Jump to content
Sign in to follow this  
jimmykc

Tournament Odds Gizmo

Recommended Posts

Strength of Record

ESPN's Strength of Record takes strength of schedule a step further by accounting for how a team actually did against its schedule. Unlike BPI, which accounts for how the game was won, Strength of Record simply cares about the difficulty of a team’s schedule and the result (win or loss).

For example, last season, Kansas ranked first in Strength of Record entering the NCAA Tournament, and a typical Top 25 team would have had less than a 1 percent chance to go 30-4 against the Jayhawks’ schedule.

Strength of Record answers the question of which teams deserve to make the NCAA Tournament based on their body of work. It correlates more closely with the actual committee rankings and seeding than BPI, but Strength of Record is far less accurate when making predictions.

Over the past five seasons, 94 percent of teams that SOR deemed deserving to make the tournament ended up making the field of 68.

 

Nebraska's Strength of Record

 

Service Current rating
NCAA RPI 59
ESPN SOR 33
Kenpom 54
KPI 64
ESPN BPI 62
Massey Composite 53
T-Rank 56
TeamRankings.com 64
Sagarin 59
LRMC 45

 

 

 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

To add to my last post the only two Power 6 teams to be left out of the field with 13+ are Washington and Oregon of the 2011-2012 Pac 12 conference. 

 

Their SOR that year...

 

Oregon - 56

Washington - 57

 

^^^That's the difference between the #5 Conference(2017-2018 Big 10) and the #10 Conference(2011-2012 Pac 12)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Here is a link to the current SOR

 

SOR Rankings

 

Use this and you will see the majority of the brackets are the teams on the first two pages when sorting by SOR.  It is almost exact!  I matched up 2011-2012 to the SOR and it is almost spot on, it makes me feel a little better about things right now!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×