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avfan2121

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Everything posted by avfan2121

  1. Not to stan, but Dirk is easily the best writer in the state. His state and national awards prove that. I would love to see all these examples of Dirk trolling. The only thing I can think of was a Taylor Martinez article in like 2011 that was too harsh and Bo got upset about. Probably time to get over it. My biggest memory of Dirk is him being one of the first people to try and find a path for Nebrasketball to get to the tournament in 13-14. Seems like the opposite of a troll. Ever since then, the 3 major men's teams have been pretty bad. What good has there been to say?
  2. I think only 3 teams that won 5+ quad 1 games didn't get in. Indiana and Texas, who were basically .500, and another team that is escaping me. Get quality wins and be a few games above .500. Now, last year felt like a weak bubble, even though they say the bubble is weak every year. But a starting point. How many Q1 opportunities will we have and how many will we capitalize on?
  3. Honestly probably depends on Quad 1 wins and Quad 4 losses. Belmont got in at 26-5 last year. Yes, they had a lot of wins, but 17 were Q4 and only 2 were Q1 wins. Every B1G conference road game for us last year was a Q2 game, with 2 home games against Northwestern and Illinois and the Rutgers tournament game as Q3. So hopefully still plenty of opportunities to grab Q1 and Q2 wins. Win 5 or 6 Q1 and 19 overall and you probably aren't in, but at least on the bubble. Now winning 5 or 6 Q1 games while only winning 10 in conference is the real challenge.
  4. Even if tuition was free for someone, they count against the scholarship number as soon as they play in a game (I think). I know in football walk-ons can receive academic scholarships, but they either forfeit those or count against the scholarship number once they play a snap.
  5. If a team like Belmont gets in over us, even if the season ended right now, then we got absolutely screwed last year. Their NET is higher than us at 46, but their 2 Q1 wins are at 45 Murry St and at 48 Lipscomb. And they've played 17 Q4 games. A lot of teams could win 25 with that kind of schedule.
  6. Unless you are a 22 win Nebrasketball team...I'm not arguing for us to be in now. Just contemplating what 2 wins mean. If Creighton won today and lost tomorrow they would be in the conversation, if not in for some people. If Nebraska won 2 more games, they would have the same number of overall and Q1 wins and should probably be in the conversation.
  7. The thing about non-con SOS for the Big Ten is we played 2 more conference games, meaning 2 less non-con. So worst case scenario we add Rutgers and Northwestern to our non-con, what would the SOS look like? But really you should swap in 2 from the pool of Maryland, Iowa, Michigan St, Purdue, Minnesota, Illinois or Penn State since we played those teams twice. Any of those teams bump up the non-con SOS quite a bit. I also wonder if the committee puts more stock in the SOS numbers or the Quads. We have more Q1/Q2 games and less Q3/Q4 games than Creighton. So why is Creighton's overall SOS 14 and ours is 51? Doesn't really add up.
  8. If Creighton is on the bubble right now (First Four Out at worst in most brackets, somehow in on quite a few), it feels like 2 wins would have to put us in the conversation. We are currently 2 spots ahead of Creighton in the NET. They have 3 Quad 1 wins to our 2, but both teams have 9 Q1/Q2 wins. And obviously we would pick up 2 more Q1 wins if we make it to the semis.
  9. Related to Miles, but also for the next coach. Shouldn't player retention at Nebraska be more difficult than at other P5 schools? Miles recruited over guys like Morrow and Jacobson with Roby, Palmer, and Copeland. Would have loved to have had Morrow and Jacobson on the bench, but why would guys like that want to stay and be bench players at a program with a history of losing? So they transfer either to lower level schools with guarantees of more playing time or to schools that are more successful. So what's the alternative? Recruit worse players that are satisfied with being relegated to bench roles, but you know they will stay for 4 years?
  10. One aspect people typically don't mention from the tourney team is that the block/charge rule was emphasized differently that season. I don't have the data, but felt like that led to us getting a lot more and-1s and free throws. The next year it reverted back and felt like we got called for a lot more charges.
  11. I agree. That's why my only real expectation is separating from Northwestern, Penn State, and Rutgers. Get in the mix with the next tier up and hope for the best. It's laughable to expect us to consistently be in the top half of the conference. Too many good programs you would have to displace.
  12. Rankings by average finish since we joined the Big Ten (Using ESPN and I just went off display order, not tie-breakers/seeds): Michigan St 2.89 Wisconsin 4.1 Maryland 4 Michigan 4.4 Purdue 4.8 Ohio State 5.6 Indiana 6.6 Iowa 6.9 Minnesota 8.9 Illinois 9.4 Northwestern 9.8 Nebraska 9.9 Penn State 10.9 Rutgers 13.2 I think you can split this into 4 Tiers: Tier 1: Michigan St Tier 2: Wisconsin, Maryland, Michigan, Purdue, Ohio State Tier 3: Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Illinois Tier 4: Nebraska, Penn State, Northwestern, Rutgers I would like to clearly separate ourselves from Tier 4 into Tier 3. If we can regularly hang out in Tier 3, I think that should at least put us close to the bubble most years. Move to the top of Tier 3, you're probably in with a decent non-con. Then you'll have some years where you get a chance to move to Tier 2 when other teams are down.
  13. I think the right coach can get the program into the 6th-10th range in the conference. But we aren't the only team with nice facilitates, fan support, and money. Pretty much all the other schools in the conference can offer this. Facilities will be caught. We get the same cut from the B1G as every other team. People seem to forget pretty lackluster attendance at the Devaney. Can't bank on the new arena forever. Attendance will dwindle. So what type of coach wants to take a chance on a bottom dweller program, with very few advantages, and some big negatives (no history, lack of recruits in area, etc)? Pretty much sets up for a second tier mid major coach or a P5 retread. I hope I'm wrong.
  14. Showing up to watch a loser doesn't really matter because we don't want a loser. What Big Ten school outside of maybe Penn State doesn't get fans to show up when they are winning?
  15. This is true of most P5 schools. Especially in the Big Ten. What does Nebraska have to offer that makes the job attractive, which is unique and outweighs the negatives of the program?
  16. Can someone explain why Lewis would be a good head coach? He's supposed to be in charge of the offense and that's the first thing people complain about. Does Miles refuse to implement his ideas? Is the culture so bad from the head coach that it doesn't allow Lewis to be successful? I get the sense the Lewis would be a good head coach, but I don't see any evidence from his time here.
  17. Watson was squaring up and really using his legs at the beginning of the year. Form looked way better than anything we have seen from him. Way more arch. Now he's reverted back to a flat, step back shot all the time. No need to even cover anyone outside the restricted area the way we are shooting. Doesn't leave much room to operate inside unless Tanner can get a good seal.
  18. I feel like something happened over winter break. Whether that was just not getting games in or a disruption in locker room chemistry. They won same games since, but haven't really looked sharp since then. Especially on offense.
  19. Of course it's the goal. I think many people would agree the expectations are higher while also saying that Miles never really did anything here. Heck, on another board there is an argument on whether Miles will leave the program worse off than Sadler. Pretty rare combo.
  20. Basically feels like people have higher expectations of the program now than when Miles was hired. Which would seem to mean that he elevated expectations. But he didn't really have the success that warrants higher expectations, outside of a streak to the tournament early in his tenure. Which lead to expectations of continuing to make the tournament. If they don't make it this year, it's definitely time to move on. I'm just curious what our expectations of a new coach will be when the time actually comes.
  21. One of the odd things about Mile's tenure is it seems the expectations were elevated without much increase in success. I would say we aren't a program that should expect to make the NCAA tournament. The 2nd year run to the tournament (and facility upgrades) almost set him up for a higher chance of failure. I'll be curious what the expectations reset to with a new coach.
  22. Eichorst and Moos hurting the program by not extending Miles to the traditional 4/5 year contracts and Miles not deserving said extensions are not mutually exclusive.
  23. Nebraska basketball compared to the Big Ten: -12th in the Big Ten in all time win percentage; behind Penn State, ahead of Rutgers and NW -Tied for 12th with Maryland in Regular season conference championships; ahead of NW and Penn St (Penn St is an odd case with their conference affiliations) -12th in tournament appearances; ahead of Rutgers and NW Not really a gimmie that a coach would choose Nebraska over other teams in the bottom half/third of the conference.
  24. If you're going to go after a Power 5 assistant, I would try getting from within the Big Ten. Don't actually know his coaching abilities, but a guy like Dwayne Stephens. Has been with Izzo for 16 years. Would think he would have learned something from him. Would already have familiarity with the B1G. Never know if guys like that want to take a gamble and leave though.
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