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Game Day Essentials: Game #18 vs Ohio St


hhcmatt

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Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-8) vs Ohio St. Buckeyes (11-7)

 

 

Date: Wednesday Jan. 18

Time: 8:00 pm CST 
Arena: PBA

TV Broadcast:  BTN

Ohio St Info

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Head Coach: Thad Matta
Location: Columbus, OH
Conference: B1G
Nickname: Buckeyes

Mascot: Brutus Buckeye

Shirt not to Wear: Grey, Planters
Last time out: Beat Michigan St
Typical Rotation Depth: 8+
Line: Nebraska by 1
Tempo: Fast paced offense, slow passive defense
Style: Low 3pt attempt %
4 Factors Good: Not putting you on the FT line
4 Factors Bad: 

Four Factors
Effective FG%: 52.3 94 46.8 59 50.2
Turnover %: 18.9 175 18.6 192 19.0
Off. Reb. %: 29.4 178 28.6 128 29.7
FTA/FGA: 36.1 148 26.7 28 35.3

 

Those numbers look nearly as good when you look at conference only

Four Factors
Effective FG%: 48.0 11 52.4 10 50.2
Turnover %: 16.2 4 16.7 11 19.0
Off. Reb. %: 25.8 11 34.7 13 29.7
FTA/FGA: 32.4 6 32.2 8 35.3

 

 

Ohio St Most frequently used lineup

13 JaQuan Lyle
6-5  210  So
15 Kam Williams
6-2  185  Jr
1 Jae'Sean Tate
6-4  230  Jr
2 Marc Loving
6-8  220  Sr
32 Trevor Thompson
7-0  250  Jr
34.5
 

You'll see most of this lineup on the court all day as Ohio St. doesn't dig too deep into the bench for minutes.

 

Expected Nebraska Starting Lineup

5 Glynn Watson
6-0  175  So
0 Tai Webster
6-4  195  Sr
11 Evan Taylor
6-5  206  Jr
15 Isaiah Roby
6-8  214  Fr
12 Michael Jacobson
6-9  230  So
12.3
 

 

Miles and Webster Presser

 

Player to Watch: JaQuan Lyle

Ohio St's offense begins and ends with the 6'5" 210# Soph. who leads the team assists and gets to the rim. He's also shooting a Glynn Watson-esque 52.4% from 3 in conference play.

 

Player to Watch: Trevor Thompson

The 7'0" JR is a difference making center for the Buckeyes who brings superior block and rebounding when he's on the court. He draws a ton of contact on offense but is foul-prone on the other side of the ball. He's the kind of guy that could foul out Jordy in 5 minutes so the big man will have to be careful.

 

The Skinny

Nebraska needs to win at least 8 of their next 13 games if they want a shot at the NCAA tournament. In that regards this isn't a must win game but losing to Ohio St Wednesday just makes things harder and turns games such as playing the Buckeyes in Ohio into must wins. The Buckeyes have been struggling in conference as they too have suffered a significant post player injury with Keita Bates-Diop out for the season. With the exception of the Wisconsin game the Buckeyes have been close and come into Lincoln having beaten Michigan St.

 

Ohio St runs the sort of 2pt reliant, fast paced offense which will be a welcome change from the methodical 3pt offenses that have been shredding the Huskers defense. Containing the dangerous Lyle will be the key as he'll free up Marc Loving and Jae'Sean Tate for looks in addition to dumping the ball down to Thompson in the post. Defensive rebounding will be huge given Ohio St doesn't turn the ball over much so 2nd chance points will be quite damaging in this game.

 

Offensively you'll see Nebraska continue to attack the rim even when the defensively dominant Thompson is in the game because it's what the team does and you're not going to put Thompson in foul trouble by avoiding him.  Expect that attack to be much more fearless whenever he's out of the game though.  Nebraska has quietly become one of the better 3pt shooting teams in the conference by selectively taking shots. Those shots should be there vs this Ohio St. team.  Given our penchant for playing slowly on offense and Ohio St's equal patience on defense, expect a few shot clock violations against the home team.

 

Nebraska really seems to match up well against teams with smaller SFs and with the loss of Ed Morrow playing teams with smaller PFs should be to our advantage. That is Ohio St. in....a nutshell. Can the Huskers take advantage?

 

Prediction: Nebraska 74 - Ohio St 69 with a 68% chance of Runzas


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"There is one Big Ten coach who knows exactly what Thad Matta is trying to do this season at Ohio State.

 

Tonight, the two will shake hands before the opening tip and after the final whistle at Pinnacle Bank Arena when Nebraska plays an Ohio State team trying to dig its way out of an early-season hole.

 

The Buckeyes aren’t the first team to lose its first four Big Ten games in a season, but Nebraska is the only one in the past two decades to do that and still reach the NCAA Tournament. Three seasons ago, the Cornhuskers won 11 of their final 14 conference games to finish fourth and receive an at-large bid to the tournament."

Edited by 49r
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