hskr4life

Miles “flash in the pan” NCAA team had 4 wins away from PBA including 3 true road wins and one was at MSU. We’ve got to find a way to play on the road.

Top 4 conference team at home and bottom 4 on the road. How do we not get up for a game like this? We could dance! We’re so close. Unfortunately, if we can’t play outside of PBA… we’re not making it.

Up 12 to 2… so that’s a 42 to 15 run in favor of UMD.

Can’t afford blowout losses

Not good

That’s a biiiig assumption. Do we know for certain that………… Memphis would even have Busch Light?

Results (1/26/24): That should officially put St Joes on life support-- even though I don't think they were particularly close to the bubble. Let's hope that MSU loss doesn't knock them down to a Q2 game. Big 10 Games Wisconsin 81, MSU 66 Non-Con Opponents Games None Other Bubble Games St. Bonny 91, St Joes 72 Games To Watch (1/27/24): A lot of games on tap for today. The bubble list... is huge... mostly because of how early it is. Added some notes about individual games below. There are certainly some games more important than others. May have missed some, but at this point... it doesn't matter a ton. Fun fact... every one of our non-con opponents is playing. Big 10 Games Nebraska @ Maryland Indiana @ Illinois- A loss here for Illinois + a loss by NW would move us into a tie for 3rd. Iowa @ Michigan Minnesota @ Penn State Ohio St @ Northwestern- A loss here for NW + a loss by Illinois would move us into a tie for 3rd. Non-Con Opponents Games Lindenwood @ UT Martin Alcorn St @FA&M Rider @ Mt. St. Marys UNCW @ Stony Brook Arizona St @ Oregon St- Another chance to cement themselves as a Q3. Fordham @ Duquesne- If Duquesne could get on a roll here, they could pop back up into a Q2 win. Lot of work to do though. Cal St. Bakersfield @ Cal St Fullerton DePaul @ Creighton KState @ Houston- A chance for KSU to cement themselves as a Q1 win for us. UND @ St. Thomas SC State @ Delaware St Other Bubble Games Virginia @ Louisville Georgia @ Florida Georgetown @ Providence Seton Hall @ Marquette North Carolina @ Florida St Texas @ BYU Princeton @ Cornell Pittsburg @ Miami Villanova @ Butler Grand Canyon @ UT Arlington Auburn @ Mississippi St Clemson @ Duke TCU @ Baylor Utah St @ Boise St Colorado @ Washington St Bradley @ Indiana St Northern Iowa @ Drake NC St @ Syracuse UCF @ Cincinnati Ole Miss @ Texas A&M Utah @ Washington Loyola @ St. Marys Gonzaga @ Pacific

Meh— what about this to be unique… 16 league games and 1 protected home/away each year… 18 total. Then a 2 game round robin pod the week before the B1G tourney (W,F,Su). Pods hosted by the top 6 conference teams where the winner goes to the B1G tourney automatically. Then the 10 next highest teams in the standings that didn’t win the pod go and the B1G tourney is re-seeded into a straight 16 team single elimination. Pods 1, 18, 7 2, 17, 8 3, 16, 9 4, 15, 10 5, 14, 11 6, 13, 12 Pick it apart, I didn’t think about it too deep, but gives everyone at least a chance.

Their 3 PAC 12 losses are Stanford, Was St, Or St. If it keeps going the way it looks now, they might only end up a 2-3 bid league.

I've been waiting to start a thread even though I've been watching the bubble for a few weeks now. Of course at this time of the year, it's large and will get slimmed down. There are only a few teams that are on "life support" as I saw one bracketologist refer to them. Teams like Oregon State, DePaul, etc that would pretty much need to run the table and win their conference tournament. I'll do my best to include all bubbly teams, but there is some personal opinion involved. Hopeful to update this each day with results from the previous day and games to watch for the current/next day. Format below. I may throw in some of my thoughts each day too. Results (Date) Big 10 Games Non-Con Opponents Games Other Bubble Games Games To Watch (Date) Big 10 Games Non-Con Opponents Games Other Bubble Games So here is the inaugural post. Results (1/25/24): Overall, a pretty good day for us. Our Non-Con opponents took care of business and that huge win for Oregon St. should keep them a Q3. In bubble action, the teams we'd like to lose all won. St. Mary's and Gonzaga could be a 1 bid league... but we need them to lose a couple more. St. Mary's get's a nice bump to #18 in the NET because they won big. Grand Canyon could also steal a bid if they run the table. Big 10 Games NONE Non-Con Opponents Games Oregon State 83, (9) Arizona 80 Stony Brook 72, Monmouth 65 Rider 62, St. Peters 57 Little Rock 80, Lindenwood 66 Cal St. Fullerton 54, Cal Poly 51 Other Bubble Games St. Mary's 76, Pacific 28 Gonzaga 77, San Francisco 72 Grand Canyon 53, Stephen F Austin 51 Games To Watch (1/26/24): Not too much happening today. A good one in the Big 10 on tap, but pretty much a wash for us on who we need to win at this point. The bubble game is a stretch, but St. Joe's could crack a bid should they pile up some wins in the A-10. Big 10 Games Michigan St @ Wisconsin Non-Con Opponents Games None Other Bubble Games St. Joseph's @ St. Bonaventure

Interesting that he was a game time decision Tuesday but Out the day before on Saturday.

Feeling much better about this year. I was post season or bust last year but understood why we’d give another chance after finishing how we did. I’ve stated in other threads that I’m NCAAs or bust this year and I’ll stick to that. Much improved and much more fun to watch! Much more of a TEAM the past year and a half too.

Here is the top 36 teams in the NET and how they’ve done against the NET top 100 this year. Bonus… our metrics are below. Wins: 7 Q1 Wins: 3 Win %: 58% Wins Rk: not sure what this one is Avg Opp Rk: 58 Our metrics are right around the St John’s/Clemson region. Would be in the top half of this group.

Giving me Little Big League vibes with this stat. Lol!

Winning at Maryland… or anywhere on the road… is tough to do. Period.

24 point NET bump from 190 to 166. For those interested, they’d need to stay Top 200 for Q3 status. They probably have no chance at Q2 status which is Top 100 for Neutral.

JLaw isn’t as far away from being in the Top 10 either IMO. If my man is able to create on O and make shots like he was last year… combined with his D this year, he’s a near lock for Top 10 if not starting PG.

He was also somewhat explosive. Still remember some of his driving dunks including early on in the No Sit Sunday game.

I'd worry about teams packing it in and daring this group to shoot. While you have to respect Gary, Palmer, and Roby... I also wouldn't mind making those two beat me from outside. Especially with the driving ability and post up ability of this group.

Honestly... I didn't see a lot of fire Frans on that board.

And it’s sooo easy too to be like “stop Tominaga” but in doing so, you leave guys wide open and this year we’re knocking down shots. The one thing we don’t have is someone to drive AND finish. I feel like that’s where we struggled the most.

This is a tough tough one. Watson/Webster Petteway/Keisei Palmer/Shields Copeland/Gary Roby/Mast

Outside shot of getting into the Dance. They’re stacking some road wins. I expect a lower scoring game.