Dead Dog Alley

FWIW Hammond is averaging 2.7 points at Central Oklahoma through 3 games.

He assigns a probability of winning to each game, and the predicted record is based on those joint probabilities. To illustrate using an extreme example, if a team happened to have a 49% chance of winning each and every game, the game by game prediction would be 0-30 but the season prediction would be more like 14-16. (Or something like that, Distribution Theory was not a class I got an A in. Not that that would have meant anything, I did get an A in Nonlinear Partial Differential Equations and understood absolutely nothing about it.)

By my count, there are 7 games vs top 20 competition, 13 games vs top 40 competition, 20 games against higher ranked teams.

As a junior in high school Jacobson also played mostly at the 3. The 5 was a 6'10" Pepperdine recruit and the 4 was a 6'7" Iowa defensive end recruit.

His percentage probably won't be helped this year because he'll probably be the one with the ball when a possession goes stale and they've got to throw up a prayer at the end of a shot clock. I also think this year that his shooting percentage will be higher if his average minutes are in the 25-28 range rather than around 35.

How can this program possibly be in decline? Zero NCAA Tournament wins. One NCAA Tournament appearance in the last eighteen years. Only one season, ever, with more than 22 wins. A conference record this century of 101 wins, 181 losses, and 31-59 all time in the Big Ten. No NBA players out of the program since 1998. And we are trending downward? How exactly do you trend downward from that?

Hopefully he turns out to be a poor man's Adam Woodbury.

I must have missed The Gimp....

Oklahoma really learned their lesson when they retracted their offer to Hammond. I don't know if they will ever recover. That said, I think it would have been best for both parties if Arop had taken the prep school offer.

So...what if this was an honest offer to Arop and not, as it was interpreted, a way for Miles to back out of an offer for him? If Arop was on the team next year, he would either redshirt or not see many minutes - he's not going to be playing any at the 2, if you try to make him a "stretch 4" he's really undersized, and minutes at the 3 will be taken by Roby, McVeigh, and Palmer. (Unless the roster falls apart between then and now, in which case you're probably looking at a coaching change anyway.) So what would be best for his career? Redshirting, not playing, going to a prep school and then to Nebraska, going to a junior college, going to a Summit league team, or going to a mid-tier Missouri Valley or Mountain West team? Because that's probably the options available. There are a lot of good 6'5" high school post players with undeveloped perimeter games that end up being solid college players, but you generally don't see them starting out their careers as contributors on a major conference team. So maybe his best option, in the long run, would have been to take Miles up on the offer.

Here's a simple rule of thumb: if you are a coach, and you play a non-entertaining style with some local players and win, you keep your job. If you play a non-entertaining style without local players and win, you probably keep your job. If you play an entertaining style without local players and win, you keep your job. If you play an entertaining style with local players and don't win, you might keep your job. If, however, you play a non-entertaining style, have no local players, and don't win, you will become a former coach, 100% of the time.

Any educated guesses as to what school his best offer will be from?

The outgoing White has 25 career assists and 72 career turnovers in 1248 total minutes played. Yes, that is about 1 assist for every 50 minutes of game action. The other White has 52 assists and 35 turnovers in 674 minutes played.

In the last 17 years how many times has Nebraska beat the 25.5 number? Six. With highs of 29, once, and 28, twice. The previous nine years the average was 30.9, with lows of 28, once, and 29, three times.

Here's a guess at minutes by position. 5-C 4-PF 3-SF 2-SG 1-PG TOT Tshimanga 14 14 Morrow 18 4 22 Jacobson 8 15 23 Horne 14 14 McVeigh 5 18 23 Fuller 2 2 4 Roby 15 2 17 Webster 5 7 14 26 Taylor 5 5 Gill 26 26 Watson 26 26

Please, do not ever link to a story that has an embedded tweet from one of the two worst radio broadcasters I have ever heard. I had forgotten that guy existed.

Logic dictates that extensions make no sense anyway. How often does an extension keep a coaching change from happening, anyway? Rarely (Kirk Ferentz). So how does it really help in recruiting? I'd say it doesn't, really.

Wesleyan probably has a roster spot open.

If he goes to Richmond, a commonly heard phrase there would be: he's no Johnny Newman.

He must have finally realized that most of his minutes at MSU would have been at the 4 position, that a couple of true freshmen will eat all the minutes at the 3.

Well, that would be every year then, except for 2014-15. There are teams ahead of them that they could easily finish ahead of. Illinois and Minnesota were absolute sh*t shows last year, and continue to have off the court issues, although they both appear to have a significant roster upgrade. Penn State and Northwestern look like they could get better, but they always seem to end up being Penn State and Northwestern. Iowa doesn't return much except for Jok, they have some young talent but not a great deal of size. The top 7 listed, though, all appear to have an edge in experience and size that would be hard to overcome. That's not to say that if everything goes right Nebraska should win some games against those teams.

The last basketball player Nebraska had from Wisconsin put on 40 pounds, switched to football, got drafted by the Jets, and is now a TV producer and host.

In the four games McVeigh was in double figures, he was 15-24 from 3. In the ten games he scored more than 8, he was 25-46. In the remaining 24 games, which included a 2-3 effort vs. Cincinnati, he was 9-54. After going for 17 and 16 against Indiana and Ohio State when Shavon Shields was out, he scored 3 points total in the last six games when Shields came back, going 1-16 from the field and 1-9 from 3.

A role player plays a role, I know what role player means. But what does a roll player do?

Worst case, if it doesn't work out...he's asked to transfer after the season ends. I don't think you'd see Nebraska ask a 4th year guy who was a "please join our team" signee to transfer under any on the court circumstance. If my Math is correct we now have 1 scholarship open for 2017. I'm playing the what if game here...but if Evan Taylor is not able to provide valuable minutes next year I think he will be a likely transfer candidate. And I'd imagine we will be signing more than two recruits in this next class. What's the transfer rate of juco transfers? Pretty low, I'd guess. Deverell Biggs, Myles Holley, Quincy Hankins-Cole, Shang Ping, B.J. Walker, Joe Holmes, Michael Hughes, Amos Gregory, Deak Vance, Danny Walker, Kevin Augustine, Demetrius Buchanan, Kamyron Brown, Jose Ramos, and I'm sure there is more. It happens.