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49r

2019-2020 KenPom Rankings Thread

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A new misc stat has been added: non-steal TO%.  As well as the obvious like throwing a ball out of bounds I believe that an offensive foul also counts as a turnover.

This is us from last year.  We took care of the ball quite well.

 

image.png

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2 minutes ago, 49r said:

The problem is we were REALLY bad at forcing TO's, but I'm not sure how much that matters because Duke was dead last in that category last year.

 

It doesn't really matter how you generate TOs...like stealing the ball or forcing a lot of errant passes is just a matter of style.

We were typically better than average in the Miles era

image.png

 

I think this year's team will have to win the turnover battle to be successful because we're more than likely to lose the rebounding battle.

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On 10/20/2019 at 10:25 AM, 49r said:

2020 Schedule

Game Plan | Opponent Tracker

Date Rk Opponent Result     Location Record Conf  
Tue Nov 5   286 UC Riverside W, 79-64 71 92% Home      
Sat Nov 9   233 Southern Utah W, 83-70 76 87% Home      
Fri Nov 15   208 South Dakota St. W, 83-71 75 85% Home      
Fri Nov 22   343 Southern W, 84-61 73 98% Home      
Mon Nov 25   163 Washington St. W, 77-72 73 68% Neutral      
Wed Dec 4   66 Georgia Tech L, 77-70 74 25% Away      
Sat Dec 7   36 Creighton L, 83-72 75 16% Away      
Fri Dec 13   34 Indiana L, 79-68 73 16% Away   ×  
Sun Dec 15   7 Purdue L, 78-69 73 20% Home   ×  
Sat Dec 21   264 North Dakota W, 82-68 75 91% Home      
Sun Dec 29   284 Texas A&M Corpus Chris W, 79-63 73 92% Home      
Fri Jan 3   63 Rutgers L, 74-73 74 47% Home   ×  
Tue Jan 7   41 Iowa L, 81-77 75 38% Home   ×  
Sat Jan 11   87 Northwestern L, 73-69 72 34% Away   ×  
Tue Jan 14   11 Ohio St. L, 79-65 73 10% Away   ×  
Sat Jan 18   34 Indiana L, 76-72 73 36% Home   ×  
Tue Jan 21   45 Wisconsin L, 76-66 71 19% Away   ×  
Sat Jan 25   63 Rutgers L, 77-69 74 24% Away   ×  
Tue Jan 28   21 Michigan L, 75-70 73 32% Home   ×  
Sat Feb 1   43 Penn St. L, 76-73 74 40% Home   ×  
Sat Feb 8   41 Iowa L, 84-74 75 17% Away   ×  
Tue Feb 11   16 Maryland L, 81-68 73 12% Away   ×  
Sat Feb 15   45 Wisconsin L, 72-70 71 41% Home   ×  
Thu Feb 20   1 Michigan St. L, 82-68 73 11% Home   ×  
Mon Feb 24   35 Illinois L, 83-72 75 16% Away   ×  
Thu Feb 27   11 Ohio St. L, 76-69 73 27% Home   ×  
Sun Mar 1   87 Northwestern W, 72-70 72 59% Home   ×  
Thu Mar 5   21 Michigan L, 79-67 73 14% Away   ×  
Sun Mar 8   81 Minnesota L, 77-72 74 32% Away   ×  
Projected record: 12-17 5-15  
Chance of unbeaten record: 0.00% 0.00%  
Chance of winless record: 0.00% 0.1%

 

 

This is about what my expectations are for the season. More than this, and I'll be happy.

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Here's today's update:

 

 


 

 

KenPom rankings as of 11-06-19
==========================

 

B1G (0-0):
1. Michigan State
7. Purdue
12. Ohio State
17. Maryland
30. Michigan
32. Indiana
41. Iowa
42. Penn State
43. Illinois
45. Wisconsin
64. Rutgers
77. Minnesota
84. Northwestern
129. Nebraska

 

Non-Conference (0-1):
249. UC Riverside - L
207. Southern Utah
201. South Dakota State
343. Southern

 

---Cayman Islands Classic---
164. Washington State
145. Old Dominion / 156. George Mason
65. New Mexico State / 89. South Florida / 91. Loyola / 161. Colorado State

 

---B1G/ACC Challenge---
63. @Georgia Tech

 

34. @Creighton
262. North Dakota
287. Texas A&M Corpus Christi
 

Edited by 49r

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43 minutes ago, 49r said:

Here's today's update:

 

 


 

 

KenPom rankings as of 11-06-19
==========================

 

B1G (0-0):
1. Michigan State
7. Purdue
12. Ohio State
17. Maryland
30. Michigan
32. Indiana
41. Iowa
42. Penn State
43. Illinois
45. Wisconsin
64. Rutgers
77. Minnesota
84. Northwestern
129. Nebraska

 

Non-Conference (0-1):
249. UC Riverside - L
207. Southern Utah
201. South Dakota State
343. Southern

 

---Cayman Islands Classic---
164. Washington State
145. Old Dominion / 156. George Mason
65. New Mexico State / 89. South Florida / 91. Loyola / 161. Colorado State

 

---B1G/ACC Challenge---
63. @Georgia Tech

 

34. @Creighton
262. North Dakota
287. Texas A&M Corpus Christi
 


In terms of KenPom, I wonder how this ranks with our UMBC, Incarnet Word, etc losses that we’ve had in the past.

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11 hours ago, hskr4life said:


In terms of KenPom, I wonder how this ranks with our UMBC, Incarnet Word, etc losses that we’ve had in the past.

Using Bart Torvik, here are our losses against opponents that finished the season ranked #125 or worse, dating back to 2008.

 

#262: 2008-2009 loss vs UMBC

#253: 2014-2015 loss vs Incarnate Word

#244: 2015-2016 loss vs Samford

#179: 2011-2012 loss vs Wake Forest

#175: 2016-2017 loss vs Gardner-Webb

#160: 2013-2014 loss vs UAB (neutral site)

#154: 2010-2011 loss vs Davidson (neutral site)

#147: 2015-2016 loss @ Penn State

#131: 2016-2017 loss @ Rutgers

#129: 2011-2012 loss @ Penn State

 

UC Riverside is currently ranked #219, but it's hard to tell where they will end up. 

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54 minutes ago, hskr4life said:


I mean, we have started off the season against two undefeated teams who are a combined 4-0.  (Riverside took down Idaho today.)

 

I'm sure there's a logic in here somewhere. I'll order some Chinese and mull it over. 

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