Game Day Essentials: Game #17 vs Michigan

[hhcmatt]

Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-7) vs Michigan Wolverines (11-6)

 

Date: Saturday Jan. 14

Time: 1:00 pm CST 
Arena: Crisler Center

TV Broadcast:  BTN

Michigan Info

Head Coach: John Beilein
Location: Ann Arbor, MI
Conference: B1G
Nickname: Wolverines
Last time out: Lost at Illinois
Typical Rotation Depth: 8+
Line: Michigan by 9
Tempo: One of the slowest in Div 1
Style: High 3pt attempt
4 Factors Good: Not turning the ball over, not fouling, shooting
4 Factors Bad: Gives up offensive rebounds, doesn't draw contact

Four Factors
Effective FG%:	55.6 24	52.5 256	50.2
Turnover %:	14.2 5	19.5 135	19.0
Off. Reb. %:	27.2 253	27.9 105	29.7
FTA/FGA:	28.2 316	26.8 30	35.2

Michigan has been noted for their lack of physicality and aggression this season. These are the type of numbers you'd expect to see for that type of team.

 

Michigan Most frequently used lineup

 

10 Derrick Walton 6-1  190  Sr

12 Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman 6-4  190  Jr

21 Zak Irvin 6-6  215  Sr

5 DJ Wilson 6-10  240  So

13 Moritz Wagner 6-11  240  So

30.2

You'll see most of this lineup on the court all day as Michigan doesn't dig too deep into the bench for minutes.

 

Nebraska Starting Lineup Odds/Miles Explanation

 

Roby 1/1 - Isaiah has been playing good minutes for us at the 4 over the last several games

McVeigh 1/1 - We wanted to go with Jack's experience and shooting to start the game

Tshimanga 1/3 - We wanted to counter the size Michigan throws at you

Horne 1/8 - We wanted to set the tone offensively and Jeriah has been practicing really well

Fuller 1/15 - Nick has been practicing really well and we wanted his strength and experience on the road

 

While it's tempting to bet Jack here with his shooting and experience, I'm going Roby given how much inside he's played lately plus his zone busting ability which is something Michigan will throw at Nebraska today.

 

Player to Watch: Zak Irvin

Michigan's roster is almost the opposite of Nebraska's, comprised mostly of guards and PF/C types. 6'6" senior Irvin is really the only SF type player on the roster and he leads the team in mid-range jumpers. You can see a pattern where the Wolverines typically go as he does.

 

Miles Presser

 

 

Jacobson/Roby Presser 

 

The Skinny

 

Michigan is a team that offensively has been killing it all year, running the typical slow death by 3 offense that Beilein has successfully run his entire career. He has one of the tallest teams in Div 1 and all those guys will light you up from outside.  Defensively it's been another story as this tall Michigan can't stop anyone at the rim plus everyone is killing them from outside, especially in conference.  In this anyone can beat anyone B1G conference, Michigan might be the most beatable unbeatable team.

 

Nebraska had to feel pretty good a week ago coming into this game as an anchor of Morrow and Jordy in the lane had given them enough to compete in games against high volume 3pt teams. Ed's foot injury will have the Huskers scrambling defensively in the paint. It seems like something for the Wolverines to exploit but is that soft team ready to put in some work for its points? Offensively, look for Nebraska to once again be limited in transition points and FT attempts, having to rely on driving to the rim and 3pt shooting to win. Expect plenty of zone to counteract the aggressiveness of Nebraska and Michigan's lack of on-ball defense. More Horne and McVeigh seemed inevitable in this game before losing Morrow.

 

At some point this season you expect Michigan to start caring enough defensively to win some games. Is it this game?

Offensively you need the sort of effort you had at Indiana. Can you do that without Ed Morrow chewing up the paint?

 

Prediction: Michigan 76 - Nebraska 69

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[hhcmatt]

Got the Roby thing right...hope I'm off on the score

[hal9000]

32 minutes ago, hhcdimes said:

Got the Roby thing right...hope I'm off on the score

Me too!