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Selection Committee Games of Interest


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41 minutes ago, Mr. Red said:

 

 

Tom Crean's defiant "no" reaction really reminded me of dear ol' Sheev Palpatine from this scene in the best prequel ever.

 

Props for knowing ol' Sheev's first name.

 

Semi-deep cut there (this coming from a guy who listens to Star Wars Minute every damn day [heck, I'm wearing one of their shirts today]).

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54 minutes ago, Cookie Miller Wasn't Dirty said:

@HuskerFever

 

Louisiana, Western Kentucky, Buffalo, and New Mexico State will not be receiving at-large bids. We don’t need to worry about them winning their tournaments.

You want W Kentucky to win imo. Some how some ppl still think Old Dominion is a good win for Mid Tenn and them winning would help Mid Tenn

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"Teams that finished with a Strength or Record in the 30's from 2012-2017

 

2012

30 – Purdue = 10 Seed

31 – Iowa State = 8 Seed

32 – VCU = 12 Seed

33 – Memphis = 8 Seed

34 – New Mexico = 5 Seed

35 – Harvard = 12 Seed

36 – Virginia = 10 Seed

37 – NC State = 11 Seed

38 – Ohio = 13 Seed

39 – Notre Dame = 7 Seed
 

2013

30 – Ole Miss = 12 Seed

31 – UCLA = 6 Seed

32 – VCU = 5 Seed

33 – Minnesota = 11 Seed

34 – Colorado State = 8 Seed

35 – Uconn = Not in Tournament due to being academically ineligible

36 – Iowa = Not in due to “Iowa Sucks” and they were 78th in RPI

37 – Temple =  9 Seed

38 – Missourt = 9 Seed

39 – Iowa State = 10 Seed

 

2014

30 – Oregon = 7 Seed

31 – Oklahoma = 5 Seed

32 – VCU = 5 Seed

33 – George Washington = 9 Seed

34 – Harvard = 12 Seed

35 – Umass = 6 Seed

36 – Stanford = 10 Seed

37 – Minnesota = Not in/Conference record was 8-10 and BPI was 73(Won NIT Tournament)

38 – Tennessee = 11 Seed

39 – Stephen F. Austin = 12 Seed

 

2015

30 – NC State = 8 Seed

31 – San Diego State = 8 Seed

32 – Dayton = 11 Seed

33 – Utah = 5 Seed

34 – Xavier = 6 Seed

35 – Miami = Not in/Finished Runner up in NIT was 62 in RPI and 20-10 Record

36 – St John’s = 9 Seed

37 – Stephen F. Austin = 12 Seed

38 – Purdue = 9 Seed

39 – Texas = 11 Seed

 

2016

30 – Syracuse = 10 Seed

31 – Texas = 6 Seed

32 – Wisconsin = 7 Seed

33 – Michigan = 11 Seed

34 – Butler = 9 Seed

35 – Arizona = 6 Seed

36 – Pittsburg = 10 Seed

37 – Dayton = 7 Seed

38 – Georgia Tech = Not in/ 19-14(8-10) 67 RPI

39 – St Mary’s = Not in/26-4 regular season and two wins over the Zags - No Clue why they weren’t in other than being a mid major?  Their BPI = 39, and their RPI = 40

 

2017

30 – Virginia Tech = 9 Seed

31 – Xavier = 11 Seed

32 – Minnesota = 5 Seed

33 – Miami = 8 Seed

34 – Maryland = 6 Seed

35 – Northwestern = 8 Seed

36 – USC = 11 Seed

37 – Seton Hall = 9 Seed

38 – Kansas State = 11 Seed

39 – Middle Tennessee =  12 Seed

 

Currently we sit at # 31 with a win over Michigan we will finish in the 20's.  With a loss to Michigan we will remain around the same.

Considering that 55 of the 60 teams over the last six years have made it to the tournament with a SOR ranking in the 30's I like our chances, but again that is just me.  I am not saying it is a guarantee, but the odds seem to be in our favor!

On a side note... With St Mary's not getting in in 2016, it does not look good for them and St. Bonaventure this year!  They were 27-5 with all metric's in the 40 or below,  they still didn't get in?  They swept the Zags during the regular season too!"

 

I posted this on page 60, I think it needs to be reposted.  I was correct about the loss and remaining the same as we currently sit at #34.  Based on history I see no way we are out.  Also St. Mary's is in almost the exact same spot as in 2016!  The only one that is even remotely close to what we did and left out was Miami in 2015, but they only had a 10-8 conference record.  

 

You be your own judge, but I think we are in.

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Last Four Byes
Providence: TODAY neut Xavier
USC: TODAY neut Oregon
UCLA: TODAY neut Arizona
Texas: N/A

 

Last Four In
Oklahoma: N/A
Alabama: TODAY neut Auburn
Middle Tennessee: N/A
Louisville: N/A

 

First Four Out
Oklahoma State: N/A
Notre Dame: N/A
Arizona State: N/A
Syracuse: N/A

 

Next Four Out
Marquette: N/A
Baylor: N/A
Penn State: N/A
Nebraska: N/A

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11 minutes ago, HuskerFever said:

Lunardi's Bubble Watch Updated this Morning (March 9):

 

Last Four Byes
Providence
USC
UCLA
Texas

 

Last Four In
Oklahoma
Alabama
Middle Tennessee
Louisville

 

First Four Out
Oklahoma State
Notre Dame
Arizona State
Syracuse

 

Next Four Out
Marquette
Baylor
Penn State
Nebraska

If Alabama loses today they are out.  That would mean we are in over every team listed in Next Four Out, First Four Out and First Four In.

 

Just for the record as @hskr4life pointed out yesterday.  There has never been a 15 loss team in the tournament, and only six 14 loss teams sonce the beginning.  Sitting ahead of us according to Lunardi is one 15 loss team, and five 14 loss teams.  

 

I call BS

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 VCU 132/Rhode Island 16- 11am  NBC Sports Network  Rhode Island -9  We want Rhode Island I believe to just wire this tourney

Texas St 247/Louisiana 55-11:30 ESPN3  Louisiana -12  Need Texas St. here to remove all doubt about Louisiana getting at large and would bump us over them in RPI

Alabama 46/Auburn 8 - 12 ESPN  Auburn - 6 1/2  Among the most important of the day.  NEED AUBURN BADLY

Georgia 72/Kentucky 17 -2:25 ESPN Kentucky -5  Need Kentucky to end this Georgia momentum

Western Kentucky 44/Old Dominion 73 - 3pm CBS Sports Network  Western Kentucky -1  Not high leverage situation but I think we want Western Kentucky to remove any doubt about them getting a wild card.  Also would drop Old Dominion out of Q1 for teams playing them at their place(Middle Tennessee St)

Richmond 177/St. Bonaventure 22-  5pm NBC Sports Network  St. Bonaventure - 7 1/2  We want Richmond badly here.  The exception is if Rhode Island gets bounced earlier in the proceedings

Providence 35/Xavier3 -5:30 FS1 Xavier - 7 1/2  Not high leverage at all, but just in case Providence not a lock we need Xavier.  Also prevents Providence from becoming a Q1 home game for folks

Kent St. 149/Buffalo 31- 5:30 CBS Sports Network  Buffalo -11  Need Buffalo to win this tourney or we have possible bid stealing disaster. 

Temple 45/Wichita St. 14 - 6pm ESPNU Wichita St. - 10 1/2  Need Wichita St. Temple win they seriously start entering the discussion 

Mississippi St. 67/Tennessee 10 - 6pm SEC Network Tennessee - 7  Need Tennessee to eliminate Mississippi St. from discussion(and keep us above them in RPI)

Kansas St. 51/Kansas 6 - 6pm ESPN Kansas - 7 1/2  Need Kansas to get metric boost and also would help keep Kansas St from becoming Q1 neutral court win for Az St

St. Louis 141/Davidson 81- 7:30 NBC Sports Network Davidson -8  need St. Louis as Davidson one of the highest probability bid stealers there is

UCLA 34/Arizona 18 -8pm Pac 12 Network  Arizona - 4 1/2  Need Arizona just in case UCLA not a lock yet, and it also prevents UCLA from being a q1 home win for people including Arizona St, Oregon and Utah

San Diego St./Nevada 8pm CBS Sports Network  Nevada -3  BADLY need Nevada here and them to go on to win tourney.  This is a direct bid on the line if they lose

UCF 77/Houston 19 -8:30pm ESPNU  Houston -9  Need UCF for metrics boost

Oregon 63 /USC 33 -  10:30 Oregon USC -3  Need USC  The time has come to get rid of Oregon before they get a bid.  The negative is it would become a Q1 home win over USC most likely for Az. St and UCLA.  Oregon losing would keep Oregon behind us in RPI

Seattle 163/New Mexico St. 48  10:30 ESPN3 New Mexico St. - 11 1/2  Need New Mexico St. as we don't want to sweat them taking an at large bid

 

Others who we need to win for minor reasons not significant enough to be listed above

 

Cincinnati 

 

 

 

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1 hour ago, royalfan said:

St. Louis 141/Davidson 81- 7:30 NBC Sports Network Davidson -8  need St. Louis as Davidson one of the highest probability bid stealers there is

 

I was kind of worried about this one but wasn't sure if it was just in my head. There's a lot of contenders in the Atlantic 10 this year.

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13 minutes ago, royalfan said:

I am kind of conflicted on the Rhode Island game.  Are they a lock with a loss?  I think not.  In any event it is all tied with ten mintues left over on NBC Sports Network

This is a good debate - I think their RPI is so high that they wouldn't be left out. But their resume is not overly impressive when you dig a little deeper. That's a team that gamed the RPI very well.

 

And with a loss today, they wouldn't have finished strong at all. Losses to St Joes, Davidson and VCU late would be a huge problem. But I think we're better off with URI  winning the tourney and St Bony losing early, rather than the other way around.

 

Edited by throwback
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14 hours ago, royalfan said:

VCU 132/Rhode Island 16- 11am  NBC Sports Network  Rhode Island -9  We want Rhode Island I believe to just wire this tourney
Texas St 247/Louisiana 55-11:30 ESPN3  Louisiana -12  Need Texas St. here to remove all doubt about Louisiana getting at large and would bump us over them in RPI
Alabama 46/Auburn 8 - 12 ESPN  Auburn - 6 1/2  Among the most important of the day.  NEED AUBURN BADLY
Georgia 72/Kentucky 17 -2:25 ESPN Kentucky -5  Need Kentucky to end this Georgia momentum
Western Kentucky 44/Old Dominion 73 - 3pm CBS Sports Network  Western Kentucky -1  Not high leverage situation but I think we want Western Kentucky to remove any doubt about them getting a wild card.  Also would drop Old Dominion out of Q1 for teams playing them at their place(Middle Tennessee St)
Richmond 177/St. Bonaventure 22-  5pm NBC Sports Network  St. Bonaventure - 7 1/2  We want Richmond badly here. The exception is if Rhode Island gets bounced earlier in the proceedings
Providence 35/Xavier3 -5:30 FS1 Xavier - 7 1/2  Not high leverage at all, but just in case Providence not a lock we need Xavier.  Also prevents Providence from becoming a Q1 home game for folks
Kent St. 149/Buffalo 31- 5:30 CBS Sports Network  Buffalo -11  Need Buffalo to win this tourney or we have possible bid stealing disaster. 
Temple 45/Wichita St. 14 - 6pm ESPNU Wichita St. - 10 1/2  Need Wichita St. Temple win they seriously start entering the discussion 
Mississippi St. 67/Tennessee 10 - 6pm SEC Network Tennessee - 7  Need Tennessee to eliminate Mississippi St. from discussion(and keep us above them in RPI)
Kansas St. 51/Kansas 6 - 6pm ESPN Kansas - 7 1/2  Need Kansas to get metric boost and also would help keep Kansas St from becoming Q1 neutral court win for Az St

St. Louis 141/Davidson 81- 7:30 NBC Sports Network Davidson -8  need St. Louis as Davidson one of the highest probability bid stealers there is
UCLA 34/Arizona 18 -8pm Pac 12 Network  Arizona - 4 1/2  Need Arizona just in case UCLA not a lock yet, and it also prevents UCLA from being a q1 home win for people including Arizona St, Oregon and Utah
San Diego St./Nevada 8pm CBS Sports Network  Nevada -3  BADLY need Nevada here and them to go on to win tourney.  This is a direct bid on the line if they lose
UCF 77/Houston 19 -8:30pm ESPNU  Houston -9  Need UCF for metrics boost
Oregon 63 /USC 33 -  10:30 Oregon USC -3  Need USC  The time has come to get rid of Oregon before they get a bid.  The negative is it would become a Q1 home win over USC most likely for Az. St and UCLA.  Oregon losing would keep Oregon behind us in RPI
Seattle 163/New Mexico St. 48  10:30 ESPN3 New Mexico St. - 11 1/2  Need New Mexico St. as we don't want to sweat them taking an at large bid

 

Others who we need to win for minor reasons not significant enough to be listed above

Cincinnati/SMU

 

Updating throughout the day.

Edited by HuskerFever
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2 minutes ago, royalfan said:

What a disaster.  Son of a bitch.  20-1 this half.  Unreal.  

 

Yes, I believe this will put them firmly in if they hold on.  You talk about a statement and sadly this is what us and every other bubble team that flamed out early in the conference tournaments is wishing they could have done.  Games not over yet so I haven't given up hope.

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