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Selection Committee Games of Interest

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On ‎2‎/‎24‎/‎2018 at 3:24 PM, Cookie Miller Wasn't Dirty said:

 

Who says the employee's work is worth $20 an hour? If the boss is only willing to pay $15, and the employee isn't willing to leave, then by definition the work is worth $15.

 

That seems like what I learned in Econ.  The best measure of the value of a good or service is what a willing buyer will pay to a willing seller, where neither party is being coerced.  Or something like that.

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Here is the deal... If Nebraska was typical Nebraska we probably lose both Minnesota games and both Wisconsin Game.  I would assume Maryland probably beats us, Indiana probably beats us. Michigan definitely beats us and Penn St probably wins that game at PBA... That would puts us at 7 more losses and 5-13

 

The Conference looks better because...

Maryland is 20-11 (9-9)

Penn State is 20-11 (10-8)

Wisconsin is 16-15 (9-9)

Michigan is 28-6 (14-4)

Indiana is 17-13 (10-8)

 

If we were in our rightful place as a bottom feeder, Big 10 get's 6 teams in without question, because the Big 10 is more balanced.

 

We basically f***ed ourself by being good I guess?

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25 minutes ago, big red22 said:

Here is the deal... If Nebraska was typical Nebraska we probably lose both Minnesota games and both Wisconsin Game.  I would assume Maryland probably beats us, Indiana probably beats us. Michigan definitely beats us and Penn St probably wins that game at PBA... That would puts us at 7 more losses and 5-13

 

The Conference looks better because...

Maryland is 20-11 (9-9)

Penn State is 20-11 (10-8)

Wisconsin is 16-15 (9-9)

Michigan is 28-6 (14-4)

Indiana is 17-13 (10-8)

 

If we were in our rightful place as a bottom feeder, Big 10 get's 6 teams in without question, because the Big 10 is more balanced.

 

We basically f***ed ourself by being good I guess?

 

i was thinking about this earlier. There could be situations where it might be better to lose a game to a team, giving them a RPI boost, and then beating them the second time if that RPI Boost makes it a quadrant one win, rather than beating them twice and getting two Quad 2 wins.

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Lunardi's voodoo magic bubble watch as of Feb. 28:

 

Last Four Byes
Arizona State: Thursday vs California, Saturday vs Stanford
Alabama: Saturday at Texas A&M
Baylor: Saturday at Kansas State
St. Bonaventure: Saturday at Saint Louis

 

Last Four In
Providence: TONIGHT at Xavier, Saturday  St. John's
Louisville: Thursday vs Virginia, Saturday at NC State
USC: Saturday vs UCLA
Texas: Saturday vs West Virginia

 

First Four Out
UCLA: Saturday at USC
Syracuse: TONIGHT at Boston College, Saturday vs Clemson
Nebraska: Friday neut TBD (Conf Tourney)
Washington: Thursday vs Oregon State, Saturday vs Oregon

 

Next Four Out
Mississippi State: Saturday at LSU
Utah: Saturday vs Colorado
Marquette: Saturday vs Creighton
Notre Dame: TONIGHT vs Pittsburgh, Saturday at Virginia

Edited by HuskerFever

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47 minutes ago, TomEadesSucks said:

 

i was thinking about this earlier. There could be situations where it might be better to lose a game to a team, giving them a RPI boost, and then beating them the second time if that RPI Boost makes it a quadrant one win, rather than beating them twice and getting two Quad 2 wins.

While you are overthinking the importance of quadrants massively, just the fact you had to consider it speaks to how stupid the quadrants based on RPI is.

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7 minutes ago, HuskerFever said:

Lunardi's voodoo magic bubble watch as of Feb. 28:

 

Last Four Byes
Arizona State: Thursday vs California, Saturday vs Stanford
Alabama: Saturday at Texas A&M
Baylor: Saturday at Kansas State
St. Bonaventure: Saturday at Saint Louis

 

Last Four In
Providence: Saturday vs St. John's
Louisville: Thursday vs Virginia, Saturday at NC State
USC: Saturday vs UCLA
Texas: Saturday vs West Virginia

 

First Four Out
UCLA: Saturday at USC
Syracuse: TONIGHT at Boston College, Saturday vs Clemson
Nebraska: Friday neut TBD (Conf Tourney)
Washington: Thursday vs Oregon State, Saturday vs Oregon

 

Next Four Out
Mississippi State: Saturday at LSU
Utah: Saturday vs Colorado
Marquette: Saturday vs Creighton
Notre Dame: TONIGHT vs Pittsburgh, Saturday at Virginia

Doesn’t Providence play @ Xavier tonight too?

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5 minutes ago, The Polish Rifle said:

Not listed because, if Providence loses, that loss falls off the face of the planet. If they win, they will be volted off the bubble and into a top 10 seed.

Sarcasm noted 😛

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1 hour ago, TomEadesSucks said:

 

i was thinking about this earlier. There could be situations where it might be better to lose a game to a team, giving them a RPI boost, and then beating them the second time if that RPI Boost makes it a quadrant one win, rather than beating them twice and getting two Quad 2 wins.

While it's possible that your opponent would be quadrant 1 instead of quadrant 2 by going 1-1, I would pretty strongly argue that you would still be better off winning both games and having your own RPI much higher with a better win-loss record and having one less Tier 1 win.

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20 minutes ago, royalfan said:

While you are overthinking the importance of quadrants massively, just the fact you had to consider it speaks to how stupid the quadrants based on RPI is.

Midwestern common sense thinking will save the world!

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12 hours ago, HuskerActuary said:

Thanks for doing this, @HuskerFever. Trimming down tonight's list, it looks to me as if the most important games are:

- Boston College over Syracuse (probably #1)

- Xavier over Providence

- South Carolina over LSU

 

I think you accidentally bolded Kentucky instead of Ole Miss, but like you said, not that important.

 

I'm also pretty sure that Seton Hall is in either way win or lose tonight.

2 out of 3 start it looks like!!!  LETS GO BC

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13 hours ago, royalfan said:

Big Ten Tourney  Illinois/Iowa-  4:30 BTN  Pick em   Need Illinois as we played them twice
Providence 43/Xavier 2 - 5:30 FS1  Xavier - 10 Badly need Xavier
LSU 82/South Carolina 75 - 5:30 SEC Network  S. carolina -5  Need South Carolina

Pittsburgh 207/Notre Dame 67 -  6pm ESPNU  Notre Dame - 20  Need Pittsburgh.  How did Pittsburgh get this bad?
Villanova 3/Seton Hall 22 - 7:30  FS1  Villanova -6  Need Villanova
Texas A&M 28 /Georgia 70 - 7:30 SEC Network  Georgia -1  Need Georgia here 
Florida State 47/Clemson  10- 8pm ESPNU  Clemson -4  Need Clemson
Syracuse 44/Boston College 102 - 8pm ACC Network/ESPN3  Syracuse -1  Need Boston College very badly

Butler 34/St. John's 88 - 8pm CBS Sports Network Butler - 2 1/2  Need St. Johns
Eastern Illinois/Tennessee State - 8:30   http://ovcdigitalnetwork.com/watch/?Live=6278&type=Live  Tennessee St - 3 1/2  Need Eastern Illinois.  Also, would appreciate some help scouting these rims in this building.  Have a potential HUGE play tomorrow on an Ohio Valley tourney game that I will share, but need to see how tight or loose the rims are.  Try not to be influenced simply by shots going in or not if you weigh in.  Easier said than done.

 

Updating throughout the night.

Edited by HuskerFever

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Completely unrelated. Wasn't sure where to put this, but when looking at 'against the spread' we not have a competitor that isn't Xavier.

 

The Canisius Golden Griffins are sitting pretty at 20-8-1 ATS and 21-10 as their actual hoops record.

 

If only we knew to bet on Nebraska, Canisius, Xavier, Auburn, and Michigan we'd be doing quite alright!

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15 minutes ago, HuskerFever said:

Texas A&M/Georgia: 52-53 6:08 2nd
Villanova/Seton Hall: 36-30 11:37 2nd

Butler/St. John's: 25-37 15:55 2nd
Syracuse/Boston College: 38-45 17:03 2nd
Florida State/Clemson: 35-40 18:18 2nd
Eastern Illinois/Tennessee State: 13-11 9:43 1st

 

***KNOCK ON WOOD***

 

 

 

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