Bracketology

[Bugeaters1]

Looks like the Huskers moved back on the bubble with the wins last week. Now they have to keep moving on up.

http://espn.go.com/womens-college-basketball/bracketology

[HB]

Ohio State, Indiana, and Michigan will likely fall further. Still living on early season stuff. Purdue may fall as well without Houser. If we finish 3rd-4th I would have to think we'd get in.

[Bugeaters1]

Well the Huskers have moved up in the latest bracketology, from an 8or 9 seed to a 7 seed this week. Now they have to keep building on that.

[hskr4life]

I think 20 wins get us in

[HB]

I think 20 wins get us in

 

Not this year.  We don't have our usual high RPI from non-conference play.  Also, 20 wins would most likely mean we finished in dreadful fashion, which would hurt us with the Committee. 

[hskr4life]

When was the last 20 win team from a big conference left out?

[HB]

When was the last 20 win team from a big conference left out?

 

Don't know, but our RPI was 72 recently.  It's gong up with the recent wins, but if we lose all but 3 of our remaining games, it would take a hit.  When was a middle of the pack team (which we would be if we only end up with 20 wins) with a low RPI in?  The Big 10 is down this year compared to past years.  We have 17 wins now.  To have only 20, we would end 3-4 down the stretch, most likely.  That would have us finishing weak, with a low RPI, which I think would put us out.   

 

Hopefully it's just an academic discussion, as I think we'll finish with more than 20 wins, and we'll never know for sure what would have happened with a poor finish.  But from my perspective, we'll need more than 20 this year to get in.  22 to be safe.

[Cazzie22]

With NU hosting a regional, I think it will be difficult for the committee not to include Nebraska...unless we go 0-8 the rest of the season.  The NCAA wants attendance.

[HB]

With NU hosting a regional, I think it will be difficult for the committee not to include Nebraska...unless we go 0-8 the rest of the season.  The NCAA wants attendance.

 

We're hosting the Sweet 16/Elite 8 games rather than the opening rounds, so it's pretty hard for the NCAA to project attendance based on that.  There are standards, and they aren't allowed to reach THAT much to put a team in.  We need to earn it; I'm confident and optimistic we will, but we won't get a mercy entry.

[Bugeaters1]

I'd say 4,000 pre sold tickets is a very start to project attendance. And I think the NCAA knows that Nebraska would draw well from past NCAA events.

[HB]

I'd say 4,000 pre sold tickets is a very start to project attendance. And I think the NCAA knows that Nebraska would draw well from past NCAA events.

 

I wasn't talking about projecting attendance in that context--only in terms of putting a team in the tournament to drive attendance doesn't make much sense when the team would have to win 2 games to get to a game at its host site.  And I agree the attendance at our hosted site will be good, regardless of whether Nebraska is in it.  In fact that "projection" provides further support that we won't get a mercy entry to the dance.   However, if we finish strong, it could possibly affect our seed.

[Cazzie22]

My point was based on the hope that NU could play at home the first two rounds.  That would require a strong finish to the season.

[HB]

My point was based on the hope that NU could play at home the first two rounds.  That would require a strong finish to the season.

Maybe I'm still missing the point, but there is no option of playing the first two games at home, right?  We're hosting what would be the third and 4th games.

[Row6Seat10]

You are right HB. The first two rounds are already set for pre-determined sights The Pinnacle Bank Arena hosts the sweet sixteen and elite 8 games. The winner from the Pinnacle Bank region goes on to the Final Four. ESPN is projecting that UCONN will get sent to the Lincoln regional.

[Bugeaters1]

The Huskers moved to a seven seed in this weeks bracketology to a six seed, where charlie creme has them going to College Station to face aTm again.

[twister31]

The interesting thing is that WSU is also there again. That's 3 of the 4 teams that were there last year. However, win our remaining games and this will change (especially since PSU and PU have very high RPIs, not to mention PSU is a great team). Whether or not that's for the better remains to be seen as it appears that most of the teams hosting this year are also really good (North Carolina, Duke, Maryland, Connecticut, Tennessee, Baylor).  The dream place imo would be someplace like Seattle or Ames (provided ISU doesn't make the tourney which is a possibility). There are other sites where the home team most likely won't be there (such as Toledo) but a couple of 1 seeds will be sent to those places for the purpose of protecting them. One of the reasons why I kind of would have preferred to get the 1st/2nd rounds is that we would have had home court advantage to get to the regionals.  Extremely hard to go to someone else's floor and win 2 games just to get back.  That's a lot of pressure.

[Bugeaters1]

The interesting thing is that WSU is also there again. That's 3 of the 4 teams that were there last year. However, win our remaining games and this will change (especially since PSU and PU have very high RPIs, not to mention PSU is a great team). Whether or not that's for the better remains to be seen as it appears that most of the teams hosting this year are also really good (North Carolina, Duke, Maryland, Connecticut, Tennessee, Baylor).  The dream place imo would be someplace like Seattle or Ames (provided ISU doesn't make the tourney which is a possibility). There are other sites where the home team most likely won't be there (such as Toledo) but a couple of 1 seeds will be sent to those places for the purpose of protecting them. One of the reasons why I kind of would have preferred to get the 1st/2nd rounds is that we would have had home court advantage to get to the regionals.  Extremely hard to go to someone else's floor and win 2 games just to get back.  That's a lot of pressure.

+1000 times

[Cazzie22]

If the ladies are sent to College Station that's good for me to see the team play.  I'd hate to have to beat A&M on their home floor again.  That's too far in the future.  Beat OSU in Columbus is the next step and a healthy Coach Yori!

[Bugeaters1]

Nebraska has moved up another notch in the bracketology this up to # 6, And they are still in the College Station regional.So it's keep keeping on.

[Bugeaters1]

Nothing has changed this week in the bracketology this week for the Huskers.

[twister31]

Yes, but it was updated before our win over Penn State. An interesting question, at least in my opinion, is: would anyone be ok being sent to Durham now? Alexis Jones is out meaning that Duke effectively doesn't have a true point guard.  Obviously they still have talented players, but how much does this effect them?

[twister31]

Man I feel for the selection committee this year.  There are going to be a lot of unhappy people with their placement in the brackets, including us probably.  The 16 hosts sites are: Storrs, Lexington, Chapel Hill, Baton Rouge, Toledo, West Lafayette, University Park, Durham, Los Angeles, Iowa City, College Park, Knoxville, Ames, Seattle, College Station, Waco.  Now of these 16 Nebraska CAN"T go to: Storrs (#1 seed), Toledo (assume to place a #1 seed there), West Lafayette (2 B1G teams can't play in second round), University Park (same thing), Los Angeles (assuming Stanford is sent here as #1 seed), Iowa City (B1G teams), and most likely Ames (protecting #1 seed). That leaves:

Lexington

Chapel Hill

Baton Rouge

Durham

College Park

Knoxville

Seattle

College Station

Waco

 

Now: Baylor and Tennessee are probably most definitely going to be 2 seeds. So we wouldn't sent to either of those places because we are higher than the 7/10 seeds. THIS leaves:

College Station

Seattle

College Park

Durham

Baton Rouge

Lexington

 

Now is where this gets interesting. Duke is currently listed as a 2 seed, but with the injury to Alexis Jones it's POSSIBLE that the committee could move them to a 3 seed. If they don't and leave Duke as a 2 seed, then this eliminates Durham as a place for Nebraska to go, and you STILL have Louisville who will either be a 1 seed or a 2 seed and Nebraska won't be assigned to either of those two sites.  But Louisville isn't hosting the 1/2 rounds so they will have to be sent somewhere, most likely Baton Rouge for geography reasons.  Let's say all of this is exactly what the committee is thinking too, that leaves:

Lexington

Chapel Hill

College Park

Seattle

College Station

 

Of these, the best place would be Seattle (for neutral court reasons). This year is a mess compared to recent years just because of the teams that are hosting and ones that maybe shouldn't be.  I'm sure we will all be surprised on selection day and either be relieved or angered lol.  As I have just finished typing this, if you see an error (I didn't use logic thinking, or repeated something twice) please let me know so I can eliminate the confusion.

[Bugeaters1]

So you have the Huskers as 6 or 7 seed ?

[twister31]

I have them as a 4/5 seed. Basically I took Creme's bracket and sent Oklahoma state to Texas Am as the 6 seed, Syracuse to Purdue as the 5 seed, and then Cal and Neb as the 4/5 seeds in Seattle. Of course if Duke ends of getting a 3 seed, this will mess it all up.

[Cazzie22]

This no way to run a tournament, but it has to be done for attendance purposes.  I'd still hope to be seeded high enough, maybe a #3 and play in Ames.