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Cookie Miller Wasn't Dirty

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  1. Iowa State is getting Omaha no matter what. I think he’s saying our chances of getting Omaha rise if ISU is a one seed, because he’s assuming we’ll get an 8 or 9.
  2. Man this was such an insane bubble week I’d be concerned about our status if we didn’t beat Indiana. Thank goodness the boys got the job done down the stretch following the Ohio State loss!
  3. I think we’re going to see something wild this year: the at-large play-in games are going to feature 10 seeds instead of the typical 11s and 12s. The only way around it is if they give 10 seeds to Oregon, Drake, NC State, and James Madison. Considering none of them were going to get in without auto bids, it wouldn’t make sense to give them 10s.
  4. OT is treated as a tiebreaker. The way I see it the two teams tied, but since ties aren’t allowed and playing HORSE is a stupid way to break a tie, they play 5 more minutes. There’s a case for both ways of doing it. Sounds like some metrics cap it, some don’t. Either way is reasonable. And again the metrics that do cap it still count the efficiency metrics in OT, so a 10 point loss in OT is still punishing you. Just a muted punishment.
  5. Say there’s two games happening simultaneously. In both of them a team is down one with one second left shooting one FT. One team makes it, sends it to OT, and loses by 10. The other team misses it and loses by one in regulation. If you don’t cap it, you’re punishing the team that actually did better and was able to send it to OT. And they’re already being punished by the efficiency metrics anyways, because I believe those still count in OT.
  6. No but New Mexico could be the first. Also NET hasn’t been around for long. There are many “firsts” yet to come.
  7. The “Trend” column for BPI and SOR is how you’ve changed in the last 7 days. Not since yesterday. Texas beat Oklahoma by 14 on Saturday, so not surprised they’re up a spot.
  8. We have a data point. Texas drops from 25 to 28 for a close loss vs Kansas State. More of a drop than I expected. Michigan State is at 23 and plays Minnesota, who’s ranked lower than Kansas State. Unlikely a loss drops them out of top 30, but if it’s a blowout and/or teams just outside the top 30 win a few it’s not impossible.
  9. What a game! Withstanding their hot start was massive. Thank you Keisei.
  10. What do you mean when you say top seeds? One seeds?
  11. I think Kansas pretty much has no shot at a 2 seed. Iowa State could if they go to the championship in their tourney. More likely they’re both 3 seeds in Omaha, so we’d need to snag a 6 or drop to an 11. But I also think location predictions are pretty much a guessing game. They often send teams far away. There a lots of different requirements they have to juggle when setting up the bracket. No guarantee KU or ISU are in Omaha no matter their seed.
  12. They probably will but they did only move up two spots in KenPom. They’ll probably be straddling the Q1 line all the way till Selection Sunday.
  13. We control our destiny for the double bye. But we still need either a NW or Wiscy loss to get the 3 seed. Wiscy still plays at Purdue so we should be okay there. Also a Wiscy loss would greatly help us for the 4 seed if we lose to Michigan. Despite that I’m still rooting for Wiscy tonight for the Q1 status.
  14. I imagine much of Husker nation will be pulling for Rutgers tonight, but I think that’s unwise. A Q3 loss could have Wisconsin flirting dangerously close with the Q1 cut line. Better if they win tonight then lose at Purdue, as they should.
  15. Using ESPN BPI win probabilities, my math has it as a 19% chance at the 4 and a 2% chance at the 3 if we were to lose.
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