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huskercwg

Screw this tournament discussion - where will we be seeded?

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I am tired of the ebbs and flows of the tournament discussion.  We need to beat Illinois, and then the next game, and the next game...et al.

 

So I am not going to fret over whether we are in or out.  We WILL get into the NCAA tournament.  When this happen, my question is where will we be seeded?  6th?

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I could see us jump all the way to 7-8-9 if we win the entire Big 10 tournament.  That'd be 26-8, 14-4.

 

If we win the next three and one in the Big 10 tournament... 10-11 seed, bye.

 

If we win the next three and 0 in the Big 10 tournament OR go 2-1 and win 1-2 in NY, 11-12 seed and play in.

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Just now, TimSmiles said:

10 or play in game unless we make it to the big 10 championship. 

Yeah I think were destined for a play-in game without a quad 1 win, it will justify the committee putting us in. How bad would a play-in game be for this team? It seems like it would be a nice buffer and a good way to get the monkey off our back, and get some momentum. I think play-in game winners (last 4 in - not 16 seeds) have faired pretty well their next game/

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My guesses:

 

(a) Win the next 3 and win the Big 10 tournament and we're a 5 seed.

(b ) Win the next 3 and make it to the finals and we're a 9.

(c) Win the next 3 and win one and it's 11.

(d) Win the next 3 and go 0-1 in MSG, or go 2-1 and 1-1 in MSG and it's 12 and a play-in.

(e) Go 2-1 but then make it to the finals and it's an 11, go 2-1 but then win the tournament and it's a 7.

(f) 2-2 in the next 4, including the conference tournament first round game, and it's NIT unless a whole lot of things break our way.

(g) 1-3 in the next 4 and it's barely in the NIT.

(h) 0-4 and the season is over.

 

I'd put my money on (c).

Edited by Dead Dog Alley

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If we are sitting at 23-8 before the BTT, we might be ranked in the top-25.  Historically those teams don’t land that low in seeding because they are passing the eye test.

 

i mean, technically speaking...a #24 ranked team would be a 6-seed, if the two lined up.

 

i know that the committee doesn’t use that info, but I just struggle seeing a top-25 team relegated to a play-in game.  

 

I think with 24 wins we are an 8 seed

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I like where your head's at. I agree, eventually something like this just gets worn out.

 

From everything I've been tracking recently, if we get in there's a good chance its a 10 or 11 seed. There's even the minute possability that we're put with the bluebirds in Omaha for a grudge match. I actually hope not, but I know they like those narratives. I just want to get in and win. It also excited me when I saw one projection that put us in a play-in with boise. That's much more winnable than a 6 seed right off. Either way I'm good, but im just happy to be where we are. 

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1 minute ago, OurDecay said:

If we are sitting at 23-8 before the BTT, we might be ranked in the top-25.  Historically those teams don’t land that low in seeding because they are passing the eye test.

 

i mean, technically speaking...a #24 ranked team would be a 6-seed, if the two lined up.

 

i know that the committee doesn’t use that info, but I just struggle seeing a top-25 team relegated to a play-in game.  

 

I think with 24 wins we are an 8 seed

FWIW, smu was ranked in the top 25 on selection sunday and didn't make it to the tournament.

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9 minutes ago, Dead Dog Alley said:

My guesses:

 

(a) Win the next 3 and win the Big 10 tournament and we're a 5 seed.

(b ) Win the next 3 and make it to the finals and we're a 9.

(c) Win the next 3 and win one and it's 11.

(d) Win the next 3 and go 0-1 in MSG, or go 2-1 and 1-1 in MSG and it's 12 and a play-in.

(e) Go 2-1 but then make it to the finals and it's an 11, go 2-1 but then win the tournament and it's a 7.

(f) 2-2 in the next 4, including the conference tournament first round game, and it's NIT unless a whole lot of things break our way.

(g) 1-3 in the next 4 and it's barely in the NIT.

(h) 0-4 and the season is over.

 

I'd put my money on (c).

Thats quite an interesting breakdown, in a good way. Yeah I'd agree, option (c) is most likely. I like the branching paths we could take here. If we take care of business and win in the B1G tourney for once, we have a bright postseason. but overall it's refreshing to have all the power in our hands. If we fail, it's on us, so that is quite a bit of pressure, but that's leagues better than worrying about another team and needing someone else to fail

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47 minutes ago, Wolv77 said:

I like where your head's at. I agree, eventually something like this just gets worn out.

 

From everything I've been tracking recently, if we get in there's a good chance its a 10 or 11 seed. There's even the minute possability that we're put with the bluebirds in Omaha for a grudge match. I actually hope not, but I know they like those narratives. I just want to get in and win. It also excited me when I saw one projection that put us in a play-in with boise. That's much more winnable than a 6 seed right off. Either way I'm good, but im just happy to be where we are. 

Is a team allowed to be in the same regional that they are hosting? I know there are some rules about playing in your own arena, but I don't know what they are.

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1 minute ago, nuhusker7 said:

Is a team allowed to be in the same regional that they are hosting? I know there are some rules about playing in your own arena, but I don't know what they are.

weren't we in the same region as the jays back in our 2014 trip? that's mostly what I'm basing this idea. 

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1 minute ago, Wolv77 said:

weren't we in the same region as the jays back in our 2014 trip? that's mostly what I'm basing this idea. 

We might have been. Also I may have misunderstood your post. I was assuming you meant we would play them in Omaha, but after reading it again, I think you were just referring to playing them again.

 

But imagine the ticket prices if we did play them in Omaha. 

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Just now, nuhusker7 said:

We might have been. Also I may have misunderstood your post. I was assuming you meant we would play them in Omaha, but after reading it again, I think you were just referring to playing them again.

 

But imagine the ticket prices if we did play them in Omaha. 

haha it's ok. Yeah I doubt we'd ever play in omaha, and you are correct, I was just saying they might put us in the same group of 4 or something. But if we did play there, and beat them at their house... O   M  G what a huge step over that'd be on the jays :lol::D

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