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Everything posted by HuskerActuary
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Yeah, this is a result of there being fewer elite teams and fewer really bad teams compared to lots of teams in the middle. Below is an illustration of the average difference in KenPom efficiency from one team to the next, with the X-axis representing their KenPom rank, and using a 10-team rolling average. For teams ranked, say, #20 - #300, there will be more movement from game to game because those teams' efficiency margins are closer to each other.
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Huge comeback win yesterday. RPI is still fairly meaningless at this point, but we're #8 right now in that metric.
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In days gone by, not long ago, When internet was slow, We found our fun in sun and snow, Life's pace was not for show. Homework done with pen in hand, Encyclopedias on the stand, We'd dive into a knowledge sea, In libraries, we roamed free. Yet, laughter filled the air back then, Games of tag, count one to ten. With books and bikes, our time we'd spend, Imaginations had no end. Now, kids these days, with AI tools, Solve math problems, follow rules. It's different, yes, but still so cool, Technology's a powerful fuel. So while the past was surely sweet, Today's world sits in the driver's seat. Both eras have their unique beat, In learning and fun, none can compete. Embrace the change, let's not retreat, For every age has its own feat. From yesterday to present meet, Life's always good, never obsolete.
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Yeah I'm not too impressed with Gemini so far. On a lighthearted note, I asked it to write a poem about how Nebraska > Creighton. It wouldn't do it. ChatGPT does though! In the heart of the Cornhusker state, where prairies stretch wide and far, Lies a rivalry, deep and great, under the same bright star. Two teams, two dreams, in Nebraska's vast ballade, But one shines brighter, beyond the shadow, never to fade. Nebraska's pride, in scarlet and cream, rises high, A testament to basketball's dream, beneath the wide Midwestern sky. Their spirit, unyielding, through seasons of trial and test, Proves their mettle is far from yielding, standing above the rest. While Creighton's bluejays soar, with skill and grace in flight, Nebraska's fervor is something more, a beacon of relentless light. For every dribble, pass, and score, tells the tale of Husker might, A story of passion, grit, and lore, in the basketball night. Yes, Creighton shines, a beacon in its own right, A force on the court, giving many a fright. But Nebraska's heart beats stronger, with every game and cheer, Their legacy, lasting longer, year after year. For in this land of corn and sky, where dreams are chased with zeal, Nebraska basketball stands high, with a spirit that's real. Not just a game, but a bond, uniting all who believe, In the power of unity and beyond, what together they can achieve. So here's to Nebraska, where basketball sings, In hearts of fans, the joy it brings. For in this friendly rivalry's tale, one truth brightly gleams: Nebraska's spirit will prevail, fueling endless dreams.
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This is a perfectly worded post. I agree with every piece of it. The nice thing is that unless we collapse, only getting 21 wins is starting to look unlikely.
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Nebraska (18-8) vs. Indiana (14-11) Game Thread
HuskerActuary replied to Bugeaters1's topic in The Haymarket Hardwood
My most comfortable t shirt I own is the old HHC shirt, "In Miles We Trust"... So I have to wear it with hoodies -
Games Of Note/Bubble Watch 2024
HuskerActuary replied to hskr4life's topic in The Haymarket Hardwood
Texas A&M is losing to 12-13 Arkansas with 16 minutes left. That would be huuuuge for us. -
Nebraska (18-8) vs. Indiana (14-11) Game Thread
HuskerActuary replied to Bugeaters1's topic in The Haymarket Hardwood
That feels a little high to me, but I could definitely get an on board with an 80% probability with a win. It's there for the taking. -
Games Of Note/Bubble Watch 2024
HuskerActuary replied to hskr4life's topic in The Haymarket Hardwood
Add Virginia @ Virginia Tech. Virginia is currently losing 30-14. They drop to at least a 10 seed on Bracket Matrix with a double-digit loss. -
I've heard you say this a couple of times, but I don't understand what you are getting at. How is it better for a loss to be Q2 than Q1?
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Games Of Note/Bubble Watch 2024
HuskerActuary replied to hskr4life's topic in The Haymarket Hardwood
Quite a few big games today. Ole Miss at Kentucky: Strongly root for Kentucky. Ole Miss will feel very good about its NCAA chances with a win. Iowa State at Cincinnati: Strongly root for Iowa State New Mexico at Nevada: I assume we want New Mexico to win as they are probably somewhat safe into the tourney and Nevada is near the cutline. Toss-up game. There are more. I'll let hskr4life work his magic later -
As we sit right now, at 17-8, I think this is true. This is where I disagree. Twenty wins means we finish the regular season 3-3, with a couple of losses that tournament teams should normally win (plus beating the three must-wins - all three remaining home games). That would drop us from where the committee would have us right now.
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Games Of Note/Bubble Watch 2024
HuskerActuary replied to hskr4life's topic in The Haymarket Hardwood
I'll let hskr4life do his full update later, but I took a quick look. Seton Hall plays at Villanova today. Not sure who we want to win given Seton Hall is barely in and Villanova is out by a handful of teams. A Villanova would put them both closer to the cut line which could be good or bad or bad for us. Maybe an expert can weigh in. Otherwise, it's straightforward to root for Penn St over Northwestern today (currently a 9 seed on Bracket Matrix). Noon CT tip. And just for the fun of it, although less likely to be impactful, you can root for North Texas over SMU (1:00pm) and Wichita State over Florida Atlantic (11:00am) as well. -
Games Of Note/Bubble Watch 2024
HuskerActuary replied to hskr4life's topic in The Haymarket Hardwood
Really? I don't agree with that if it means they actually jump us in the bubble rankings. There are only a certain number of at large spots up for grabs. -
Games Of Note/Bubble Watch 2024
HuskerActuary replied to hskr4life's topic in The Haymarket Hardwood
One more to add. We want Kansas State to lose at BYU by less than five points, if possible. A win vaults them into bubble territory. A big loss will hurt their NET. They are currently #78 and we want them to be in the top 75. They are 12 point underdogs on BartTorvik with a 12% chance of winning. Game is at 9:00pm -
Michigan (8-15) vs. Nebraska (16-8) Game Thread
HuskerActuary replied to Bugeaters1's topic in The Haymarket Hardwood
Speak for yourself.... Those were dark days for me and I'm not forgetting anytime soon -
Games Of Note/Bubble Watch 2024
HuskerActuary replied to hskr4life's topic in The Haymarket Hardwood
Tomorrow is loaded with tournament-impacting games. Other than our game: It hurts to say this, but maybe the most important game of the day is for Creighton to beat Xavier because they probably jump us if they were to beat Creighton. Plus, we played Creighton. 11:30am Another very important game is for Gonzaga to lose to Kentucky, which is the more likely outcome. 3:00pm Arizona plays at Colorado. If Colorado wins, they are favored to make the tournament. If they lose, they are favored to miss it. Huge game. 9:00pm Another rooting interest is for Tennessee to beat Texas A&M, who is in the tourney right now but not by much. 7:00pm Really need Marquette to take care of business hosting St. John's. 5:00pm Oregon hosts Washington State and is favored to win. We need that to happen as Wazzu is an 11 seed on BM. 4:00pm Providence plays Butler. Two bubble teams. Not sure who to root for - whoever loses, we want to keep losing thereafter. 1:00pm There are tons more with moderate impacts but those look like the big ones to me. Apologies if I made any mistakes, I did this flipping between browser tabs on my phone before the zzzz's kick in -
Games Of Note/Bubble Watch 2024
HuskerActuary replied to hskr4life's topic in The Haymarket Hardwood
Easily the most important game of the day did not go our way. Nevada now squarely on the bubble. -
Scanning brackets manually, looks like we will probably drop to a 10 seed on Bracket Matrix when it next updates. Of course, last night wasn't about what we could lose with a loss, it was what we could have gained with a win.
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Games Of Note/Bubble Watch 2024
HuskerActuary replied to hskr4life's topic in The Haymarket Hardwood
Wazzu / Oregon St feels like the most important game. Some others I saw... Root for Arizona St over Colorado. While unlikely, CU probably misses the tournament with a loss Root for Arizona over Utah, who could still possibly miss the tournament with a loss, but is essentially a lock with a win Root for Washington over Oregon. While both are teams currently on the outside looking in, Oregon is closer. Root for Temple over Memphis. Memphis has some life, but not a lot. Choke them out. edit: Looks like hskr4life beat me by about ten seconds -
Top 30, isn't it?
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Nebraska (16-7) vs. Northwestern (15-7) Game Thread
HuskerActuary replied to Bugeaters1's topic in The Haymarket Hardwood
I need some good news.... How have other bubble teams fared tonight? -
Games Of Note/Bubble Watch 2024
HuskerActuary replied to hskr4life's topic in The Haymarket Hardwood
I'm going to avoid the doing the research myself and piggyback off the wonderful members of this board who have been tracking closely... what is the deal with Michigan State? Looks like they are a possible bubble team and also in danger of falling out of Quad 1 status for us. Do we want them to win to keep Quad 1, or want them to lose to go below us in the bubble pecking order? Odd team, with a good NET ranking but not looking so hot resume-wise. -
uneblinst's postgame chatter: vol 16; ed 23 - Illinois
HuskerActuary replied to Bugeaters1's topic in The Haymarket Hardwood
Just watched the clip, and this isn't the right takeaway. -
Nebraska (16-6) vs. Illinois (16-5) Game Thread
HuskerActuary replied to Bugeaters1's topic in The Haymarket Hardwood
I am not sure what you are implying. Spreads take into account home court, so you would expect a record near 0.500.