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Posted

Here's a look at the bubble teams since Lunardi's last update (Feb. 5):

 

Last Four Byes

Washington: N/A (Next game: @ Oregon, Feb. 8)

Houston: N/A (Next game: vs. SMU, Feb. 8)

USC: N/A (Next game: @ Arizona State, Feb. 8)

Providence: W vs. Georgetown (Next game: vs. DePaul, Feb. 10)

 

Last Four In

Kansas State: W @ Texas (Next game: vs. Texas Tech, Feb. 10)

NC State: L @ Virginia Tech (Next game: vs. North Carolina, Feb. 10)

Boise State: W @ New Mexico (Next game: @ Utah State, Feb. 10)

Virginia Tech: W vs. NC State (Next game: @ Virginia, Feb. 10)

 

First Four Out

Marquette: W @ Seton Hall (Next game: @ St. John's, Feb. 10)

UCLA: N/A (Next game: @ Arizona, Feb. 8)

Nebraska: W @ Minnesota (Next game: vs. Rutgers, Feb. 10)
SMU: N/A (Next game: @ Houston, Feb. 8)

 

Next Four Out

Western Kentucky: N/A (Next game: vs. Florida Atlantic, Feb. 8)

St. Bonaventure: W vs. Saint Louis (Next game: vs. Richmond, Feb. 10)

Syracuse: W @ Louisville (Next game: vs. Wake Forest, Feb. 11)

Maryland: L @ Penn State (Next game: vs. Northwestern, Feb. 10)

Posted
9 hours ago, HuskerFever said:

Here's a look at the bubble teams since Lunardi's last update (Feb. 5):

 

Last Four Byes

Washington: N/A (Next game: @ Oregon, Feb. 8)

Houston: N/A (Next game: vs. SMU, Feb. 8)

USC: N/A (Next game: @ Arizona State, Feb. 8)

Providence: W vs. Georgetown (Next game: vs. DePaul, Feb. 10)

 

Last Four In

Kansas State: W @ Texas (Next game: vs. Texas Tech, Feb. 10)

NC State: L @ Virginia Tech (Next game: vs. North Carolina, Feb. 10)

Boise State: W @ New Mexico (Next game: @ Utah State, Feb. 10)

Virginia Tech: W vs. NC State (Next game: @ Virginia, Feb. 10)

 

First Four Out

Marquette: W @ Seton Hall (Next game: @ St. John's, Feb. 10)

UCLA: N/A (Next game: @ Arizona, Feb. 8)

Nebraska: W @ Minnesota (Next game: vs. Rutgers, Feb. 10)
SMU: N/A (Next game: @ Houston, Feb. 8)

 

Next Four Out

Western Kentucky: N/A (Next game: vs. Florida Atlantic, Feb. 8)

St. Bonaventure: W vs. Saint Louis (Next game: vs. Richmond, Feb. 10)

Syracuse: W @ Louisville (Next game: vs. Wake Forest, Feb. 11)

Maryland: L @ Penn State (Next game: vs. Northwestern, Feb. 10)

 

Not a great night for us with KSU and Marquette winning.  We really needed those two teams to go away.  Marquette's schedule is very favorable for them down the stretch.  Hopefully they lose @ St Johns. 

Posted
1 hour ago, huskerbaseball13 said:

 

Not a great night for us with KSU and Marquette winning.  We really needed those two teams to go away.  Marquette's schedule is very favorable for them down the stretch.  Hopefully they lose @ St Johns. 

 

Yeah.  With the Big 12 being a league that is perceived as “up,” I am going to guess that probably all .500 teams get in and maybe even an 8-10 team depending on who it is.

Posted (edited)

Just so I understand this right: St. John's beats Villanova and Duke but is still considered a very bad loss for us since they beat us badly on their home court on our first road game early in the year. I guess I understand this since they are such a terrible team. Maybe someone could explain it to Jay and Mike.

Edited by jimmykc
Posted

Here's Lunardi's new bubble watch through Feb. 7 games:

 

Last Four Byes

Arkansas

Providence

Virginia Tech

Kansas State

 

Last Four In

Washington

NC State

Houston

USC

 

First Four Out

Syracuse

Marquette

UCLA

Nebraska

 

Next Four Out

St. Bonaventure

Temple

Western Kentucky

SMU

Posted (edited)

Removed what don't matter from Fever post, added rpi, time line and who I feel we want to win.  

 

Georgia Tech 140 /Louisville 43 - 6 ESPN 2 Louisville - 8 1/2   We want Ga Tech

Marist 320/Saint Peter's 256 - 6 pm https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCnKRYBMWpw2HtlLa6HXXl1Q/  St. peters -9 Need Marist

Stetson326 /South Carolina Upstate 343 - 6pm ESPN3/Watch ESPN  No line  We need Stetson

Eastern Illinois 278/SIU-Edwardsville 255 -  7pm http://ovcdigitalnetwork.com/watch/?Live=6254&type=Live  SIUE - 2 1/2  NEED E. ILLINOIS

North Texas 206/UAB  171 - 7 http://conferenceusa.com/watch/default.aspx?Live=2981&path=uab  may require subscription  UAB - 10 1/2 need N. Texas

Florida Atlantic 251/Western Kentucky 51 - 7:30 https://www.foxsportsgo.com/program/332535  pry cant access it  W. kentucky -16  Need Florida Atl. 

SMU 71/Houston 38 - 8 ESPN 2 Houston -9 Probably want Houston

CSU Bakersfield 230/New Mexico State 45 - 8 No line ESPN Full Court, ESPN 3 Watch ESPN  We want CSU Bakersfield

North Dakota 217 /Weber State 186 - 8 http://pluto.tv/  Weber St - 10 we want N. Dakota

UCLA 57 /Arizona 14 - 9 ESPN Arizona -9  Need Arizona 

Washington 33/Oregon  90 - 9 FS1  Oregon - 7 1/2 Need Oregon 

USC 44/Arizona State 39 -  10 ESPN2 Az st - 3 1/2  Need az st aparently so edited

 

Others

 

Vermont 52 at albany 142 6 pm  ESPNU  Vermont -3.  Need Albany as don't want any chance of Vermont losing in tourney and getting big

Gonzaga 49 at Pacific 141  9pm ESPN Full Court  Watch ESPN/ ESPN3   Gonzaga -13  Need Pacific

 

 

Edited by royalfan
Posted
27 minutes ago, HuskerFever said:

Here's Lunardi's new bubble watch through Feb. 7 games:

 

Last Four Byes

Arkansas

Providence

Virginia Tech

Kansas State

 

Last Four In

Washington

NC State

Houston

USC

 

First Four Out

Syracuse

Marquette

UCLA

Nebraska

 

Next Four Out

St. Bonaventure

Temple

Western Kentucky

SMU

 

I don't necessarily disagree with where he has us as of now. But it's weird to me that a road win against a decent team actually moved us down his pecking order. I suppose he probably sees Minnesota as a worse team than I do.

 

It really sucks knowing that our resume won't end up matching the quality of our team. The RPI won't be climbing much and we won't be adding any "quality" wins (at least on paper). These committee members really better be watching us every game down the stretch. We deserve to get a shot in the tournament.

Posted
42 minutes ago, royalfan said:

Removed what don't matter from Fever post, added rpi, time line and who I feel we want to win.  

 

Georgia Tech 140 /Louisville 43 - 6 ESPN 2 Louisville - 8 1/2   We want Ga Tech

Marist 320/Saint Peter's 256 - 6 pm https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCnKRYBMWpw2HtlLa6HXXl1Q/  St. peters -9 Need Marist

Stetson326 /South Carolina Upstate 343 - 6pm ESPN3/Watch ESPN  No line  We need Stetson

Eastern Illinois 278/SIU-Edwardsville 255 -  7pm http://ovcdigitalnetwork.com/watch/?Live=6254&type=Live  SIUE - 2 1/2  NEED E. ILLINOIS

North Texas 206/UAB  171 - 7 http://conferenceusa.com/watch/default.aspx?Live=2981&path=uab  may require subscription  UAB - 10 1/2 need N. Texas

Florida Atlantic 251/Western Kentucky 51 - 7:30 https://www.foxsportsgo.com/program/332535  pry cant access it  W. kentucky -16  Need Florida Atl. 

SMU 71/Houston 38 - 8 ESPN 2 Houston -9 Probably want Houston

CSU Bakersfield 230/New Mexico State 45 - 8 No line ESPN Full Court, ESPN 3 Watch ESPN  We want CSU Bakersfield

North Dakota 217 /Weber State 186 - 8 http://pluto.tv/  Weber St - 10 we want N. Dakota

UCLA 57 /Arizona 14 - 9 ESPN Arizona -9  Need Arizona 

Washington 33/Oregon  90 - 9 FS1  Oregon - 7 1/2 Need Oregon 

USC 44/Arizona State 39 -  10 ESPN2 Az st - 3 1/2  Need USC

 

Others

 

Vermont 52 at albany 142 6 pm  ESPNU  Vermont -3.  Need Albany as don't want any chance of Vermont losing in tourney and getting big

Gonzaga 49 at Pacific 141  9pm ESPN Full Court  Watch ESPN/ ESPN3   Gonzaga -13  Need Pacific

 

 

 

Thanks again for doing this...curious your perspective on why we want USC vs. Az St.?  My opinion is that we would strongly want Az St. since they are more firmly in the field around an 8/9 seed where USC is on a lot of first four in/next four out lists.  This would also be a huge Tier 1 road win for USC and with a loss, Az State won't slide out of most brackets.  Just want to hear your thoughts as you typically have some differing takes.

Posted

You guys are doing such a good job of keeping this thread going that I am just gonna watch the rest of the year. Would be super nice if Dana could help us out tonight. I'll just leave it at that.

Posted
10 minutes ago, Nebrasketball1979 said:

 

Thanks again for doing this...curious your perspective on why we want USC vs. Az St.?  My opinion is that we would strongly want Az St. since they are more firmly in the field around an 8/9 seed where USC is on a lot of first four in/next four out lists.  This would also be a huge Tier 1 road win for USC and with a loss, Az State won't slide out of most brackets.  Just want to hear your thoughts as you typically have some differing takes.

I was probably looking at the fact USC has played so much better in the league too much.  You may well be correct.  No strong feel from me in this instance.  This one may be too early to tell as well.  

Posted
19 minutes ago, royalfan said:

I was probably looking at the fact USC has played so much better in the league too much.  You may well be correct.  No strong feel from me in this instance.  This one may be too early to tell as well.  

 

All three of the Pac-12 home teams would be good for this moment. But, with 7-8 games left, you just never know. But, give UW, UCLA and USC more losses and I am good with that.

Posted
9 minutes ago, royalfan said:

Edited my post to sun devils as you guys seem to have a better feel for that one than I do.

 

I don't know.  I think you have a good point when it may be too early to tell.  I think in the here an now we want Az St.  However, they have been sliding and not playing good basketball.  They have alternated wins and losses over their last 10 games.  Their upcoming schedule is USC, UCLA, Arizona, @Oregon.  With the way they are playing, its not inconceivable for them to lose all 4 of these games or three out of four, which likely slides them right onto the bubble.  So, these debates and bubble games are fun as hell to watch and discuss but in reality Miss Cleo is dead and you can't predict how the rest of the season will play out.  So someone we may want to win tonight, we may have the exact opposite mindset in a couple of weeks.  Nebraska being relevant this year has turned me into a much bigger college hoops fan this season because I sure as hell wouldn't normally care who wins this game or Marist vs. Saint Peter on a random Thursday night!!!

Posted
16 minutes ago, royalfan said:

Edited my post to sun devils as you guys seem to have a better feel for that one than I do.

 

ASU is a tourney bound team for sure, but they have been on the decline from where they were in December.

Posted
3 hours ago, HuskerFever said:

Here's Lunardi's new bubble watch through Feb. 7 games:

 

Last Four Byes

Arkansas - Saturday vs Vanderbilt, Tuesday @ Ole Miss

Providence - Saturday vs DePaul, Wednesday vs Villanova

Virginia Tech - Saturday @ Virginia, Wednesday @ Duke

Kansas State - Saturday vs Texas Tech, Wednesday @ Oklahoma State

 

Last Four In

Washington - TONIGHT @ Oregon, Saturday @ Oregon State

NC State - Saturday vs North Carolina, Wednesday @ Syracuse

Houston - TONIGHT vs SMU, Sunday vs Tulane

USC - TONIGHT @ Arizona State, Saturday @ Arizona

 

First Four Out

Syracuse - Sunday vs Wake Forest, Wednesday vs NC State

Marquette - Saturday @ St. John's, Next Saturday @ Creighton

UCLA - TONIGHT @ Arizona, Saturday @ Arizona State

Nebraska - Saturday vs Rutgers, Tuesday vs Maryland

 

Next Four Out

St. Bonaventure - Saturday vs Richmond, Tuesday @ La Salle

Temple - Saturday @ South Florida, Thursday @ Wichita State

Western Kentucky - TONIGHT vs Florida Atlantic, Saturday Florida International

SMU - TONIGHT @ Houston, Sunday vs Cincinnati

 

Updated with upcoming games. Teams in red are bubble teams facing each other knocking each other out.

Posted (edited)

cant believe I just subjected myself to watching Marist implosion on awful youtube feed.  Stetson loses as well.  Amazing how that trio of teams has just ruined the rpi

Edited by royalfan
Posted
6 minutes ago, royalfan said:

cant believe I just subjected myself to watching Marist implosion on awful youtube feed.  Stetson loses as well.  Amazing how that trio of teams has just ruined the rpi

 

I'm going to guess that Marist has had a halftime lead in like 8 of the past 10 games.  Good lord.

Posted (edited)
7 hours ago, royalfan said:

Removed what don't matter from Fever post, added rpi, time line and who I feel we want to win.  

 

Georgia Tech 140 /Louisville 43 - 6 ESPN 2 Louisville - 8 1/2   We want Ga Tech

Marist 320/Saint Peter's 256 - 6 pm https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCnKRYBMWpw2HtlLa6HXXl1Q/  St. peters -9 Need Marist

Stetson326 /South Carolina Upstate 343 - 6pm ESPN3/Watch ESPN  No line  We need Stetson

Eastern Illinois 278/SIU-Edwardsville 255 -  7pm http://ovcdigitalnetwork.com/watch/?Live=6254&type=Live  SIUE - 2 1/2  NEED E. ILLINOIS

North Texas 206/UAB  171 - 7 http://conferenceusa.com/watch/default.aspx?Live=2981&path=uab  may require subscription  UAB - 10 1/2 need N. Texas

Florida Atlantic 251/Western Kentucky 51 - 7:30 https://www.foxsportsgo.com/program/332535  pry cant access it  W. kentucky -16  Need Florida Atl. 

SMU 71/Houston 38 - 8 ESPN 2 Houston -9 Probably want Houston

CSU Bakersfield 230/New Mexico State 45 - 8 No line ESPN Full Court, ESPN 3 Watch ESPN  We want CSU Bakersfield

North Dakota 217 /Weber State 186 - 8 http://pluto.tv/  Weber St - 10 we want N. Dakota

UCLA 57 /Arizona 14 - 9 ESPN Arizona -9  Need Arizona 

Washington 33/Oregon  90 - 9 FS1  Oregon - 7 1/2 Need Oregon 

USC 44/Arizona State 39 -  10 ESPN2 Az st - 3 1/2  Need az st aparently so edited

 

Others

 

Vermont 52 at albany 142 6 pm  ESPNU  Vermont -3.  Need Albany as don't want any chance of Vermont losing in tourney and getting big

Gonzaga 49 at Pacific 141  9pm ESPN Full Court  Watch ESPN/ ESPN3   Gonzaga -13  Need Pacific

 

 

 

Updating throughout the night.

Edited by HuskerFever

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