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2020-2021 KenPom Rankings Thread


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Good news everyone, the KenPom rankings (finally) dropped overnight!  I know everyone has been waiting with baited breath to see this thread appear in the Haymarket Hardwood, and now the wait is finally over!

 

Because of all the chaos since March, I'm going to have to start off slightly different than in years past but I'll do my best to keep thing as uniform as possible.

 

Like before I will start with last years season starting rankings (in parenthesis) then the season ending rankings in bold in the first post.   Additionally, I would've normally have 2020 NCAA Tournament teams color coded in red and 2020 NIT Tournament teams color coded in blue.  Since there was no 2020 postseason I will leave the color coding off.

 

In my second post I will do the same thing but with the offseason rankings changes. (Final 2020 rankings in parenthesis then this year's starting rankings in bold)

 

You'll notice that there is only Big Ten teams and Georgia Tech in the initial rankings.  Since we don't have a schedule these are the only known opponents at the moment.  This aspect of this years thread will be fluid, as we all probably expect it to be by now.

 

Finally, if you notice any errors please let me know.  I think I got everything updated right here but I've been pretty distracted at work.  Also, don't forget to click here to see all the previous years' KenPom threads (I highly recommend going back through them, they're always fun to read).  Here we go!

 

 


 

 

KenPom rankings as of 3-26-20

=========================
 

B1G (0-0):

(1) -> 7. Michigan State

(11) -> 8. Ohio State
(16) -> 11. Maryland
(21) -> 16. Michigan
(45) -> 22. Wisconsin
(41) -> 23. Iowa
(7) -> 24. Purdue
(43) -> 26. Penn State
(81) -> 27. Minnesota
(63) -> 28. Rutgers
(35) -> 30. Illinois
(34) -> 34. Indiana
(87) -> 132. Northwestern
(96) -> 162. Nebraska
 
 
Non-Conference (0-0):
TBD
 
---Nebrasketbubble---
TBD
 
---B1G/ACC Challenge--- 
(66) -> 64. Georgia Tech
 
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You can be an above average team, going 13-5 in conference play and 22 wins on the season, then being told you really haven't proved anything because "the conference is down this year."

Just wait. If Trevor Lakes gets eligible this year, you might hear talk from me about breaking into the top 105.

So if we "get the Covid" and don't play another game until March first-- at the rate we are moving without playing-- we'll be 49th and darn near lock territory.  Win a game or two in the Big 10 tourna

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And now for the start of season rankings for 2020-2021.

 

A few things jump right out to me, namely Iowa Wisconsin Northwestern and Illinois making big leaps forward, while Penn State and Maryland taking big steps back.  Georgia Tech, our only confirmed non-con opponent at the moment is starting off slightly lower than they finished last season.

 

Nebraska did also jump up quite a bit, but we're still in the triple digits.  Hopefully we can finish the season in double digits.   Here we go!

 

 


 

 

KenPom rankings as of 11-04-20

=========================
 

B1G (0-0):

(22) -> 7. Wisconsin

(8) -> 10. Ohio State

(23) -> 12. Iowa

(7) -> 15. Michigan State

(16) -> 17. Michigan
(30) -> 18. Illinois
(24) -> 25. Purdue
(34) -> 26. Indiana
(28) -> 27. Rutgers
(27) -> 35. Minnesota
(11) -> 51. Maryland
(26) -> 64. Penn State
(132) -> 70. Northwestern
(162) -> 118. Nebraska
 
 
Non-Conference (0-0):
TBD
 
---Nebrasketbubble---
TBD
 
---B1G/ACC Challenge--- 
(64) -> 73. Georgia Tech
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  • 2 weeks later...

Pomeroy updated our schedule and the rankings have changed ever so slightly so I thought I'd do an update today.

 

You'll notice that Iowa and Michigan State swapped spots, Minnesota jumped up 5 to #30 and Nebraska and Georgia Tech both move up one spot and Michigan moved up two.  Otherwise things remained mostly static.

 

Here we go!

 

 


 

 

KenPom rankings as of 11-18-20

=========================
 

B1G (0-0):

7. Wisconsin

10. Ohio State

11. Michigan State

13. Iowa

15. Michigan
17. Illinois
25. Purdue
26. Indiana
27. Rutgers
30. Minnesota
51. Maryland
64. Penn State
70. Northwestern
117. Nebraska
 
 
Non-Conference (0-0):
323.  McNeese State
 
---Nebrasketbubble---
TBD
 
---B1G/ACC Challenge--- 
72. Georgia Tech
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And here's his projection on what we have scheduled so far.  Not much to look at, but here it is:

 

2021 Schedule

Game Plan | Opponent Tracker

Date Rk Opponent Result     Location Record Conf  
Wed Nov 25   323 McNeese St. W, 84-69 75 92% Home      
Wed Dec 9   72 Georgia Tech L, 75-72 75 40% Home      
Projected record: 1-1 0-0  
Chance of unbeaten record: 36.8% 100.0%  
Chance of winless record: 4.7% 100.0%

 

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KenPom updated his projections for Nebraska today to include the Big Ten schedule...gird your loins fellas:

 

2021 Schedule

Game Plan | Opponent Tracker

Date Rk Opponent Result     Location Record Conf  
Wed Nov 25   323 McNeese St. W, 84-69 75 92% Home      
Wed Dec 9   72 Georgia Tech L, 75-72 75 40% Home      
Mon Dec 21   7 Wisconsin L, 77-61 71 8% Away   ×  
Fri Dec 25   15 Michigan L, 80-70 75 18% Home   ×  
Wed Dec 30   10 Ohio St. L, 79-64 73 9% Away   ×  
Sat Jan 2   11 Michigan St. L, 80-69 75 17% Home   ×  
Tue Jan 5   25 Purdue L, 79-66 73 12% Away   ×  
Sun Jan 10   26 Indiana L, 77-68 74 22% Home   ×  
Wed Jan 13   17 Illinois L, 78-68 74 20% Home   ×  
Sat Jan 16   51 Maryland L, 78-68 74 18% Away   ×  
Wed Jan 20   30 Minnesota L, 77-69 74 24% Home   ×  
Sun Jan 24   13 Iowa L, 86-71 76 9% Away   ×  
Sat Jan 30   64 Penn St. L, 78-73 76 34% Home   ×  
Wed Feb 3   11 Michigan St. L, 82-67 75 8% Away   ×  
Thu Feb 11   7 Wisconsin L, 75-64 71 15% Home   ×  
Sun Feb 14   64 Penn St. L, 80-71 76 20% Away   ×  
Wed Feb 17   51 Maryland L, 76-70 74 31% Home   ×  
Sat Feb 20   25 Purdue L, 77-68 73 23% Home   ×  
Wed Feb 24   17 Illinois L, 80-66 74 11% Away   ×  
Sun Feb 28   27 Rutgers L, 76-67 74 23% Home   ×  
Projected record: 5-15 3-15  
Chance of unbeaten record: 0.00% 0.00%  
Chance of winless record: 0.1% 2.7%

 

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3 minutes ago, hskr4life said:

I mean-- I know it's formulas and whatnot, but... COME ON NOW.... our highest chance to win a conference game is 34% at home against Penn State?

 

Been tryna say all week...you have to understand that the Big Ten is gonna be REALLY good this year and we are...well...not.  Pretty much every team in the Big Ten except *maybe* Northwestern is marking down Nebraska as a win.  In ink.

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36 minutes ago, 49r said:

 

Been tryna say all week...you have to understand that the Big Ten is gonna be REALLY good this year and we are...well...not.  Pretty much every team in the Big Ten except *maybe* Northwestern is marking down Nebraska as a win.  In ink.


The big 10 is going to be tough but we do not know if we are not good yet at all. Fred’s attitude is much different than last year so I am optimistic we will be a solid team this year. No one knows for sure but I hate assuming we will be bad.

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43 minutes ago, 49r said:

 

Been tryna say all week...you have to understand that the Big Ten is gonna be REALLY good this year and we are...well...not.  Pretty much every team in the Big Ten except *maybe* Northwestern is marking down Nebraska as a win.  In ink.

Well, Northwestern doesn't need to write it down, because Pomeroy doesn't even have us listed as playing them.

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1 hour ago, 49r said:

 

Been tryna say all week...you have to understand that the Big Ten is gonna be REALLY good this year and we are...well...not.  Pretty much every team in the Big Ten except *maybe* Northwestern is marking down Nebraska as a win.  In ink.

 

We are an unknown quantity for sure, but no way we go without a W in conference. JMO, but I think we are going to be good this year.

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We moved up 9 spots after today's win.  I wanted to get an update posted this afternoon even though there are a number of results still to come in today.  It's doubtful there will be much change, but probably some.  This will be the first update with our complete (as it stands for now) schedule.  

 

1-0 baby, Here we go!

 

 


 

 

KenPom rankings as of 11-25-20

=========================
 

B1G (0-0):

7. Wisconsin

10. Ohio State

11. Michigan State

13. Iowa

15. Michigan
17. Illinois
25. Purdue
26. Indiana
27. Rutgers
30. Minnesota
51. Maryland
65. Penn State
70. Northwestern
108. Nebraska
 
 
Non-Conference (1-0):
328. McNeese State - W
 
---Golden Window Classic---
120. Nevada
174. North Dakota State
 
207. South Dakota
322. Florida A&M
 
---B1G/ACC Challenge--- 
72. Georgia Tech
 
14. Creighton
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1 minute ago, Norm Peterson said:

I hope the Big Ten utterly destroys their non-con opponents. I want it to have 14 teams in the top 80-90 when they start beating up on each other. Any game against a Big Ten foe at that point will move us up. Wins even better.

 

You may get your wish.  Illinois is leading by 60(!!!) in their game with 11 minutes left to play.  Ohio State has a 30 point lead at about the same spot in their game, and Maryland is leading Old Dominion by 23 with just under 8 minutes to go.

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Honestly, I think McNeese state played better than the #328 team in the country today. Yeah, we beat them by 45, but still. With that Cooks Housing guy (I hear he cooks with butane) able to get shots off from anywhere within about 25 feet, they'll be able to cause some teams some problems. I bet they end up in the top half of their conference this year. They went 10-10 in league last year and return 3 starters and 2 of their top 3 scorers, including Cooks Housing. They might be in the 300s, but my eyeball test says they're high 200s at worst and would have given us some fits a year ago.

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39 minutes ago, Norm Peterson said:

Honestly, I think McNeese state played better than the #328 team in the country today. Yeah, we beat them by 45, but still. With that Cooks Housing guy (I hear he cooks with butane) able to get shots off from anywhere within about 25 feet, they'll be able to cause some teams some problems. I bet they end up in the top half of their conference this year. They went 10-10 in league last year and return 3 starters and 2 of their top 3 scorers, including Cooks Housing. They might be in the 300s, but my eyeball test says they're high 200s at worst and would have given us some fits a year ago.

 

Not going to let that one die are you? The kid can light it up.

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