hskr4life

UCONN won, Vandy with a huge road win that will go a long ways. I think Vandy only probably needs 1 more win to lock. PSU stayed a Q1 loss-- Indiana stayed a Q2B win by 1 spot. Indiana solidifying it's spot on the bubble though as Dimes mentioned. Oklahoma loses a heartbreaker. They have 3 games left and I believe still could get in at 7-11. EEK. They'd have to win @Ole Miss, @Texas, and home against Mizzou. Not the most difficult but not easy either. Biggest bubble result was UVA over Wake and if they can't win at Duke, could need the auto bid. Arkansas won in OT and Texas remains outside looking in. OSU inching closer to a Q1 win again. USC stays Q2. San Fran over Oregon State. Dang it. Huge road win for SFU.

Him, his wife, and their dog but no foul play screams something like carbon monoxide?

Wake Forest… bubble popped.

Posted my thoughts above. Truly a toss up I think. The small IU win could bump them to a Q2A game and keep Penn State a Q1 loss.

Neither of these teams are very good. They shouldn’t make the Dance. Am I doing this right?

Absolutely-- it's an NCAA tournament game against an 11 seed. Does a win as 6 seed against an 11 seed count?

I and most all bracketologists agree…. Barring a ton of bid stealing.

Bubble Watch 2/26 - According to T-Rank, our biggest rooting interests tonight are Oregon St over San Francisco, USC over Ohio St, Kentucky over OU, Penn St over Indiana, Rice over Memphis. This is actually a pretty decent list today and I agree with all of them. - My personal Bubble Watch: Georgetown over UCONN-- While it wouldn't knock UCONN out, their resume is on the lighter side of things. They have that Q3 loss to Seton Hall, their loss to CU is on the verge of going Q3, and this loss to GTown would be a possible third Q3 loss. A&M over Vandy-- Vandy is one of those SEC teams that looks to be in, but they aren't quite locked. They finish @A&M, Missouri, Arkansas, @Georgia. So four huge games that would give them Q1 wins or wins over other bubbly teams. We don't want the Q1 wins and will cross the bubble games when we get there. K-State over UCF-- Not a huge game either way, but KSU is further away than UCF. Fordham over George Mason-- There is talk that with a weak bubble, teams like GMU could steal a bid. So root against that. Rhode Island over Dayton-- See above. Evansville over Drake-- Drake is a nice story, but I don't want them stealing out bid. A loss here almost assures that. Penn St @ Indiana-- a toss up maybe? A close Indiana win could keep PSU a Q1 loss AND move Indiana up to a Q2A win. But Indiana is also on the bubble, so... IDK. Seton Hall over Nova-- Don't want Nova going on a run even though they aren't super close right now. Kentucky over Oklahoma-- Keep Oklahoma dropping. They are tough at home though. OU will need more than this win, BUT it would be a good start for them. Arizona over Utah-- The Craig Smithless Utes stilll would have a shot if they go on a run. Virginia over Wake Forest-- I would say this is a huge bubble swing game for us as a loss likely damages Wake's resume bad. They can't afford to lose this one. Creighton over DePaul-- Puke.. but we need that resume boost Creighton gives us when they win. Texas @ Arkansas-- Toss up? Both are projected 11 seeds on BM and a loss likely drops one of them off right now. USC over Ohio St-- keeps OSU off the bubble, keeps USC a Q2 loss, and Ohio St likely wouldn't move up to Q1 with a win anyways. California over SMU-- SMU is bubbly and a loss here would be damaging. Oregon St over San Francisco-- THE BIGGEST bubble game of the night doesn't tip until 10 PM. This is a double resume boost for us should Oregon St win. San Francisco is squarely on the bubble. A win over OSU would give their resume a boost. An OSU win for us improves our Non-Con SOS and could move them to a Q2A win.

Georgia picked up a big win over Florida after almost blowing it. Could move them back into the field last 4 in. They finish @Texas, @South Carolina, Vandy. So three of the easier games they could ask for. But, nothing is easy in the SEC. Cincy did beat Baylor! Moves the Bears down a peg, but also moves Cincy closer to the field. Pitt lost to Ga Tech and that’s a bad loss for a team on the bubble. VCU won, as expected. NW took care of Minny. SDSU won over New Mexico and for now they’ll both probably stay ahead of us. Zaga won, which was likely, but it would have been nice if they lose. Overall, as mentioned, not a terrible night on the bubble.

Still just 6-11 Q1/2 and just 1 road win.

Not your grandpas Nebrasketball

This doesn’t even seem physically possible. Like… what!?!?

OSU losing also helps our NCAA chances as well.

Personally believe the committee has their bracket and alternates pretty much wrapped by Thursday(ish). So maybe a Wednesday bad loss taken into account, but wins not so much.

To be fair-- we could still finish bottom 3... most definitely. But it's a longshot. To be fair, we probably have one of the "nicer" 3 game finishes in the conference vs some of the others toward the bottom. Washington must win 3/4 of the following to tie us: @Wisco, Indiana, @USC, Oregon Penn State must win 2/3 of the following to tie us: @Indiana, Maryland, @Wisconsin Northwestern must win 2/4 of the following to tie us: @Minny, Iowa, UCLA, @Maryland

Quick Look at Resumes of Bubble teams around us... I just used the BracketMatrix Bubble as it averages out all bracketologists. Nebraska: Q1 Wins- 5 , Q1/2 Record- 9-11 , Road Record- 5-6 , Q3/4 Losses- 0 Bubble In: Texas: Q1 Wins- 4 , Q1/2 Record- 7-11 , Road Record- 3-5 , Q3/4 Losses- 0 Oklahoma: Q1 Wins- 5 , Q1/2 Record- 7-9 , Road Record- 1-6 , Q3/4 Losses- 1 Ohio St: Q1 Wins- 5 , Q1/2 Record- 8-13, Road Record- 3-6 , Q3/4 Losses- 0 Arkansas: Q1 Wins- 4 , Q1/2 Record- 5-11 , Road Record- 3-5 , Q3/4 Losses- 0 Wake Forest: Q1 Wins- 2 , Q1/2 Record- 7-7 , Road Record- 6-5, Q3/4 Losses- 1 Bubble Out: Indiana: Q1 Wins- 4 , Q1/2 Record- 7-11 , Road Record- 3-5, Q3/4 Losses- 0 Georgia: Q1 Wins- 2 , Q1/2 Record- 5-11 , Road Record- 1-7, Q3/4 Losses- 0 UNC: Q1 Wins- 1 , Q1/2 Record- 7-10 , Road Record- 5-6, Q3/4 Losses- 1 SMU: Q1 Wins- 0 , Q1/2 Record- 5-7 , Road Record- 6-2, Q3/4 Losses- 0

Sometimes I don't get T-Ranks rooting guide. Legit it says the biggest game for us tonight is the Colorado St Vs Air Force game. I don't know why or how... but... that's just what his numbers say.

Ok... Ok. We're firmly on the bubble. Sadly. We've done enough to be in and out at the same time. Michigan, @Maryland, USC, Rutgers... the list of what ifs goes on and on. But, the bubble is unbelievably soft this year. Bubble teams are awful. Our resume stacks up really well against them. So we better start rooting against them even more. Bubble Watch 2/25 - According to T-Rank, our biggest rooting interests tonight are Colorado State over Air Force (?), Iowa over Illinois, Murray St over Indiana St, Tulsa over SDSU, and TCU over West Virginia. - My personal Bubble Watch: Florida over Georgia-- GA shouldn't be near the bubble, but the SEC is getting a team in that is multiple games under .500, so we don't need GA getting a big win. They still appear in 15 brackets on BM. Cincy over Baylor-- Baylor is more bubbly in and a mucked up B12 wouldn't hurt our chances. Cincy needs more than this one and finishes @Houston, KSU, @Ok St GA Tech over Pitt-- Pitt is bubbly and just needs to keep losing. Richmond over VCU-- A 2 bid A-10 is possible..... Northwestern over Minny-- Need that NW win to stay a good win and Minny will likely be a Q3 no matter what they do the rest of the year. New Mexico over San Diego St-- I think NM is more safely in than SDSU. Santa Clara over Zaga-- Zaga, with a few more losses and not much resume meat, could be bubbly end of the year.

Mine have been having trouble too. May be a small glitch somewhere.

I've thought a little bit about this. Weak bubble provides us quite the opportunity to get in despite us doing everything we can to not get in. We have the ability to "grind" and defense travels (usually). We have a "dawg" who can score at all three levels and could live at the line. We know that MM games can sometimes turn into free throw contests. We've proven we can win away from home both at a neutral site and true road environments. IDK-- I just have this feeling that everything is going to work itself out. We're not a "top team" by any means, but we have the ability to be a team that hangs around like a gnat in any game we play.

We may be the final champion.

If anything, Brice Williams deserves to be in March Madness.

I agree, I would have loved Brice to take that last shot. A TO is always a "we should have called one" when the shot doesn't go down, but Michigan was scrambling a little bit. It wasn't like the game earlier this year where we dribbled around forever without a good look only to have Connor heave one up. Where I disagree the most is the "low percentage shot" comment. That was a quality shot. Wide open, in transition, his feet were set, and there was no contest. Sure, he has definitely struggled, but that was not a low percentage shot. Especially when we only shot like 29 percent from two yesterday.

Minnesota and Iowa are musts. Ohio St would just be a cherry on top.

I know we keep saying Bryce should have taken that to the hole, and he probably should have. But I can remember multiple times earlier this year with the game on the line him dribbling off his leg or turning it over. Essegian was WIDE open. His look was a good shot. High percentage (or should be) look.