HuskerFever

I'm not so sure about that. At least prior to this Michigan State game. 18 wins, we're likely in the conversation. 19 and you have a very very strong case. Unless you're confident blue blood UNC type of teams will forever be ahead of a team that won 8 of their last 10 games and deep into the BTT. If we lose to Michigan State on Tuesday? Yeah, you're probably right.

Game #29 vs. Minnesota Results (78-67 W) Picked NU: 41 (89%) Average NU Score: 71.7 Average Opp Score: 63.7 Average HHCC Score: 18.1 Median HHCC Score: 15.5 Mode HHCC Score: 9 1 BLB115 -24 2 Handy Johnson -24 3 AuroranHusker 3 4 tcp 5 5 aphilso1 7 6 colhusker 7 7 TheNovice 7 8 BjoeHusker 8 9 Crush78 8 10 twinswingohuskers 8 11 hhcmatt 9 12 HuskerFever 9 13 KenPom 9 14 Huskerpapa 10 15 emwilliams 11 16 Vinny 11 17 hskr4life 13 18 Noah121 13 19 roundball3 13 20 LNKtrnsplnt 14 21 Silverbacked1 14 22 Nebrasketball1979 15 23 nuhusker7 15 24 Cazzie22 16 25 demone 17 26 MichHusker 17 27 throwback 17 28 hal9000 20 29 NeeandMe 20 30 UnicamMan 21 31 HuscurAdam 22 32 huskerbill85 22 33 BigTate 23 34 NUtball 23 35 Bugeaters1 25 36 75unlgrad 26 37 REDZONEDAN 26 38 brfrad 28 39 bb33ch 31 40 Tallbaby21 31 41 SkersHoops 37 42 cornfed24-7 46 43 Ralph Wiggum 49 44 basketballjones 50 45 roscoe 50 46 jimmykc 56

Four conference wins in a row! We've got one home game and a road game remaining in the regular season. Then off to the Big Ten Tournament. HHCC Standings - End of Week 16 1 LNKtrnsplnt 885 NC 2 hhcmatt 915 NC 3 75unlgrad 936 NC 4 HuskerFever 947 NC 5 Handy Johnson 954 U3 6 AuroranHusker 966 U1 7 MichHusker 970 D1 8 REDZONEDAN 974 D3 9 BLB115 978 U2 10 Noah121 1000 D1 11 TheNovice 1005 D1 12 aphilso1 1018 NC 13 BjoeHusker 1024 NC 14 KenPom 1031 NC 15 emwilliams 1040 NC 16 demone 1048 NC 17 Crush78 1067 U4 18 throwback 1067 NC 19 Cazzie22 1071 NC 20 tcp 1083 U5 21 brfrad 1089 U1 22 basketballjones 1090 D5 23 cornfed24-7 1101 D3 24 Bugeaters1 1102 D1 25 Tallbaby21 1111 U2 26 hal9000 1113 U2 27 roundball3 1117 U2 28 Silverbacked1 1128 U3 29 roscoe 1130 D3 30 jimmykc 1133 D6 31 Huskerpapa 1145 U2 32 twinswingohuskers 1151 U2 33 SkersHoops 1155 D1 34 Ralph Wiggum 1162 D4 35 hskr4life 1203 NC 36 Nebrasketball1979 1218 NC 37 Vinny 1246 NC 38 UnicamMan 1258 NC 39 HuscurAdam 1271 NC 40 NeeandMe 1286 NC 41 nuhusker7 1323 NC 42 NUtball 1390 NC 43 bb33ch 1454 U1 44 Cowboy Kermit 1487 D1 45 BigTate 1694 NC 46 1sdpad2 1784 NC 47 hhctony 1790 NC 48 4NUfans 1830 NC 49 colhusker 1884 NC 50 huskerbaseball13 1963 NC 51 bigred4 2173 NC 52 Busch Light 2182 NC 53 mkroll12345 2223 NC 54 DudeAbides 2385 NC 55 Cornyfan1 2395 NC 56 The Jazz Huddle 2501 NC 57 huskerbill85 2555 U3 58 Breslin Petteway 2558 D1 59 nustudent 2571 D1 60 ConkintheCorner 2575 D1 61 uneblinstu 2652 NC 62 Jurgey 2665 NC 63 thrasher31 2708 NC 64 busticket 2714 NC 65 Cookie Crumbs 2716 NC 66 Husker Hoops Penitent 2728 NC 67 Nighthawk 2757 NC 68 Craytonhater 2758 NC 69 MontanaHusker 2758 NC Biggest Rise tcp U5 Biggest Fall jimmykc D6 (U# = Up, D# = Down, NC = No Change)

Might as well get this thread started. Obviously will be more for updates throughout the tournament, but there's some interesting scenarios for seeding right now. Here's a few potential outcomes that can impact our current #10 seed with two games remaining: Wisconsin: at least match win-for-win to remain ahead (vs Purdue, at Minnesota) Penn State: at least match win-for-win + tiebreaker (#2 seed results) to remain ahead (at Northwestern, vs Maryland) Michigan State: lose both games and Nebraska wins both games to jump ahead (at Nebraska, vs Ohio State) Rutgers: lose both games and Nebraska wins both games to jump ahead (at Minnesota, vs Northwestern) Iowa: lose both games and Nebraska wins both games to jump ahead (at Indiana, vs Nebraska) Nebraska: vs Michigan State, at Iowa What is essentially comes to is: 1. Nebraska wins out, any 3 teams lose out (Michigan State, Rutgers, Iowa) 2. Match win-for-win with any 2 teams (Wisconsin, Penn State)

There is no 0.500 requirement for the NIT. If you're looking for NCAA qualifications, a Wednesday game isn't going to do anything for us. We need Quad 1 wins, not Q3/4.

Not enough Quad 1 wins...

I'd like to say we're in the driver's seat now, but that's not entirely the case. The #2 seed may dictate where we end up. Keep working!

Technically. But if I'm reading the tiebreakers correctly, that #2 Big Ten spot could be a make or break for us. Too bad we didn't get that Purdue win. That would've sealed the deal with any tiebreaker with Penn State.

I'd be curious to see if this favors one style of play over another. Virginia slowball for instance.

It's possible it comes down to that Q1 column + a flawless Q3/Q4.

It's not a science, we all know that, so take it with as much grain of salt as you want. Current Last Four Out: Penn State: #57 NET, 17-1, Q1 3-7, Q2 4-4, Q3 5-0, Q4 5-0 Utah State: #32 NET, 21-7, Q1 1-4, Q2 5-1, Q3 12-1, Q4 3-1 North Carolina: #47 NET, 18-11, Q1 1-8, Q2 6-3, Q3 5-0, Q4 6-0 Arizona State: #59 NET, 20-9, Q1 4-4, Q2 5-5, Q3 4-0, Q4 7-1 Nebraska: #93 NET, 15-14, Q1 3-10, Q2 4-4, Q3 1-0, Q4 7-0 The teams ahead of us in NET with 14+ losses are: #64 Florida (15), #65 Oklahoma (15), #71 Ohio State (17), #74 Colorado (14), #75 Washington State (15), #78 Villanova (14), #89 BYU (14)

Giving up a leadoff hit in every single inning so far, thru 5. That's not going to end up well for us in conference play.

This does help explain some of the oddities with Ohio State then. Although Ohio State only has one road win all season.

For those who don't want to click the link or dig: Beginning in 2020, winning percentage, adjusted winning percentage and scoring margin were all dropped from the NET ranking. Therefore, only team value and team value index are used to ranked teams. So, the only factors which go into the rankings are efficiency (offensive points per possession minus opponents points per possession), strength of opponents played, location of game, wins and losses, and who won the game.

Scoring margin is a component of it. But looking back, it does seem it's capped at 10 pts (1 pt for OT).

Our loss margins are: 20, 13, 12, 16, 3, 15, 18, 16, 18, 11, 15, 19, 16, and 21. That's what has hurt us the most. Then it's 3-10 Q1, 4-4 Q2, 1-0 Q3, 7-0 Q4 as well. Straightforward logic: lose fewer games, beat good opponents, and don't get blown out.

November 25, 2020: Nebraska vs. McNeese State, 102-55, Win. Mayen: 13 Banton: 14 T McGowens: 14 Allen: 14 Webster: 13 Stevenson: 14 The last time all 5 starters were in double figures was: February 27, 2022, Nebraska at Penn State (93-70, Win). And then January 10, 2021, Nebraska vs. Indiana (76-84, Loss). From the McNeese State game to the Minnesota game we have had 6 players in double figures twice, 5 players in double figures 8 times. 5+ Players in Double Figures: 2022-2023: vs Minnesota (6 players), vs Queens, vs Boston College, neut Florida State 2021-2022: at Penn State, vs Minnesota, vs Indiana, vs Doane, vs South Dakota, vs McNeese State (6 players)

But unlike the kid from Indiana, he is not dirty like Gibbs and the kid from Wisconsin who's name slips my mind. You left out Aaron Craft.

The last time San Jose State had 17+ wins was 2010-2011 (17 wins). Prior to that was 1979-1980 (17 wins), 1975-1976 (17 wins), 1949-1950 (21 wins), 1937-1938 (19 wins). The last time they had 8+ conference wins was 1995-1996. 1995-1996: Lost in NCAA 1st Round 1979-1980: Lost in NCAA 1st Round 1950-1951: Lost in NCAA 1st Round This team hasn't had a winning record since 2010-2011, prior to that was 1993-1994. The last time they had a winning conference record was 1993-1994. The lack of history, lack of success, and lack of resources makes this turnaround (if you can even call it that) pretty impressive. Not that they'll make the tournament, at-large, but if they beat us to a first NCAA tournament win we're truly cursed.

Current status of our predictions: Total Wins (predicted at start of season): 91% predicted wins at or below 15 total wins Remaining predictions: 16 (x2), 19 Conference Wins (predicted in December): 100% predicted wins at or below 8 conference wins Remaining predictions: None.

All five starters had double digits. Then add in Sam Hoiberg as a bonus.

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