HuskerFever

What does our Bracketology look like for the Big Ten tournament? Are we a bubble team?

Purdue seems to be attempting the "six game losing streak" strategy that we've employed this season.

Pop - 72 Mini soda - 65

Brice Williams tonight:

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Game #27 vs. Penn State Results (72-89 L) Picked NU: 38 (86%) Average NU Score: 75.4 Average Opp Score: 69.4 Average HHCC Score: 59.8 Median HHCC Score: 63.0 Mode HHCC Score: 64 1 Woody Boyd -6 2 roscoe 31 3 BjoeHusker 33 4 Ralph Wiggum 42 5 cornfed24-7 43 6 REDZONEDAN 45 7 colhusker 58 8 throwback 58 9 Vinny 58 10 brfrad 59 11 MJW82 59 12 SkersHoops 59 13 Huskerpapa 60 14 Silverbacked1 60 15 HuscurAdam 61 16 UnicamMan 61 17 75unlgrad 62 18 BugeaterZ 62 19 Crush78 62 20 Faux Mike Peltz 62 21 AuroranHusker 63 22 hskr4life 63 23 MichHusker 63 24 Noah121 63 25 twinswingohuskers 63 26 aphilso1 64 27 CanadianHusker 64 28 Cazzie22 64 29 Handy Johnson 64 30 HuskerFever 64 31 roundball3 64 32 Bugeaters1 65 33 hhcmatt 65 34 jimmykc 65 35 demone 66 36 Nebrasketball1979 66 37 NeeandMe 66 38 Busch Light 67 39 4NUfans 68 40 AGHANSEN 68 41 LNKtrnsplnt 70 42 nuhusker7 76 43 big red22 80 44 BLB115 83

It's as if we took the week off. This upcoming week, we have two home games; time to take care of business. HHCC Standings - End of Week 16 1 MichHusker 917 NC 2 SkersHoops 938 NC 3 AuroranHusker 996 NC 4 NeeandMe 1000 NC 5 Nebrasketball1979 1037 NC 6 AGHANSEN 1050 NC 7 roundball3 1050 NC 8 Huskerpapa 1057 NC 9 Vinny 1069 U1 10 hhcmatt 1074 D1 11 LNKtrnsplnt 1084 NC 12 Cazzie22 1087 NC 13 hskr4life 1088 NC 14 demone 1092 NC 15 aphilso1 1099 NC 16 Woody Boyd 1101 U4 17 HuskerFever 1106 D1 18 BjoeHusker 1136 U1 19 Crush78 1137 D2 20 Bugeaters1 1142 D2 21 roscoe 1149 U2 22 jimmykc 1173 D1 23 twinswingohuskers 1179 D1 24 Ralph Wiggum 1197 U6 25 Handy Johnson 1199 NC 26 REDZONEDAN 1201 U5 27 4NUfans 1203 D3 28 brfrad 1208 D1 29 HuscurAdam 1213 NC 30 CanadianHusker 1216 D2 31 BLB115 1221 D5 32 UnicamMan 1228 NC 33 throwback 1232 NC 34 75unlgrad 1250 U1 35 BugeaterZ 1262 U2 36 nuhusker7 1265 NC 37 cornfed24-7 1276 U2 38 Silverbacked1 1284 NC 39 TheNovice 1290 D5 40 Noah121 1301 NC 41 Busch Light 1353 NC 42 colhusker 1402 NC 43 MJW82 1406 NC 44 EAbby 1507 NC 45 BigTate 1508 NC 46 KenPom 1513 NC 47 NU Follower 1630 NC 48 basketballjones 1683 NC 49 bigred4 1734 NC 50 MitchMcGaryMunchies 1786 NC 51 TourneyBound 1804 NC 52 emwilliams 1867 NC 53 HuskerMB 2013 NC 54 hal9000 2490 NC 55 Sidelines - Nebraska 2514 NC 56 NUtball 2695 NC 57 Faux Mike Peltz 2714 NC 58 1sdpad2 2776 NC 59 mmackey5 2802 NC 60 big red22 2829 NA Biggest Rise Ralph Wiggum U6 Biggest Fall BLB115 D5 (U# = Up, D# = Down, NC = No Change)

1-16 is the easy part. It's the lower 32 non-autobids that are left up to committee interpretation (and a moving target every year). The committee doesn't follow an equation. I'll keep a closer eye, but there's a difference between accuracy of bracket predictions in February than it is the evening of March 16.

I had a theory that I wanted to validate, but came with mixed results. Initially I thought "With more Big Ten teams in the conference and more conference games, are we just getting more Quad 1 opportunities across the board?" As far as the league is concerned: No. 2020-2021 has the highest average Quad 1 opponents on the leagues schedule. We're currently 3 games under that average. If I were to guess, we'd finish at or below that threshold. But, for Nebraska, we've already hit that threshold and any additional Quad 1 game will outpace that 5-year high. So my suspicion that "Sure, we have more Quad 1 wins than before, but that's 'only' because we have more Quad 1 opportunities" is partially true, but not really a product of changes in the league.

I'm referring to every year in February that we're close to the bubble and people think we're about 2 seeds higher than the committee actually places us (or doesn't). Not saying anybody is wrong here, but I think there's a disconnect between our perceptions and that of the committees around this time of year. Which I'd argue is normal bias for any given team. Unfortunately, the committee doesn't wear the same rose colored classes that we do.

Not worth my time, but this has been said on this board many times; and every time we've been wrong.

Maybe it's the torture I was looking for after a bad loss, but I started to look through our performance ever since joining the Big Ten. Nothing earth shattering, but figured I'd share, especially given who our remaining four regular season opponents are. Team Neb Record Win % Oregon 1-0 100% UCLA 1-0 100% Washington 1-0 100% Rutgers 10-8 56% Minnesota 12-10 55% Penn State 12-13 48% Indiana 10-11 48% Northwestern 8-13 38% Iowa 8-14 36% Illinois 7-16 30% Wisconsin 7-17 29% Ohio State 6-17 26% Purdue 5-15 25% Maryland 4-14 22% Michigan State 4-16 20% Michigan 3-16 16% USC 0-1 0% Combined record vs. remaining 4 teams (Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio State, Iowa): 29-57 (34%) NU record as Big Ten member vs. Pre-Big Ten teams: USC: 2-0 ('11-'12, '12-'13) Washington: 0-0 UCLA: 0-1 ('16-'17) Oregon: 0-2 ('11-'12, '12-'13) Notable Big Ten "Nevers": Never beat USC (0-1 away; 0-0 home) Never beat Oregon at home (0-0 home) Never beat Washington at home (0-0 home) Never beat UCLA on the road (0-0 away) Never beat Purdue on the road (0-9 away) Big Ten Tournament "Nevers": Never beat: Illinois (0-1), Michigan (0-1), Minnesota (0-1), Northwestern (0-1), Ohio State (0-2), Penn State (0-3) Never played: Iowa, Michigan State, Oregon, UCLA, USC, Washington

When we came back in the 2nd half at Northwestern, you'd thnk we were a 2nd half team. And then you see how we played at Penn State. It turns out, as a result, we became a 2nd half team after that loss.

Did we knock Northwestern out of a Quad 1 win as the result of our loss tonight?

Corn - 72 Maize - 82

Makes you miss the days of watching Marist games...

Since nobody else wants to bite the bullet...

I just saw it as Gavin not wanting to tank his stats so that he could improve his draft stock

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Wanna bet?

Giving the committee some easy outs to exclude us from any serious conversation. Just when you think they can get back on track with limited time remaining in the season.

That's impressive. Because our layup percentage is probably around 35%.

Imagine if we ended up losing at Northwestern...

I can give you a hand.