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Wisky pregame


FredsSlacks

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they're on a 5 game winning streak and seem to have hit their stride.

 

having said that, they don't blow anybody out and have lost to some bad teams this year.

 

they also don't have anybody over 6'9 that we can't guard.

 

It should be a close game whether shields plays or not.

 

a win would put us at 14-11 going into a home game vs penn st that we should win.

 

15-11 with wins at mich st and wisky would make things pretty interesting.

 

thoughts?

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they're on a 5 game winning streak and seem to have hit their stride.

having said that, they don't blow anybody out and have lost to some bad teams this year.

they also don't have anybody over 6'9 that we can't guard.

It should be a close game whether shields plays or not.

a win would put us at 14-11 going into a home game vs penn st that we should win.

15-11 with wins at mich st and wisky would make things pretty interesting.

We can make the NCAA by winning the conference tournament. The NIT might be hard even if we win out.

But getting to 17 or 18 wins would be a nice end to the season and certainly make us attractive to the CBI, especially with our home attendance!

I would love to get another crack at Creighton.

Sent from my Nexus 6P using Tapatalk

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they're on a 5 game winning streak and seem to have hit their stride.

having said that, they don't blow anybody out and have lost to some bad teams this year.

they also don't have anybody over 6'9 that we can't guard.

It should be a close game whether shields plays or not.

a win would put us at 14-11 going into a home game vs penn st that we should win.

15-11 with wins at mich st and wisky would make things pretty interesting.

We can make the NCAA by winning the conference tournament. The NIT might be hard even if we win out.

But getting to 17 or 18 wins would be a nice end to the season and certainly make us attractive to the CBI, especially with our home attendance!

I would love to get another crack at Creighton.

Sent from my Nexus 6P using Tapatalk

I could be wrong, but if we won out (highly unlikely, but we can dream!), I'd have a hard time believing they'd leave us out of the ncaa tourney. We would be on an 8-game winning streak in the B1G. That's gotta be worth something. And at that point, we'd be a lock for the NIT for sure.

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they're on a 5 game winning streak and seem to have hit their stride.

having said that, they don't blow anybody out and have lost to some bad teams this year.

they also don't have anybody over 6'9 that we can't guard.

It should be a close game whether shields plays or not.

a win would put us at 14-11 going into a home game vs penn st that we should win.

15-11 with wins at mich st and wisky would make things pretty interesting.

We can make the NCAA by winning the conference tournament. The NIT might be hard even if we win out.

But getting to 17 or 18 wins would be a nice end to the season and certainly make us attractive to the CBI, especially with our home attendance!

I would love to get another crack at Creighton.

Sent from my Nexus 6P using Tapatalk

I could be wrong, but if we won out (highly unlikely, but we can dream!), I'd have a hard time believing they'd leave us out of the ncaa tourney. We would be on an 8-game winning streak in the B1G. That's gotta be worth something. And at that point, we'd be a lock for the NIT for sure.
Our rpi is trash. The projections for if we win out barely get us in the top 100.

Sent from my Nexus 6P using Tapatalk

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they're on a 5 game winning streak and seem to have hit their stride.

having said that, they don't blow anybody out and have lost to some bad teams this year.

they also don't have anybody over 6'9 that we can't guard.

It should be a close game whether shields plays or not.

a win would put us at 14-11 going into a home game vs penn st that we should win.

15-11 with wins at mich st and wisky would make things pretty interesting.

We can make the NCAA by winning the conference tournament. The NIT might be hard even if we win out.

But getting to 17 or 18 wins would be a nice end to the season and certainly make us attractive to the CBI, especially with our home attendance!

I would love to get another crack at Creighton.

Sent from my Nexus 6P using Tapatalk

I could be wrong, but if we won out (highly unlikely, but we can dream!), I'd have a hard time believing they'd leave us out of the ncaa tourney. We would be on an 8-game winning streak in the B1G. That's gotta be worth something. And at that point, we'd be a lock for the NIT for sure.
Our rpi is trash. The projections for if we win out barely get us in the top 100.

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I get that, but those are projections. Other team's projections will change as well. Our RPI could be very different depending on how others do down the stretch.

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It all comes down to us keeping them off the FT line as much as possible.

 

In Conference:

Wisky is 2-3 when held under 20 FTs, 4-1 when 20 or more.

3-0 in conference play when they're over 30 attempts.

 

Nebraska hasn't been over 24 FTAs in the B1G. Is Wisconsin a beneficiary of "home cooking" or are there totals both home & road?

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If we won out we would be in the NCAA tournament rather comfortably.  That said, I would like to hear more thoughts on Wisconsin.  For whatever reason, I have not seen much of them this year. 

 

Their style has changed under Gard just a bit.

They're more aggressive so their offensive rebound numbers are up but their offensive turnover % is higher than a Bo Ryan team. They're also on pace to have their worst eFG% year of this century as well.

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It all comes down to us keeping them off the FT line as much as possible.

 

In Conference:

Wisky is 2-3 when held under 20 FTs, 4-1 when 20 or more.

3-0 in conference play when they're over 30 attempts.

 

Nebraska hasn't been over 24 FTAs in the B1G. Is Wisconsin a beneficiary of "home cooking" or are there totals both home & road?

 

 

Wisconsin gets to the FT line, we don't.  Some teams also defend without fouling, we don't.

They had 35 at Penn State. They had 11 at home vs Maryland.

Penn State fouls a lot, Maryland doesn't.

 

If there is research out there about how much home court advantage effects FT rates, I'd expect the amount to be relatively small.

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It all comes down to us keeping them off the FT line as much as possible.

 

In Conference:

Wisky is 2-3 when held under 20 FTs, 4-1 when 20 or more.

3-0 in conference play when they're over 30 attempts.

 

Nebraska hasn't been over 24 FTAs in the B1G. Is Wisconsin a beneficiary of "home cooking" or are there totals both home & road?

 

 

Wisconsin gets to the FT line, we don't.  Some teams also defend without fouling, we don't.

They had 35 at Penn State. They had 11 at home vs Maryland.

Penn State fouls a lot, Maryland doesn't.

 

If there is research out there about how much home court advantage effects FT rates, I'd expect the amount to be relatively small.

 

 

  I realize NU & PSU foul more than the Terps, but it wasn't that deep of a question... I was just curious if Wisky shot more FTs at home than on the road... as a 'general' rule. Wondering if that's a discernible factor at all, basically.

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I was just curious if Wisky shot more FTs at home than on the road... as a 'general' rule. Wondering if that's a discernible factor at all, basically.

 

The opponent is a bigger factor than the location.

 

 

Okay. That wasn't the answer I was looking for, though. lol ;)

 

 

 

I was curious about the strict numbers, not who they were against, per se.

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I was just curious if Wisky shot more FTs at home than on the road... as a 'general' rule. Wondering if that's a discernible factor at all, basically.

 

The opponent is a bigger factor than the location.

 

 

Okay. That wasn't the answer I was looking for, though. lol ;)

 

 

 

I was curious about the strict numbers, not who they were against, per se.

 

 

Click on game by game statistics http://www.uwbadgers.com/cumestats.aspx?path=mbball&

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I was just curious if Wisky shot more FTs at home than on the road... as a 'general' rule. Wondering if that's a discernible factor at all, basically.

 

The opponent is a bigger factor than the location.

 

 

Okay. That wasn't the answer I was looking for, though. lol ;)

 

 

 

I was curious about the strict numbers, not who they were against, per se.

 

 

Click on game by game statistics http://www.uwbadgers.com/cumestats.aspx?path=mbball&

 

 

Thanks for the link, I learned a lot about them from their game-by-game stats; I think they can be had if NU is playing well on Weds.

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Badger fan here. Here's what I know. Koenig & Hayes are the experienced players. Koenig, the PG, has not played up to expectations, but he's capable of going off. Hayes is a borderline AA, but he's been doing a lot of his damage by getting to the line - he's changed his shot from last year and most of the year it was a work in progress, but it's starting to fall a bit more regularly - he's over 20 ppg during the last 5. Hayes will also play point forward for some stretches of the game, just because the offense works better when he's facilitator.

 

The next best player is redshirt frosh big Ethan Happ. He is exclusively going to take his shots from near the rim - he's got some nice post moves and was able to score 25 against Indiana, abusing the more-heralded frosh Thomas Bryant. At one point (not sure if it's still true), he was leading the league in double-doubles, and even steals (!). He is, however, foul prone, and misses a lot of bunnies, too.

 

Then we have role players. Vitto Brown has been playing well lately as a big who has a sweet stroke from mid-range, but he doesn't always take the smartest shots. Zak Showalter is the 5th starter at the off guard who is a former walkon whose dad coached him in HS and was a former player for Bo @ UW Platteville. Zak is all about energy - not the most skilled player, but he is athletic and draws a lot of charges. 

 

Gard has expanded the playing time of the bench quite a bit since he took over. Jordan Hill is a G who barely played at all for Bo, but is getting heavy minutes now - his job is to rest Koenig & Showalter, but he has shown the ability to do some nice things other than just don't screw up (which he does do with ill-advised passes and dribbling into traps). Khalil Iverson (true frosh) is more of a combo guard-forward that has been good especially defensively - he's also going to try to dunk multiple times, whether it's open or not. Alex Illikainen (true frosh) is more the prototypical Wisconsin big who shoots 3s - his body needs some maturing before he can truly bang in the B1G, though. Charlie Thomas, another true frosh, is a big whose body is ready, but not his skills. The last guy who might play is Aaron Moesch, a walkon who's been with the program the last couple of years - Gard plays him because he knows what the offense is supposed to do - he is the epitome of a just don't screw it up guy as he really hardly ever touches the ball, but he sets screens and draws his man away from the action.

 

Aside from the more liberal use of the bench, Gard has brought back "the swing" offense. Bo really had gone away from the swing the last couple of years to better take advantage of the likes of Kaminsky & Dekker. It has guards who post up down low and bigs who take outside shots and most teams have issues dealing with it because guards don't know how to defend post-ups and bigs like to defend closer to the basket.

 

On defense, here's an interesting stat - UW is 14th in the B1G in defensive 3P%. But they are #1 for fewest 3PA allowed. Their strategy has always been to make you shoot difficult twos.

 

All this being said, UW is not a great team. They go for long stretches without a FG pretty much every game. Against Illinois, they were 2-14 from 3 and some of those misses were wide-open, nobody within 10 feet types. So, OSU decided they were going to force UW out of the lane, and UW went 13-27 from 3. Go figure. They also have this habit of letting teams stay within striking distance as the game winds down - this is how they ended up losing to the likes of Western Illinois and Milwaukee, and making games interesting that shouldn't be.

 

Anyway, that's what I know.

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If Shields doesn't play we are gonna get an early look into what next year will kinda look like which is exciting but I would much rather have Shields playing.

We are going to need everyone play good for the most part. Can't have more than one person having a bad game and that one person cannot be White, Watson, or Webster. We will also need someone to step up and be the 8th man in the rotation and be decently productive. Out of Fuller, Hammond, and Evelyn my guess is it Fuller bc he is playing well recently and has experience in bigger games. I think he had 16 points last year against Maryland.

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