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Game Day Essentials: Game #18 vs Wisconsin


hhcmatt

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Nebraska Cornhuskers (11-6) at Wisconsin Badgers (9-8)

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Date: Tuesday Jan 9th, 2018

Time: 7:30 pm CST 
Arena: PBA

TV Broadcast:  BTN

Wisconsin Info

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Head Coach: Greg Gard
Location: Madison, WI
Conference: B1G
Nickname: Badgers

Mascot: Bucky Badger
Last time out: Lost to Rutgers
Typical Rotation Depth: 6+
Line: Nebraska by 1.5

Arena: PBA

Tempo: SLOW

Defense: Man

Style: Low assist % / Low 3pa%

Four Factors
Effective FG%: 53.3 84 51.3 199 50.8
Turnover %: 17.6 93 18.1 225 19.1
Off. Reb. %: 29.3 172 24.4 23 29.1
FTA/FGA: 33.7 179 27.8 56 33.9

Wisconsin protects the defensive glass, doesn't foul a ton, and doesn't turn the ball over a ton. They also are shooting well inside the arc. Like Nebraska they're good at taking away 3pt shots but like last year's Nebraska's team a lot of those takes go in. You can keep them off the offensive boards.

 

Most Frequent Lineups over the last 5 games

 

Nebraska

PG SG SF PF C Pct
1
5 Glynn Watson
6-0  173  Jr
11 Evan Taylor
6-5  208  Sr
24 James Palmer
6-6  210  Jr
14 Isaac Copeland
6-9  221  Jr
32 Jordy Tshimanga
6-11  268  So
9.7
 
2
5 Glynn Watson
6-0  173  Jr
11 Evan Taylor
6-5  208  Sr
24 James Palmer
6-6  210  Jr
15 Isaiah Roby
6-8  225  So
14 Isaac Copeland
6-9  221  Jr
9.3

 

Wisconsin

1
34 Brad Davison
6-3  205  Fr
1 Brevin Pritzl
6-3  197  So
21 Khalil Iverson
6-5  210  Jr
2 Aleem Ford
6-8  215  Fr
22 Ethan Happ
6-10  235  Jr
20.2
 
2
34 Brad Davison
6-3  205  Fr
21 Khalil Iverson
6-5  210  Jr
2 Aleem Ford
6-8  215  Fr
35 Nate Reuvers
6-10  215  Fr
22 Ethan Happ
6-10  235  Jr
8.1

 

The Huskers are really varying their lineups and lot of that is due to Jordy playing less and less minutes. Wisconsin with injuries to starting PG     D'Mitrik Trice and guard Kobe King essentially plays 6 guys while sprinkling in the rest of their bench. 

 

 

Players to watch: Ethan Happ

It's all about Jr Center Ethan Happ who leads the team in points, rebounds, offensive rebounds, assists, and missed FTs. Happ dominates the shots and touches in the offense and can not only score efficiently in the paint but also find teammates when double teams come.  Happ can be forced into turnovers and remains a roughly 50% FT shooter.

 

Scouting Wisconsin SubTopic

 

The Skinny

Wisconsin is a bit of a wounded animal with guard injuries and a grueling pre-conference in danger of snapping the Badgers' NCAA tourney appearance streak. Gone is the slow 3pt shooting, no turnover teams of Bo Ryan being replaced by the not-so-great 3pt shooting and slightly turnover prone teams of Greg Gard. 

 

While it could happen, Wisconsin hasn't lit up anyone on the road this year. Nebraska with their plethora of lineup options will spend most of the night throwing them at Happ, trying to walk the line between double teaming him and not leaving any of his teammates open for 3 for too long as most everyone will shoot them except for Khalil Iverson (Iverson is your classic fake a 3 and go to the hole guy)  Freshman Aleem Ford is their most consistent long range shooter but freshman PG (and former Nebraska recruit) Brad Davison is the most dynamic as he can drive and shoot. Keeping Happ, Iverson, and backup center Nate Reuvers off the offensive glass will eliminate the 2nd chance points that most teams get against Nebraska.

 

Offensively Nebraska has been a consistently good 3pt shooting team this year and has to be licking its chops upon seeing the numbers that Wisconsin is giving up.  While the Badgers tend to run you off the 3pt line, they aren't going to be quick enough to stop the penetration of Nebraska's guard and keep everyone covered up.  Expect some zone in this one but it really seems like we can shoot over it. Thomas Allen has only played 10 minutes in the last two games; expect him to play at least that much in this one.

 

The Huskers are home and are very hungry after seeing some of what could have been. I think they eat.

 

Prediction: Nebraska 74 - Wisconsin 64


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