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hhctony

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Everything posted by hhctony

  1. I am hoping to do some more research on this with the new tiers for the Selection Committee this year, but as we speak, here is what our "resume" would look like. I'll try to keep this post as current as possible. Edited to show games through January 22. Nebraska currently 67 in RPI. Tier 1 (0-5): Michigan State (27), Creighton (35), Kansas (7), Purdue (10), Ohio State (15). REMAINING: at Minnesota (75). Tier 2 (4-3): St. Johns (81), UCF (57), Boston College (66), Minnesota (75), Northwestern (123), Penn State (135), Michigan (38). REMAINING: at Wisconsin (133), vs. Maryland (52). Tier 3 (2-0): Long Beach State (167), Wisconsin (133). REMAINING: at Rutgers (179), vs. Iowa (150), at Illinois (172), vs. Indiana (91), vs. Penn State (135). Tier 4 (8-0): Eastern Illinois (277), North Texas (202), North Dakota (207), Marist (326), UTSA (276), Delaware State (351), Stetson (291), Illinois (172). REMAINING: vs. Rutgers (179) Obviously, the tiers will fluctuate as the season continues to move on. Michigan getting in Tier 1 territory would be a nice bonus. And, of our 10 remaining games we only have four that are currently in Tier One or Tier Two. It will be interesting to see how the committee looks at your tier records this year. The good thing our team has now, is zero bad losses. It would be nice if we could keep it that way and win at Rutgers and at Illinois. I'm not overly concerned about losing to Ohio State (but, it sure would be a heck of a resume builder) because that's an easy one to overcome.
  2. Would anyone care to see a "Selection Committee" Games of Interest thread that would be updated daily? I figure we just as well go "all-in" on the tournament talk and would be willing to put this together if others had interest.
  3. If we win that game we trade West Virginia (29) for Marist (326) and then we trade Long Beach State (if we lose, West Virginia) for a second St. John's game. Anyone who plays with those RPI gizmos figure out how the would effect our non-conference SOS? I shutter to think about it.
  4. Right now Texas is certainly more deserving than Nebraska. They will need some wins, though.
  5. I'll be real curious to see how this plays out, but there is a part of me that says IF (Q1+Q2 WINS) > (Q3+Q4 LOSSES) your chances of dancing dramatically increase.
  6. a Hot Take

    This year. At the Garden. Against Ohio State.
  7. Selection Committee Games of Interest

    No argument. But, the Big East won a whole bunch of non-conference games and they reward their schools by getting home-and-home for every team in the league. Nebraska, as it turned out, had one chance -- ONE -- at a home Tier One game this year. Right now, every Big East team has a chance at four. Pretty nuts.
  8. Selection Committee Games of Interest

    Xavier. Creighton. Washington (N). @ Marquette. @ St. John's.
  9. Selection Committee Games of Interest

    Given what Penn State has left if they catch us, they’ll have a way better resume than Nebraska.
  10. Selection Committee Games of Interest

    All three of the Pac-12 home teams would be good for this moment. But, with 7-8 games left, you just never know. But, give UW, UCLA and USC more losses and I am good with that.
  11. Selection Committee Games of Interest

    You guys are doing such a good job of keeping this thread going that I am just gonna watch the rest of the year. Would be super nice if Dana could help us out tonight. I'll just leave it at that.
  12. Edited to show games through February 6. Nebraska currently 54 in RPI. Things to watch here with the tiers: We need Iowa, Illinois and Wisconsin to stay under 160 for the home wins (keep them in tier 3) and Long Beach State staying under 200 would be a bonus as well. Boston College has dropped to a tier 3 game. Would need to get back to 75 for tier 2 consideration. Tier 1 (0-5): Michigan State (20), Creighton (23), Kansas (8), Purdue (9), Ohio State (22). REMAINING: none. Tier 2 (3-3): St. Johns (94), UCF (67), at Northwestern (82), Penn State (100), Michigan (39), at Minnesota (126). REMAINING: vs. Maryland (58). Tier 3 (8-0): Boston College (84), Minnesota (126), (n) Long Beach State (197), at Rutgers (208), Iowa (149), Illinois (156), Wisconsin (159), at Wisconsin (159). REMAINING: at Illinois (156), vs. Indiana (109), vs. Penn State (100). Tier 4 (7-0): Eastern Illinois (277), North Texas (210), North Dakota (217), (n) Marist (320), UTSA (200), Delaware State (351), Stetson (326). REMAINING: vs. Rutgers (208).
  13. Edited to show games through February 4. Nebraska currently 58 in RPI. The only good news here is Michigan. It would seem to me they have a chance to get in top-30 with a one-loss finish before the conference tournament. That said, Wisconsin (home) has dropped to a tier four win (quite amazing) and we need them to get back to tier 3 ASAP. Long Beach State has dropped to tier four as well, would need to get back in top-200 to move back to tier three. Tier 1 (0-5): Michigan State (21), Creighton (23), Kansas (9), Purdue (7), Ohio State (20). REMAINING: none. Tier 2 (3-3): St. Johns (94), UCF (73), Boston College (79), at Northwestern (99), Penn State (104), Michigan (31). REMAINING: vs. Maryland (55), at Minnesota (117). Tier 3 (5-0): Minnesota (117), at Rutgers (197), Iowa (152), Illinois (154), at Wisconsin (163). REMAINING: at Illinois (154), vs. Indiana (121), vs. Penn State (104). Tier 4 (9-0): Eastern Illinois (276), North Texas (209), North Dakota (218), (n) Marist (320), (n) Long Beach State (201), UTSA (202), Delaware State (351), Stetson (325), Wisconsin (163). REMAINING: vs. Rutgers (197)
  14. I always have found that you could get a pretty accurate seed list by doing a formula that was RPI + AP Rank + USA Today Rank and then sorting lowest to highest for seeding. Purdue would certainly be on the top line.
  15. These wins currently would all be the same to the committee and better than beating Michigan at home. Beating Duke, Nevada, Rhode Island or Middle Tennessee at home. Beating New Mexico State, Western Kentucky, Temple or St. Bonaventure on a neutral court. Winning at East Tennessee, Wyoming, South Dakota State, Wright State or Utah Valley.
  16. Selection Committee Games of Interest

    Games for tonight as I'll be out of the loop the rest of the day and tomorrow, so maybe no updates to this until Saturday. Penn State (108) at Michigan State (24) LSU (81) at Tennessee (14) Pitt (183) at Miami (FL) (17) Louisville (20) at Virginia (1) -- probably doesn't matter for us Houston (49) at Cincinnati (16) Providence (37) at Seton Hall (19) West Virginia (29) at Iowa State (116) -- curious to see the end result of this one Florida State (35) at Wake Forest (127) -- it'd be a nice night some lousy ACC teams to win. Syracuse (34) at Georgia Tech (141) Maryland (60) at Purdue (8) Mississippi State (70) at South Carolina (53) Virginia Tech (74) at Boston College (69) Missouri (46) at Alabama (27) UConn (82) at UCF (68) Butler (32) at Marquette (47) Texas (38) at Texas Tech (18) Arizona (13) at Washington State (164) -- this one likely in the doesn't matter range as well
  17. Edited to show games through January 30. Nebraska currently 58 in RPI. Tier 1 (0-5): at Michigan State (24), at Creighton (26), Kansas (6), at Purdue (8), at Ohio State (22). REMAINING: none. Tier 2 (3-3): at St. Johns (103), UCF (68), Boston College (69), at Northwestern (102), Penn State (108), Michigan (36). REMAINING: vs. Maryland (60), at Minnesota (118). Tier 3 (7-0): Minnesota (118), Long Beach State (168), Wisconsin (133), Illinois (158), at Rutgers (196), Iowa (144), at Wisconsin (142). REMAINING: at Illinois (158), vs. Indiana (113), vs. Penn State (108). Tier 4 (7-0): Eastern Illinois (287), North Texas (204), North Dakota (186), Marist (323), UTSA (238), Delaware State (351), Stetson (321). REMAINING: vs. Rutgers (196)
  18. Selection Committee Games of Interest

    And, to take it one step further, the only way you could really change it was if it went 5-1, but the loss was at home as opposed to on the road. Would change your winning percentage slightly.
  19. Selection Committee Games of Interest

    Games of interest for tonight. Rhode Island (9) at Umass (204) UNC (11) at Clemson (6) Indiana (116) at Ohio State (22) Rutgers (193) at Illinois (165) Florida (38) at Georgia (62) TCU (24) at Oklahoma State (93) Xavier (3) at St. John's (104) Minnesota (102) at Iowa (152) Auburn (7) at Ole Miss (84) Vanderbilt (123) at Kentucky (12) Arkansas (21) at Texas A&M (36) Baylor (91) at Oklahoma (10)
  20. Selection Committee Games of Interest

    Dear Kansas: We need you again. Notre Dame (78) at Duke (4) Nebraska (65) at Wisconsin (135) Northwestern (100) at Michigan (38) Kansas (7) at Kansas State (56)
  21. Last time I updated this was on page three, so... Tonight's game temporarily a Tier 2 game and Illinois has dropped to a Tier 4 home game (need them in top 160). Most other teams are decently in their tier at this point. The road Wisconsin game and the home Illinois game could flip back and forth. Would be nice is Iowa can keep their RPI at 160 or better. Losers. Edited to show games through January 28. Nebraska currently 65 in RPI. Tier 1 (0-5): Michigan State (22), Creighton (28), Kansas (7), Purdue (8), Ohio State (24). REMAINING: none. Tier 2 (3-3): St. Johns (103), UCF (71), Boston College (73), Northwestern (100), Penn State (112), Michigan (38). REMAINING: vs. Maryland (59), at Minnesota (98), at Wisconsin (135). Tier 3 (5-0): Minnesota (98), Long Beach State (168), Wisconsin (133), Rutgers (194), Iowa (152). REMAINING: at Illinois (164), vs. Indiana (114), vs. Penn State (112). Tier 4 (8-0): Eastern Illinois (278), North Texas (204), North Dakota (209), Marist (326), UTSA (268), Delaware State (351), Stetson (300), Illinois (164). REMAINING: vs. Rutgers (194)
  22. Sometimes you schedule based on previous teams being decent and then it backfires. What'd you like to avoid is those 250+ games. I don't think this is an overall conference thing to be honest. Only Rutgers was really bad and that's bringing us down a little, but most of what's brining us down conference-wise is we didn't beat anybody.
  23. Last Four Byes USC: 17-6 (8-2) / 8 games remaining / 2 ranked teams remaining Conference record. Defeated Middle Tennessee in non-conference. Marquette: 13 -8 (4-5) / 9 / 0 won at Wisconsin and vs. LSU in non-conference. Defeated ranked Seton Hall. Texas A&M: 13-8 (2-6) / 10 / 1 Living on non-conference resume for another week, but need some wins. Beat Penn State, USC, West Virginia, Oklahoma State. Houston: 16-4 (6-2 ) / 10 / 2 defeated Wake, Arkansas, Providence in non-conference. Wichita State in conference. Last Four In Boise State: 18-4 (8-2) / 8 / 1 Not much here. Won at Oregon. Loyola-IL a decent win. Nice conference record. SMU: 15-7 (5-4) / 9 / 2 Beat Arizona, USC and Boise. By now you can see how that Russian 3 at PBA is killing us. NC State: 15-7 (5-4) / 9 / 1 Beat Arizona, Penn State, Duke, at Carolina. Syracuse: 15-6 (4-4) / 10 / 4 Maryland, UConn and Buffalo could all be better wins than any we have in the non-conference. First Four Out Missouri: 13-8 (3-5) / 10 / 0 Beat Iowa State, UCF and St. John's, but gonna need some wins. Virginia Tech: 15-6 (4-4) / 10 / 4 Washington (neutral), at Mississippi, Iowa, North Carolina. Western Kentucky: 15-6 (7-1) / 10 / 0 Living off Purdue and SMU. Washington: 15-6 (5-3) / 10 / 2 Kansas (neutral), USC. Next Four Out Maryland: 15-8 (4-6) / 8 / 2 Butler. But, we start to see teams we can overcome with wins... Notre Dame: 13-8 (3-5) / 10 / 3 LSU, Wichita State. Lost five in a row and next two at Duke (tonight) and at NC State. South Carolina: 13-8 (4-4) / 10 / 4 Comparable to us. Wins v Kentucky and at South Carolina better than anything we have. Georgia: 12-8 (3-5) / 10 / 5 St. Mary's, Marquette, GT, Temple. Most of those better than anything we have. But, they need to start winning, too.
  24. 238 according to the RPI. Rutgers played 11 non-conference games, one against Seton Hall (19, RPI), the next best Stony Brook (228, loss). Best non-conference win was Central Connecticut State (245). Four wins are sub-300. Just awful.
  25. Selection Committee Games of Interest

    Penn State still 114 in the RPI but with better wins than us (and, of course, worse losses). Need to be ahead of them in the standings and beat them in Lincoln.
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