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royalfan

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Everything posted by royalfan

  1. Not a chance in hell Texas would be able to win all the games we have during this streak.
  2. Amazing comeback by North Texas. 3 to tie it. Headed to overtime on https://watchstadium.com/live/wku-at-north-texas/
  3. North Dakota put it away due to some missed free throws over on Pluto TV online. Needed it.
  4. really need E. Illinois tied 7 minutes left http://ovcdigitalnetwork.com/watch/?Live=6290&type=Live
  5. My computer is overloaded with windows of shitty basketball, none of which are going very well.
  6. We could drop all the way from 51 to 59 tonight if some of these shitty teams we played don't win.
  7. This is not going to be a pleasant evening. A lot of teams we played are very likely to lose.
  8. Big wins matter and moving up the 6 metrics also matter, which there is also no doubt about.
  9. Certainly not 3 percent. You are right on Michigan until you aren't, then it is devastating blow. And you think you know that quadrants are a big deal. I am not so sure at all. Will be a lot of negative discussion in the coming days about how stupid and flawed they are. The are based off of RPI, lol. I dont have much confidence that Michigan will get to top 30 either.
  10. Cincinnati 8/Houston 29 - 6pm CBS Sports Network Cincinnati -3 Need Cincy Purdue 12/Wisconsin 150- 6pm ESPN Purdue - 10 We need Wisconsin as we played them twice and we don't want Purdue on 1 line in conference tourney Temple 40/Wichita State 19- 6pm ESPN2 Wichita St - 12 Need Wichita St. Marist 321/Fairfield 205 - 6pm ESPN3 Fairfield - 10 Need Marist man I hate these guys New Hampshire 306/Vermont 43- 6pm ESPN 3 No line Need New Hampshire Lipscomb 121/Stetson 327 - 6pm ESPN 3 No line Need Stetson Eastern Illinois 276/Southeast Missouri State 230 - 6:30 http://ovcdigitalnetwork.com/watch/?Live=6290&type=Live SE Missouri -4 Need E. Illinois Ohio State 16/Penn State 85 - 7pm BTN Penn St - 1 1/2 We want Penn St for raw data purposes. Small consolation is this would really help Ohio St stay on 1 line Southern Utah 245/North Dakota 228- 7pm Pluto TV Channel 240 online N. Dakota -4 Need N. Dakota Middle Tennessee 26/Southern Miss 209 - 7pm https://www.facebook.com/watchstadium/videos/821538378019216/ Middle Tenn -7 Need S. Miss UT San Antonio 199/Old Dominion 82 - 7pm beIN sports Old Dominion - 12 1/2 Need UTSATexas State 233/Louisiana 48- 7:15 https://www.ragincajuns.com/watch/?Live=873&type=Live Louisiana - 13 1/2 Need Texas St. Arizona 17/Arizona State 25 - 8pm ESPN Arizona -1 Need ArizonaUtah 61/Washington 44- 8pm Pac 12 Network Utah - 1 1/2 Need Utah Oregon 81/USC 47 - 8pm ESPN 2 USC - 4 1/2 Need OregonNew Mexico State 46/Utah Valley 104 - 8pm http://wacsports.com/watch/?Live=1764 no line Need Utah ValleyWestern Kentucky 58/North Texas 183- 8pm https://watchstadium.com/live/wku-at-north-texas/ W. Kentucky -6 Need N. Texas this is big one hereUC Santa Barbara 80/Long Beach State 194 - 9pm http://bigwest.sidearmstreaming.com/watch/?Live=281 Pick Need Long Beach St. Colorado 62/Washington State 185 - 10pm Pac 12 Network Colorado - 3 1/2 Need Washington St. Oregon State 160/UCLA 52 - 10pm FS1 UCLA -7 Need Oregon St. other st mary's at san Francisco 10pm espnu Need San Fran just in case St. Mary's slumps bad
  11. Not all that big a deal, certainly not 3 percent chance difference, is the point, and if Michigan takes a spot that would be ours it would be an unmitigated disaster were they to keep winning, versus slumping.
  12. Not even considering the raw rpi gain by rutgers winning our odds wouldn't be 3 percent worse by Maryland dropping to q3. Maybe this thing is way too rpi based to be accurate and not using the other data enough or at all? I don't feel the quadrants will matter as much as most in the end. Have a hard time believing ten men selected to this would be that stupid.
  13. Also the Stetson example shows this is just something fun to take a gander at but not to be taken seriously.
  14. While neat, it doesn't seem reliable at all. You can't tell me we have a 2.7 percent better chance of dancing if Maryland beats Rutgers. We played Rutgers twice so all 6 metrics will be more favorable if Rutgers wins.
  15. If this is graoevine information I find it pretty hard to believe due to the specificity of the 72 percent if we lose a game. That being said, barring many tourney upsets, this is a little closer to what I think than the pundits think.
  16. they must have meant semis?
  17. That is because they get a million chances because the Big East RPI are all ridiculously inflated. They also average getting their asses kicked by a whopping 15 per game in Q1 losses. Not a great team at all in any way shape or form.
  18. nice trey buzzer beating win for Vandy
  19. bad Providence beating nova by 8 right now, not good
  20. Added games, rpi, time, how to watch, line and who I feel we need are all added to Fever report. South Florida 289/ UCF 57- 5pm ESPN News UCF -13 Need UCFIowa 138 /Michigan 39 - 5:30 BTN Michigan - 11 1/2 Pros and cons both ways. I personally think chances are low of Michigan getting into top 30, so I think better off rooting for Iowa as Michigan is hogging up a spot that could be ours. I know most of you feel otherwise and that is fine. Michigan not losing anyway. Villanova 3/Providence 43-6pm FS1 Villanova - 9 1/2 Need Villanova hereClemson 4/Florida State 46 - 6pm ESPN Full Court/ESPN3 FSU - 4 1/2 Need ClemsonVirginia Tech 59 /Duke 10 6pm ESPN2 Duke - 11 1/2 Need DukeMississippi State 58 /Vanderbilt 125 - 6pm SEC Network Vanderbilt - 1 1/2 Need Vanderbilt Kansas State 67/Oklahoma State 91 - 6pm ESPNU Oklahoma St - 3 1/2 Need Oklahoma St. Illinois 186/Indiana 108 - 7:30 BTN Indiana -9 We need IllionoisSeton Hall 24/Xavier 2- 8pm FS1 Xavier - 5 1/2 Need XavierKentucky 20 /Auburn 9- 8pm ESPN2 Auburn - 9 1/2 Need AuburnNC State 70/Syracuse 37 - 8pm ESPN Full Court.ESPN3 Syracuse -5 I think Syracuse slightly better for us to have better shot at both not making itGeorgia 83/Florida 47 -8 pm SEC Network FLORIDA -10 I think Georgia is better as a loss here could put Florida much closer to the bubble if they have a losing streakMemphis 136/SMU 81- 8pm ESPNU SMU - 6 1/2 need MemphisSt. John's 66/DePaul 166- 8pm CBS sports Network St Johns -1 Need St JohnsAir Force 234/UNLV 114- 9pm http://themw.com/sports/2017/8/31/watch-live.aspx UNLV - 12 1/2 Need Air ForceNevada 15/Boise State 36 - 10pm ESPNU Boise St - 2 1/2 Need NevadaWyoming 72/San Diego State 132 - 10pm CBS Sports Network SD st - 7 1/2 Need SD ST. Others Valparaiso 183 at Loyola-Chicago 51 7pm ESPN3 Loyola - 11 1/2 Valpo wouldnt hurt to be safe
  21. You are falling into the trap others are. Believing the Big ten is down so bad, due to a small sample size of out of league games. Only complex, accurate metrics can paint the true picture for those of you. As for teams that are worse than any of those that you didn't list, based on scoreboards of games, entering last night at least, Georgetown worse than almost all of them, Iowa St., Washington worse than most of them, Colorado worse than most of them, as well as Georgia and South Carolina
  22. LRMC is a college basketball ranking system designed to use only basic scoreboard data: which two teams played, whose court they played on, and what the margin of victory was. LRMC stands for "Logistic Regression/Markov Chain", the two primary mathematical techniques that were a part of our system. We've subsequently added a Bayesian component as well. Here is how big east matches up with big ten. This very closely resembles Vegas numbers by the way, which is the most accurate measure. Big East 1, 11, 22, 27, 35, 61, 62, 64, 105, 118 Big Ten 2,5,14,31, 32, 41, 45, 74, 78, 81, 87, 98, 101, 140 I would hardly call the Big East the better league based on the actual results on scoreboards
  23. Yep, these are accurate measures here of what really is going on.
  24. Common denominator is that the big east is vastly overrated by the rpi in relation to the big 10. You stack up vegas power ratings and it is not all that lopsided at all. Yet a team like providence gets rewarded for it over and over again and a team like us gets penalized over and over again.
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