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Showing content with the highest reputation on 06/02/2018 in all areas

  1. By the way, has anyone been over on Red Sea Scrolls lately? The Nebrasketball haters dominate nearly every basketball thread over there. There are a handful of posters, in particular, who absolutely shut down every basketball thread with unrelenting, vile and vicious stuff. I think it’s the worst-ever over there—and I’ve been there a long time. So, it’s refreshing on this board to read posts (like this one) from people who actually like the Huskers—hopefully the Scrolls folks don’t bring their venom over here! I’m guessing it’s a sign of fear, among some over there, that Nebrasketball might actually be getting it together. If it weren’t for Robin Washut’s information and insights on basketball, I’d drop my Red Sea Scrolls subscription in a heartbeat. In fact, upon writing this, I can’t believe I’m actually paying to read that garbage.
    3 points
  2. Not meaning to call you out specifically, but I see so many people say this same thing. Not sure I understand it. The quad system is an improvement over the days in which top 50 wins or top 100 wins were quoted without taking location into account. I don't get the strong disdain or confusion. Now, what should be improved is the underlying metric used to determine the quadrant. It should be some sort of aggregation of RPI, Kenpom, etc and not just RPI.
    2 points
  3. So I was a little concerned NU is overdoing the schedule, trying to over-compensate for 17-18. Thought I'd take a look at what this 18-19 schedule looks like using the beloved Quad system. (Just what we need - Quad system discussions in June. I sicken myself with this post.) So here's a projected Quad ranking for 18-19 (based on P5 opponents only since that's all that seems to really matter), using the average RPI of the last 3 years for each team. (I believe all of these RPIs are as of Selection Sunday each year - hopefully I successfully filtered out NCAA & NIT games.) 2018-19 NU P5 Games Proj Quad, off 3-yr avg RPI 3-yr Avg RPI 2018 RPI 2017 RPI 2016 RPI A Purdue 1 14 9 19 15 Purdue 1 14 9 19 15 A Mich St 1 25 14 50 12 Mich St 1 25 14 50 12 A Michigan 1 31 12 25 57 A Maryland 1 41 74 34 14 N USC 1 42 34 41 51 A Clemson 1 70 11 68 131 Seton Hall 2 31 31 44 19 Maryland 2 41 74 34 14 bluebirds 2 57 44 26 100 N Tex Tech 2 61 23 123 36 Ohio St 2 61 20 90 74 Wisconsin 2 64 113 36 43 A Indiana 2 76 125 79 24 A Iowa 2 89 157 81 29 A Penn St 2 99 77 101 119 N Okla St 2 100 88 40 172 A Illinois 2 131 181 64 149 Iowa 3 89 157 81 29 Penn St 3 99 77 101 119 N'western 3 112 169 51 115 Illinois 3 131 181 64 149 A Minnesota 3 149 171 20 257 Minnesota 3 149 171 20 257 A Rutgers 3 223 203 172 294 Q1 = H 1-30; N 1-50; A 1-75 Q2 = H 31-75; N 51-100; A 76-135 Q3 = H 76-160; N 101-200; A 136-240 That yields this as the projected number of games in each quad - top row is based on 3-year RPI average, second row based just on 17-18 RPI (again P5 opponents only): P5 Opponents Q1 gms Q2 gms Q3 gms Tot Q1-Q2 Q4 gms 2018-19 (proj. off 3-Yr avg RPI) 8 11 7 19 2018-19 (proj. only off 17-18 RPIs) 10 6 10 16 These projections assume we play both USC & Tech in KC, so the number could be 1 less. Other than the total number of P5 games, the number of Q1 and Q2 games for 18-19 isn't all that different from what NU has played in the past under Miles. (Again, these numbers below are P5 games only) Q1 Q2 Q3 Tot Q1-Q2 Q4 NU AVG LAST 5 YRS 10.2 5.8 6 16 1.6 2017-18 8 4 8 12 (3 Q4 games) 2016-17 12 6 6 18 2015-16 12 5 5 17 (4 Q4 games) 2014-15 8 8 5 16 (1 Q4 game) 2013-14 11 6 6 17 It looks like the number of Q1 games may even end up being less than the 5-year average, but we're picking up a few Q2 games potentially over the average. Now these last 5 years include Big Ten Tourney games, so 18-19 will add at least 1 more Q1-Q3 game as part of the B1G Tourney and hopefully more than that. But overall, the projection for 18-19 is not as different as I was expecting from NU's average over the past 5 years for Q1 and Q2 games, which seem to be the primary criteria for the NCAA committee. '18-19 Q1 & Q2 projected games: Between 16 and 19 NU 5-year average Q1 & Q2 games: 16 And if you take out the oddball season in '17-18, NU's average over the previous 4 years of Q1 & Q2 games is 17 . Certainly, these are only projected RPIs, and things could change dramatically by the time March rolls around. For example, there's a pretty good chance the road games at Iowa & Indiana become Q1 games, but the home game vs Purdue could drop to Q2, so I'd guess it'll come close to evening out. Here's how many Quad 1-4 games some other teams had last year - just picked a few B1G teams, NCAA qualifiers, and NIT qualifiers at random (all as of Selection Sunday and only including Power 5 teams): OTHER TEAMS Q1 Q2 Q3 Tot Q1-Q2 Q4 Villanova 17-18 13 8 8 21 (2 Q4 games) Michigan 17-18 12 5 6 17 (3 Q4 games) Purdue 17-18 11 6 7 17 (2 Q4 games) Penn St 17-18 11 3 7 14 (3 Q4 games) bluebirds 17-18 10 7 4 17 (2 Q4 games) UCLA 17-18 10 7 7 17 (2 Q4 games) Texas 17-18 16 4 5 20 Oklahoma 17-18 15 6 4 21 Missi St 17-18 9 7 5 16 I'm still not 100% sold we needed the neutral site Okla St game, but if some of these B1G teams don't improve on their 3-year average RPI numbers, we may end up needing it (as long as OK St can stay in the Q2 range, of course, and we win it). So with a veteran team, it's probably better to have the game available than wish you had it come March.
    2 points
  4. What are the chances of the HHC gang renting a Bus and heading up to Sioux Falls? I for one would be willing to throw some money in the kitty.
    2 points
  5. The scrolls has become a complete dumpster fire when it comes to basketball talk. I would drop it in a heartbeat as well if it wasn’t for the mods that produce good information. I have now spent money on Hail Varsity’s online service because the articles are jut as good if not better and they cover basketball just as much.
    1 point
  6. HuskerFever

    Schedule

    That's kind of where my head is at. If the committee emphasizes the same areas as last season, increasing the number of Q1 games (and thereby reducing the number of Q3/Q4 games) will help us...as long as we win some of them along the way. If I recall, nine of the 10 Big 12 teams had zero Q3/Q4 loses and had many more Q1 opportunities. It just felt like a team that had 1 of 5 Q1 wins was worse off than a team that had 2 of 10 Q1 wins.
    1 point
  7. khoock

    NBA Playoffs

    Hot take from somebody who probably doesnt watch a lot of NBA. Two of the last 4 teams (Boston and GS) left in the playoffs play GREAT team bball. And alot of you on here cried and complained all season about collegiate reffing so lets not act like its just an NBA problem. Lastly, have you seen LeBrons teammates?? They dont make clutch plays and apparently dont even know the score in gm 1 of the NBA finals. Cant blame him for not trusting them.
    1 point
  8. What gets tricky is when you're dealing with 350 teams and a system that is not designed to take the best 68 teams. Analytics tries to take some subjectivity out of the equation, but it's only as good as the system is. Going to the quadrant system actually seems to be a decent way to try to normalize home/away/road games. But the committee started to use that system and focus on the number of Quad 1 wins and Quad 3/4 losses. They also didn't value end of season success. Sure, we had a great season, but the way the committee called things, there were 15 others teams with just as good of a resume as we had (by their standards).
    1 point
  9. Since you appear to be a strong advocate for analytics, and appear to be a numbers person, I can understand why you would be perplexed by my "confusion." It isn't the numbers and graphs that are the issues, it is the need for analytics in the first place. I enjoy the college game for a multitude of reasons. But I pride myself in knowing what I am watching. I don't need analytics to provide definition. So as last season wound down, I was dismayed that analytic experts were telling me that my eyes and mind were not seeing or agreeing with their analytics.
    1 point
  10. I have to say I really like our recruiting class. From what little I've seen, I think Davis is a player. Assuming he's healthy, I semi-agree with what you have to say about him getting minutes. Not yet ready to elevate him over Thor and Nana, but he's good enough to give them both a run, and maybe he does overtake them both for minutes. He's one of those guys who just has that touch thing. Seems like he can throw the ball in the direction of the rim and it just goes in. He's extremely quick getting shots off in catch-and-shoot situations. And he seems to have a little James Palmer on the drive in him. I also agree that, from what I've seen, Thor takes the last spot in the rotation over Nana. Thor is just savvy. Seems to have really high hoops IQ and just sort of intuitively knows what to do. He's kind of inventive. I think he's going to be fun to watch.
    1 point
  11. HUD

    2018-2019 Roster

    The complete roster is now shown on Huskers.com WBB with 13 players.
    1 point
  12. 49r

    The Top 25 thread

    Yeah, Wisconsin hoops depends on a bunch of nobodies developing and learning their system - always has. That's the beauty of it and it's also why you can't ever count them out of being in contention. Just because they don't have a roster full of 4 and 5 star guys really doesn't mean anything.
    1 point
  13. They did have that one white guy. What was his name?
    1 point
  14. aphilso1

    The Top 25 thread

    If healthy, I fully expect Davis to get more minutes than either Thor or Nana. I also expect he will be the guy that fans say "why the f is Davis playing more minutes than (insert player x)?" I see him as a dude who will show up everyday in practice and be willing to do all of the little non-stat filling things that coaches love but fan don't fully appreciate. Like Evan Taylor, or Benny Parker, or David Rivers, the list goes on and on. He'll be that guy. Obviously all that goes out the window if he's not fully recovered, in which case my guess is Thor takes the last spot in the rotation over Nana.
    1 point
  15. That’s fine. But if he’s not going to help this year, make sure he’s more than a role player with one year of eligibility (Lyle) Winning now also helps us with next years class and transfers as well
    1 point
  16. jason2486

    NBA Playoffs

    Don't forget the refs blowing 4 or 5 calls in favor of GSW. LeBron should've been shooting the and 1 on his last drive of regulation. And the change of the charge call was ridiculous. Just make every questionable call reviewable then.
    1 point
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