hskr4life

Nebraska looking to make it 2 for the last 2 ATS on the road. They were just 1-5 before Illinois.

Like the bracketologists, love the Andy Katz’s

Andy definitely pulling for us and the B1G. We’re closer to an 11 than an 8 though I think. At this point in time. Honestly the high 9-low 10 range is where we should probably be.

We were talking a bit about fouls in another thread. Northwestern, unlike Illinois, fouls a lot (almost to the point of overfouling). Illinois doesn’t and we still managed to get to the line 14 times. Would benefit us to love the rim tomorrow I think. Also— we play pretty good D and don’t foul a ton according to that chart.

Not that it changes a whole lot, but a Maryland blowout of Rutgers tonight could move them to a Q1 loss. I didn't realize they had snuck into the Top 80 of the NET.

This is true-- I also think our Illinois loss may have gotten more publicity and eyes than our Wisconsin win. Twitter had a TON of tweets about our Illinois game, how good of a game it was, blah blah.

Results (2/5/24): Big win for KSU and Virginia is firmly in the field now, if they weren't already. Seeing them hop us in a lot of brackets as well. Big 10 Games NONE Non-Con Opponents Games Coppin State 65 @ South Carolina St 77 Florida A&M 53 @ Alabama State 62 Kansas 70 @ Kansas State 75 Other Bubble Games Miami 38 @ Virginia 60 Games To Watch (2/6/24): I've bolded the bubbly teams that we probably want to lose below. A few games that wouldn't move the needle much with a win, but would be a killer loss tonight (St. Johns, Wake Forest). There are a few teams in a little bit of a tailspin and a few more losses could continue knocking them down into bubble territory (Clemson, Oklahoma). St. Mary's can't afford a loss to anyone other than Gonzaga. Boise, while strong start to MWC play, is bubbly with a few losses that creep up. Big 10 Games Rutgers @ Maryland Indiana @ Ohio St Michigan St @ Minnesota Non-Con Opponents Games NONE Other Bubble Games DePaul @ St. Johns Clemson @ North Carolina Wake Forest @ Georgia Tech Iowa St @ Texas BYU @ Oklahoma Butler @ UCONN Nevada @ Utah St Boise St @ Colorado St St Mary's @ Pacific

*Sees Northwestern’s home number and thinks ‘Love the rim tomorrow.’

Who, coincidentally, is wayyy more bubbly than we are. They appear in just 3/88 brackets on bracket matrix. Predictive metrics are good (opposite of ours) but their result based metrics are rough (also opposite of ours). They also have 0 Q1 wins.

For anyone wondering, here is K-States schedule the rest of the way. Should have a chance to win out at home but the road games are tough. It’s the Big 12, so just about every game could be an L.

Just NO OT games. Tang is now 11-0 in OT games in just 2 seasons at KSU.

KSU moved up a few spots to 79 in the NET. Still a Q2, but only 4 spots out from being a Q1 again. Itll be important for them to grab another soon. This weekend would be huge!

A few thoughts… 1. interesting to see a home game be a Q3 and road game a Q1. (KSU) 2. Ya gotta think Baylor will be improved more than a Q4 this year. 3. Would be nice for a few of those away series to move up a quad, but I don’t see much at home that could move up.

KSU is probably 12-16 teams off the bubble right now. They have a lot of work to do. We have to cheer for KSU though. Them getting back into the Q1 win column for us would be huge.

Unfortunately I think we’re a little far out still. A lot too depends on other bubble teams. So far the bubble is massive but softer. If some of those teams start picking up big wins…

We’ve always been on the outside of a few brackets this whole year. Our win against Wisco turned a few heads for the ones we weren’t in and I believe our play at Illinois placed us in the rest. There were a surprisingly large number of tweets about how well we played from bracketologists.

Maybe, but win at Michigan and we also have a road win at KSU and 1 (or possibly more depending on B1G tourney) neutral site wins.

Arops career also overlaps with Miles departure and Fred’s first few seasons. Hard to imagine he saves Miles job as a freshman or leads us to glory Fred’s first few years either. That’s IF he doesn’t transfer when Miles is fired.

This is probably true. I was more saying Bruce’s big argument at the end was insinuating that Arop panned out because he played for a Final 4 team and that “wasn’t good enough for Nebraska.” No quelms with either Bruce or Tim for this decision, honestly. Just would have been nice for it to be left at mutually agreeing to part ways. Because that’s basically what it was it sounds like.

I couldn’t decide yesterday who got mugged more off the ball. CJ or Keisei. Honestly that’s why CJ didn’t have the best game. KT can hit a three from anywhere at any time no matter if someone is in his face or not. CJ needs to have that little bit of separation which Illinois was not going to give.

I get it. It’s a home state guy who panned out. But this sounds like a big ol nothing burger. Good on coach for sticking up for his player as I expect all coaches would, but honestly it just sounds like typical recruiting stuff that probably happens more than we know. Coaches cool on guys on the recruiting trail… even guys who are committed or semi-committed. It happens.

Tominaga is great. CJ is having a breakout year off the bench! Complete glue guy. But we’re nowhere near where we would be right now without Mast. He’s such a big piece for why this works. Can play inside and shoot it from outside. We’re very fortunate his injury happened when it did. Even if he’s out a few weeks in conference, those games would be very tough to win. He'll be one that you don’t fully appreciate until he’s gone. Then you realize how big of a piece he truly was.

The number of posts I have seen on other message boards that have said “they are my second favorite B1G team” is more than I can remember/count. Most love us, don’t want to play us, and a lot of people love Tominaga.

If anyone is interested, here’s a team sheet with all of the metrics a committee would see. I didn’t include specific games that you could also have for a quad. Overall our predictive metrics are improving and our result based metrics are off the charts good. Top 25 KPI and Top 30 SOR is great!

Lot of compliments on the Illinois board including one that said "that could be a sneaky Sweet 16 team"! However, I saw multiple posts that we played "lights out" or played our "A++" game and honestly, I don't think we played great. Didn't play terrible, but didn't play great either.