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NCAA bracket predictions.

Blindcheck

By Blindcheck
in The Haymarket Hardwood

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Blindcheck

Blindcheck

Posted
Posted

Here are my at large bids....as I see them

1. Arizona

2. Virginia...or duke depending on acc title game

3. Kansas

4. Villanova

5. Wisconsin

6. Syracuse

7. Creighton

8. San Diego st.

9. Cincinnati

10. Mich st....or Michigan depending on big ten title game

11. North Carolina

12. Uconn

13. Ohio state

14. Oklahoma

15. Kentucky

16. Texas

17. St. Louis

18. Baylor

19. Oregon

20. Umass

21. George Washington

22. Oklahoma state

23. Memphis

24. Colorado

25. Pittsburgh

Bubble starts here for me

26. Stanford

27. Tennessee

28. Arizona state

29. BYU

30. St joes...or vcu... would not be on bubble depending on a10 title game

31. Dayton

32. Xavier

33. Nebraska

34. Kansas state

35. Toledo

36. Southern miss

Bubble popped...not in

37. SMU

38. Minnesota

39. Iowa

40. Missouri

41. Florida st

42. NC state

43. Belmont

44. Green Bay

45. La tech

46. St. John's

47. California

48. Arkansas

49. Utah

That is how I see it, Nebraska in, but not a lot of breathing room...the first 6 out on my list could easily replace any of the last 11 I have in...based on how strong an argument they committee member that is proposing that school has...

I think as we watch the bracket show....know these 24 schools are fighting for 11 spots....so I will be crossing them off a list as they are announced to see how many spots are left.

I think some on the bottom of my out list are stretches, but the committee could surprise us, I don't think there are any other possible surprise teams other than those listed....

If st joes beats vcu there will be 23 schools fighting for 10 spots.

Have at it.....I have a crisp two dollar bill for anyone that can nail all the at large teams....(only one winner, if we have a tie, a tiebreaker will be developed)

huskerbaseball13

huskerbaseball13

Posted
Posted

Here are my at large bids....as I see them

1. Arizona

2. Virginia...or duke depending on acc title game

3. Kansas

4. Villanova

5. Wisconsin

6. Syracuse

7. Creighton

8. San Diego st.

9. Cincinnati

10. Mich st....or Michigan depending on big ten title game

11. North Carolina

12. Uconn

13. Ohio state

14. Oklahoma

15. Kentucky

16. Texas

17. St. Louis

18. Baylor

19. Oregon

20. Umass

21. George Washington

22. Oklahoma state

23. Memphis

24. Colorado

25. Pittsburgh

Bubble starts here for me

26. Stanford

27. Tennessee

28. Arizona state

29. BYU

30. St joes...or vcu... would not be on bubble depending on a10 title game

31. Dayton

32. Xavier

33. Nebraska

34. Kansas state

35. Toledo

36. Southern miss

Bubble popped...not in

37. SMU

38. Minnesota

39. Iowa

40. Missouri

41. Florida st

42. NC state

43. Belmont

44. Green Bay

45. La tech

46. St. John's

47. California

48. Arkansas

49. Utah

That is how I see it, Nebraska in, but not a lot of breathing room...the first 6 out on my list could easily replace any of the last 11 I have in...based on how strong an argument they committee member that is proposing that school has...

I think as we watch the bracket show....know these 24 schools are fighting for 11 spots....so I will be crossing them off a list as they are announced to see how many spots are left.

I think some on the bottom of my out list are stretches, but the committee could surprise us, I don't think there are any other possible surprise teams other than those listed....

If st joes beats vcu there will be 23 schools fighting for 10 spots.

Have at it.....I have a crisp two dollar bill for anyone that can nail all the at large teams....(only one winner, if we have a tie, a tiebreaker will be developed)

 

The consensus is Iowa is in...thus I would be surprised if they are left out.  Also, I think we are a head of teams like BYU and Utenn.  Crossing my fingers for a gift and a 10 seed...it's a possibility.  I'll be happy if we are just in but would really like to avoid the first round game...especially if its against Dayton AT Dayton. 

Blindcheck

Blindcheck

Posted
  • Author
Posted

I am trying to predict the committee.

I think they will give a couple mid majors a look...as opposed to adding the sixth team from a major conference....it happens almost ever year.

Toledos rpi is 21 higher than Iowa 38 vs 57

BYU rpi is 26 higher than Iowa 31 vs 57

S miss rpi is 25 higher than Iowa 32 vs 57

There are other metrics, but I think they will be looking for ways to keep out a team that is playing poorly like Iowa.

Blindcheck

Blindcheck

Posted
  • Author
Posted

Neither SMU or Iowa receiving an at large?  I find that hard to believe that both would be kept off..

My opinion...

SMU rpi 53 SOS 114

Iowa rpi 57 SOS 35...but don't pass eye test...human element

That is what keeps them off my prediction.

I

Blindcheck

Blindcheck

Posted
  • Author
Posted

What are the SOS and top 50 wins etc. That is a big focus area

BYU SOS 24

Toledo SOS 147... This hurts, but rpi is much better than Iowa, smu

S miss SOS 131....again this hurts but rpi is solid

I would not be surprised to see any of these three in or not in...

I think there are 11 spots up for grabs....so as I see these teams in the bracket (these 24), I will mark a tally...when it hits 11, if Nebraska is not in....I don't think there is any more room...

Now, if Nebraska is announced in first segment, I will quit making my tallies, because they will be in....

Just my way to calm my nerves...this exercise showed me that Nebraska was closer to out than I imagined.

Blindcheck

Blindcheck

Posted
  • Author
Posted

Here are my at large bids....as I see them

1. Arizona

2. Virginia...or duke depending on acc title game

3. Kansas

4. Villanova

5. Wisconsin

6. Syracuse

7. Creighton

8. San Diego st.

9. Cincinnati

10. Mich st....or Michigan depending on big ten title game

11. North Carolina

12. Uconn

13. Ohio state

14. Oklahoma

15. Kentucky

16. Texas

17. St. Louis

18. Baylor

19. Oregon

20. Umass

21. George Washington

22. Oklahoma state

23. Memphis

24. Colorado

25. Pittsburgh

26. Vcu....

Bubble starts here for me

27. Stanford. 90% team rankings bracketology prediction

28.Tennessee 58%

29. Arizona state 67%

30. BYU 92%

31. Dayton 39%

32. Xavier 84%

33. Nebraska 99%

34. Kansas state 94%

35. Toledo 61%

36. Southern miss 67%

Bubble popped...not in

37. SMU 94%

38. Minnesota 57%

39. Iowa 38%

40. Missouri 8%

41. Florida st 34%

42. NC state 11%

43. Belmont 1%

44. Green Bay 17%

45. La tech 11%

46. St. John's 21%

47. California 13%

48. Arkansas 1%

49. Utah 1%

Looking at these teams based on the team rankings bracketology %

Based on these percentages, I should only replace Dayton with SMU

And Minnesota and Tennessee is a toss up.

Cookie Belcher

Cookie Belcher

Posted
Posted

Since I criticized, figured I would make my own prediction of the field.

 

Florida
Arizona
Wichita State
Michigan
Villanova
Wisconsin
Kansas
Duke
Virginia
Iowa State
Louisville
Creighton
Syracuse
San Diego State
Michigan State
Cincinnati
UCLA
UConn
Ohio State
North Carolina
Oklahoma
VCU
Kentucky
Saint Louis
New Mexico
Baylor
Texas
UMass
Oregon
George Washington
Gonzaga
Memphis
Oklahoma State
Pittsburgh
Colorado
Tennessee
Stanford
Arizona State
Nebraska
St Joseph's
Kansas State
BYU
Providence
Xavier
Dayton
Green Bay
Iowa
Harvard
North Dakota State
Stephen F Austin
Manhattan
Tulsa
LA Lafayette
Western Michigan
Delaware
New Mexico State
Mercer
Eastern Kentucky
North Carolina Central
Wisconsin Milwaukee
American
Wofford
Weber State
Coastal Carolina
Albany
Mount St Mary's
Texas Southern
Cal Poly

GoBigRed

GoBigRed

Posted
Posted

I don't know what will happen, but I will be very disappointed if SMU is ahead of us. We are better in almost every category except for they are 8-8 on the road/neutral and we are 4-11. Every other metric is in our favor.

 

Road/Neutral is our biggest downfall. Our only hope is the committee recognizes we won at Michigan State and Indiana late in the season, and that we've played a lot of darn good teams on the road. It's no coincidence that among the last 8 teams, Dayton, BYU and SMU have the best road/neutral records...because they play easy teams.

 

The 3 bad losses are no different than the other 11-12 seeds. Only the road/neutral record looks bad on our resume compared to ASU, Iowa, SMU, Tennessee, Xavier, Dayton and BYU.

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