Selection Committee Games of Interest

[HuskerFever]

Just now, royalfan said:

i am watching it, scouting the rims intently.  

 

Definitely curious to see where your head is at. Is it the Austin Peay game?

[bigFRED]

Great night for us tonight in bubble games!

[royalfan]

12 minutes ago, HuskerFever said:

 

Definitely curious to see where your head is at. Is it the Austin Peay game?

The other game with Jacksonville St.  

[HuskerFever]

2 hours ago, HuskerFever said:

Big Ten Tourney  Illinois/Iowa-  4:30 BTN  Pick em   Need Illinois as we played them twice
Providence 43/Xavier 2 - 5:30 FS1  Xavier - 10 Badly need Xavier
LSU 82/South Carolina 75 - 5:30 SEC Network  S. carolina -5  Need South Carolina
Pittsburgh 207/Notre Dame 67 -  6pm ESPNU  Notre Dame - 20  Need Pittsburgh.  How did Pittsburgh get this bad?
Villanova 3/Seton Hall 22 - 7:30  FS1  Villanova -6  Need Villanova
Texas A&M 28 /Georgia 70 - 7:30 SEC Network  Georgia -1  Need Georgia here 
Florida State 47/Clemson  10- 8pm ESPNU  Clemson -4  Need Clemson
Syracuse 44/Boston College 102 - 8pm ACC Network/ESPN3  Syracuse -1  Need Boston College very badly
Butler 34/St. John's 88 - 8pm CBS Sports Network Butler - 2 1/2  Need St. Johns
Eastern Illinois/Tennessee State - 8:30   http://ovcdigitalnetwork.com/watch/?Live=6278&type=Live  Tennessee St - 3 1/2  Need Eastern Illinois.  Also, would appreciate some help scouting these rims in this building.  Have a potential HUGE play tomorrow on an Ohio Valley tourney game that I will share, but need to see how tight or loose the rims are.  Try not to be influenced simply by shots going in or not if you weigh in.  Easier said than done.

 

Updated.

[HuskerFever]

5 hours ago, HuskerFever said:

Last Four Byes
Arizona State: Thursday vs California, Saturday vs Stanford
Alabama: Saturday at Texas A&M
Baylor: Saturday at Kansas State
St. Bonaventure: Saturday at Saint Louis

 

Last Four In
Providence: at Xavier, Saturday  St. John's
Louisville: Thursday vs Virginia, Saturday at NC State
USC: Saturday vs UCLA
Texas: Saturday vs West Virginia

 

First Four Out
UCLA: Saturday at USC
Syracuse: at Boston College, Saturday vs Clemson
Nebraska: Friday neut TBD (Conf Tourney)
Washington: Thursday vs Oregon State, Saturday vs Oregon

 

Next Four Out
Mississippi State: Saturday at LSU
Utah: Saturday vs Colorado
Marquette: Saturday vs Creighton
Notre Dame: vs Pittsburgh, Saturday at Virginia

 

Wednesday:
Providence at Xavier
Syracuse at Boston College
Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh

 

Thursday:
Arizona State vs California
Louisville vs Virginia
Washington vs Oregon State

 

Friday:
Nebraska neut TBD (Conf Tourney)

 

Saturday:
Arizona State vs Stanford
Alabama at Texas A&M
Baylor at Kansas State
St. Bonaventure at Saint Louis
Providence vs St. John's
Louisville at NC State 
USC vs UCLA (both bubble teams)
Texas vs West Virginia
Syracuse vs Clemson
Washington vs Oregon
Mississippi State at LSU
Utah vs Colorado
Marquette vs Creighton 
Notre Dame at Virginia

 

Updated after Wednesday games.

[hskr4life]

2 minutes ago, HuskerFever said:

 

Updated.

 

That my friends is the best night that we have had since this thread was probably created.

[NeeandMe]

1 minute ago, hskr4life said:

 

That my friends is the best night that we have had since this thread was probably created.

Much more enjoyable

[HuskerFever]

Thursday's Games of Interest:

 

Big Ten Tourney: Wisconsin/Maryland - improve Maryland's RPI
Big Ten Tourney: Iowa/Michigan - need Michigan to win, then lose to us
Big Ten Tourney: Northwestern/Penn State - improve PSU's RPI
Wichita State/UCF - RPI
Tulsa/East Carolina - just for good measure
Morgan State/Delaware State - just one more win, please
Virginia/Louisville - really need this one
Western Kentucky/Middle Tennessee - going with knocking off Middle Tennessee
NC State/Georgia Tech - probably does nothing for us
UT San Antonio/North Texas - RPI win/lose
Arkansas State/Louisiana - knock off Louisiana
Big Ten Tourney: Rutgers/Indiana - doesn't matter much
Oregon/Washington State - keep Oregon out of the conversation
California/Arizona State - ASU is getting closer to the bubble
North Dakota/Sacramento State - RPI
Oregon State/Washington - knock off UDub
Long Beach State/UC Santa Barbara - RPI

 

Friday's Games of Interest:

 

Big Ten Tourney: TBD/Michigan State - doesn't matter much
MVC Tourney: TBD/Loyola-Chicago - do we want them to drop now or take an auto-bid?
Big Ten Tourney: TBD/Nebraska - time to clinch an NCAA spot
Buffalo/Bowling Green
Big Ten Tourney: TBD/Ohio State - doesn't matter much
Big Ten Tourney: TBD/Purdue - doesn't matter much
Iowa State/Oklahoma - might as well have OU keep losing

 

Saturday's Games of Interest:

 

West Virginia/Texas - take care of Texas
Kentucky/Florida - may not matter, but beat UF
Virginia Tech/Miami - doesn't matter, but might as well go for Miami
St. John's/Providence - win/win game
Mississippi State/LSU - down with MSU
Clemson/Syracuse - when will Syracuse finally give up?
Boston College/Florida State - win/win
Alabama/Texas A&M - might as well root for Alabama to lose
Baylor/Kansas State - the best of the worst
Big Ten Tournament: TBD/TBD
Stanford/Arizona State - some brackets have ASU declining
Creighton/Marquette - whatever.
Notre Dame/Virginia - go Virginia
Kansas/Oklahoma State - leave no questions
TCU/Texas Tech - might as well go with Texas Tech
North Dakota/Portland State - RPI
Oregon/Washington - UDub finally needs to croke
Big Ten Tournament: TBD/TBD
Georgia/Tennessee - just to be safe
Louisville/NC State - go NC State
Arkansas/Missouri - might as well have Missouri fall
UTEP/North Texas - RPI
Marshall/Middle Tennessee - go Marshall
Colorado/Utah - need Colorado to come through for us again
Wyoming/Boise State - down with BSU
Western Illinois/South Dakota State - just for good measure
Maine/Vermont - down with Vermont
Butler/Seton Hall - going with Butler
St. Bonaventure/Saint Louis - really need the Bonnies to fall
Little Rock/Louisiana - down with Louisiana
New Mexico State/UT Rio Grande Valley - down with NMSU
UT San Antonio/Rice - RPI
Western Kentuck/UAB - for good measure
UCLA/USC - need USC to help us out
UC Riverside/Long Beach State - RPI

 

Sunday's Games of Interest:

 

UConn/Houston - might as well go against Houston
Tulane/UCF - RPI
Big Ten Tournament: TBD/TBD

[HuskerFever]

4 minutes ago, hskr4life said:

 

That my friends is the best night that we have had since this thread was probably created.

 

Sure would be nice to finally catch a break and win the weekend.

[AuroranHusker]

20 minutes ago, HuskerFever said:

 

Sure would be nice to finally catch a break and win the weekend.

 

[Nebrasketball1979]

20 hours ago, royalfan said:

Have a potential HUGE play tomorrow on an Ohio Valley tourney game that I will share, but need to see how tight or loose the rims are.  Try not to be influenced simply by shots going in or not if you weigh in.

 

Inquiring minds want to know what anyone found on the rims and how this potentially impacts a critical OVT game tonight?  Hoping someone was able to help @royalfan!!!

[HuskerActuary]

7 hours ago, HuskerFever said:

Thursday's Games of Interest:

 

Big Ten Tourney: Wisconsin/Maryland - improve Maryland's RPI
Big Ten Tourney: Iowa/Michigan - need Michigan to win, then lose to us
Big Ten Tourney: Northwestern/Penn State - improve PSU's RPI
Wichita State/UCF - RPI
Tulsa/East Carolina - just for good measure
Morgan State/Delaware State - just one more win, please
Virginia/Louisville - really need this one
Western Kentucky/Middle Tennessee - going with knocking off Middle Tennessee
NC State/Georgia Tech - probably does nothing for us
UT San Antonio/North Texas - RPI win/lose
Arkansas State/Louisiana - knock off Louisiana
Big Ten Tourney: Rutgers/Indiana - doesn't matter much
Oregon/Washington State - keep Oregon out of the conversation
California/Arizona State - ASU is getting closer to the bubble
North Dakota/Sacramento State - RPI
Oregon State/Washington - knock off UDub
Long Beach State/UC Santa Barbara - RPI

Thanks. Looks like the most important games today are:

 

Michigan over Iowa, of course

Virginia over Louisville

Georgia Tech over NC State

California over Arizona State

Oregon St over Washington

 

I think Western Kentucky versus Middle Tennessee is a toss-up.

[Nebrasketball1979]

53 minutes ago, HuskerActuary said:

Michigan over Iowa, of course

 

Does anyone really think the angry Nebraska basketball gods are going to allow Michigan to win this game to give us an opportunity at a quality win?  I am fully expecting our run through MSG to consist of Iowa/Wisconsin/Northwestern where we lose in the finals on a full court underhand heave at the buzzer.  This would make Joe Lunardi and Jerry Palm smile.

[hskr4life]

2 hours ago, HuskerActuary said:

Thanks. Looks like the most important games today are:

 

Michigan over Iowa, of course

Virginia over Louisville

Georgia Tech over NC State

California over Arizona State

Oregon St over Washington

 

I think Western Kentucky versus Middle Tennessee is a toss-up.

 

I was tending to lean MTSU.  I saw multiple tweets and stories that said a road win for WKU would put them back on the right side of the bubble where MTSU already is.  Do you think if WKU wins, it becomes a 1 bid league?

[HuskerActuary]

29 minutes ago, hskr4life said:

 

I was tending to lean MTSU.  I saw multiple tweets and stories that said a road win for WKU would put them back on the right side of the bubble where MTSU already is.  Do you think if WKU wins, it becomes a 1 bid league?

Yeah I think I would lean MTSU as well if I had to choose. I think it's more likely to be a 1-bid league if MTSU wins. But then we would need to make more that MTSU gets the auto bid, as well.

[hskr4life]

Just now, HuskerActuary said:

Yeah I think I would lean MTSU as well if I had to choose. I think it's more likely to be a 1-bid league if MTSU wins. But then we would need to make more that MTSU gets the auto bid, as well.

 

Now that I was thinking about it, if WKU wins, there is a chance that that is just a 1 bid league maybe.  If Mid Tennessee wins and then loses in the conference championships, then there is a chance that that becomes a 2 bid league maybe.  Lordy that is a tough one for tonight.  I wish I knew what the committee was thinking.

[royalfan]

 

 

Big Ten Tourney: Wisconsin 119/Maryland 65 - 11am BTN Maryland - 2 1/2  I feel Wisconsin better to boost all 6 metrics
Big Ten Tourney: Iowa 155/Michigan 25 - 1:30 BTN Michigan - 8 1/2  I am in the minority but I want Iowa to win unless you all can convince me otherwise.  Easier to beat Iowa than Maryland. The downside is if we are in now, which we may be we could play our way out with a loss to Iowa.  This is tricky as hell.  May edit this before tip.  As of now, this is a tournament and our chances of winning the tournament are better if Iowa wins. 

 

Big Ten Tourney: Northwestern 159/Penn State 83 - 5:30 BTN Penn St - 5 1/2  Need Penn St. Played them twice so improves all 6 metrics
Wichita State 12/UCF  68 - 6pm ESPN Wichita St. - 10 Need UCF 
Tulsa 75/East Carolina 273 - 6pm ESPNU  Tulsa - 8 1/2  Need East Carolina but wouldn't sweat it too hard
Morgan State 331/Delaware State 351 - 6:30 http://www.dsuhornets.com/liveEvents/liveEvents.dbml?SPSID=82263&SPID=5813&DB_OEM_ID=12900&db_oem_id=12900 no line  Need Delaware St.  Lets stream senior night to help send off this great group of seniors.  Last night of the season for the hype man as well.  Also one of last chances to play way out of bing the worst RPI team in the nation
 

Virginia 1/Louisville  38- 7pm ACC network/ESPN3  Virginia -4 Need Virginia badly.  High leverage game here. 
Western Kentucky 53/Middle Tennessee 26- 7pm CBS Sports Network  Middle Tennessee St - 4 1/2  I feel we need Middle Tennessee St. here but it is debatable 
NC State 46/Georgia Tech 163 - 7pm Acc Network/ESPN3  NC St - 2 1/2  May not matter but Georgia Tech cant hurt 
Arkansas State 306/Louisiana 34 -7:15 https://www.ragincajuns.com/watch/?Live=875&type=Live  Louisiana - 19 1/2  Could use Arkansas St. here
Big Ten Tourney: Rutgers 209/Indiana 110 - 7:55 BTN  Indiana - 7 1/2  Need Rutgers as we played them twice to help all 6 metrics
Oregon 71/Washington State  169- 8pm ESPN2 Oregon -9  Need Washington St
California 212/Arizona State 40 - 8pm ESPNU Arizona St -14 Need California

North Dakota 233/Sacramento State 312- 9:05 www.plutotv.com  Sacramento St -1  Need North Dakota
Oregon State 161/Washington 51 - 10pm ESPN2  Washington -3 Need Oregon St.
Long Beach State 204/UC Santa Barbara 101- 10pm ESPNU  UCSB -7 Need Long Beach St.

 

Others 

Ohio Valley Tourney  Eastern Illinois 251/Austin Peay 167- 8:30 http://www.ovcdigitalnetwork.com/watch/?Live=6283&type=Live  Austin Peay - 4 1/2  Need Eastern Illinois

 

MEAC Tourney Marist/Fairfield -  8pm ESPN3 Fairfield - 7 1/2  Need Marist  Good news is this shit is over with if they lose.  

 

Bonus  Ohio Valley Conference Jacksonville St versus Tennessee Tech.  UNDER 134.  This will probably go down eventually.  I know one of the biggest sports gamblers in the nation and when I give him tip he will probably play it massively and not sure if he will get it all off screen(books that won't influence lines)  Reasoning behind the play.  Line in line with how they typically do lines, similar to KenPom prediction.  New arena, where Evansville plays.  Rims certainly did not seem loose.  Neutral to neutral tight.  Main reasoning is that Jacksonville St. won this last year and implemented a fairly extreme slowdown style of play, playing solid defense and using up 20 seconds damn near every time before getting into an action, seemingly to preserve legs for a 3 day run.  Same coach, some of same players.  I would sure think they go to this again since it worked last year.  Second half potentially an even stronger play if the halftime line projects the game to be fairly close J St. win and I can confirm they are doing the slowdown.   First half a good play as well if prefer to go that route to take potential Overtime ass ending out of play.  

 

 

Edited March 1, 2018 by royalfan

[uneblinstu]

5 minutes ago, royalfan said:

 

 

Big Ten Tourney: Iowa 155/Michigan 25 - 1:30 BTN Michigan - 8 1/2  I am in the minority but I want Iowa to win unless you all can convince me otherwise.  Easier to beat Iowa than Maryland. The downside is if we are in now, which we may be we could play our way out with a loss to Iowa.  This is tricky as hell.  May edit this before tip.  As of now, this is a tournament and our chances of winning the tournament are better if Iowa wins.

 

If the goal is to win the tournament, then, yeah, you want the "worst" possible opponents. If you want to do some work on the resume as well, you want the better opponents. Personally, I'd prefer to get swings at better teams. In all reality, our chances of winning the tournament, even if we do get Iowa and Maryland or Wisconsin are still pretty small and our resume hasn't really been improved at all. I say give me Michigan then let's take a swing at some big dogs.

[hskr4life]

I can see it both ways.  Me personally, I think we are in right now.  I think the win over PSU clinched the play-in game at least.  However, that is only with a loss to Michigan.  If we would lose to Iowa tomorrow, we would be out.  Therefore I would like to see Michigan.

 

If you are one that are heavy into metrics, then I could see us wanting Michigan, Michigan State, and then Purdue/Ohio State.

 

If you are wanting to win the entire thing, I could see wanting Iowa, Wisconsin, then OSU or Indiana OR PSU.

 

Honestly, this is the first year where I don't care who we play because we can beat anyone.

[TourneyBound]

17 minutes ago, royalfan said:

 

 

Bonus  Ohio Valley Conference Jacksonville St versus Tennessee Tech.  UNDER 134.  This will probably go down eventually.  I know one of the biggest sports gamblers in the nation and when I give him tip he will probably play it massively and not sure if he will get it all off screen(books that won't influence lines)  Reasoning behind the play.  Line in line with how they typically do lines, similar to KenPom prediction.  New arena, where Evansville plays.  Rims certainly did not seem loose.  Neutral to neutral tight.  Main reasoning is that Jacksonville St. won this last year and implemented a fairly extreme slowdown style of play, playing solid defense and using up 20 seconds damn near every time before getting into an action, seemingly to preserve legs for a 3 day run.  Same coach, some of same players.  I would sure think they go to this again since it worked last year.  Second half potentially an even stronger play if the halftime line projects the game to be fairly close J St. win and I can confirm they are doing the slowdown.   First half a good play as well if prefer to go that route to take potential Overtime ass ending out of play.  

 

 

Thanks for the Tip!!  BET MADE!!

[royalfan]

Moving down hard as I suspected.  

[royalfan]

my games post edited to add the damn Marist game.  I just realized those clowns are playing.  The good news is they are done if they lose again.  

Edited March 1, 2018 by royalfan

[AuroranHusker]

1 hour ago, royalfan said:

my games post edited to add the damn Marist game.  I just realized those clowns are playing.  The good news, is they are done if they lose again.  

 

The Red Foxes are something else. Somehow (in Orlando) they took West Virginia to the wire. That seems like a million years ago.....

[royalfan]

The Delaware St. game will be delayed a bit.  Womens game just ended.  The hype man was excited about that upset win.  Will start around 6:40.

[royalfan]

For those involved in the under play, you may want to get out at halftime.  Tech playing too stupid and tight on d to let them consider using clock.  I think it goes under, but the reasoning for the play is not there surprisingly to me.  Up to your risk tolerance.  If you prefer a middle chance I wouldn't fault that choice. I may for some.