Selection Committee Games of Interest

[HuskerFever]

4 hours ago, Cookie Miller Wasn't Dirty said:

@HuskerFever

 

 

This was Lunardi's update at noon today. We're in his First Four Out. And his Last Four In are NM State, Mizzou, Va Tech, and Marquette. Two of them took L's. Add in WKU's loss and we might be his first team out now. 

 

New First Four Out:

Boise State - Win vs. UNLV, 93-91 OT

Georgia - Loss at Mississippi State, 57-72

Western Kentucky - Loss at UT San Antonio, losing 63-74

Nebraska - No game; next game Feb. 6

 

Next Out:

SMU - No game; next game Feb. 8

South Carolina - Loss at Texas A&M, 60-83

Syracuse - Loss vs. Virginia, 44-59

Maryland - No game; next game Feb. 4

 

Four More:

Notre Dame - Loss at NC State, 58-76

UCLA - Win vs. USC, 82-79

St. Bonaventure - Win at Duquesne, 84-81

Utah - No game; next game Feb. 4

[Huskerone]

wow, first four out, we haven't even played for a week.  That escalated quickly.    #bubblelife, going to be a fun end of the season run.  Buckle up!

[HuskerFever]

There is really not much going on this Sunday. Here's the Games of Interest:

 

Seton Hall/Villanova - likely doesn't matter, but Villanova winning doesn't hurt

Wisconsin/Maryland - probably looking for Maryland to improve its RPI

Arizona State/Washington State - ASU is likely in, but they are 4-6 in Pac-12 play

 

In sort there's really not much impacting our bubble watch on Sunday. Get out of the house, go to Conlee's,and say hi to @cipsucks, and watch the Super Bowl.

[HuskerFever]

1 minute ago, HuskerFever said:

There is really not much going on this Sunday. Here's the Games of Interest:

 

Seton Hall/Villanova - likely doesn't matter, but Villanova winning doesn't hurt

Wisconsin/Maryland - probably looking for Maryland to improve its RPI

Arizona State/Washington State - ASU is likely in, but they are 4-6 in Pac-12 play

 

In sort there's really not much impacting our bubble watch on Sunday. Get out of the house, go to Conlee's,and say hi to @cipsucks, and watch the Super Bowl.

 

And while we're at it, Monday isn't looking too interesting either:

 

Syracuse/Louisville - current 6 seed (Louisville) versus current bubble team; Syracuse is likely out so this is a toss-up

Delaware State/North Carolina A&T - c'mon man! 2.0

[Cookie Miller Wasn't Dirty]

20 minutes ago, HuskerFever said:

 

And while we're at it, Monday isn't looking too interesting either:

 

Syracuse/Louisville - current 6 seed (Louisville) versus current bubble team; Syracuse is likely out so this is a toss-up

Delaware State/North Carolina A&T - c'mon man! 2.0

 

Cuse might be likely out if it were today, but they have a lot of opportunities to improve the resume. Don’t want that to start with Louisville. Go Cards.

[OmahaHusker]

Washington beats Arizona on buzzer beater. Big win for them.

[HuskerFever]

15 hours ago, HuskerFever said:

Saturday's Games of Interest (in order of tip-off time):

 

Duke/St. John's - would be nice to see St. John's get another win
Oklahoma State/Kansas - keeps OSU (13-9) out of the conversation
Notre Dame/NC State - NC State is getting a lot of traction lately
Houston/UCF - win for us and win to knock Houston down further
Texas Tech/TCU - keeps TCU falling
Clemson/Wake Forest - why not?
Kentucky/Missouri - really need Kentucky to pull this one out
Miami/Virginia Tech - Miami currently a 6 seed vs. play-in Tech
South Carolina/Texas A&M - just keep knocking each other out (SC was just in there however)
Memphis/East Carolina - this may not matter much
Fresno State/Wyoming - just to be safe
Minnesota/Michigan - up for debate
Providence/Marquette - up for debate (Providence #10 vs. Marquette bubble)
South Dakota/North Dakota State - might as well root for the good guy
Arkansas/LSU - knock Arkansas down
Virginia/Syracuse - really need to ensure this happens, although Syracuse tends to knock themselves out of the tournament
Kansas State/West Virginia - WVU is likely a lock no matter how bad they're falling
Alabama/Florida - Alabama is likely in, but this doesn't hurt
Florida State/Louisville - just to be safe
Western Kentucky/UT San Antonio - win/win for us
Delaware State/North Carolina Central - c'mon man!
Iowa/Penn State - up for debate
Georgia/Mississippi State - Georgia is on the bubble
USC/UCLA - keep UCLA out of the conversation
Oklahoma/Texas - keep Texas out of the conversation
Iowa State/Baylor - likely doesn't matter
Arizona/Washington - we need Arizona to win this one

 

Overall not a bad day. Started off poorly, then got a lot of good losses in the middle of the day, then finished off poorly.

 

Biggest heavy hitters was probably:

• St. John's got a big win at home against Duke
• NC State and is probably close to a lock
• Missouri, Alabama, and Texas are inconsistent but building their resumes
• South Carolina, Syracuse, and Georgia are likely out
• Western Kentucky didn't do themselves any favors
• Delaware State sucks
• Washington just keeps hanging around

[HuskerFever]

11 hours ago, HuskerFever said:

New First Four Out:

Boise State - Win vs. UNLV, 93-91 OT - Q1 0-3 / Q2 4-0 / Q3 4-1 / Q4 10-0

Georgia - Loss at Mississippi State, 57-72 - Q1 3-5 / Q2 3-2 / Q3 3-2 / Q4 4-0

Western Kentucky - Loss at UT San Antonio, 63-74 - Q1 1-2 / Q2 3-0 / Q3 4-5 / Q4 7-0

Nebraska - No game; next game Feb. 6 - Q1 0-5 / Q2 2-3 / Q3 7-0 / Q4 8-0

 

Next Out:

SMU - No game; next game Feb. 8 - Q1 2-3 / Q2 3-4 / Q3 2-1 / Q4 8-0

South Carolina - Loss at Texas A&M, 60-83 - Q1 3-6 / Q2 2-4 / Q3 2-0 / Q4 5-0

Syracuse - Loss vs. Virginia, 44-59 - Q1 0-4 / Q2 5-3 / Q3 5-1 / Q4 5-0

Maryland - No game; next game Feb. 4 - Q1 1-8 / Q2 0-1 / Q3 7-0 / Q4 6-0

 

Four More:

Notre Dame - Loss at NC State, 58-76 - Q1 2-6 / Q2 2-2 / Q3 2-2 / Q4 6-0

UCLA - Win vs. USC, 82-79 - Q1 0-1 / Q2 0-2 / Q3 6-0 / Q4 12-0

St. Bonaventure - Win at Duquesne, 84-81 - Q1 2-2 / Q2 3-2 / Q3 3-1 / Q4 8-1

Utah - No game; next game Feb. 4 - Q1 1-7 / Q2 4-1 / Q3 3-1 / Q4 5-0

 

Added quadrant records through Feb. 3 games (above).

[royalfan]

Updated Fever post with RP,I game time, how to watch, line and who I feel we want to win.  

 

Seton Hall18 /Villanova   2-  11 am fox Villanova -12 1/2   We want Nova

Wisconsin 157/Maryland  55 -  12pm  CBS  Maryland - 8 1/2  We want Wisconsin since we played them twice and Maryland once

Arizona State 44/Washington State  160 -  3pm ESPNU  AZ St - 8   We want Washington St. 

[runsoastowin]

13 minutes ago, HuskerFever said:

 

Added quadrant records through Feb. 3 games (above).

The Quadrant records were nice to see. 

 

It really makes me wonder how precisely the committee plans to use quadrants. Compare us to Western Kentucky:

              Q1       Q2         Q3       Q4

WKU    1-2       3-0         4-5       7-0

NEB     0-5       2-3         7-0        8-0

 

They have an advantage in Q1, and in Q2, but we have a clear and decisive advantage in Q3. We have clearly shown we are better than that quadrant. They have shown (if anything) that they're not. 

 

How do you balance good wins v. bad losses? Will be very interesting to see.

 

Thanks to all for posting and updating these!

[SkersHoops]

13 minutes ago, runsoastowin said:

The Quadrant records were nice to see. 

 

It really makes me wonder how precisely the committee plans to use quadrants. Compare us to Western Kentucky:

              Q1       Q2         Q3       Q4

WKU    1-2       3-0         4-5       7-0

NEB     0-5       2-3         7-0        8-0

 

They have an advantage in Q1, and in Q2, but we have a clear and decisive advantage in Q3. We have clearly shown we are better than that quadrant. They have shown (if anything) that they're not. 

 

How do you balance good wins v. bad losses? Will be very interesting to see.

 

Thanks to all for posting and updating these!

Obviously, we have a chance to build that Q2 Tuesday @ Minny and vs. Maryland.  

 

During this bubble talk, it shows how important your conference schedule draws increase/decrease your chances at making the tournament.  If you have a mediocre team, your best chance is to get an easier conference schedule and beat up on the lower half (which we have), but WE DON'T HAVE A MEDIOCRE TEAM, so, I think we got the short end of the placements.  I think we would have benefited by playing a hard schedule in conference, especially getting the top 3 @ PBA.  

 

Maryland's line is interesting.

Maryland - Q1 1-8 / Q2 0-1 / Q3 7-0 / Q4 6-0

 

Like Nebraska, most of the "Big Boys" (big boys excluding NU) in the B1G, they had/have on the road.   Mich st., Mich, Purdue, and Ohio St., (4 road, 3 home)  Nebraska (3 road, 1 home)

 

Maryland lost their first 2 of 3 at home against the "Big Boys" and thankfully we DOMINATED ours (Michigan).  It would have been nice to have drawn at least one more, if not two more games, like Maryland drew, at PBA.  I would have liked our chances, thus making our resume look like Marylands....... except with some wins in the Q1 and Q2.  

 

Thankfully, we get the Turtles at PBA.  

[Cookie Miller Wasn't Dirty]

1 hour ago, runsoastowin said:

The Quadrant records were nice to see. 

 

It really makes me wonder how precisely the committee plans to use quadrants. Compare us to Western Kentucky:

              Q1       Q2         Q3       Q4

WKU    1-2       3-0         4-5       7-0

NEB     0-5       2-3         7-0        8-0

 

They have an advantage in Q1, and in Q2, but we have a clear and decisive advantage in Q3. We have clearly shown we are better than that quadrant. They have shown (if anything) that they're not. 

 

How do you balance good wins v. bad losses? Will be very interesting to see.

 

Thanks to all for posting and updating these!

 

It's a very interesting topic, that's for sure. We also got unlucky considering four of our five Q1 games were on the road against top notch competition. I believe all of them are in the top 30. I'd like to see everyone's records on the road against top 30 teams. We're 0-4 with two games that we really could have won (Creighton, Ohio State) and one game that we played respectably (Purdue). Add in the home game against KU and our Q1 is unfairly skewed. A road game against the 75th team is still Q1, yet it's a much easier test than any of our five. So hopefully the committee takes these Quads with a grain of salt and analyzes the results on a deeper level.

[royalfan]

There is no way they can take this quadrant stuff seriously.  

[TheREALMattyIce]

The W. Kentucky loss was huge, it was going to be hard for the committee to take 2 from CUSA as it was,
but both WKU and MTSU had solid RPI's. As long as MTSU can win that conference tournament, that should
help. We didn't get much help otherwise this weekend, in KenPom we dropped from 57 to 60. NC State, UCLA,
Providence, Okie St., Houston all had good wins.

[bball23]

14 minutes ago, TheREALMattyIce said:

The W. Kentucky loss was huge, it was going to be hard for the committee to take 2 from CUSA as it was,
but both WKU and MTSU had solid RPI's. As long as MTSU can win that conference tournament, that should
help. We didn't get much help otherwise this weekend, in KenPom we dropped from 57 to 60. NC State, UCLA,
Providence, Okie St., Houston all had good wins.

Add Washington as well.  

[HuskerFever]

Opponent status:

 

- Marist losing at home to Iona, 36-60 15:45 to go

- Boston College losing at home to Georgia Tech, 33-40 16:23 to go

- Ohio State beating at home to Illinois, 34-30 halftime just ended

- Wisconsin beating on the road to Maryland, 6-2 16:27 1st to go

Edited February 4, 2018 by HuskerFever

[Cookie Miller Wasn't Dirty]

8 minutes ago, HuskerFever said:

- Ohio State beating at home to Illinois, 34-30 halftime just ended

- Wisconsin beating on the road to Maryland, 6-2 16:27 1st to go

 

Interesting grammar choice 

 

Kidding aside, not sure the OSU game really matters. Illinois winning would be better for our RPI since we play them twice, but the OSU loss would look like a "better loss" if they win. Maybe it'd be good for us to root for Illinois (159) to jump into the top 135 to make our upcoming road game against them Quad 2. Conclusion: too much to think about at this point to get invested in that one lol.

 

I'm rooting for Maryland in the other one. I think it's important to get the best win we possibly can against them, even if it means their own bubble resume is strengthened.

 

[royalfan]

more important in both cases for the team we play twice to win IMO.  

[HuskerFever]

6 minutes ago, Cookie Miller Wasn't Dirty said:

 

Interesting grammar choice 

 

 

I guess that's what happens when you're using your phone to post updates and realize that you were wrong about who was at home and try to make an edit. 

[HuskerFever]

1 hour ago, HuskerFever said:

Opponent status:

 

- Marist losing at home to Iona, 36-60 15:45 to go

- Boston College losing at home to Georgia Tech, 33-40 16:23 to go

- Ohio State beating at home to Illinois, 34-30 halftime just ended

- Wisconsin beating on the road to Maryland, 6-2 16:27 1st to go

 

Marist lost 64-98

Boston College won 80-72 OT

Illinois lost 67-75

Wisconsin lost 63-66

Edited February 4, 2018 by HuskerFever

[Cookie Miller Wasn't Dirty]

Maryland wins a close one. The better they are come February 13th, the more eyes that will be on our game with them, and the more credit we'll get when we beat them!

[cipsucks]

The B1G home teams really struggled this weekend against lesser opponents.  Even though, as a fan, it sucks sitting through an eight day lay-off, the conference might have done the Huskers a favor.  Good teams are looking tired.  Let's finish the season on a fresh legs roll, Huskers!

[royalfan]

Very frustrating losses by Illinois and Wisconsin.  Two  bumps against one drop on the line in each, and we come away with two drops and one bump in each game.  I am not sure why some people think this is good.  There is no way it can be, for things like RPI.  

[Cookie Miller Wasn't Dirty]

9 minutes ago, royalfan said:

Very frustrating losses by Illinois and Wisconsin.  Two  bumps against one drop on the line in each, and we come away with two drops and one bump in each game.  I am not sure why some people think this is good.  There is no way it can be, for things like RPI.  

 

Because for RPI, the difference between your opponents' record being 500-400 vs 499-401 isn't much at all. As in, a 0.0006 difference. In most cases, that's not enough to even bump you up one spot.

 

With such a tiny impact on RPI, I think the more important thing is to build up the perception of Nebraska in the committee's minds. Winning a big bubble game in the middle of February is more important than boosting our RPI by 0.0006.

Edited February 4, 2018 by Cookie Miller Wasn't Dirty

[royalfan]

Your math is wrong plus it doesn't consider the difference between strengthening our road wins against home wins.