uneblinstu's postgame chatter: vol 11; ed 15 - @ Iowa

On 1/7/2019 at 8:21 AM, Nebrasketball1979 said:

I tried to wake up in a glass half full kind of mood today.  Here is what I know:

 

- The sun came up today despite my mood

- This team clearly hasn't peaked yet or reached it's potential.  I guess I'll trade a few conference games on the road that we should have won in December/January for playing our best basketball in March.

- Most of us don't live in Iowa.  For those that do, my apologies.

I had to take two days, all told. These past 3 B1G losses were difficult, for different reasons.

9 hours ago, Dead Dog Alley said:

 

Some of Jacobson's improvement might also be that, at Iowa State, he doesn't have to concentrate so much on bulking up to play defense in the post in the Big Ten.  He's listed at 230 this year, where he was listed at 240 two years ago.  Nebraska took him as a guy who was a bit undersized and had some offensive skills, had him focus on getting stronger and bigger and playing defense, and his offense suffered.

Jacobson still plays the post for Iowa State.  They start him and 4 guards.

Here's some good news.  We are still 15th in the NET.  

Here's our remaining games.  Current NET in parenthesis.

PSU 2 x (76) possible tier 1 road game

@ indiana (20) tier 1

MSU 2 x (7) tier 1 x 2

@ Rut (135)

OSU (29) possible tier 1

Wis (17) tier 1

@ Illinois (125)

Maryland (32) possible tier 1

Purdue 2 x (22) tier 1 x 2

Northwestern (56)

@ Michigan (3) tier 1

Iowa (35) possible tier 1

Minnesota (38) possible tier 1

We have a possible 12 games remaining with tier 1 teams.  We have a good chance at going 8 - 4 in those games.  That would give us 9 wins.  Last year we had 0 tier 1 wins.  We were 5 - 10 in tier 1 and 2 games.  We have a great chance of having only tier 2 games remaining.  PSU home game and Rutgers road game are only 2 games that would drop to tier 3.  Let's say we finish 12 - 4.  That would give us a 10 - 4 record in tier 1 and 2 games.  We are 1 - 4 in tier 1 games and 3 -0 in tier 2.  Right now, 4 - 4 in tier 1 games (5 - 8 overall) 6 - 0 in tier 2 games (9 - 0 overall) 14 - 8 in tier 1 and 2 games.  Last year, we were 5 - 10, and 0 - 9 in tier 1.

Just for the sake of accuracy, wasn't Michigan a Tier 1 win last year?

Still agree that we have a decent shot of winning a good deal more than 1 more rhis year though. And Clemson is still solidly Tier 1, right?

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1 hour ago, ladyhusker said:

Just for the sake of accuracy, wasn't Michigan a Tier 1 win last year?

Still agree that we have a decent shot of winning a good deal more than 1 more rhis year though. And Clemson is still solidly Tier 1, right?

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I went off of warrennolan, which had Michigan with an rpi of 39.  Tier 1 home games are top 30.  Clemson is 54.  Road games are top 75.  They play in a good conference.  I think they should stay there.

10 hours ago, brfrad said:

Here's some good news.  We are still 15th in the NET.  

 

Here's our remaining games.  Current NET in parenthesis.

 

PSU 2 x (76) possible tier 1 road game

@ indiana (20) tier 1

MSU 2 x (7) tier 1 x 2

@ Rut (135)

OSU (29) possible tier 1

Wis (17) tier 1

@ Illinois (125)

Maryland (32) possible tier 1

Purdue 2 x (22) tier 1 x 2

Northwestern (56)

@ Michigan (3) tier 1

Iowa (35) possible tier 1

Minnesota (38) possible tier 1

 

We have a possible 12 games remaining with tier 1 teams.  We have a good chance at going 8 - 4 in those games.  That would give us 9 wins.  Last year we had 0 tier 1 wins.  We were 5 - 10 in tier 1 and 2 games.  We have a great chance of having only tier 2 games remaining.  PSU home game and Rutgers road game are only 2 games that would drop to tier 3.  Let's say we finish 12 - 4.  That would give us a 10 - 4 record in tier 1 and 2 games.  We are 1 - 4 in tier 1 games and 3 -0 in tier 2.  Right now, 4 - 4 in tier 1 games (5 - 8 overall) 6 - 0 in tier 2 games (9 - 0 overall) 14 - 8 in tier 1 and 2 games.  Last year, we were 5 - 10, and 0 - 9 in tier 1.

 

 

This is a good point.  It’ll take a complete collapse to miss the dance this year.  These last two games you should only be really disappointed if you were hoping for a top 3 seed and making it easier on ourselves.

With that being said, we should make the dance and a top 4 seed isn’t even out of the question with the schedule we have left.  It’ll take a lot of wins and that means winning on the road.  It’s something we haven’t done this year.  But we’ve made it that much harder on ourselves with a 1-3 start.  

We we also have the Big 10 tournament that we could gain some more quality wins in.  Hell... we could win that thing.  

The season isn’t lost.  Not even close.  We’ve said this whole year that we need to enjoy the ride.  The ride wasn’t going to be smooth for 31 straight games.  We can do this.

11 hours ago, brfrad said:

Here's some good news.  We are still 15th in the NET.  

 

Here's our remaining games.  Current NET in parenthesis.

 

PSU 2 x (76) possible tier 1 road game

@ indiana (20) tier 1

MSU 2 x (7) tier 1 x 2

@ Rut (135)

OSU (29) possible tier 1

Wis (17) tier 1

@ Illinois (125)

Maryland (32) possible tier 1

Purdue 2 x (22) tier 1 x 2

Northwestern (56)

@ Michigan (3) tier 1

Iowa (35) possible tier 1

Minnesota (38) possible tier 1

 

We have a possible 12 games remaining with tier 1 teams.  We have a good chance at going 8 - 4 in those games.  That would give us 9 wins.  Last year we had 0 tier 1 wins.  We were 5 - 10 in tier 1 and 2 games.  We have a great chance of having only tier 2 games remaining.  PSU home game and Rutgers road game are only 2 games that would drop to tier 3.  Let's say we finish 12 - 4.  That would give us a 10 - 4 record in tier 1 and 2 games.  We are 1 - 4 in tier 1 games and 3 -0 in tier 2.  Right now, 4 - 4 in tier 1 games (5 - 8 overall) 6 - 0 in tier 2 games (9 - 0 overall) 14 - 8 in tier 1 and 2 games.  Last year, we were 5 - 10, and 0 - 9 in tier 1.

 

 

12th in the NET as of today. The good news is that if you are going to lose...it’s better you lose by a little. And that’s been the case for us minus Tech. 

As of right now I project we will be favored in 11 of our remaining 16. Upsets happen, but sans Mich St we should be favored by 4+ points in all of our remaining home games. Mich St will be close to a pick em. Get by Mich St and this team could very well finish 10-0 in conference. 

17 hours ago, brfrad said:

Jacobson still plays the post for Iowa State.  They start him and 4 guards.

Seems like the physical play in that league is a quite a bit less though.  

16 hours ago, royalfan said:

 

Seems like the physical play in that league is a quite a bit less though.  

If Iowa State had offered him in basketball instead of football would he have come here in the first place?

6 hours ago, hhcmatt said:

 

If Iowa State had offered him in basketball instead of football would he have come here in the first place?

Prolly not