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2021-2022 KenPom Rankings Thread


49r
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Well it's getting to be that time of year again.  Practice has started...the leaves are changing and there is a certain chill in the air.  I expect the new KenPom rankings to come out in the next few weeks, so it's time to get this season's KenPom rankings thread started!

 

This year, just like every other year, I'll go ahead and just start off by recapping last season's final rankings and each team's postseason destination (if they have one) in the Big Ten.  Then when the first preseason rankings come out, I will note any changes and we will go from there.

 

As usual for the conference teams the number in the parenthesis is the ranking they started last season at, and the bold number is the number they finished at.  Teams in Red represent NCAA Tournament teams and the round eliminated.  Teams in Blue represent NIT teams (but none of the teams on our schedule this year played in the NIT last year).

 

So, everybody, time to weigh in.  What KenPom rank do you think will be a reasonable expectation for us to start our season off this year?  What are your thoughts on our non-con schedule?  (Pretty cupcake-y...this looks like a classic Doc schedule to me). Call your shot!

 

Finally, as I say every year; don't forget to click here to see all the previous years' KenPom threads.  They're really worth a look!  With all that said, and with no further ado...

 

Here we go!

 

 


 

 

KenPom rankings as of 4-06-21
=======================

 

B1G (0-0):
(17) -> 3. Michigan E8
(18) -> 4. Illinois R32
(12) -> 7. Iowa R32
(10) -> 11. Ohio State R64
(7) -> 14. Wisconsin R32
(25) -> 25. Purdue R64
(51) -> 35. Maryland R32
(27) -> 38. Rutgers R32
(64) -> 40. Penn State
(26) -> 50. Indiana
(35) -> 62. Minnesota
(15) -> 64. Michigan State
(70) -> 79. Northwestern
(118) -> 109. Nebraska


Non-Conference (0-0):
290. Western Illinois

180. Sam Houston

22. Creighton R16

258. Idaho State

308. Southern

320. Tennessee State

159. South Dakota

 

---B1G/ACC Challenge---
71. @NC State

 

---Holiday Hoopsgiving---
60. Auburn

 

147. Kansas State

335. Kennesaw State

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  • hhcmatt pinned and unpinned this topic

Wanna get some idea of just how tough the Big Ten is going to be this year?  Check this out:

 

https://barttorvik.com/sos.php?year=2022

Fun Stuff

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE     NON-CON     OVERALL

Elite L%                                      12 %260          28 %17

Basic                                       0.4535162       0.681217

Current                                           0234               018

 

 

 

According to Bart Torvik, despite the fact that we will be playing one of the softest non-con schedules in the country (260th in non-con SOS), our overall schedule projects to be 17th strongest in the country.

 

The Big Ten currently have all 14 teams in the top 35 in overall strength of schedule (Indiana is the lowest at 35).  5 of the top 7 strongest schedules are in the Big Ten, 8 of the top 12 and Nebraska is 10th in the league at 17.  Pretty crazy when you think about it.

 

Lots of fun stuff to play around with on the BartTorvik site

 

https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Nebraska&year=2022

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1 hour ago, 49r said:

Wanna get some idea of just how tough the Big Ten is going to be this year?  Check this out:

 

https://barttorvik.com/sos.php?year=2022

Fun Stuff

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE     NON-CON     OVERALL

Elite L%                                      12 %260          28 %17

Basic                                       0.4535162       0.681217

Current                                           0234               018

 

 

 

According to Bart Torvik, despite the fact that we will be playing one of the softest non-con schedules in the country (260th in non-con SOS), our overall schedule projects to be 17th strongest in the country.

 

The Big Ten currently have all 14 teams in the top 35 in overall strength of schedule (Indiana is the lowest at 35).  5 of the top 7 strongest schedules are in the Big Ten, 8 of the top 12 and Nebraska is 10th in the league at 17.  Pretty crazy when you think about it.

 

Lots of fun stuff to play around with on the BartTorvik site

 

https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Nebraska&year=2022

 

The teams who play really REALLY tough schedules early are typically mid-majors or lower who play a bunch of buy games early and finish with the kinds of teams we start with. Since the larger part of our schedule is conference, we shoot up the strength of schedule rankings while teams like East-West Carolina A&M plummet once they hit the conference part of their schedule and start playing the West-East Carolina Techs of the world. So it makes sense to me that we could go from a soft non-con and shoot up to near the top of SOS as the season goes along. We're going in the opposite direction from 2/3 of the rest of the country.

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agree with norm; a few challenges in non con like the showcase games etc are nice, but in general youll want to play those mostly gimme games early to nail out rotation and try things out. luckily I think fred will have to do less set up and experimenting here in Y3, as he knows exactly what kind of gameplan he has, its just plug n play. Love this staff and the kids... culture is at all time high, and I trust fred's acumen and playstyle, its exciting. cant wait

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Summaries from our non P5 non-con foes from Matt Norlander and CBS Sportsline. And if we don't play some Master P when his kid comes to town with Tennessee State I'll be disappointed. 

https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/news/college-basketball-rankings-preseason-countdown-of-every-team-continues-with-nos-200-69-for-2021-22-season/

 

305. Western Illinois: One of those programs without a rudder. It claims only one 20-win season (in 2012-13) in the past 35 years. The school is heavily rumored to soon leave the Summit to join the OVC.

302. Southern: The Jaguars' average KenPom ranking the past three seasons under Sean Woods: 297. I've got Southern in the top half of the SWAC due to its respectable 3-point capability. 

289. Kennesaw State: Nine of the team's top 10 scorers are back, which will 100% equate to a climb in the ratings. Kennesaw State finished 335th in KenPom, so here comes a bump.

247. Idaho State: Who wouldn't want their best player to boast the last name Cool? The Bengals will be a factor in the Big Sky with Tarik Cool. Plus, factor in that more than 80% of the team's points and rebounds return from a 13-11 team.

191. Sam Houston State: Some huge potential for the Bearkats, as they landed Texas A&M transfer Savion Flagg, who's going to almost certainly average north of 20 points if he wants to. Jason Hooten also gets Demarkus Lampley back. This team is going to the WAC and has a chance to finish top-five.

184. South Dakota: It's time to pause and give recognition to a geographically sensible and not-at-all-common nickname. They are the South Dakota Coyotes, and that is perfect. USD will likely fall in the No. 6 or 7 slot in the Summit League, led by Kruz Perrott-Hunt.

182. Tennessee State: A 4-19 team a season ago, yet Penny Collins has more momentum behind this program than ever before. The Tigers finished second in the recruitment of five-star Chris Livingston (going to Kentucky), and for the season ahead: 11 new players and a six-guard rotation. Hercy Miller is one of those guards; his father is rapper Master P. Fun story building in Nashville.

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