illinois basically have a round-robin in the final week, their seeds are pretty fluid. I'd imagine they'll all go 1-1 vs each other, but if Indiana gets swept, that helps us.

Edited March 6, 2019 by throwback

jason2486 · March 6, 2019

If that bracket holds, I don't hate the 2nd/3rd round matchups, although Fernando is a load.

But the way we have been for 2 months, it really doesn't matter most likely.

Edited March 6, 2019 by jason2486

hskr4life · March 6, 2019

10 minutes ago, jason2486 said:

If that bracket holds, I don't hate the 2nd/3rd round matchups, although Fernando is a load.

But the way we have been for 2 months, it really doesn't matter most likely.

I was going to say... if we want to make a run... that bracket is far more likely.

FredsSlacks · March 6, 2019

we're 2-8 without copeland. hard for me to imagine a world where we go 5-0 in the big10 tournament.

AuroranHusker · March 6, 2019

51 minutes ago, TimSmiles said:

we're 2-8 without copeland. hard for me to imagine a world where we go 5-0 in the big10 tournament.

I'd take a W over Iowa, then 1-1 in the B1G tourney at this stage. That's a winning season, albeit ending with a proverbial thud at 17-16.

tcp · March 6, 2019

2 hours ago, AuroranHusker said:

I'd take a W over Iowa, then 1-1 in the B1G tourney at this stage. That's a winning season, albeit ending with a proverbial thud at 17-16.

nothing proverbial about that thud. that would be a 4-12 record over the back half. That's a literal thud. :)

HuskerFever · March 6, 2019

5 hours ago, AuroranHusker said:

I'd take a W over Iowa, then 1-1 in the B1G tourney at this stage. That's a winning season, albeit ending with a proverbial thud at 17-16.

That would be a winning season and 1 game over 0.500 for Miles at Nebraska.

colhusker · March 6, 2019

7 hours ago, TimSmiles said:

we're 2-8 without copeland. hard for me to imagine a world where we go 5-0 in the big10 tournament.

I doubt that there is anyone here that thinks we will go 5-0 in the tourney. That said, we can always hope!!! :)

throwback · March 6, 2019

24 minutes ago, colhusker said:

I doubt that there is anyone here that thinks we will go 5-0 in the tourney. That said, we can always hope!!! :)

Maybe the other 13 teams don't get the memo and show up at Madison Square Garden again as a tribute to Delaney retiring.

Well, make that 12. We're probably OK if Northwestern shows up in Chicago.

hskr4life · March 6, 2019

1 hour ago, throwback said:

Maybe the other 13 teams don't get the memo and show up at Madison Square Garden again as a tribute to Delaney retiring.

Well, make that 12. We're probably OK if Northwestern shows up in Chicago.

Do ya really want to chance that?

AuroranHusker · March 6, 2019

6 hours ago, tcp said:

nothing proverbial about that thud. that would be a 4-12 record over the back half. That's a literal thud. :)

It's a turd of a thud.

colhusker · March 6, 2019

2 hours ago, throwback said:

Maybe the other 13 teams don't get the memo and show up at Madison Square Garden again as a tribute to Delaney retiring.

Well, make that 12. We're probably OK if Northwestern shows up in Chicago.

Now THAT was funny. Sad thing, we beat Northwestern on Day 1 and some how Iowa figures it out and comes and ruins our party.

AuroranHusker · March 6, 2019

Let's beat Iowa first, on Sunday. Then go from there. GBR !!!

PimpMario · March 7, 2019

On 3/5/2019 at 9:26 PM, Bill Self's Toupee said:

Damnit. The ONE team out of the bottom 4 that I did not want us to deal with... the Nittany Lions. Was really hoping for a game against Northwestern.

I honestly don't want this thing dragging into Thursday.

throwback · March 8, 2019

PSU Wednesday and Indiana Thursday winning on the road certainly changed the look of the projected bracket.

One game left for each conference team, so things are pretty clear now.

We are now locked into #13. (Sigh. I remember at one point this season wondering if we'd be wearing red or white in the NCAA first round. Now we're wearing red on Wednesday of the B1G Tourney. Unbelievable.)
It's now more likely we'll play Rutgers Wednesday.
If RU somehow wins at Indiana, then we'd play the Illinois at PSU loser.
If we win Wednesday, our Thurs/Friday opponents will be Wisconsin and Maryland, but the order in which we'd play them is still up in the air.

Michigan St (15-4)

--Remaining: vs Mich

Best: #1
Worst: #3
Most Likely: #1

Purdue (15-4)

--Remaining: at NW

Best: #2
Worst: #3
Most Likely: #2

Michigan (15-4)

--Remaining: at MSU

Best: #1
Worst: #3
Most Likely: #3

Maryland (12-7)

--Remaining: vs Minn

Best: #4
Worst: #5
Most Likely: #4

Wisconsin (13-6)

--Remaining: at OSU

Best: #4
Worst: #5
Most Likely: #5

Iowa (10-9)

--Remaining: at NU

Best: #6
Worst: #7
Most Likely: #6

Ohio St (8-11)

--Remaining: vs Wisc

Best: #7
Worst: #9
Most Likely: #7

Minnesota (9-10)

--Remaining: at Mary

Best: #6
Worst: #8
Most Likely: #8

Indiana (7-12)

--Remaining: vs Rutg

Best: #9
Worst: #11
Most Likely: #9

Penn St (6-13)

--Remaining: vs Ill

Best: #10
Worst: #12
Most Likely: #10

Illinois (7-12)

--Remaining: at PSU

Best: #8
Worst: #12
Most Likely: #11

Rutgers (7-12)

--Remaining: at Ind

Best: #9
Worst: #12
Most Likely: #12

Nebraska (5-14)

--Remaining: vs Iowa

#13 Seed

Northwestern (4-15)

--Remaining: vs Pur

#14 Seed

----

MOST LIKELY BRACKET (as of Thursday) / assuming all home teams win, other than Purdue at NW

------------------------------------9 lnd ________Winner

------------------------------------8 Minn 1 Mich St

12 Rutg/13 NU -----------Winner ______Winner

------------------------------------5 Wisc 4 Mary

-----------------------------------10 PSU ______Winner

-----------------------------------7 OSU 2 Pur

14 NW/11 Ill --------------Winner ______Winner

-----------------------------------6 Iowa 3 Mich

hskr4life · March 8, 2019

Just now, throwback said:

PSU Wednesday and Indiana Thursday winning on the road certainly changed the look of the projected bracket.

One game left for each conference team, so things are pretty clear now.

We are now locked into #13. (Sigh. I remember at one point this season wondering if we'd be wearing red or white in the NCAA first round. Now we're wearing red on Wednesday of the B1G Tourney. Unbelievable.)

It's now more likely we'll play Rutgers Wednesday.

If RU somehow wins at Indiana, then we'd play the Illinois at PSU loser.

If we win Wednesday, our Thurs/Friday opponents will be Wisconsin and Maryland, but the order in which we'd play them is still up in the air.

Michigan St (15-4)

--Remaining: vs Mich

Best: #1

Worst: #3

Most Likely: #1

Purdue (15-4)

--Remaining: at NW

Best: #2

Worst: #3

Most Likely: #2

Michigan (15-4)

--Remaining: at MSU

Best: #1

Worst: #3

Most Likely: #3

Maryland (12-7)

--Remaining: vs Minn

Best: #4

Worst: #5

Most Likely: #4

Wisconsin (13-6)

--Remaining: at OSU

Best: #4

Worst: #5

Most Likely: #5

Iowa (10-9)

--Remaining: at NU

Best: #6

Worst: #7

Most Likely: #6

Ohio St (8-11)

--Remaining: vs Wisc

Best: #7

Worst: #9

Most Likely: #7

Minnesota (9-10)

--Remaining: at Mary

Best: #6

Worst: #8

Most Likely: #8

Indiana (7-12)

--Remaining: vs Rutg

Best: #9

Worst: #11

Most Likely: #9

Penn St (6-13)

--Remaining: vs Ill

Best: #10

Worst: #12

Most Likely: #10

Illinois (7-12)

--Remaining: at PSU

Best: #8

Worst: #12

Most Likely: #11

Rutgers (7-12)

--Remaining: at Ind

Best: #9

Worst: #12

Most Likely: #12

Nebraska (5-14)

--Remaining: vs Iowa

#13 Seed

Northwestern (4-15)

--Remaining: vs Pur

#14 Seed

----

MOST LIKELY BRACKET (as of Thursday) / assuming all home teams win, other than Purdue at NW

------------------------------------9 lnd ________Winner

------------------------------------8 Minn 1 Mich St

12 Rutg/13 NU -----------Winner ______Winner

------------------------------------5 Wisc 4 Mary

-----------------------------------10 PSU ______Winner

-----------------------------------7 OSU 2 Pur

14 NW/11 Ill --------------Winner ______Winner

-----------------------------------6 Iowa 3 Mich

Not a terrible path to make a run though.

throwback · March 8, 2019

So we'll play Wednesday at 5:30 on BTN.

If we aren't the first team eliminated, we'd play at ~ 2 pm Thursday and Friday, both on BTN.

Set your DVRs now.

Bugeaters1 · March 8, 2019

10 minutes ago, throwback said:

So we'll play Wednesday at 5:30 on BTN.

If we aren't the first team eliminated, we'd play at ~ 2 pm Thursday and Friday, both on BTN.

Set your DVRs now.

Do I want to?

Cazzie22 · March 8, 2019

Indiana winning at Champaign is a surprise to me.

throwback · March 10, 2019

Michigan St (16-4)

#1 Seed

Purdue (16-4)

#2 Seed

Michigan (15-5)

#3 Seed

Maryland (13-7)

#4 Seed, Wis loss at OSU
#5 Seed, Wis win at OSU

Wisconsin (13-6)

--Remaining: at OSU

#4 Seed, Win at OSU
#5 Seed, Loss at OSU

Iowa (10-9)

--Remaining: at NU

#6 Seed

Ohio St (8-11)

--Remaining: vs Wis

#7 Seed, Win vs Wis
#8 Seed, Loss vs Wis, PSU win vs Ill
#9 Seed, Loss vs Wis, Ill win vs PSU

Minnesota (9-11)

#7 Seed, Wis win at OSU
#8 Seed, OSU win vs Wis

Indiana (7-12)

--Remaining: vs Rutg

#8 Seed, Win vs Rutg, Wis win vs OSU, Ill win at PSU
#9 Seed, Win vs Rutg, OSU win vs Wis --or-- PSU win vs Ill
#10 Seed, Loss vs Rutg, PSU win vs Ill
#11 Seed, Loss vs Rutg, Ill win at PSU

Penn St (6-13)

--Remaining: vs Ill

#10 Seed, Win vs Ill, Ind win vs Rutg
#11 Seed, Win vs Ill, Rutg win at Ind
#12 Seed, Loss vs Ill

Illinois (7-12)

--Remaining: at PSU

#8 Seed, Win at PSU, Wis win at OSU, Rutg win at Ind
#9 Seed, Win at PSU, OSU win vs Wis, Rutg win at Ind
#10 Seed, Win at PSU, Ind win vs Rutg
#11 Seed, Loss at PSU, Ind win vs Rutg
#12 Seed, Loss at PSU, Rutg win at Ind

Rutgers (7-12)

--Remaining: at Ind

#9 Seed, Win at Ind, PSU win vs Ill
#10 Seed, Win at Ind, Ill win at PSU
#11 Seed, Loss at Ind, Ill win at PSU
#12 Seed, Loss at Ind, PSU win vs Ill

Nebraska (5-14)

--Remaining: vs Iowa

#13 Seed

Northwestern (4-16)

#14 Seed

----

MOST LIKELY BRACKET (as of Saturday)

----------------------------9 lnd ________Winner

----------------------------8 Minn 1 Mich St

12 Rutg/13 NU ---Winner ________Winner

----------------------------5 Wisc 4 Mary

---------------------------10 PSU ________Winner

----------------------------7 OSU 2 Pur

14 NW/11 Ill --------Winner _______Winner

----------------------------6 Iowa 3 Mich

Bold/Italic teams are locked into their seeds

Game times

Wednesday: 5:30 and ~8:00 / BTN
Thursday: 11:30, ~2:00, 6:00, ~8:30 / BTN
Friday: 11:30, ~2:00, 6:00, ~8:30 / BTN
Saturday: Noon, ~2:30 / CBS
Sunday: 2:30 / CBS

jason2486 · March 10, 2019

So let's say we get past round 1. Do we want Wisky or Maryland 2nd round? I personally believe Maryland 2nd round with fresher legs and a fresher Tanner to lean on Fernando would be best. I would love our draw with a healthy Copeland and Allen, but then we most likely aren't having this conversation either obviously.

throwback · March 10, 2019

Wisconsin blows a huge lead at OSU but takes it in OT to end the regular season and clinch the last double-bye. Final seeds:

1. Michigan State (16 - 4) Defeated Purdue based on record against #3 teams.
2. Purdue (16 - 4) Lost to Michigan State based on record against #3 teams.
3. Michigan (15 - 5)
4. Wisconsin (14 - 6)
5. Maryland (13 - 7)
6. Iowa (10 - 10)
7. Minnesota (9 - 11)
8. Ohio State (8 - 12) Defeated Indiana based on head-to-head record.
9. Indiana (8 - 12) Lost to Ohio State based on head-to-head record.
10. Penn State (7 - 13) Defeated Illinois and Rutgers based on round-robin record.
11. Illinois (7 - 13) With Rutgers, lost to Penn State based on round-robin record. Defeated Rutgers based on record against #1 teams.
12. Rutgers (7 - 13) With Illinois, lost to Penn State based on round-robin record. Lost to Illinois based on record against #1 teams.
13. Nebraska (6 - 14)
14. Northwestern (4 - 16)

----------------------------9 lnd ________Winner

----------------------------8 OSU 1 Mich St

12 Rutg/13 NU ---Winner ________Winner

----------------------------5 Mary 4 Wisc

---------------------------10 PSU ________Winner

----------------------------7 Minn 2 Pur

14 NW/11 Ill --------Winner _______Winner

----------------------------6 Iowa 3 Mich

Indiana/Ohio State could be a play-in game for an NCAA bid. Otherwise, the top 7 seeds seem pretty solidly in.

Edited March 10, 2019 by throwback

TomEadesSucks · March 10, 2019

Does 3 wins make us bubbly?

jason2486 · March 10, 2019

Best draw we could've gotten most likely given all of the circumstances from this season. We have a chance to make a run, especially if we can get Thomas healthy.

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