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49r

2018-2019 KenPom Rankings Thread

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I used to do these KenPom rankings and every time as I was updating them I'd always be a little jealous of the teams that were in the 30's thinking to myself "how nice must it be to have your team ranked up there"...and now we've been in the teens for the better part of a month and it seems like my nerves are shot!  I can only imagine what it must feel like for the fans of the single digit ranked teams.  Maybe one day I'll get to know the feeling.

 

Not a lot of movement in the Big Ten rankings.  Michigan State is reaping the benefits of a 9 game win streak.  Maryland is shooting up there as well.  Their game tonight against Indiana should be a good one.  Ohio State's stock is down, Iowa's is up.  Finally, as it seems to be just about every time, Rutgers and Illinois swap places once again.

 

Everything's pretty stable in the non-con portion.  Clemson is starting to look more and more like an NIT team, Seton Hall looks pretty bubblicious. 

 

Okay, I think I've said enough now.  Here we go:

 

 


 

 

KenPom rankings as of 1-11-19

=========================

 

B1G (2-3):

3. Michigan State

7. Michigan

11. Wisconsin

16. Nebraska

17. Purdue

20. Maryland - L

26. Ohio State

28. Indiana

36. Iowa - L

58. Minnesota - L

60. Penn State - W

61. Northwestern

106. Rutgers

109. Illinois - W

 

Non-Conference (10-1):

351. Mississippi Valley State - W

316. Southeastern Louisiana - W

 

---Gavitt Tip-Off---

47. Seton Hall - W

 

---Hall of Fame Classic---

206. Missouri State - W

9. Texas Tech - L

 

286. Western Illinois - W

 

---B1G/ACC Challenge---

40. @Clemson - W

 

37. Creighton - W

 

---Sanford Pentagon--

82. Oklahoma State - W

 

180. Cal State Fullerton - W

n/a. Southwest Minnesota State - W

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6 minutes ago, HuskerFever said:

 

And yet this is our worst loss? Wow. This is going to be a tough fight to close out the season.

 

It'll be a slog for sure.

 

But for me at least I feel like getting through the Big Ten gauntlet hovering around .500 would be much more satisfying than breezing through (and most likely winning) the Pac-12.

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1 hour ago, 49r said:

 

It'll be a slog for sure.

 

But for me at least I feel like getting through the Big Ten gauntlet hovering around .500 would be much more satisfying than breezing through (and most likely winning) the Pac-12.

 

100%.  Going .500 in the Big 10 means you earned it.  Breezing through the Pac 12 probably means a higher seed who hasn't faced a lot of good competition.

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On 1/11/2019 at 11:59 AM, 49r said:

 

It'll be a slog for sure.

 

But for me at least I feel like getting through the Big Ten gauntlet hovering around .500 would be much more satisfying than breezing through (and most likely winning) the Pac-12.

 

Going 13-5 in conference last year certainly wasn't satisfying 

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Big jump by the Huskers.  It's crazy to look at the rankings and see damn near half the conference in the top 20.  Maryland is shooting up the rankings now, too which is in turn helping us.

 

Not a lot of movement in the non-con, but keep an eye on Oklahoma State.  They're low-key making moves right now.  I'm interested to see if they can't string a few wins together.

 

Okay, Here we go:

 

 


 

 

KenPom rankings as of 1-15-19

=========================

 

B1G (3-3):

3. Michigan State

6. Michigan

11. Nebraska

14. Wisconsin

16. Purdue

19. Maryland - L

28. Ohio State

32. Indiana - W

34. Iowa - L

54. Minnesota - L

59. Northwestern

61. Penn State - W

107. Illinois - W

110. Rutgers

 

Non-Conference (10-1):

349. Mississippi Valley State - W

315. Southeastern Louisiana - W

 

---Gavitt Tip-Off---

48. Seton Hall - W

 

---Hall of Fame Classic---

198. Missouri State - W

8. Texas Tech - L

 

289. Western Illinois - W

 

---B1G/ACC Challenge---

47. @Clemson - W

 

42. Creighton - W

 

---Sanford Pentagon--

74. Oklahoma State - W

 

197. Cal State Fullerton - W

n/a. Southwest Minnesota State - W

Edited by 49r

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28 minutes ago, 49r said:

Here's the predicted outcomes of the next 5 games:

 

Mon Jan 21   124 Rutgers W, 70-62 65 76% Away   × b.gif
Sat Jan 26   27 Ohio St. W, 70-64 64 72% Home   × b.gif
Tue Jan 29   17 Wisconsin W, 68-63 63 66% Home   × a.gif
Sat Feb 2   83 Illinois W, 75-69 70 72% Away   × b.gif
Wed Feb 6   20 Maryland W, 73-68 65 69% Home   × a.gif

Even though it’s our highest percentage, next game scares me the most. If we come out and play we will win. If we don’t come out and play they could steal one. They have a few talented guys and sometimes that’s all it tales.

 

Still think we win, just makes me nervous

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30 minutes ago, 49r said:

Here's the predicted outcomes of the next 5 games:

 

Mon Jan 21   124 Rutgers W, 70-62 65 76% Away   × b.gif
Sat Jan 26   27 Ohio St. W, 70-64 64 72% Home   × b.gif
Tue Jan 29   17 Wisconsin W, 68-63 63 66% Home   × a.gif
Sat Feb 2   83 Illinois W, 75-69 70 72% Away   × b.gif
Wed Feb 6   20 Maryland W, 73-68 65 69% Home   × a.gif

 

Fuck yeah!

 

Sorry about the F-bomb. (Not sorry.)

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Illinois makes a huge jump after their big win Wednesday.  Also, it's starting to look like there's a healthy gap developing between 9th place Indiana and 10th place Northwestern.  Like, 9 NCAA teams and 3 NIT teams kinda gap.  You guys thinking about the same?

 

Our 3 "big" non-con wins keep bleeding off spots, that's a bit of an area for concern for me...but not too much.  It's hard (okay, damn near impossible) for me to stomach rooting for Creighton to win so in order to allow for schadenfreude I have to double up on my level of rooting for Seton Hall and Clemson (and Ok State to a lesser extent) and watching those teams reminds me so much of frustrations of Husker teams of years past.  Makes me grateful for what we have in this team this year.  And speaking of which...now that the opening gauntlet of the conference season has been run here's how Ken sees the rest of the conference playing out:

 

Mon Jan 21   125 Rutgers W, 70-62 65 76% Away   × b.gif
Sat Jan 26   27 Ohio St. W, 70-64 64 72% Home   × b.gif
Tue Jan 29   17 Wisconsin W, 68-63 63 66% Home   × a.gif
Sat Feb 2   84 Illinois W, 76-69 70 72% Away   × b.gif
Wed Feb 6   20 Maryland W, 73-68 65 68% Home   × a.gif
Sat Feb 9   15 Purdue L, 73-70 65 38% Away   × a.gif
Wed Feb 13   63 Minnesota W, 76-65 67 85% Home   ×  
Sat Feb 16   60 Northwestern W, 72-61 64 83% Home   ×  
Tue Feb 19   65 Penn St. W, 69-64 66 65% Away   × a.gif
Sat Feb 23   15 Purdue W, 74-70 65 63% Home   × a.gif
Thu Feb 28   6 Michigan L, 69-62 63 27% Away   × a.gif
Tue Mar 5   3 Michigan St. L, 77-68 68 20% Away   × a.gif
Sun Mar 10   31 Iowa W, 78-72 68 73% Home   ×

 

Chances are good we won't win all 10 of the games he has us favored in, but even if we drop 2 or 3, I think we'll still get a pretty solid seed come March.

 

Okay, Here we go:

 

 


 

 

KenPom rankings as of 1-18-19

=========================

 

B1G (3-4):

3. Michigan State - L

6. Michigan

12. Nebraska

15. Purdue

17. Wisconsin

20. Maryland - L

27. Ohio State

31. Iowa - L

33. Indiana - W
60. Northwestern

61. Penn State - W

63. Minnesota - L

84. Illinois - W

125. Rutgers

 

Non-Conference (10-1):

349. Mississippi Valley State - W

315. Southeastern Louisiana - W

 

---Gavitt Tip-Off---

52. Seton Hall - W

 

---Hall of Fame Classic---

205. Missouri State - W

8. Texas Tech - L

 

301. Western Illinois - W

 

---B1G/ACC Challenge---

46. @Clemson - W

 

50. Creighton - W

 

---Sanford Pentagon--

77. Oklahoma State - W

 

199. Cal State Fullerton - W

n/a. Southwest Minnesota State - W

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Back up to #11, and achingly close to the top ten:

 

8 Virginia Tech ACC 15-2 +23.81 119.5 7 95.7 41 65.2 321 +.051 78 -0.65 186 104.0 148 104.6 230 -4.91 313
9 North Carolina ACC 14-4 +23.36 115.8 19 92.4 13 75.9 5 +.015 145 +8.71 10 108.6 6 99.9 21 +5.46 39
10 Purdue B10 12-6 +22.59 119.8 6 97.2 62 66.6 271 -.042 273 +10.15 5 108.5 7 98.4 3 +4.32 60
11 Nebraska B10 13-5 +22.52 116.7 13 94.2 26 66.3 286 -.050 283 +7.81 17 107.0 25 99.2 10 -0.48 195
12 Kansas B12 15-3 +22.48 113.6 29 91.1 10 70.9 79 +.078 47 +11.65 1 110.0 1 98.4 2 +8.82 5
13 Kentucky SEC 14-3 +22.42 115.6 21 93.2 19 68.0 212 +.048 81 +4.28 48 106.2 43 101.9 74 +0.64 158
14 Iowa St. B12 13-4 +21.95 115.7 20 93.7 22 68.2 196 -.050 286 +3.80 56 105.5 67 101.7 69 -2.68 257

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